Category: Stock Markets 2013
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, August 13, 2013
Stock Market - Lindsay’s Long Cycle and Post-Election Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Ed_Carlson
Stock Trader’s Almanac has been parsing equity market returns during the various years of the Presidential Cycle for decades; election years, pre- and post-election years, and mid-term years. The goal is to help equity investors to know when to expect highs and lows in the market based on what year of the cycle they happen to be interested in.
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Tuesday, August 13, 2013
Stock Market Probable Pop-n-drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Pre-Market tells us that the market may open positive. Retail sales had a slight miss, but not enough to “all off the taper.” Expect overhead resistance at 1694.16, or possibly the Broadening Wedge trendline. The market may turn negative after that.
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Tuesday, August 13, 2013
A Surprising Way to Play a Europe Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Frank_Holmes
U.S. Global’s Portfolio Manager Tim Steinle is usually soft-spoken and mild mannered, so our ears perked up when he recently belted out “Europe is Rocking!”
After a lengthy period of stagnant growth and lackluster results, the gradual crescendo of improving economic data that’s been coming out of Europe lately certainly commands attention.
Tuesday, August 13, 2013
Malaysia's Stock Market and Economy Disconnect / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Sam_Chee_Kong
For the past two decades or so the financial markets have been through tremendous changes. From the open outcry system where stock prices took minutes to arrive are now available on real time in most online systems offered by brokers. What used to be an advantage for those who have access to quicker stock market information is no longer applicable as speed of execution has levelled across all online platforms. Due to the boom in the internet connectivity and the ease of delivery of information through emails, blogs and chat rooms investors are now faced with what is called ‘information overload’. It is a situation where there is more information than we know what to do with it.
Tuesday, August 13, 2013
Reasons to Fear Major Stock Market Correction During the Fall / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Michael_Pento
I generally shy away from making time-specific economic and stock market predictions simply because they are extremely difficult to accurately pinpoint. During 2006 I warned about a coming real estate collapse that would cause a severe recession in 2007. Back in January of 2009, I urged investors to start buying the stock market because I felt the majority of the selling was behind us. In general, making such predictions is a dangerous game and should be avoided in most cases because odds are very low you’ll be correct on both the prediction and the timing.
Monday, August 12, 2013
Stock Market Enters Period for Major Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: David_Banister
Market close to confirming new correction. 1685 support is KEY!
The SP 500 has been on a tear since late 2012 with the SP 500 bottoming at 1266. The rally though we have been charting out as part of a “Primary wave 3″ uptrend for this Bull market cycle from March 2009, and we are likely entering a Major correction or what we would label “Major wave 4″. Since the 1266 lows, we have had Major Wave 1, 2, and now 3 completed at 1710. We are entering Major wave 4 which should correct 23-38% of the entirety of Major wave 3, which was 444 points.
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Monday, August 12, 2013
Important Stock Market Warning Signs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
George Leong writes:
With the summer months drawing to a close, it has been a somewhat warm few months for the stock market with the S&P 500 and Dow recently at record highs.
Yet we are now seeing a pause, which may or may not be an indication that the current stock market rally has fizzled out after sizzling higher on the charts. Now, I would not be surprised to see a five-percent (or more) stock market correction.
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Monday, August 12, 2013
European Stock Market Looks Stronger – But Don't Be Fooled / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Tara Clarke writes: A few economic reports over the past two weeks have fueled optimism that a Eurozone recovery will trigger bullish performance in the European stock market.
abb euro market
The German Economy Ministry released a report on Friday saying that economic activity has increased notably in Q2, supported by both private consumption and investment in building construction.
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Monday, August 12, 2013
Stock Market Significant Correction Decision Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the market
SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend – SPX May be in the process of forming an important intermediate top. Confirmation is needed.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Saturday, August 10, 2013
Stock Market Uptrend May Have Topped / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started off with a gap down on Monday, rallied back to within one point of the uptrend high, and then did not recover for the rest of the week. Disappointing after last week suggested some more upside potential. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.30%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.80%, and the DJ World index lost 0.4%. Economic reports for the week had a slight positive bias. On the uptick: ISM services, the WLEI, the monetary base, and the trade deficit improved. On the downtick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week, a busy one, will include Industrial production, Retail sales, the CPI/PPI, reports on Housing and Options expiration. Best to your week.
Saturday, August 10, 2013
Key Hot Market Sectors Ready to Launch / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: DeepCaster_LLC
Key Sectors and Subsectors are poised to launch up in the next few weeks or very few months, depending on the sector.
Others will languish or crash.
