Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, June 23, 2021
Could Bitcoin Price CRASH Target A Bottom Below $7500? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Bitcoin has followed our Excess Phase Peak breakdown pattern almost perfectly. Each phase of any Excess Phase Peak is important to understand as it relates to other asset classes. For example, as an asset, like Bitcoin, begins a Excess Phase breakdown in trend, other assets will likely follow along. The psychological impact of a major decline can often result in traders also expecting breakdown events in various other asset classes.
Before we begin to go into deeper detail regarding this Excess Phase Peak setup in Bitcoin, I suggest taking a minute or two to review our earlier research posts related to this pattern: How To Spot The End Of An Excess Phase – Part I November 25, 2020; How To Spot The End Of An Excess Phase – Part II November 27, 2020; and, Bitcoin Completes Phase #3 Of Excess Phase Top Pattern – What Next May 20, 2021. As this breakdown continues to unfold, we want to warn you that other asset classes (as mentioned above) may follow this trend as trader/investor psychology often impacts future expectations/trends across the globe.
If traders suddenly develop an expectation that the recent price rally in the global markets is at risk of failing, or that the downtrend in Bitcoin may have broader implications across other assets, we may see a bigger rotation in the global markets throughout the rest or 2021 (and beyond).
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Wednesday, June 23, 2021
Bitcoin and cryptos: Your 'long-term investment'? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: EWI
Hi reader,
Bitcoin fell some 12% to start the week, and you may be wondering:
"Is this FINALLY my moment to buy?"
You're not alone. In early June, over 12,000 crypto fans visited Miami to take part in "Bitcoin 2021," the largest Bitcoin event in the world. Although it took place with Bitcoin trading near $30K, half of where it was in April, the enthusiasm for the King of Cryptos was palpable.
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Tuesday, June 22, 2021
USDT Ponzi Scheme FINAL WARNING To EXIT Before Tether Collapses Crypto Exchange Markets / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Tether, TETHER is a Ponzi Scheme! Backed probably by less than 3% of actual US Dollars that it's fake paper trail suggest its backed up, which has allowed TETHER to print over $62 billion to date and thus provides the vast majority of volume for the worlds crypto exchanges such as Binance who alone has $17 billion USDY sloshing around in their exchange allowing transactions to take place, vested interests in his Ponzi scheme with bot's busy buying and selling USDT to ensure the price does not deviate from $1 supposed pegged value else the game would be up and Tether would collapse towards zero and along with it so would the crypto markets. Therefore it is not a question of IF Tether will collapse but rather WHEN which could be imminent, therefore take this as your FINAL warning to GET OUT of Tether before it is too late!
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Sunday, June 20, 2021
How Binance SCAMs Crypto Traders with UP DOWN Coins, Futures, Options and Leverage - Don't Get Bogdanoffed! / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
BINANCE the is the ultimate crypto trading and investing platform, loads of pairs, great charts, very low commission fee of 0.1%, easy to deposit without incurring a FEE
Compare this to the coinbase garbage that charges 3.8% just to get cash onto account, and then 0.5% per trade so that is 4.3% for your first crypto trade! Coinbase appears to be designed to extract funds from customers via high commission fees
So what's the problem, why am I then doing this video warning about Binance? Find out why before you get Bogdanoffed!
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Saturday, June 19, 2021
Investing in the Tulip Crypto Mania 2021 / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is part 1 of an extensive full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets, of what I expect to happen over the next 6 months in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets where Stable Coins such as USDT are what could be imminent catalysts for.
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Saturday, June 19, 2021
Cryptos: What the "Bizarre" World of Non-Fungible Tokens May Be Signaling / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: EWI
The world of cryptos includes something known as non-fungible tokens, which go by the acronym NFTs.
If you're unfamiliar with them, they're a bit bizarre but quite simple. Here's what the April Global Market Perspective, a monthly Elliott Wave International publication which covers 50+ worldwide financial markets, noted:
Investors' manic behavior has expanded to include non-fungible tokens, paying large sums of money for essentially a picture of something.
