Analysis Topic: Politics & Social Trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, November 08, 2024
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex / Politics / US Presidential Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Donald Trump wins! However, the US President has NO REAL POWER - Over the decades the Deep State Military Industrial Complex has eroded what power the office of the President had as Eisenhower warned would happen when he left office in 1961.
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Friday, November 08, 2024
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape / Politics / Social Issues
By: Sumeet_Manhas
South Africa’s welfare system is navigating turbulent political and economic waters following the May 2024 general election. For the first time since the end of apartheid, the African National Congress (ANC) lost its parliamentary majority, forcing it into a coalition with the Democratic Alliance (DA) in a Government of National Unity (GNU). This seismic shift in South African politics is significant for both governance and welfare, as key social programs such as the social grant system remain vital to millions of citizens.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 05, 2024
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction / Politics / US Presidential Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The brainwashed masses think that Donald Pump or Karamal Parris will win and save America! Despite every President in history never delivering on what they promised, all that they will do is PRINT MORE MONEY and leave office a lot richer than they were before taking office.
My view that President Pump will win has stayed constant all year regardless of what the opinion polls have stated as they whipsawed between giving Parris a Lead over Pump. Latest polls continue to give Harris a coin flip lead over Trump after taking over from lost all of his marbles Biden.
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Friday, November 01, 2024
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 / Politics / US Presidential Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The brainwashed masses think that Donald Pump or Karamal Parris will win and save America! Despite every President in history never delivering on what they promised, all that they will do is PRINT MORE MONEY and leave office a lot richer than they were before taking office.
My view that President Pump will win has stayed constant all year regardless of what the opinion polls have stated as they whipsawed between giving Parris a Lead over Pump. Latest polls continue to give Harris a coin flip lead over Trump after taking over from lost all of his marbles Biden.
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Sunday, October 27, 2024
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! / Politics / US Presidential Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The brainwashed masses think that Donald Pump or Karamal Parris will win and save America! Despite every President in history never delivering on what they promised, all that they will do is PRINT MORE MONEY and leave office a lot richer than they were before taking office.
My view that President Pump will win has stayed constant all year regardless of what the opinion polls have stated as they whipsawed between giving Parris a Lead over Pump. Latest polls continue to give Harris a coin flip lead over Trump after taking over from lost all of his marbles Biden.
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Sunday, October 27, 2024
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's / Politics / UK Tax & Budget
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Labour government budget is set to punish those who work hard and reward those on benefits by seeking to fill a £22bn hole in the finances though not by raising income, tax or VAT. So the plan is to hit those with assets which means the Labour government is coming after many folk who would not consider themselves as being rich. perhaps all it takes is living in a property worth £1 million will put folk in the cross hairs of the Liebour government.
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Monday, September 30, 2024
The Folly of Tariffs and Trade Wars / Politics / Protectionism
By: Richard_Mills
This week Donald Trump said he would hit John Deere with a 200% tariff if the agricultural/ construction equipment manufacturer made good on plans to move production to Mexico.
The Republican presidential nominee has frequently said he would punish automakers with a monster tariff if they move to Mexico, but according to Reuters this is the first time he has threatened John Deere.
The company earlier this year announced it was laying off hundreds of employees in the US Midwest and increasing production capacity in Mexico. The decision has upset workers and political leaders, and pushed the issue of tariffs onto the campaign agenda.
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Friday, September 06, 2024
GLOBAL WARMING Housing Market Consequences Right Now / Politics / Climate Change
By: Nadeem_Walayat
- INSURANCE CANCELLATIONS!
In the US and elsewhere more so than the UK home owners are getting their home insurance cancelled!
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Friday, August 30, 2024
2024 = 1984 - AI Equals Loss of Agency / Politics / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
This article is part 1 of 2 of my extensive analysis US Housing Market Analysis, House Prices Trend Forecast 2024 to 2026 that was first made available to patrons who support my work. So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $7 per month, lock it in now at $7 before next rises to $10 per month for new sign-ups. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
US Housing Market Analysis and House Prices Trend Forecast 2024 to 2026
CONTENTS
Stock Market Trend Forecast
US Stock Market vs M2 Money Supply
AI Stocks Portfolio
Nvidia 10 for 1 Stock Split
AI Computers Hype
2024 - AI Equals Loss of Agency
Why Alien Intelligence Cannot Predict the Future
Consequences of AI
UBI - Universal Billionaire Income
GLOBAL WARMING Housing Market Consequences Right Now
RECESSION When Yield Curve Uninverts
Global Debt Bubble.
IMMIGRATION DRIVES HOUSE PRICES HIGHER
US Housing Market Free Equity
US FIXED MORTGAGES LIMITING SUPPLY
HOA Nightmare
Florida Hurricanes
Rentals Crisis
Who is Buying All the Houses?
Commercial Property Capitulation
US House Prices Momentum
US House Prices Trend Forecast
US Housing Market Stocks
UK General Election - 4th July 2024
Friday, August 30, 2024
UBI - Universal Billionaire Income / Politics / Social Issues
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Sam Altman in all his glory is paving the way to turn the masses into slaves on the receiving end of a Universal Billionaire Income. Hands outs from the rich! How is he going to do this? By having his very own money printer, world coin crypto currency, where he will plow some of what makes through OpenAI in attempts to buy your obedience, silence and servitude.
