Category: Gold & Silver 2019
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, June 28, 2019
Gold Clearly Reverses at Consolidation’s Upper Border / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Quite a few journalists wrote about gold’s breakout in the previous days even though gold made an attempt to break above the key resistance – the mid-2013 high – only today (and it failed). At the same time, when the gold to silver ratio was breaking out in a clear way, many journalists ignored that and emphasized the importance of the resistance at hand. Either way, the focus was not on what was really going on, but on trying to make the reality fit the bullish case for gold. After all, “gold people” have to be bullish on gold all the time, right? Wrong – those, who want their clients to succeed need to stay focused on what is likely to happen based on objective, cold logic and facts, instead of chasing the emotions of the day. And what do the facts tell us?
We have a twofold purpose in highlighting the pitfalls of permabullish emotionality. The first one is to show you how acting on emotions in investing backfires – gold rallied temporarily above $1,440 and in today’s pre-market trading, declined to almost $1,400. And it doesn’t seem that the decline is over. The second one is that we want to emphasize that there is almost nobody else in the gold analysis business that saw that the real resistance and the upper border of the long-term consolidation pattern in gold is at the mid-2013 highs. Many others cheered as gold moved above the previous – less important – highs, and they wrote about a major breakout in gold. These were breakouts, but not the key ones and nothing to call home about given that the highest of the relatively close highs remained unbroken. Please remember the above as gold moves to lower prices. Please also remember that we are writing right now that we will see gold below $1,200 well before we’ll see it above $1,500.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 27, 2019
Silver Price Will Pause Before Going Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Silver will likely find resistance near $15.60 and move slightly lower before another upside price leg takes place. Both gold and silver have begun incredible price rallies over the past 10+ days and we believe this is just the start of a much bigger price trend.
We believe Silver, to be one of the absolute best potential trades and investment. It will likely pause just below $15.75, near the First Resistance level, rotate a bit lower (possibly towards $15.15), then attempt another rally towards the $16.50 level.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 27, 2019
Precious Metals Expert Rick Rule Shares 'Gold Nuggets of Wisdom' / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: The_Gold_Report
Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable and Rick Rule of Sprott USA engage in a wide-ranging discussion covering Pareto's law, the importance of courage and conviction in investment, copper, mentors and the upcoming Sprott Natural Resource Symposium
Maurice Jackson: Joining us for conversation is legendary investor Rick Rule of Sprott USA. Mr. Rule, welcome to the show. In our interview last month, we addressed a number of topics regarding where and what Sprott USA is focusing their attention on in the natural resource space. And at the conclusion of the interview, Rick, you stated that we should discuss Pareto's law, which is known as the 80/20 law. But you put an interesting perspective on the law that I had not considered. Mr. Rule, expand the narrative on Pareto's law and please introduce us to the concept of the 4%.
Rick Rule: Sure. And actually I'll take a little further than that with your permission. Most people have heard of the 80/20 principle, which suggests that in any sort of major field of human endeavor, 20% of the people engaged in that activity generate 80% of the utility. In other words, 20% of the people do 80% of the work.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 27, 2019
Bonds and Stocks vs Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Richard_Mills
North American stock markets continued to rise on Friday, as more investors took the opportunity to jump into equities on the back of a clear signal from the US Federal Reserve that interest rates are likely heading down. The S&P 500 hit a new record on Thursday, finishing 249 points higher, or 0.9%, to 2,954.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) concluded on Wednesday that it will leave the federal funds rate unchanged, in the 2.25% to 2.5% range. Importantly however, the Fed dropped its pledge to be “patient” on a widely anticipated rate cut, meaning it could be poised to act. Also, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stopped referring to below-target 1.8% inflation as “transient”. Persistent inflation under 2% is a strong prompt for the Fed to raise interest rates, since part of its mandate is to keep inflation at the 2% sweet spot.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 27, 2019
The Gold Asteroid That Could Make Everyone On Earth A Billionaire / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: OilPrice_Com
Whether it was the Big Bang, Midas or God himself, we don’t really need to unlock the mystery of the origins of gold when we’ve already identified an asteroid worth $700 quintillion in precious heavy metals.
If anything launches this metals mining space race, it will be this asteroid--Psyche 16, taking up residence between Mars and Jupiter and carrying around enough heavy metals to net every single person on the planet close to a trillion dollars.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 27, 2019
GOLD to Fall 10% as Dollar at Support / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Submissions
GOLD has been rising sharply and has hit 1430 highs. Much of the move is on the back of apparent news that central banks are buying Gold.
