Category: Stock Index Trading
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Friday, September 04, 2009
The Rate of Inflation and the Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The million dollar question what is real? The rate of inflation or a new stock market rally?
We are bombarded on CNBC or Bloomberg with one speaker after another stating… No INFLATION! The Rate of Inflation is nothing…or the average inflation will be minus x %. At the same time we hear speakers after speakers discuss green shoots …that the recession is over etc.
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Friday, September 04, 2009
Stock Market Bounce Day 2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The market is poised for Friday action.
Stock Barometer Analysis
The barometer is in Sell Mode.
Friday, September 04, 2009
Unwinding..... Stock Market Bearish Case Takes A Bit Of A Hit... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The bearish case, which just a few days ago, looked pretty good, now has a bit of a problem. Let me first say that the bearish case is far from dead. There are lots of possibilities out there that can play out bearishly but the near term picture has changed a bit. The biggest headache for the bears is the fact that we had some very overbought daily charts with some nasty negative divergences in place. These charts have really unwound most of the overbought conditions and the Macd's have thus pulled way down, working off those nasty divergences.
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Friday, September 04, 2009
Stock Market Strong Snapback Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices had a strong snapback off early losses that held support and at the end burst through 3-day resistance and closed at the session highs going away.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Stock Market Late Rollover Puts Indices in Negative Column / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices ended the day with losses to follow up yesterday's decisive decline, but the going was volatile. The indices opened sharply lower to new pullback lows, and then rallied just as sharply to test yesterday afternoon's rally highs but couldn't get through. They then came down to retest, made new lows on the SPX but failed to do so on the NDX, and that resulted in a snapback rally that went right back up to resistance again and failed.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Stock Market Drop Darkens the Outlook for an Already Bleak Month For Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
When it comes to U.S. stocks, the first trading day of September typically sets the tone for the rest of the month.
And with share prices having hit a sour note yesterday (Tuesday), investors probably shouldn't anticipate a positive showing for the rest of September.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Nasdaq Important Trading Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Today we are going to be examining the NASDAQ Index. This market, which made its peak in 2000 at the height of the dot com bubble, remains in a secular bear market.
After making a low in March of 2001, this market has had multiyear recovery which has rallied it very close to a 50% Fibonacci retracement level. After a nearly 50% recovery, this market now appears to be faltering.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Overbought Stock Market Being Evaluated / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Will the cure be worse than the disease? Good news was everywhere last week, as housing looks to be turning, consumers did well with the cash for clunkers program and confidence is high (even though incomes failed to rise). Unfortunately the equity markets remained subdued while bond yields fell. The coming week is the usual beginning of the month heavyweights of employment and data from supply management reports on manufacturing and services.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2009
Stock Market Down Move has Potential? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Potential?
The markets sold off hard on Tuesday, this move has potential.
Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Daily Stock Market Trend Indications / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Note that if your broker had trouble finding shares to borrow so you could short TLT, you can take a long position (buy) shares of TBT. It is a 2x Inverse TLT ETF meaning that it should move approximately twice what TLT will, but in the opposite direction. So, you can buy half as many shares of TBT to approximate shorting shares of TLT.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Stock Market Heading Lower or Bear Trap? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Interesting Start
The markets initial move is lower, but is it the start of a large move lower, or a bear trap?
Monday, August 31, 2009
Stock Market System Neutral with Bearish Bias / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The system remains on a Neutral signal (with a bearish bias).
Just as day is followed by night, so too will the current enthusiasm be followed by a decline (and probably within the next few weeks). Apart from September being a traditionally weak period, there are growing signs that the market is unable to sustain its upward movement.
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Sunday, August 30, 2009
Trading Dow Jones ETF IYJ / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Welcome to The J.E.D.I. Way.
LONG-TERM TREND (> 1YR) OF THE MARKETS: UP
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Sunday, August 30, 2009
Stock Market, No Selling Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
No Selling Yet
The market is holding up well, which weighs into our call.
Sunday, August 30, 2009
Stock Market Rally is Over, Doji Dejavu / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Doji Dejavu
It is happening all over again.
Saturday, August 29, 2009
Stocks Bull Market 50% Advance Signals September Opportunity for Deluded Bears / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The Stocks bull market continued to forge ahead with the Dow closing at 9544, after hitting a high of 9630 during the week, which is a stones throw from the target of 9,750, having advanced 3,280 points and more than 50% in less than 6 months, now it will be interesting to see how the market behaves as it enters the target zone for the termination of this phase of the bull run of between 9750 to 10,000, as my analysis of 5 weeks ago (updated this week) called for a more significant correction to follow than that which transpired during June to July, perhaps just about the time when many of the public bears throw in the towel and the not so smart money starts to pile in as greed replaces fear?
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Thursday, August 27, 2009
Stock Market Advance Runs into a Wall / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
I Think I Can, I Think I Can
The market keeps trying to advance, but is running into a wall - and its not worry.
Wednesday, August 26, 2009
Near-term Peak Emerging for S&P 500 Stock Market Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Let's notice (blue boxes) that the past two sessions in the cash SPX (from a candlestick perspective) appear to be a mirror image of the early July bottom period. That is to say that action on Monday and Tuesday left behind "distribution candles," which in English means that the vast majority of the intraday buying occurred well above BOTH the opening AND closing prices (very small "Real Body" for you candle afficionados).
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Wednesday, August 26, 2009
Imagine Trading the Stock Market Without Financial News / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Imagine not having access to any financial news stories. The only information you have about the market is the market itself.
Would you be a better trader or a less successful trader?
Wednesday, August 26, 2009
Ineffcient Stock Market Remains in Buy Mode / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Stock Barometer Analysis - The barometer is in Buy Mode.The Stock Barometer is my proprietary market timing system. The direction, slope and level of the Stock Barometer determine our outlook. For example, if the barometer line is moving down, we are in Sell Mode. A Buy or Sell Signal is triggered when the indicator clearly changes direction. Trend and support can override the barometer signals.
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