Category: Gold and Silver 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, February 17, 2014
The Silver St. Valentine’s Day Breakout / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
In this Weekend Report I would like to show you the Chartology of silver that you won’t see anywhere else on the planet. Some of these charts might not conform to the classic textbook scenarios most chartists believe are the only correct ways to construct a chart pattern. I have learned through many years of charting the markets that there are areas in this field that can be opened up for further interpretation and still fall within the loose confines of what is considered a chart pattern. Keeping an open mind in any of the trading disciplines of the markets from Elliot Wave, to cycles or charting can give one more insight and clarity than any one book can give you. Real time analysis and interpretation is the only way to really get to know your chosen field for investing in the markets.
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Monday, February 17, 2014
Silver Price Decisive Breakout / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Silver has confirmed gold's breakout of several days ago by following suit and breaking out above important resistance on Friday on the strongest volume for almost 6 months. This means that we are now in a full on Precious Metals sector uptrend, which is still in its earliest stages.
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Monday, February 17, 2014
Gold Price Decisive Breakout, Precious Metals Major Uptrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold broke out decisively last week from its downtrend dating back to last August, a development that was confirmed by a dramatic high volume breakout by silver on Friday.
On its 8-month chart we can see that gold broke out both from its downtrend and also from a Head-and-Shoulders bottom. It even managed to close above its 200-day moving average on Friday, although the fact that this average is still falling coupled with an overbought reading on its RSI indicator may lead to gold consolidating a little before it makes further gains. Overall though this is a very positive picture, with a clear breakout, and a now rising 50-day moving average that will lead to a bullish moving average cross if gold can hold its gains made so far or if it advances further.
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Saturday, February 15, 2014
Bankers Can [Will] Steal Your Cash But Cannot Touch Your Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Bankers can and will steal your cash, but there is no way they can take your personally owned and personally held gold and silver. The ongoing plan for 2014 is to buy and hold even more gold and silver and reduce your exposure to cash held in any bank. Just keep enough to cover week by week expenses, and keep the rest of your cash at home, under the mattress, in a safe, buried in the backyard, anywhere but in a bank.
ANYONE who keeps money in any banking system in the Western world is sending an RSVP to bankers to access your funds, and they will not disappoint. The confiscation of Cyprus banking accounts was bandied about as a template for other countries. "No, that would never happen," was a constant refrain. Well, it was just the beginning.
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Friday, February 14, 2014
Erosion of Trust Will Drive Gold Price Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Q&A with Casey Research
James Turk, founder of precious metals accumulation pioneer GoldMoney, has over 40 years' experience in international banking, finance, and investments. He began his career at the Chase Manhattan Bank and in 1983 was appointed manager of the commodity department of the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority.
In his new book The Money Bubble: What to Do Before It Pops, James and coauthor John Rubino warn that history is about to repeat. Instead of addressing the causes of the 2008 financial crisis, the world's governments have continued along the same path. Another—even bigger—crisis is coming, and this one, say the authors, will change everything.
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Friday, February 14, 2014
Silver Confirms Gold’s Breakout / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
As of yesterday, gold had advanced roughly $100 in 2014 for a gain of 8.3%. Silver was up $1.00 in the same time period for a smaller gain of around 5%.
It is rare to see silver underperform gold, as it usually offers leverage in either direction to the movement of the gold price.
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Friday, February 14, 2014
China's Gold Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The China Gold Association http://www.cngold.org.cn/newsinfo.aspx?ID=995 this week released estimates for China's "gold consumption" for 2013 at 1,176 tonnes. Furthermore the CGA reported China's own gold production at 428 tonnes.
The CGA's figures were significantly less than recorded imports into China from Hong Kong. Instead, on my analysis, the CGA figures do not represent total demand, but presumably only that portion reported to it by its members at the retail level. The purpose of this article is to set the record straight.
Friday, February 14, 2014
Silver and Gold - Positioning for the Long Side / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
With incredible bullish and widely misunderstood fundamentals generally kept sequestered from the mainstream, it is easy to rationalize higher prices eminent at any point in time. This is certainly why so many analysts and many new investors arrive to the sector with an impatience driven by the accident (surging prices) waiting to happen any minute.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 13, 2014
Gold Price Recovery Faces Resistance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold is at the new highs after breaking out of a triangle at the start of the week. We see price now moving up in wave (c) of a second zigzag that may form a top in current 1290-1300 area. Keep in mind that despite higher highs and higher lows we think that move from 1181 is corrective, thus temporary recovery so we need to be aware of a bearish turning point in coming days. An impulsive fall back 1254 will suggest that highs are in.
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Thursday, February 13, 2014
Getting Positioned in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Before we get into tonight’s charts I would like to explain what my goal is right now for the precious metals complex. We never know 100% for sure when we have a bottom in place. All we can do is look at the charts and indicators and try to get the odds in our favor on when to make a move. For the short to intermediate term I think we have a decent bottom in place in which we can try to take advantage of a move higher.