Falling interest rates (and a weaker dollar) also explain the recent surge into gold. Renewed interest in gold usually happens when investors are looking for alternatives to stocks and bonds (as well as global currencies). Which suggests that they may be losing confidence in the global economy. And reducing exposure to riskier smaller stocks; while prospecting in safer havens like gold.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 26, 2019
Silver Short-Term Trend Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The short-term chart shows an accumulation zone of between $14 and $15, with upper trading zones of $15 to £16.30 and then $16.30 to $17.50. Thus a breakout above $15 would target $16 and then $17.50. Whilst the downside is limited to about $14.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 26, 2019
Gold Continuing To Breakout But Is A Correction Due? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Chris Vermeulen, Founder of The Technical Traders joins me to a close look into gold – what’s driving the move, what the technicals are saying about this fast move higher, and if a correction is due. We also look at the gold stocks, silver, and USD all within the context of gold.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 26, 2019
Gold Jumps Above $1,400 after Dovish Fed / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Last week was definitely hot. Both major central banks adopted a more dovish stance. Gold reacted positively, jumping above $1,400. What has changed, and what has not? How close are we to an actual rate cut, not only to the speculation of getting one for sure on the next Fed meeting? How will gold like it?
Doves Are Strong Within the Fed
The dovish shift was surprising. Maybe not the direction, but the scale for sure. After all, the GDP is steadily growing, while the unemployment rate is at record lows. While inflation is below the target, it is still above 1.5 percent. Why would the Fed lower the federal funds rate in such positive macroeconomic conditions?
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 26, 2019
After This Confirmation Gold Prices Will Rise Fast / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Hubert_Moolman
A while ago, I wrote about a coming confirmation of the multi-year gold bull market. It has taken longer than expected, but that signal has now arrived, and the bull is very much confirmed.
Here is a gold chart indicating that very important signal
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 26, 2019
Has Gold Price Broken Out Or Not? Technicals And Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Kelsey_Williams
A casual glance at the latest short term chart for GLD would tend to support the notion that, yes, gold has decidedly broken out of its trading range and is headed higher.
Below is a two-year chart of GLD (bigcharts.marketwatch.com) …
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 25, 2019
Gold Price Trend Forcast to End September 2019 - Video / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the final article in this Gold analysis series that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price into Late September 2019 :
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 25, 2019
Will Silver Soon Follow Gold’s Lead? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Gold prices have broken out of a massive multi-year consolidation pattern to the upside. That suggests the possibility of a massive multi-year rally ahead!
To be sure, there is also the possibility of some retracing and back-testing this summer before the $1,400 level is conquered for good.
The fall and winter periods are typically more conducive to big precious metals rallies.
Seasonality, however, isn’t a dependable trading tool. Some technical analysts (who will go unnamed here) wrongly turned bearish on gold and gold stocks after they put in a disappointing early spring performance and were thought to be headed straight into the summer doldrums.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 24, 2019
Gold’s Century - While stocks dominated headlines, gold quietly performed / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Michael_J_Kosares
“For twelve consecutive years, gold was up every single year whether there were inflation fears, deflation fears; strong dollar, weak dollar; political stability, political instability. It didn’t matter – strong oil, weak oil. . . Gold went up for twelve years. . . When gold embarks upon its next move, I believe that you will see that long wave take gold relatively quickly, but it will be measured in years, up to a $3000 to $5000 target that I believe is fundamentally justified based on the facts we have today.” –– Thomas Kaplan, Electrum Group (Bloomberg’s Peer to Peer Conversations with David Rubinstein)
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 23, 2019
The Gold Market Manipulation Theory / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Rambus_Chartology
’ve always said that gold built out one of the most beautiful bull markets of all time between the 2001 low and 2011 high. From a Chartology perspective it just doesn’t get any better. During the bull market years I called this weekly bar chart, “JUST ANOTHER BRICK IN THE WALL, because each consolidation pattern marked another brick in the wall.
