Category: Stock Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Saturday, July 02, 2011
Stock Market On a Roll, FX Correlations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Impressive is the best word to describe the rally, in what has became one of the biggest 5 days rallies in history, I had to go back to Nov 2005 to find anything remotely like it, although I was actively looking for the reversal. (read the last 2 articles) to see such a huge rally like that, I think blew most traders away, hence the word impressive gets randomly used, but in this case it fits well.
Unless you have been living in a cave for the past few days, the market has made mince meat of traders that never respected the trend change, its only after 3-4 days that traders are finally accepting the trend has changed.
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Saturday, July 02, 2011
Stock Market Climbing Against The Herd....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Markets have a way of making everyone look bad or foolish. Just when you think one trend is firmly established, and there's no hope for the other side of the game, things turn. Euphoria can turn to despair and despair can turn to euphoria in the blink of an eye. Literally! When the market was pulling down hard, seemingly every day, the negativity could be felt everywhere by everyone. You could see it in people's faces and you could hear in their voices when confronting them on how things were going. The first thing they'd bring up is things look bad for me as my 401k, etc., is getting annihilated. They had a long look on their faces as if they just lost a dear one. People take the market seriously, and when it goes against them, they feel the pain. In the last two weeks the looks have changed as has the sense of well being. No longer in desperate straits they are now feeling a bit more euphoric, although cautious for sure.
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Thursday, June 30, 2011
Dumb Monkeys And The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Rally, as forecast by the indicators. Two market sayings perplex me: Only monkeys pick bottoms; No-one rings a bell at the bottom.
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Thursday, June 30, 2011
I am Not a Ninja Assassin Who Brings Down Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Carson Block of Muddy Waters spoke to Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker about Sino-Forest earlier today. Block said he is still short Sino-Forest and that he isn't a "ninja assassin" who brings down stocks. He thinks of himself as someone who is "protecting investors."
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Thursday, June 30, 2011
Three Ways to Slash Your Risk ... And Still Make a Killing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: With everything from the Greek debt crisis to worries about China's growth roiling the markets these days, the investing outlook seems to get shakier by the minute. And that means the same old tricks won't work any longer.
It's not going to be enough, for example, to simply pick stocks or spread your risk among large-cap, small-cap and a blend of domestic and international stocks and bonds thrown in for good measure.
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Thursday, June 30, 2011
Possible Stock Market Bottom as Key Sectors Breaking Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The past month we have seen stocks pick up momentum to the down side after an already very weak month prior (May - Sell in May and go away). This second wave of high volume selling in June was enough to spook the masses out of the market shifting the sentiment from bullish to bearish. But just recently we are starting to see big money accumulate stocks down at these oversold prices, which has me thinking we just may be headed higher sooner than later.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 30, 2011
How the Stock Market Prices In Recession / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
I'm not going to even begin to try and make sense out of today's market. Watching fires burn and teargas fired in Greece, 100 pip moves in the EUR/USD in minutes and computer algos tripping over each other was surreal beyond words. This market right now is a lottery. Calling equities forward looking or a pricing mechanism is beyond ridiculous.
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Tuesday, June 28, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Rally is Over Mantra About to Get Busted Again? / News_Letter / Stock Markets 2011
The Market Oracle NewsletterJune 13th, 2011 Issue #12 Vol. 5
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Tuesday, June 28, 2011
Near-term Bottom for S&P500? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Heading into the final hour of trading, the e-mini S&P 500 is pushing up against critical, final key resistance at 1293.75. If this level is hurdled and sustained, concurrent with a climb in the cash SPX above 1298.61, that would argue strongly that a significant near-term bottom has been established that also coincides with the bottom of my 70-75-day and 20-25 trading day cycles.
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Tuesday, June 28, 2011
What Will Happen to the Stock Market When QE2 Ends? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The second round of the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program, better known as QE2, will expire this week.
The QE2 policy was officially announced on November 4, 2010, and has been widely credited with subsequent stock market gains. And now, according to rumors, the end of this "experimental" program will kill the stock rally -- with potential impact across all markets.
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Tuesday, June 28, 2011
The Stock Market Rise Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Following the June 21 Market Minute titled "The low has arrived", equity indexes continue to show a bullish stance. Models have been indicating since late April that the corrective low in the S&P 500 would occur in the second half of June. As that trough has now developed (June 16-20), upward pressure can be anticipated into July and early August.
