Category: Stock Markets 2013
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Friday, January 25, 2013
Is Your Stocks Portfolio Ready for What’s Going to Happen? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Sasha Cekerevac writes: As corporate earnings season continues for S&P 500 companies, it is becoming quite evident that revenue growth is lacking across many sectors of the economy. However, we are continuing to see growth in corporate earnings per share.
How is this possible? One method is through share buybacks. S&P 500 corporations, which are generating very high levels of cash, are buying back shares and reducing the number outstanding, which increases the corporate earnings-per-share level.
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Thursday, January 24, 2013
Stock Market Last Believers: Government Grabs the Bag with Both Hands / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The following is a sample from Elliott Wave International's new 40-page report, The State of the Global Markets -- 2013 Edition: The Most Important Investment Report You'll Read This Year. This article was originally published in the October 2012 issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast.
Read full article... Read full article...When government gets into the act of speculation, the top is usually way past having occurred. Government is the ultimate crowd, every decision being made by committee. It is always acting on the last trend, the one that is already over. (For example, the Federal government passed securities laws to prevent the 1929 crash...in 1934.) -- The Elliott Wave Theorist
Thursday, January 24, 2013
Stock Market Rally - When Everyone Sees…. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
We have all been told that the objective of investors is to buy low and sell high, and that what goes up must come down. If these two platitudes make common sense to you, then what action would we expect from investors, based on the two charts below of the S&P 500 and low grade (high yield) bonds?
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Thursday, January 24, 2013
Stock Market Refusing To Sell...For Now... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market clearly has its head down as it's trying to stay overbought for the most part. It's been overbought quite a bit lately on two, key-time frames, the daily and shorter-term sixty-minute charts. There's a bit of selling and then the market tries hard to move back up. This process can't last forever as we all know but you can't know exactly the moment when the pullback will begin in earnest. Today was somewhat of a pullback day, even though it wasn't. Let me explain. The advance-decline line wasn't very good, but had green because just a few stocks carried the work load. Not the best action for the bulls. You want to see the majority of stocks working higher when you're in a confirmed up trend. When things get more top heavy, there are fewer and fewer stocks doing the lifting. We saw that today, but it is only one day, so no time for panic on that front yet.
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Wednesday, January 23, 2013
Stock Market Rally—Will It Last? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
This is a stock market that wants to go higher, but it needs a little more certainty in the marketplace in order to do so. Corporate earnings are now rolling in, and so far, the numbers have been decent. Still, there’s no runaway growth in earnings, and even companies that beat consensus aren’t seeing the typical reaction in share price as in previous markets.
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Wednesday, January 23, 2013
Stock Market Makes Fifth Consecutive Interim High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Doug Short writes: The S&P 500 slipped at the open, just as the futures suggested, and fell to its intraday low, off 0.32%, an hour later. The index reversed direction, hesitated at the opening price for about 15 minutes at the noon hour and then rose steadily to its intraday high at the close, up 0.44%. Today’s gain is the fifth consecutive interim high for the index.
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Tuesday, January 22, 2013
Signs of Stock Market Correction in the SPX, RUT & DJIA is Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The great market prognosticators have by now came out with their 2013 predictions about financial markets. It seems to me to be a fool’s game to try to predict what financial markets are going to do in the future.
I want to be clear in stating that I do not know what is going to happen in the future. I do not know where the S&P 500 Index is going to trade tomorrow let alone 6 months from now. Most market pundits simply will not admit to this fact.
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Tuesday, January 22, 2013
Stock Markets Continue to Defy Gravity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the severe correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX. The structure has been altered by the fiscal cliff resolution rally.
Intermediate trend: - SPX made a top at 1474 and is engaged in an A-B-C intermediate correction.
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Sunday, January 20, 2013
Time to Put on the Stock Market Bear Suits? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
In previous reports I have spoke at length about expectations for the US markets to push higher above their respective September 2012 highs.I have been looking for the DOW and SPX to push higher as we had seen many other European and US markets take out those September 2012 highs, so I felt it was only a matter of time before we saw others play catch up.
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Saturday, January 19, 2013
Stock Market Making A Run For The Trend Line..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market made the move over 1470 on the S&P 500 this week and now it appears it will use that level as support on any back test to unwind overbought conditions. It tried quite a few times over a two-week handling period to get through, but finally made it yesterday. Actually, it was a shorter amount of time than usual in a handle. We saw the market work off overbought conditions on the short-term sixty-minute charts today early on, but as the day moved along, once things cooled off a bit, the buyers came in again. It was a decent day even when you had stocks like Intel Corporation (INTC) and Capital One Financial Corp. (COF) warn on their earnings reports. There's just not much out there to hurt the markets right now other than unwinding phases from overbought.
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Saturday, January 19, 2013
Waiting for the Stock Market to Show its Hand / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
For the week ending January 18, 2013, the SPX was up 0.9%, the Russell small caps were up 1.4% and the COMP was up 0.3%.