Getting more detailed, "a non-fungible token is a unique identification code that is affixed to a [digital] asset using blockchain to distinguish it from all other [digital] assets."
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Friday, June 18, 2021
STABLE COINS PONZI Crypto SCAM WARNING! Iron Titan CRASH to ZERO! Exit USDT While You Can! / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Don't be fooled! Stable coins are NOT STABLE as what just happened to Iron Finances Titan Token that is supposed to be pegged to the US Dollar but instead was pegged to thin air, collapsing from $65 to ZERO in just 1 day! Think it can not happen to the likes of USDT, USDC, or BUSD thing again! Hopefully this is a wake up call for all who hold these so called stable coins of what can happen something that I have been warning of for several weeks Whilst my latest in-depth covers all aspects of the crypto markets - Bitcoin Bear Market Trend Forecast 2021 and Model Crypto Portfolio Buying Levels.
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Tuesday, June 15, 2021
USDX: The Cleanest Shirt Among the Dirty Laundry / Currencies / US Dollar
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The precious metals seem to be ready for vacation deep dives, but all signs indicate that the USDX will stay on the side of the pool, perfectly dry.
The USD Index (USDX)
With the USD Index washing away its sins in recent weeks, the greenback has recorded five daily rallies of more than 0.40% since May 26. And with the up days growing stronger and the down days growing weaker, the change in the trend will be clear to more and more traders, which eventually would likely cause a shift in the sentiment. Case in point: while gold, silver and mining stocks are looking forward to their summer vacations (deep dives seem to be in the vacation plans, especially given today’s pre-market ~$20 decline in gold) , the USD Index has been hard at work rehabbing its reputation. And with the U.S. dollar easily the cleanest shirt among the currency basket of dirty laundry, the smell of fresh linen has begun to pique investors’ interest.
Monday, June 14, 2021
The Bitcoin Crime Wave Hits / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: EWI
The conviction gripping bitcoin's ascendancy is so deep that children are now being indoctrinated into the bullish fold. We talked about this phenomenon with respect to the stock market last month. This Bloomberg column from May 16 signals its arrival in the cryptocurrency world: "Why I Pay My Seventh Grader in Bitcoin." The columnist claims he wants his "kids to be able to think independently about money" and "feel the full spectrum of feelings that money induces." Sure, why not feel the burn of the real world? Besides, the big kids are doing it, too. According to MarketWatch, "As Bitcoin and Dogecoin Plummet, College Students" are "Going Long on Crypto." According to a survey by College Finance, "more than 60% of college students and recent graduates see crypto as a long-term investment."
In April, EWFF showed two magazine covers' positive portrayal of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. We labeled it bearish for bitcoin's immediate prospects. Last month, we added that bitcoin's "Great Arrival" into the "mainstream" of finance confirmed this forecast. One of the signals of cryptocurrencies' acceptance into the financial establishment was Coinbase Global Inc.'s emergence as a publicly traded company. On May 19, with bitcoin down more than 53% from its high, Bloomberg observed the following about the premier cryptocurrency trading platform:
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Friday, June 11, 2021
Coinbase vs Binance for Bitcoin, Ethereum Crypto Trading & Investing During Bear Market 2021 / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
To profit from the post crypto mania bubble top crash bear market has me seeking deposit thousands of pounds onto exchanges to buy crypto's when cheap, two of the foremost exchanges are Coinbase and Binance, where unfortunately Coinbase is a big fat fail, is it goes out of its what to extract funds from customers that results in a piece of garbage trading and investing platform which is set against Binance, which actually swings too far in the other direction, making it far too easy for newcomers to trade on margin, and even options! But of the two as this video demonstrates Binance is the clear winner. What's more you can get 10% Discount on Binance transaction fees by signing up with his code LZ728VLZ or following this link https://www.binance.com/en/register?ref=LZ728VLZ
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Sunday, June 06, 2021
Why Tether USDT, Stable Scam Coins Could COLLAPSE the Crypto Markets - Black Swan 2021 / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
To get my crypto bear market investing ball rolling I recently opened an account with Binance (10% trading fees discount). Deposited £3600 sterling that I quickly converted into USDT so as to initiate my initial limit orders on mainly BTC and ETH, aiming to add more funds and limit orders over the next few weeks. Unfortunately, on taking a closer look at USDT Tether stable coin which probably holds true for all so called stable coins is that they are NOT backed 1 for 1 by that which they seek to represent i.e. from what I have gleaned at best USDT is backed by 75% of dollar 'safeish' assets with most of the remaining 25% may not even exist i.e. PRINTED MONEY! Likely to cover losses incurred to date such as the $800 million USDT's parent company lost some years ago etc,. So USDT's true value is somewhere between 15% and 25% LESS than that of the US Dollar given it's actual reserves, more in my recent video on this subject.