However, very few of the Sectors poised to launch up soon are multi-year holds, because the Developing Trends in the Economy, Markets and Central Bank Policy (see our Forecasts) will likely not allow that.
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Saturday, August 10, 2013
Stock Market Withdrawal From Stimulus Addiction Will Be Difficult / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Sy_Harding
Markets around the world panicked in May when Fed Chairman Bernanke hinted that the Fed could begin dialing back QE stimulus as early as at its June meeting. Oh no! That June meeting was only a month away. The FT World ex-U.S. Index plunged 13% over the next four weeks. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index (19 countries) plunged 14%. Even the S&P 500 in the U.S. declined 6% to the June 22 low.
Thursday, August 08, 2013
Japan Stock Market Flashing a Warning For What is Coming Our Way / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Graham_Summers
The markets fell yesterday despite the Fed pumping over $5 billion into the system. The primary reason is that the Fed is once again talking about tapering QE. There’s also the uncertainty of who the next Fed Chairman will be (Larry Summers’ odds of filling the roll can be correlated to the dips in the market as Summers has been critical of QE in the past).
Thursday, August 08, 2013
Some Stock Market Selling Continues....Sentiment Poor Again..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
The futures began to fall not much after the market had closed last night. Slowly but surely the selling began. But there was nothing that made you believe we were about to blast up again, since we also closed a few points below 1700 on the S&P 500. Not forcefully below, but the churning the past few days just above 1700, and then they closed slightly below last night, didn't give you a warm and fuzzy feeling about the market heading in to today's action. The market gapped down some, and then headed lower with some force, until it got to the 20-day exponential moving average at 1684. Buyers naturally came in there as this was only the first real test of the 20's. In a bull market the bears aren't likely to succeed at removing critical support levels on the first try, although it can always happen.
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Wednesday, August 07, 2013
Shocking Economic Numbers About China, Now is the Time to Buy Chinese Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: There are few things more exciting in the investment business than finding a golden opportunity staring you in the face.
That's why I do a lot of research. Because I know that the more I dig, the greater the chance I will find something that others miss, that leads to big opportunity.
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Wednesday, August 07, 2013
Is the Stock Market Top In? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Graham_Summers
I keep hearing that whenever “stocks are rising” it’s a good thing.
I completely disagree. If a market move is warranted by earnings and fundamentals, then yes, a sharp move higher is great. But if the market is rallying based on false hopes, or even worse, is in a bubble, then it’s actually very bad for stocks to move higher because it means the ensuing collapse will be even more violent (a la 2000 and 2008).
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Wednesday, August 07, 2013
Stock Market 3 Peaks and a Domed House Price Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Ed_Carlson
An odd looking 3PDh pattern has occurred over the last year in the Dow. Lindsay wrote that when these patterns cap secular bull market highs (rather than cyclical highs) they often look atypical.Three peaks formed on 4/2/12, 5/1/12, and 10/5/12 which meet Lindsay’s requirement that peaks one and three be within 6-10 months apart.
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Tuesday, August 06, 2013
Stock Market Reversal! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Today is day 258 in the VIX Master Cycle which started on November 21, five days after the SPX Master Cycle low on November 16. Since the November low, we saw a 75-month low on March 15, Marking s Super Cycle Wave (b) low. Since then, the pattern has been confusing, overlapping and somewhat irregular, leaning me in the direction of labeling it as corrective and leaving the door open for a possible lower low in the July-August time frame. Thankfully, this hasn’t happened. Instead, the VIX presents us with an expanding Leading Diagonal, an overlapping, irregular, but impulsive Intermediate Wave [1] which peaked on June 24. Intermediate Wave [2] shows an impulsive Wave (A) and an Ending Diagonal Wave (C).
Tuesday, August 06, 2013
Stock Market S&P 500 Index Plagued with Divergences / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: J_W_Jones
By now everyone has a prediction about where the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is going to be heading in the future. Most of the sell side and their ilk are all rolling out the green bullish carpet and predicting that a major bull run is right around the corner.
I am a contrarian investor by nature and I tend to sell when others are buying. When retail investors are buying and the professional sell-side is quickly reducing their long equity exposure I get increasingly more bearish. A recent report from Zerohedge shown here, was accompanied by the charts shown below courtesy of Bank of America Merrill Lynch:
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Tuesday, August 06, 2013
Can Stock Market S&P500 Index Reach 1750, Or Even 1800? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: ForexPros
S&P500 reversed sharply to the upside from 1550 support, clearly in impulsive fashion. As such, we labeled end of a corrective blue wave (4) at latest swing low from where we are now tracking a new bullish leg on stocks, this time towards 1750 or possibly even to 1800 region in coming weeks for fifth wave in III.
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