Tech is starting to underperform large caps. There were also a few instances during the week where small caps also underperformed large caps though on the week RUT did outperform.
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Friday, January 18, 2013
Stock Market Forecast for 2013, The January Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Matthew Carr writes: Can we know where the market is headed before the year even gets underway?
That’s always the question, isn’t it?
At the start of the year, there’re all kinds of predictions about where the market is going to head. All the big, bold predictions come out. And we’ll see articles that discuss indicators like “Where January goes, the market follows…”
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
Stock Market Possible And Probable Outcomes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy; its inherent virtue is the equal sharing of misery…– Winston Churchill
Today I want to focus a bit on the not so subtle changes we’re seeing in the United States. Almost forty-seven million Americans are now on food stamps and it’s a common site to see people using them to pay for groceries in supermarkets. As a teenager growing up in the US it was something that you just didn’t see, ever. Now students, senior citizens and the underemployed use them as if it were just part of the every day struggle. Recently I read that for every American that holds a job there are 1.1 persons receiving some sort of government aid. It doesn’t take a genius to figure out that the math just doesn’t add up.
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
Stock Market New Interim High – Signs of Exhaustion? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short. Like yesterday, the S&P 500 fell at the open and hit its intraday low, off 0.32%, in the first 15 minutes of trading. The index zigzagged to a modest mid-afternoon intraday high, up 0.11%, before falling back into the red. The final hour of trading was a game of tag with the opening price. The index closed essentially flat, but in fact it set a new interim high, 0.02% above the previous interim high set yesterday.
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
Stock Market S&P 1470...1470....1470.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
A number drilled in to our skulls, which gets tested every day, it seems, but never breaks through strongly. That's not bad, however. Think about the headaches facing the market this morning. The World Bank saying growth will slow globally in 2013. Exactly what a market normally doesn't need, if it intends to break out over key resistance. That news along with a few other smaller items hit the futures to the tune of 7 on the S&P 500. We did open lower, but, once again, the bulls came in and wouldn't allow for the S&P 500 to fall too far away from the magical level of 1470. We seem to get above it by a point or two but have yet to forcefully burst out.
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
Stock Market Cyclical Trend Forecast 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
As we forge ahead into the year 2013, I wanted to post an article going over the complete yearly forecast path, as suggested by the various time cycles that I track - and also with other indicators such as seasonal patterns, the Bradley indicator, and also the post-election 'presidential cycle' pattern in stocks.
With the above said and noted, the projected path for 2013 looks somewhat similar to that seen in 2012, though with a larger percentage correction being expected in the second-half of the year - primarily due to the position of the larger 180-day, 360-day (18-month) and four-year cycles. In- between, there should the normal up-and-down gyrations along the way, ideally with a peak in here in January ideally giving way to a low in February, prior to returning to strength again into late-Spring or early-Summer, setting up for that important top with the 360-day wave.
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
What Investor Confidence Is Telling Us About the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Sasha Cekerevac writes: There are various measures to determine investor sentiment regarding the general market. The most obvious is to take a look at a broad index, such as the S&P 500, and see where it’s currently trading. Because price is truth, the market does not lie. If people are bullish or bearish, their actions in buying and selling shares within the S&P 500 will be translated into corresponding price moves.
However, it is interesting to look at corollary indications to determine how strong the underlying trend really is. Investor sentiment is extremely difficult to predict, as is anything in life. While the future is unknown, by understanding the strength of current investor sentiment, we can help form a picture about what the future holds for the S&P 500.
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Tuesday, January 15, 2013
The Great Rotation Makes Stocks a Generational Buy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Shah Gilani writes: The greatest investing mistake you'll ever make is the one you may be about to make.
If you're not gearing up to get fully invested in 2013 and reap what will be generational rewards, you have no one to blame but yourself.
This is what you've been waiting for. This is your time. Here's how to do it and why.
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Sunday, January 13, 2013
Stock Market Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market experienced its first noticeable pullback, since the SPX 1398 low, this week, and it was only 16 SPX points. After it completed on tuesday the market started making new uptrends highs on thursday/friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.40%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.85%. Asian markets lost 0.7%, European market gained 1.1%, and the DJ World index gained 0.7%. Economic reports for the week were sparse and 6 to 3 to the upside. On the downtick: the trade deficit and export/import prices. On the uptick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories, the budget deficit, the monetary base, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved slightly. Next week, options expiration week, we have reports on retail sales, the CPI/PPI, industrial production and the FED’s beige book. Best to your week!
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Sunday, January 13, 2013
Stock Market Higher Until Proven Otherwise. At Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
We have a price target for the S&P e-Mini: the 1482-1488 area. That area is derived from Point and Figure, [P&F] used to measure market "energy," or the potential target that price can attain in a directional move. The market is already in an area where it can fail. The one caveat to any analysis pertaining to the stock market is an inability to assess market interference, [manipulation] by the central bank/Wall Street firm[s], doing everything possible to defy market gravity, and succeeding.
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