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Wednesday, February 12, 2014
Gold as the Portfolio Choice for All Seasons / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
“An ounce of gold cost $271 in 2001. Ten years later it reached $1,896—an increase of almost 700 percent. On the way, it passed through some of the stormiest periods of recent history, when banks collapsed and currencies shivered. The gold price fed on these calamities. In a way, it came to stand for them: it was the re-discovered idol at a time when other gods were falling in a heap of subprime mortgages and credit default swaps and derivative products too complicated to even understand. Against these, gold shone with the placid certainty of received tradition. Honored through the ages, the standard of wealth, the original money, the safe haven. The value of gold was axiomatic. This view depends on a concept of gold as unchanging and unchanged—nature’s hard asset.” – Matthew Hart, Vanity Fair, November, 2013
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Wednesday, February 12, 2014
Why Bitcoin Will Never Trump Gold as a Sound-money Alternative / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
For the first time ever, the majority of Americans are scared of their own federal government. A Pew Research poll found that 53% of Americans think the government threatens their personal rights and freedoms.
Americans aren't wild about the government's currency either. Instead of holding dollars and other financial assets, investors are storing wealth in art, wine, and antique cars. The Economist reported in November, "This buying binge… is growing distrust of financial assets."
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Wednesday, February 12, 2014
Gold Price Runs Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Janet Yellen's testimony was a bit painful at times, but perhaps it will improve as she becomes more familiar with dancing in the lions' den. Her answer about raising the minimum wage shows her to be a tried and true economic General Pétain, well versed in failure and capitulation to the forces of neo-liberalism. At least le Maréchal de Vichy had a few moments of greatness, although much earlier in life.
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Wednesday, February 12, 2014
Two Reasons to Consider Gold Investments Right Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: “Why would someone be bullish on gold right now? Stocks have the momentum. Let me warn: you will be better off buying stocks than buying gold bullion.” These were the “wise” words of my good old friend Mr. Speculator, when I met him over the weekend.
Not too long ago, he was afraid about what would happen to his stock position. Now, his opinion has changed. Mr. Speculator thinks key stock indices will hit new highs and gold bullion—which provides safety against the backdrop of a weak economy—will go down further. He said, “It will be a bad year for gold investors.”
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Tuesday, February 11, 2014
Gold Questions That Deserve Answers / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Germany requested that the NY Federal Reserve return the gold that Germany shipped to the United States decades ago. If the gold were physically in the vaults, it would be relatively simple to ship the gold back to Germany. It has not been returned, which begs the question, where is Germany's gold?
Tuesday, February 11, 2014
Gold an Asset, Cash or Both? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
As we sit ahead of a future inflation or deflation or both, still to come, we need to understand how gold will perform in these sets of conditions. Much has been written on gold being an inflation hedge but not so much on its value in deflation. But gold is not so easy to slot into a pre-defined category like this. In history it has performed well in several other situations. In uncertainty, whether it has been in wartime, economic uncertainty or simply national uncertainty it has performed well. When confidence in currencies seeps away gold prices in those lands reflect the fall of the currency as it rises.
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Monday, February 10, 2014
Gold International Buying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
As a gold investor in North America, it sometimes feels like I'm living in some far-off land where everyone believes in fairy tales and unicorns.
Most people around me don't seem to see anything wrong with the Fed creating $65 billion a month out of thin air—hey, it's not $85 billion anymore, what a relief! It's business as usual for the US government to spend billions more than it takes in, and a public debt hovering at $17.2 trillion—up from $7 trillion just 10 years ago—seems no more alarming than a rainbow.
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Sunday, February 09, 2014
U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Fizzle, Gold and Silver Held in Check / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Friday was an exceptionally interesting day, with a lot of things going on from the very start.
The premiere event was the US Non-Farm Payrolls Report, which pretty much sucked out loud, coming in with an underestimated 113,000 jobs versus a 175,000 expected. This was mitigated a bit by the 'private jobs' added of 142,000 which was closer to estimates. And it could make some feel good because it was in 'government jobs' that much of the shortfall occurred.
Saturday, February 08, 2014
Gold And Silver - NWO 'Problem-Reaction' Ploy Stronger Than Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The fundamentals for gold and silver worsen with each passing week, it seems, yet the price for gold and silver still languish in down trends. If everything is as precarious as is depicted in so many other articles citing how PMs are in dire straights, for the same deteriorating reasons presented with pinpoint numbers, as in reduced stocks of deliverable metals, increased transfers from West to East, why are gold and silver still near recent lows for the past two years?
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Saturday, February 08, 2014
How Gold is Currently Being Priced / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold's Price
Ahead of the Herd readers know I believe gold's price is being driven by rising, or falling, real interest rates.
Real interest rates are the level of annual yield paid to savers and investors over and above the pace of inflation.
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