Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24
Dubai Deluge - AI Tech Stocks Earnings Correction Opportunities - 18th Nov 24
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24
At These Levels, Buying Silver Is Like Getting It At $5 In 2003 - 28th Oct 24
Nvidia Numero Uno Selling Shovels in the AI Gold Rush - 28th Oct 24
The Future of Online Casinos - 28th Oct 24
Panic in the Air As Stock Market Correction Delivers Deep Opps in AI Tech Stocks - 27th Oct 24
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! - 27th Oct 24
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's - 27th Oct 24
7 Days of Crypto Opportunities Starts NOW - 27th Oct 24
The Power Law in Venture Capital: How Visionary Investors Like Yuri Milner Have Shaped the Future - 27th Oct 24
This Points To Significantly Higher Silver Prices - 27th Oct 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Protect Yourself From the Volatile U.S. Dollar with Currency ETFs

Currencies / Exchange Traded Funds Jun 18, 2009 - 08:34 AM GMT

By: Money_and_Markets

Currencies

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRon Rowland writes: You’ve seen the headlines: U.S. Dollar Plunges! U.S. Dollar Surges!

Why should you care? More to the point, why won’t the dollar just hold still?


Actually, in one sense it does hold still. Whatever happens in the currency markets doesn’t change the number of dollars in your wallet — or your bank account. But it can certainly change what your dollars are worth in comparison to other currencies.

If you live in the U.S., the day-to-day swings in the dollar are nothing to worry about. The long-term downtrend in the dollar is another matter. Since the beginning of 2002, the U.S. Dollar Index has dropped more than 30 percent. That’s almost a third of your international purchasing power — gone!

Dollar Index

Even worse, the Obama administration’s reckless spending — with the willing complicity of Bernanke’s Federal Reserve — threatens to send the dollar even lower in the coming years.

What can you do about it? Once again, ETFs come to the rescue!

ETFs Make Currency Trading Easy …

Investing in foreign currencies used to be difficult. Your choices were limited to trading risky futures, lining up at the currency exchange window at major airports, or bringing home some funny-looking bills and coins from your international vacation.

Now, thanks to ETFs, you can load up on euros, yen, pesos and pounds just as easily as you buy a stock. You can even go short in some of these currencies with inverse ETFs. So there’s no reason to keep all your eggs in the dollar basket any longer.

Of course, the fact that you can do something doesn’t mean you should do it. Always have a clear goal in mind before you trade any ETF, and make sure you understand the risks. And even if a trade makes sense for you, get started slowly.

For instance, suppose you just want to diversify your portfolio so you can have some protection from a falling dollar. If you don’t want to make a big bet on the dollar against any single currency, take a look at an ETF like the PowerShares DB U.S. Dollar Index Bearish Fund (UDN).

UDN gives you exposure to all the major world currencies.
UDN gives you exposure to all the major world currencies.

UDN is designed to replicate a short position in an index that tracks the U.S. dollar against the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona and Swiss franc. In other words, UDN goes up as the U.S. dollar goes down against this basket of other major currencies.

Or you can take the opposite position with the PowerShares DB U.S. Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP). This one goes UP as the currencies mentioned above fall when measured against the greenback.

Maybe you have a strong feeling about the British pound. How can you turn your forecast into a profit opportunity? One simple way is buying CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust (FXB), an ETF that holds a position in the United Kingdom’s currency.

Have a yen for the yen? CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (FXY) gives you a chance to profit when the yen is outpacing the dollar.

You can buy the British pound with FXB.
You can buy the British pound with FXB.

Lately, though, the opposite has been more often the case — the yen is one of only a few currencies weaker than the dollar in recent weeks. That ought to tell you something about Japan’s economy! So is there a way to profit if the yen drops?

You bet there is!

The ProShares UltraShort Yen (YCS) is a bearish yen fund. It’s also 2X leveraged so your gains are amplified if your bet is correct. For instance, if the yen drops 10 percent, this ETF’s shares stand to rise 20 percent. However, if you’re wrong, your losses can add up quickly. Therefore, timing your trades correctly is very critical.

I Want to Highlight One Other Currency ETF Because It’s So Unique …

The PowerShares DB G10 Currency Harvest Fund (DBV) tracks an index that shifts exposure based on the yield of the ten top world currencies — the G10.

With DBV, you’ll have the equivalent of a long position in the three highest-yielding G10 currencies and a short position in the three lowest-yielding G10 currencies.

If you know anything about hedge funds, you probably recognize this as the so-called “carry trade.” Put simply, it’s borrowing at low interest rates and using the loan to buy higher yielding assets elsewhere. It was an easy way to make big bucks for years. But those managers had their heads handed to them in 2008.

Now it’s beginning to look like the carry trade may start to work again. If it does, DBV is an easy way for you to get access to the same strategy millionaire hedge fund investors are using.

There you have it: Six ETFs to help you get in on the world’s currency markets. However, more than two dozen other currency ETFs and ETNs are now available. Unfortunately I don’t have room here to give you the whole list, but they aren’t hard to find. Look around and you’ll see many ways to get out of the greenback — or bet on its recovery.

Best wishes,

Ron

This investment news is brought to you by Money and Markets . Money and Markets is a free daily investment newsletter from Martin D. Weiss and Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil. Dr. Weiss is a leader in the fields of investing, interest rates, financial safety and economic forecasting. To view archives or subscribe, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com .

Money and Markets Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in