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Friday, June 04, 2021
Bitcoin and Ravencoin Cryptos CRASH Bear Market Buying Levels Price Targets / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst my in-depth analysis is pending completion, however I have been flagging for several months that the crypto's are in a bubble that will burst / crash / plunge enter into a bear market for which we received a taste of what to expect a few days ago. So my message and strategy has been NOT to hold any meaningful amount of crypto i.e. the only crypto I have is what I have mined with a couple of existing desktop PC's and even then most of the funds generated (80%) have been SPENT because I know that the price of most of not all crypto's is going to head a lot lower.
So in response to patron requests and in advance of my more in-depth analysis on the crypto space that is about 50% complete, then here are the approx range of buying levels that I have had penciled in for Bitcoin for sometime of where I would be tempted to look at actually buying Bitcoin with fiat, though attempts to fund my Coinbase account with fiat has so far failed but I will leave that for my next analysis.
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Monday, May 31, 2021
Is CHIA a Crypto Scam for $100 Billion Stock IPO? STOP Farming / Plotting CHIA NOW! / Currencies / Crypto Mining
By: Nadeem_Walayat
CHIA the so called GREEN crypto that is fast gobbling up all available hard disk storage space with many hundreds of thousands busily farming away 100gb plots in attempts to win the elusive CHIA coins that has in the past couple of weeks commanded prices as high as $1600 per coin so very enticing to sucker in many crypto enthusiasts into it's event horizon including me! Though I soon realised after a weeks farming / plotting that the chances of winning were virtually ZERO, so I stopped plotting Chia on the 14th of May which is where my plot count has remained static at 142 or 14tb of storage used as the maths does not stack up! Furthermore 2 weeks on my decision to stop farming proved correct as the ponzi game that CHIA is has become apparent, one of a mass of unfarmed Chia coins that will go into an IPO, CHIA INC, so as to get the fools on Wall Street to plow upwards of $100 billion into in valuation terms thus allowing the CHIA insiders to cash out with billions all without selling a single CHIA coin!
Meanwhile the suckers, that's you are expected to keep expanding that network space so that the CHIA IPO can carry the greatest value. Anyone who feeds the network space with their hard drives is a fool who has fallen prey to the CHIA Crypto scam that I am sure in years to will come to be investigated by the likes of 60 minutes and Panorama in the UK.
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Saturday, May 29, 2021
Bitcoin and Ravencoin Cryptos CRASH Bear Market Price Targets / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst my in-depth analysis is pending completion, however I have been flagging for several months that the crypto's are in a bubble that will burst / crash / plunge enter into a bear market for which we received a taste of what to expect a few days ago. So my message and strategy has been NOT to hold any meaningful amount of crypto i.e. the only crypto I have is what I have mined with a couple of existing desktop PC's and even then most of the funds generated (80%) have been SPENT because I know that the price of most of not all crypto's is going to head a lot lower.
So in response to patron requests and in advance of my more in-depth analysis on the crypto space that is about 50% complete, then here are the approx range of buying levels that I have had penciled in for Bitcoin for sometime of where I would be tempted to look at actually buying Bitcoin with fiat, though attempts to fund my Coinbase account with fiat has so far failed but I will leave that for my next analysis.