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Tuesday, June 28, 2011
Stock Market MACD Rally Off The Lows.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The market staged a very nice rally today as those MACD's started crossing up positive over negative today. No news over the weekend, along with those crosses, gave the market a lift few expected as things looked very dire after the close on Friday. The one positive has been those oscillators on the daily charts, especially those MACD's. It's really funny how things have reversed for this market. Two months ago we were dealing with market highs on the belief that the economy was recovering thanks to QE1 and QE2. The negatives at that time were the two-headed monsters known as sentiment and those nasty looking weekly divergences. Now we have the opposite situation at hand. We have a falling economy, but we now have a two-headed monster that's positive for this market.
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Monday, June 27, 2011
Greek Stock Market, the Moments Before Drowning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
I sit. I watch. I contemplate. I observe. The stock market appears to have lost all sense of reality and logic. Maybe it never had any. Maybe it is just drowning and the current behavior is the moment before the drowning.
The Dow Jones Greek Index is a good barometer of investor behavior. When a person is perilously close to drowning, they will grab on to anything. There are a few seconds of desperate panic. The same holds true for investors. They will grab on to any story no matter how ridiculous it may be. The former nation of Greece is in the news almost every hour. They have debt obligations that they cannot repay and the ECB is going to throw them another $100 billion in bailout money to keep their debt off the default report. To be accurate, the ECB is going to give the $100 billion to the German, French, and American banks that hold the credit default swaps tied to the Greek debt in question. They just needed to figure out how to steal it from the Greeks.
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Monday, June 27, 2011
Sign of the Stock Market Bear / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Today I am going to teach you a little about cycles.
First a little background information. I'm going to be discussing almost exclusively the intermediate degree cycle. Now to start let me correct some misconceptions. Cycles are virtually worthless for timing tops. Cycles are measured from trough to trough. All we can really do with cycle theory is develop timing bands for bottoms, tops can occur at any time.
Monday, June 27, 2011
The Macro Economic Picture And The Outlook For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Increasing numbers of writers are bearish on the outlook for the markets and the likelihood of recession. Take a look at the deteriorating picture:
1. The Yield Curve is inverted in Brazil and close in India. Other countries are trending towards that situation, and an inverted yield curve has historically led to bear markets.
Monday, June 27, 2011
The Future for U.S. Stocks in Light of the Fed’s Failings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Jon D. Markman writes: Major U.S. stocks were under pressure during most of the past week as new worries about Eurozone sovereign debt and a disastrous press conference by U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke corroded confidence.
This time, it was not just Greece that was pushing sellers' hot button, but also Italy, as the Mediterranean nation's banks are believed to have excessive exposure to troubled loans in the region. But at the center of the troubles was Bernanke, who looked helpless as an Econ 101 student in a master's class when asked by the media to explain why the economy was not improving as fast as expected.
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Monday, June 27, 2011
Too Early for Stock Market Bulls to Declare Victory / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began a move which has evolved into a bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
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Saturday, June 25, 2011
Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Another volatile week that ended about where it started. Economic reports were light and mixed: 5 negative/4 positive. On the negative side: existing/new home sales fell, as did the M1-multiplier and the WLEI. Weekly jobless claims ticked up. On the positive side: Q1 GDP was revised upward, durable good orders rose, along with the monetary base and the FHFA housing index. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.40%, and the NDX/NAZ were +1.25%.
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Saturday, June 25, 2011
Stock Market Investors Play Defense Until Fed Is Forced To Act / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Prior to the Fed’s June 22 statement, there were enough positive technical developments to justify a belief that Chairman Bernanke would give the markets a much needed push. The market wanted some signal the Fed is willing to implement some form of additional quantitative easing (QE) sooner rather than later. That is not what the market got.
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Friday, June 24, 2011
New Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Thanks to June’s sizable and rather-sharp stock-market selloff, fears are growing that a new bear market is brewing. For investors and speculators, the implications of these concerns are not trivial. Optimal trading strategies vary wildly between bull and bear, as bears relentlessly maul down all sectors including popular ones like commodities stocks. So today’s bull-or-bear question is critically important to address.
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