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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Gold and Silver 2014

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Commodities

Sunday, November 02, 2014

The Reinvention of Alan Greenspan / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Former chairman calls Fed balance sheet a tinder box, endorses private gold ownership

During the time Alan Greenspan and representative Ron Paul had their famous series of exchanges (some might have labeled them confrontations) during Congressional hearings from 1997 to 2005, the congressman made what turns out to have been a prescient observation. "My questions," he said, "are always on the same subject. If I don't bring up the issue of hard money versus fiat money, Greenspan himself does." I say "prescient observation" because here we are a decade or more later and the "new" post-Fed Greenspan sounds very much like the "old" pre-Fed Greenspan-––the one who consistently advocated gold before he became Fed chairman.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 01, 2014

Gold And Silver – Elite Supernova Death Dance In PMs? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

On several occasions, over as many months, comments have been made here to the effect that reading developing market activity is the best source for knowing what to expect, moving forward. Most people have a need to rationalize the markets by coordinating known events with the current price. Last year, it was how many record coin sales around the world would impact the market, then the number of tonnes China and Russia were importing. Lately, the opening of the Shanghai Gold Exchange where true price discovery could be expected, the ongoing disappearance of reserves held by COMEX and LBMA, etc, etc, etc., none of which had the market impact for which so many had hoped.

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Commodities

Friday, October 31, 2014

Gold and Silver - Good Morning Fiat Nam / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jesse

It is a mistake to underestimate the depths of self-serving policy error to which Wall Street and the ruling elite will sink in order to kick the can down the road and maintain their positions of privilege. Every time I think they can go no further, I am surprised. Shame on me.

The Fed has never seen a bubble it didn't like. And if the trickle down isn't working, keep doing the same thing, but even more. Tempting fate doesn't begin to cover it.

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Commodities

Friday, October 31, 2014

Gold Prices in The Post-QE World / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clif_Droke

Lacking a distinctive catalyst, gold prices have languished in recent weeks after a failed turnaround attempt earlier this month. Gold's primary form of price propulsion is fear and uncertainty; as long as investors are worried what the future might hold, gold is treated as a financial safe haven and its price tends to appreciate due to increased demand. When investors aren't worried, however, gold is typically ignored and risk assets (viz. equities) become the preferred choice.

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Commodities

Friday, October 31, 2014

FOMC Hits Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Trading in precious metals was quiet until Wednesday morning, when prices began to soften. When the FOMC meeting released its policy statement at 2.00pm EST, gold and silver responded by falling heavily, with gold breaching the $1200 level yesterday (Thursday) and silver crashing through $17 to a low of $16.33.

This morning (Friday) gold and silver fell further in overnight ahead of the London opening, with gold trading down to $1173 and silver at $16.00. It is clear that the bears, including the bullion banks with short books, mounted an attack on the $1180 level, where there were stops to take out.

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Commodities

Friday, October 31, 2014

More Downside Ahead for Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Last week we argued that the underperformance of the gold miners during Gold's rebound was a bad sign. Since then the miners have plunged to new lows while Gold appears to be at the doorstep of a major breakdown below $1180. It shouldn't be a surprise as it would simply be following the miners and Silver. The current bear market is getting very long in the tooth but it is not yet over. We see more losses ahead before a potential lifetime buying opportunity.

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Commodities

Friday, October 31, 2014

China's Gold Strategy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

China first delegated the management of gold policy to the Peoples Bank by regulations in 1983. This development was central to China's emergence as a free-market economy following the post-Mao reforms in 1979/82. At that time the west was doing its best to suppress gold to enhance confidence in paper currencies, releasing large quantities of bullion for others to buy. This is why the timing is important: it was an opportunity for China, a one-billion population country in the throes of rapid economic modernisation, to diversify growing trade surpluses from the dollar.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 30, 2014

Gold, Silver and Currency Wars / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jesse

"The US must win, since it has infinite ammunition: there is no limit to the dollars the Federal Reserve can create.

What needs to be discussed is the terms of the world’s surrender: the needed changes in nominal exchange rates and domestic policies around the world."

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Commodities

Thursday, October 30, 2014

Gold Price Declines Once Again As Expected / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion speculative short positions (full) in gold, silver and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Gold and mining stocks declined yesterday in a rather profound way. The GDX ETF finally broke below its 2013 lows and the volume that corresponded to this action was high. However, silver almost didn't react - why didn't it? Will we see a rally shortly?

In short, not likely. There was a good reason for silver to hold up strongly at this time. However, before we move to this situation, let's take a look at the "background info" - the changes in the USD Index (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Thursday, October 30, 2014

Fed Ends QE? Greenspan Says Gold “Measurably” “Higher” In 5 Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

As expected, the Fed announced yesterday it would end its six year money printing and bond buying programme.

