Analysis Topic: Politics & Social Trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, December 23, 2018
President Trump's Trade Rubbish / Politics / Protectionism
By: Steve_H_Hanke
The U.S. trade war rages on. With each passing day, there is news about a flare up, primarily on the front where the United States and China are confronting each other. While these flare ups rattle the markets, they don’t seem to rattle President Xi or President Trump. Indeed, neither Xi nor Trump seem inclined to give ground. For his part, Trump has recently tasked Robert Lighthizer, the U.S. Trade Representative, to lead the U.S. in trade negotiations with China. And, Lightizer, having a long ultra-protectionist record, has a reputation for taking no prisoners in trade battles.
Thursday, December 20, 2018
FT Shows How British Establishment Will Ensure REMAIN Wins a Second EU Referendum / Politics / BrExit
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Calls for a so called "Peoples Vote" are reaching a crescendo in the mainstream press, as grid locked chaos in the Westminister counts down to the BrExit deadline of 29th March 2019, that is resulting cabinet ministers downwards claiming that a Second EU Referendum is necessary so that the people can decide on the terms of exiting from the European Union, a deal or no deal exit, or even for the UK to REMAIN within the European Union.
Unfortunately, the whole "Peoples Vote" exercise is a means by which the Britain's establishment will ensure that REMAIN would WIN a second EU referendum by the way the referendum questions would be worded as illustrated by the Financial Times (FT) latest video titled "BrExit: how to hold a second referendum" :
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 19, 2018
2018 Chaos, 2019 Mayhem / Politics / Social Issues
By: Raul_I_Meijer
It took me a while to decide which word(s) best define the past year and the next one, but I think this is pretty much it. 2018 was chaotic more than anything else, and that chaos will give rise to mayhem in 2019.
What I think is striking is that this is true across the board, in all walks of life so to speak. In finance, in politics, in energy markets, in ecological matters, and perhaps most of all in the ways all these topics are being covered by what once were trusted media.
I’m going to have to come back to all these topics separately, so it’s promising to be a very busy holiday season, but it’s also good to try and put them together in one place, if only to show how interconnected everything is. And how futile it is to look at the economy without seeing its connection to energy flows and ecosystems. And vice versa.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 18, 2018
Political Theater Goes into Overdrive as US Government Shutdown Looms / Politics / US Politics
By: MoneyMetals
The Democratic party will be moving back into the control room in the House of Representatives.
Congress may commemorate the return to split government with a partial shutdown. The feud over construction of a border wall looks like it will not be resolved in time. It could be the first of many political dramas in 2019.
The debate over funding for the wall is theater, make no mistake.
Sunday, December 16, 2018
With Weaker Climate Consensus, Expect Elevated Climate Change / Politics / Climate Change
By: Dan_Steinbock
As the UN climate conference concluded with the expected dissension, efforts to contain global climate change are weakening at the worst historical moment. Emerging and developing countries will pay much of the bill. As representatives from more than 100 countries debated climate change in the COP24 - the 24th UN climate change conference – held in Katowice, Poland, the outcome could only be divisive.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 12, 2018
Politics and Economics in Times of Crisis / Politics / Social Issues
By: Raul_I_Meijer
The news still isn’t the news, and I’m getting afraid it never will be again, because not the news just simply sells so much better than plain old real events. Maria Butina suddenly popped back into the public eye, because she was either charged with something or confessed to it. And I’m thinking, excuse me, but that poor girl has been kept in isolation for how long now? And for what reason exactly?
I vividly remember thinking that when she first became ‘news’ for ‘infiltrating’ the NRA, for which there were plenty cute pictures taken, I remember thinking she would have been 22 or 23 years old when as a super- devious Russian redhead she allegedly penetrated the trillion dollar NRA, and the trillion dollar Republican Party, and the Trump campaign, which according to some people is now worth negative $1 trillion.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 12, 2018
Theresa May No Confidence Vote, Next Tory Leader Betting Market Analysis and Forecasts / Politics / UK Politics
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Theresa May, Britain's disastrous Prime Minister is likely counting down to her final hours in office after this morning failing to resign in response the triggering of a Vote of No Confidence in her leadership of the Conservative Party that follows her disastrous decision Monday to pull the Tuesday vote on her "EU Withdrawal Agreement" and then her catastrophic tour yesterday of Europe's capitals, literally begging EU Leaders for some scraps off their table. Most of whom looked on in amusement at the leader of a once mighty nation now groveling at their feet. Which was the straw that broke the camels back for many Tory MP's who wrote letters in their dozens to the Tory Party's 1920 back bench committee to triggered a vote of no confidence to take place between 6pm and 8pm today.