The reason I’m posting this chart tonight is because we could be embarking on a similar bull market starting at the 2001 low. Take a minute and put yourself back at the 2001 low not knowing what lies ahead. As gold began to rally the first thing one would look for in a new bull market is a consolidation pattern which gold produced in 2002 that was the blue triangle. Once the price action broke out of that small blue triangle the next impulse began confirming the new bull market. From that point one had to believe in the Chartology that the major trend was up until a new lower low was put in place. As long as each consolidation pattern was followed by an impulse move up the bull market remained intact, rinse and repeat.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 23, 2019
Why are Central Banks Buying Gold and Dumping Dollars? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Richard_Mills
The US Federal Reserve, the country’s central bank, did what many expected on Wednesday, and held interest rates steady, while signaling that a rate cut is on its way.
Despite pressure from President Trump to lower interest rates, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) concluded after a two-day meeting that it will stay pat for now, meaning no change to the 2.25% to 2.5% range on the federal funds rate. Nine of 10 FOMC members voted to keep rates unchanged.
Language here is important. The Fed reportedly dropped its pledge to be “patient” on widely anticipated rate cuts, meaning it could be poised to act. Also, Reuters said, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stopped referring to below-target inflation as “transient”.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 22, 2019
Eye on Key USD Support and Implications for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is worth watching closely today, with important implications for Gold.
The DXY is pressing on key support at 96.40/50. This represents the June 7 pullback low as well as the 200 DMA, the Sep 2018-Present support line, and the major up trendline off of the Feb 2018 low at 88.25, which initiated the up-leg to the April 2019 high at 98.33.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 21, 2019
Gold Bull Market Breaking Out! / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold finally surged to new bull-market highs this week! Several years after its last bull high, gold punched through vexing resistance after the Fed continued capitulating on ever normalizing. This huge milestone changes everything for gold and its miners’ stocks, unleashing new-high psychology fueling self-feeding buying. With speculators not yet all-in and investors wildly underdeployed, gold has room to power much higher.
Gold momentum has certainly been building for a major upside breakout. Back in mid-April with gold still near $1300, I wrote an essay describing the “Gold-Bull Breakout Potential” and why it was finally coming. Then a couple weeks ago with gold in the $1330s, I published another one analyzing “Gold Surges Near Breakout”. For several years higher lows had slowly compressed gold ever closer to surging over resistance.
Today’s gold bull was first born back in mid-December 2015 the day after the Fed’s initial rate hike in its just-abandoned tightening cycle. Gold’s maiden upleg was massive, rocketing 29.9% higher in just 6.7 months to $1365 in early July 2016! But that first high-water mark has proven impregnable over the 3.0 years since. Gold tried and failed to break out in 2017, 2018, and 2019, repelled near a $1350 Maginot Line.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 21, 2019
Post-FOMC Commentary: Delusions of Grandeur / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Michael Ballanger reacts to today's Federal Open Market Committee meeting. To the surprise of the many and the chagrin of the few, the Fed opted to do nothing with policy today and left rates unchanged despite clarion calls for a cut. As I wrote about earlier, there was (and is) zero rationale for a rate cut, what with GDP humming along and the best employment numbers in fifty years (if you believe them). Stocks moved higher despite several attempts at profit-taking, but that was no surprise because the Fed wanted to make damn certain the response to the statement and the ensuing presser would be a positive outcome.
The victims were bond yields (lower) and the U.S. dollar (lower), but the S&P rose 8.71 (0.30%), while gold had at its highest close for 2019 at $1,364.45. The lower U.S. dollar contributed to the advance in the metals, but we are still caught in a resistance quagmire between $1,350 and $1,375, with the relative strength index (RSI) screaming "Overbought!" after an $80 advance.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 21, 2019
Gold Scores Gains as Draghi and Powel Grow Concerned / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Super Mario delivered a surprisingly dovish speech. But he was shortly outshined by Super Jerome. Both key central banks have sent new signals to the markets for interpretation. Let’s read the tea leaves and make sense of the initial reaction in the gold market.
Draghi Repeats ‘Whatever it Takes’ In a Mini Version
As we covered one week ago in the Gold News Monitor, the ECB became more dovish on the June monetary policy meeting. The central bank postponed the possible beginning of the interest rate hiking from the end of 2019 to the mid-2020.
Our assessment was that “the European central bankers are getting more worried about the state of the Eurozone economy and may adopt an even more dovish stance in the near future.” It turned out we were right. We did not have to wait too long for a more forceful signal from the ECB. On Tuesday, Mario Draghi delivered a mini ‘whatever it takes’ speech at the annual conference in Sintra, Portugal. He said:
Read full article... Read full article...