Given the fragile nature of the U.S. economy, Eurozone economy and indeed the global economy, Fed critics continue to believe that this may be a short term hiatus prior to a resumption of QE, if asset prices start to fall or economic growth falters.

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan admitted yesterday to the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), that QE and the Fed’s bond buying program, which aimed to lower unemployment and spur stronger economic growth, fell short of its goals.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 30, 2014

Understanding Gold's Massive Impact on Fed Maneuvering / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: Just about everyone knows Alan Greenspan. As central bankers go, he may just be the most famous ever. Even today, 1 in 6 Americans still think he's the current chair of the Federal Reserve.

As Fed chief from 1987 until 2006, Greenspan oversaw the latter part of the greatest stock bull in history.

For that, some called him "The Maestro."

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Gold's Obituary / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: David_Petch

This is probably not the type of article anyone who owns precious metal stocks would like to read, but here it is. The analysis presented today illustrates short-term and mid-term outlooks up front, with the Elliott Wave count indicating the longer-term trend expected over the next 5-7 years. I am not really going to provide much information on investment strategies around this analysis, but if one connects the dots, it should reveal a crystal clear picture.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Greenspan: Gold Price Will Rise / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Axel_Merk

Any doubts about why I own gold as an investment were dispelled last Saturday by the maestro himself: former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan. It's not because Greenspan said he thinks the price of gold will rise - I don't need his investment advice; it's that he shed light on how the Fed works in ways no other former Fed Chair has ever dared to articulate. All investors should pay attention to this. Let me explain.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Government Gold-Plating / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK) released his annual Wastebook this past week. It contains a laundry list of doozies. The U.S. government’s gold-plating operations included $190,000 to study compost digested by worms, $297 million for the purchase of an unused mega blimp, and $1 million on a Virginia bus stop where only 15 people can huddle under a half-baked roof. These questionable (read: absurd) expenditures only represent the tip of the iceberg.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Gold vs Paper - A Tale of Two Cities / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

This is a work of fiction with a few similarities to the reality we all know and trust, or … the reality that we think we know.

City A in a Paper World:

A financial genius had a plan!  He and his offspring implemented the plan over several hundred years.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Omniscient Federal Reserve Captures The Capital Market, For Now. Gold Beckons / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

A cursory glance at the various financial news media this morning shows nothing particularly unusual for these unusual times. The ECB have paraded a list for stress tested banks and the market shrugged. However, there is a disturbing thread running through most of the stories to which we have become immune but which would have been considered highly unusual at almost any time in the twentieth century. And that thread is the influence of the Federal Reserve in practically every key market in the world. 

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Politics

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

This Little Piggy Bent The Market / Politics / Gold and Silver 2014

By: John_Mauldin

About 18 months ago, I had a very pleasant chat with a gentleman by the name of Luzi Stamm.

You may detect some measure of surprise in my words, and the reason for that is quite simple: Luzi Stamm is a politician; and, as regular readers will know, I am no fan of that particular class.

But Herr Stamm was different.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

The End of QE and the Price of Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Bob_Kirtley

Background
The programme known as Quantitative Easing is due to be halted at the end of October, coinciding with the next meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee which is scheduled for 28/29 October 2014.  Monetary policy plays a big role in gold’s fortunes and so the strategies put in place by the central banks around the world need to be watched very carefully.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Oliver Gross Says Peak Gold Is Here to Stay / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: The_Gold_Report

The wave of zero-interest liquidity washing over the financial world could result in a short-term gold bottom of $1,000 per ounce, reports Oliver Gross of Der Rohstoff-Anleger (The Resource Investor). The good news is that Peak Gold is here to stay, which means that midtier producers will soon be desperate to buy low-cost, high-quality deposits. In this interview with The Gold Report, Gross argues that this could be the opportunity of a lifetime for contrarian investors, and suggests a half-dozen best bets to be taken out.

The Gold Report: Earlier this month, the broader equities markets suffered huge losses as gold made significant gains. Then, after the broader markets recovered, gold fell. Is there now an inverse relationship between the health of the broader markets and the price of gold?

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Does Gold Price Always Respond to Real Interest Rates? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Generally, the real interest rates are negatively correlated with the gold price, i.e. the rising interest rates adversely impact the yellow metal. Based on this adverse relationship between real interest rates and price of gold, Elfenbein built a model for the price of gold. According to it, whenever the dollar's real short-term interest rate is below 2%, gold rallies, and whenever the real short-term rate is above 2%, the price of gold falls. Another rule of thumb is that gold moves eight times stronger than the difference between real interest rates and 2%. If the model is correct, the Fed's future interest rates hike may be detrimental for the price of gold. However, there are many objections to the use of such a simple model, and generally to the adverse relationship between gold and real interest rates.

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