Monday, December 10, 2018
May BrExit Deal Tory MP Votes Forecast, Betting Market Analysis / Politics / BrExit
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Theresa May's government is now certain to lose the critical vote in the House of Commons on her "EU Withdrawal Act" at around 6pm on Tuesday the 11th of December 2018. Theresa May requires 320 MP's to vote for her deal to get it through the House of Commons, with the mainstream media consensus pointing towards Theresa May only being able to secure support from between 190 to 240 MP's, the wide range as a consequence of 50 undecided Tory MP's. Therefore the level of uncertainty presents a betting markets opportunity.
Sunday, December 09, 2018
Macron Heralds The End Of The European Union / Politics / European Union
By: Raul_I_Meijer
The concept of the EU might have worked, but still only might have, if a neverending economic boom could have been manufactured to guide it on its way. But there was never going to be such a boom. Or perhaps if the spoils that were available in boom times and bust had been spread out among nations rich and poor and citizens rich and poor a little more equally, that concept might still have carried the days.
Then again, its demise was obvious from well before the Union was ever signed into existence, in the philosophies, deliberations and meetings that paved its way in the era after a second world war in two score years fought largely on the European continent.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 08, 2018
Choosing Who the Autonomous Car Should Kill / Politics / US Auto's
By: Rodney_Johnson
I don’t want to be President of the United States.I wouldn’t want to subject my family, or myself for that matter, to the intense scrutiny required of elections.
I wouldn’t want to deal with what looks like political ego mania on Capitol Hill.
But, most of all, I wouldn’t want the awful responsibility of sending our sons and daughters to their deaths in war.
Friday, December 07, 2018
Oxbridge - Cambridge and Oxford Universities Mainly for Wealthy and Foreign Students / Politics / Adult Education
By: N_Walayat
A damning report today brought home the fact that Britain's best Universities Cambridge and Oxford are only really for the very wealthy and foreign students. Which means the Universities are selecting from a very narrow gene pool of potential British talent, thus by virtue of which miss out on the best of from Britain's state schools and thus cannot produce the best of Britain.
Research by the Sutton Trust shows 8 leading private schools dominate Oxbridge admissions, as over a 3 year period they sent 1310 students to Oxbridge, more than the best applicants from 3000 state schools.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 07, 2018
How Theresa May Put Britain on the Path Towards BrExit Civil War / Politics / BrExit
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Theresa May's government is in a full blown crisis following MP's on Tuesday voting to find Government Ministers in contempt of Parliament for the first time ever, which within hours was followed by 2 further votes against he government in the countdown to next Tuesday's vote on her "EU Withdrawal Agreement" that the government is destined to lose which is triggering speculation that the Vote may be pulled at the last minute as a loss could trigger a collapse of the Government.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 05, 2018
Showdown Looms on US Federal Spending, Border Wall / Politics / Government Spending
By: MoneyMetals
U.S. government agencies could run out of operating funds starting on midnight this Friday, December 7th.
At issue: President Donald Trump’s proposed border wall. He wants Congress to commit $5 billion for construction of a wall along portions of the U.S.-Mexico border.
The migrant caravan that recently attempted to crash the border near Tijuana has helped rally Republicans to support his request.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 05, 2018
Subverting BREXIT - British People vs Parliament Risks Revolution / Politics / BrExit
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Theresa May's government is now in a full blown crisis following MP's voting to find UK Government Ministers in contempt of Parliament for the first time ever, which is basically MP's sending a message to the Government that they are no longer acting in a democratic manner, instead are acting as a dictatorship! In contempt over the failure to publish the full legal advice given to the Government by the Attorney General, Geoffrey Cox on the consequences of the "May Backstop BrExit Deal". This is an unprecedented event that put's Theresa May's government let alone her premiership teetering on the brink of collapse in the count down to the vote on her Brexit Deal on the 11th of December.