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Friday, August 30, 2024
US COUNTING DOWN TO CRISIS, CATASTROPHE AND COLLAPSE / Politics / US Politics
By: James_Quinn
“All tyrannies rule through fraud and force, but once the fraud is exposed, they must rely exclusively on force.” – George Orwell
“The future’s becoming muddled. The lines of vision are narrowing. But now they’re desperate. All paths lead into darkness.” – Frank Herbert – Dune
Trying to decipher the path ahead becomes more difficult by the day. We are purposefully bombarded with misinformation, disinformation, and propaganda by the ruling class, designed to distract us from their real purpose, real agenda, and real plans to imprison us in their techno-gulag, eating zee bugs in our container sized hovels, using our government issued CBDCs to subsist, unless we dared to question the approved narrative – resulting in our social credit rating dropping into the domestic terrorist zone – getting us banned and shunned from society. This is the New World Order the Davos crowd has designed and will implement as a Great Reset, if they succeed in retaining and increasing control over the U.S. and the rest of the Western World in the next six months.
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Saturday, August 24, 2024
The Consequences of AI / Politics / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
What happens to humans when they are no longer able to control their own destiny i.e. become less than wage slaves? For that we look to what the Welfare States have supposedly achieved. Does giving benefits to people help or hinder people? In Britain we have a benefits culture that extends to some 9 million people of working age who for a multitude of reasons do not work. So what happens to those within this sub culture?
Are they seeking ways to better themselves or do the devolve deeper into self pity expecting someone else to do things for them, do those who live on benefits look after the property they live in? Their neighbourhoods? We'll go ask any landlord why they won't rent their properties to those on benefits because they will be a nightmare of unreliability.
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Saturday, August 24, 2024
Can Greedy Politicians Really Stop Price Inflation With a "Price Gouging" Ban? / Politics / Inflation
By: MoneyMetals
Kamala Harris is going to fix price inflation.
As she explains it, greedy corporations are arbitrarily raising prices and causing inflation. She will stop this “price gouging” and inflation will go away.
The problem with this plan is greedy corporations don’t cause price inflation. Greedy politicians do.
Friday, August 23, 2024
My GCSE Exam Results Day Shock! 2024 / Politics / Educating Children
By: Anika_Walayat
It's GCSE results day and so I am off early to School, and the results are a shocker! Find out if it's a good or bad shock!
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Saturday, August 17, 2024
Orwell 2024 - AI Equals Loss of Agency / Politics / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Humans have fought tooth and nail to gain agency, freedom from the Lords of the Manor but here in the 2020's we are in the process of giving up our agency to the machine intelligence. It means over time humans will become dumber and dumber as the AI will do much of our thinking for us as we perceive the AI to have superior judgment to us mere mortals with limited knowledge whist the AI can call on all of human knowledge.
Already the high priesthood of AI professes that he AI will know us better than ourselves, META already states that it's algorithms can predict a lot about it's users just through analysis of our interactions with it's platforms.
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Monday, August 12, 2024
The Future of Mankind - You are Being Sold a Lie! / Politics / Social Issues
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
Have you managed to capitalise on the stock market correction as many patrons have in key target AI tech stocks?
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Wednesday, June 26, 2024
UK General Election 2024 Result Forecast / Politics / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK General Election - 4th July 2024
Mentally soft as a sponge Richi Sunak clearly cannot take the pain of being PM any more even though his job is mostly about reading cue cards handed to him by his handlers, nevertheless Richi has thrown in the towel and declared he does not want to do it for another 6 months, he's had his fun playing at being PM and so announced a General Election for the 4th of July, Richi's Independence Day! Can you imagine that this clown has been PM for 575 days! They used to call John Major a dull boring grey man in a grey suit, but this guy Richi has done a worse job than if Mr Bean had been PM! I do not recall anything that this fool has done over the past 575 days as PM! He was never fit to be an MP let alone PM, his primary focus has always been to get to a net worth of £1 billion! Which is fine and dandy but why the hell make the British people suffer for near 2 years in the process? The Tories deserve to DIE an electoral death, the party needs to undergo a major PURGE!
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Friday, June 07, 2024
Israel's Smoke and Mirrors Fake War on Gaza / Politics / Israel
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The smoke in mirrors drama in the middle east delivers an opportunity in target stocks Friday following Iran falling face first into the Fourth Reich's (FR) trap, where the fatal mistake was the failed retaliation to the FR blowing up the Iranian Embassy that allowed the FR to target Iranian nuclear facilities in respect of which Iran had to make the choice to either further be played like puppets on a string or pretend that the Israeli attack failed to do any damage, Intelligently Iran chose the later and thus threw up a smoke screen of having successfully shot down a couple of Israeli drones resulting in no damage on the ground, despite the reality that Iran's nuclear facilities will have got hit hard with bunker busting cruise missiles, where further escalation would have suck Iran deeper into an unwinnable conflict that clearly Iran does not have the stomach for or capability for. Lets not forget that the Fourth Reich has murdered over 40.000 Palestinian civilians in implementation of Operation Hannibal, about half of whom are children.
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Friday, June 07, 2024
Is There a Financial Crisis Bubbling Under the Surface? / Politics / Financial Crisis 2024
By: MoneyMetals
When the Federal Reserve started raising rates, it precipitated a financial crisis. The central bank managed to paper over the problem with a bailout program, but the crisis continues to bubble and percolate under the surface.
According to the latest data from the FDIC, the U.S. banking system is sitting on $517 billion in unrealized losses due to deteriorating bond portfolios.
Unrealized losses triggered the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and First Republic Bank in 2023.
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Saturday, May 25, 2024
Government Tinkering With Prices Is Like Hiding All of the Street Signs / Politics / Economic Statistics
By: MoneyMetals
Governments constantly tinker with prices. Government people claim it's in our best interest, but price manipulation creates all kinds of unseen negative consequences.
Sometimes governments set price ceilings, mandating that the cost of something can't rise above a certain level. One example we see often is price gouging laws. In extreme cases, the government will even implement price controls. President Richard Nixon did this in the 1970s.
Sometimes governments set price floors such as minimum wages (After all, a wage is simply the price of labor).