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Saturday, May 29, 2021
Bitcoin: Here's the "$64,000 Question" / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: EWI
Will the cryptocurrency ever trade at its all-time again?
In the 1950s television game show, "The $64,000 Question," contestants answered general knowledge questions and the money they could earn doubled as questions became more difficult.
The show's title spawned the well-known phrase -- "that's the $64,000 question" -- which, as you probably know, means the crucial question which gets to the heart of a matter.
Well, "the $64,000 question" for bitcoin is: Will the cryptocurrency ever trade at its all-time of $64,899 again (which was reached on April 14 of this year)?
This is a top-of-mind question for many bitcoin investors who've seen the cryptocurrency bounce back from every "correction" since the start of its meteoric rise.
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Friday, May 28, 2021
CPU Crypto Mining Profitability! 5950x Ethereum with Nicehash, is it worth it to mine for Bitcoins? / Currencies / Crypto Mining
By: HGR
Crypto mania is reaching new heights with the likes of Bitcoin trading to over $60,000 before the recent slump, which means virtually anyone with a decent ebough GPU in their PC can make money from their very own desktop computers. However what about your CPU, can that too make money to maximise income crypto craze? Can cpus generate enough hash rates to make them profitable as virtually all modern GPUs are?
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Thursday, May 27, 2021
Bitcoin: More Volatility Directly Ahead? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: EWI
Here's how Elliott wave analysis helps you prepare for cryptocurrency volatility
If there's a single word to describe bitcoin's price action, that word is "volatile."
Yet, those who invested roughly a year ago in the cryptocurrency -- and stuck with it -- have been hugely rewarded. (At least until very recently, as bitcoin traded more than 50% lower from its all-time high on May 19, as the price careened nearly 30% at one point on that day alone.)
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Monday, May 24, 2021
US Dollar Breaks Below 90 – Continue To Confirm Depreciation Cycle Phase / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Chris_Vermeulen
If you’ve been following my recent research posts, you already know my research team and I are expecting some very big volatility and trends in the US and global markets over the next 12 to 48 months.
The US Dollar Index fell below a critical support level above 90 recently. This move lower after attempting to bottom in early 2021 suggests our broad Appreciation/Depreciation cycle phase research is continuing to play out. This means we should start to prepare for bigger trends, more volatility, and the potential for broad market price rotation over the next few years. You can read about our Appreciation/Depreciation cycle phase research entitled Long Term Gold/US Dollar Cycles Show Big Trends For Metals and Metals Rally Early In 2021.
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Saturday, May 22, 2021
How to Withdraw from Nicehash to Coinbase Bitcoin BTC Wallet or to Any Hard Wallet / Currencies / Crypto Mining
By: HGR
Nicehash suspended easy direct withdrawals to Coinbase just before the halted all withdrawals which they have not resumed. This video shows you to transfer your BTC out of Nicehash to Coinbase or any other hard wallet or service. Follow the steps in this video to easily get your BTC off of Nicehash in case they Suspend withdrawals AGAIN!
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Saturday, May 22, 2021
DXY Weakness: Are You in A Crowded Commodities Trade? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Submissions
Have you been long commodities like agriculture or oil? The US Dollar has continued to weaken, but is this trade getting a little long in the tooth?
Happy Hump Day, folks. Here are some quick facts: The US dollar has been in a steep downtrend since late March. The most recent CPI print in the US was a monster. The Fed has continued with the “lower for longer” theme. The Biden administration is looking to spend trillions upon trillions with no clear path for repayment, and it doesn’t seem to matter. Has the short dollar/long commodities trade gotten “too easy"?
The answer is yes, or at least most likely. Some steam will have to come out at some point. I’m not setting off any immediate alarm bells here and don't care to theorize on whether inflation is indeed transitory, as the Fed states. However, when a trade theme has that much going for it, for so long, in leveraged markets, it usually ends suddenly or at least experiences a snapback. Just some food for thought.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) can give us some clues.
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