Tuesday, December 04, 2018
MP's Vote UK Government Behaving like a Dictatorship, in Contempt of Parliament / Politics / BrExit
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Theresa May's government is now in a full blown crisis following the MP's today voting to find UK Government Ministers in contempt of Parliament for the first time ever, which is basically MP's sending a message to the Government that they are no longer acting in a democratic manner, instead are acting as a dictatorship! In contempt over the failure to publish the full legal advice given to the Government by the Attorney General, Geoffrey Cox on the consequences of the "May Backstop BrExit Deal". This is an unprecedented event that put's Theresa May's government let alone her premiership teetering on the brink of collapse in the run down to the Vote on her Brexit Deal on the 11th of December.
Monday, December 03, 2018
Subverting BrExit - AG Confirms May Backstop Deal Means UK Can NEVER LEAVE the EU! / Politics / BrExit
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Britain's political and corporate establishment are determined to subvert the settled will of the British people who voted to LEAVE the European Union, which supposedly is now to be achieved via the May 'backstop deal'. A plan that Britain's Attorney General today confirmed would mean that Britain could NEVER actually LEAVE the European Union without the EU's permission, which as Donald Tusk late last work reminded the UK with his statement of there being a stark choice of either the "May Deal or NO Brexit". Which means that the EU is determined to KEEP Britain shackled to the European super state in perpetuity.
Friday, November 30, 2018
Debt, Death, and the US Empire / Politics / US Military
By: Antonius_Aquinas
In a talk which garnered little attention, one of the Deep State’s prime operatives, National Security Advisor John Bolton, cautioned of the enormous and escalating US debt. Speaking before the Alexander Hamilton Society, Bolton warned that current US debt levels and public obligations posed an “economic threat” to the nation’s security:
It is a fact that when your national debt gets to the level ours is, that it constitutes an economic threat to the society. And that kind of threat ultimately has a national security consequence for it.*
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 29, 2018
UK Government and Bank of England BrExit Economic Armageddon Propaganda / Politics / BrExit
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Hours after the UK Government published it's economic consequences of a NO DEAL BrExit, forecasting a 9% loss of GDP after 15 years. The head at the heart of Britains banking establishment, the Bank of England set forth it's NO DEAL Economic Armageddon scenario, literally warning of economic collapse on a scale twice that of the 2008 Financial Crisis. One of a near immediate NO DEAL currency collapse, GDP collapse of 9%, house prices crash of 30% and inflation soaring to over 6.5%. The people of Britain being subjected to Operation FEAR on an even greater scale than that which the Bank of England was peddling prior to the June 2016 EU Referendum, then warning of a BrExit recession if the people of Britain voted for freedom, NONE of which materialised as the UK economy continued to grow on a similar trend trajectory it was on as before the EU Referendum BrExit result.
Tuesday, November 27, 2018
We Are Well Inside the Matrix / Politics / Propaganda
By: Raul_I_Meijer
Our politicians and media are not going to allow us to see Russia, and any incidents the country can be linked to, in any other way than black and white, in which we are the good party and they are the black, evil and guilty ones. So we’ll have to do that ourselves.
More than enough has been said about why NATO should have been dismantled when the reason for its existence, the Soviet Union, was dissolved, but nobody listened and NATO has kept expanding eastward and demanding more money, more members, more weapons.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 26, 2018
Trump’s Next Target: World Trade Organization / Politics / Global Economy
By: Dan_Steinbock
In the past few months, the Trump White House has started trade wars against its major trade partners, particularly China, and security allies. Without international opposition, the next target will be the World Trade Organization.
As the White House began to escalate the U.S.-Sino trade war last spring, President Trump’s trade adviser Peter Navarro was asked on CNN whether the United States is planning to leave the World Trade Organization (WTO).