Category: Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Friday, July 25, 2014
More Weakness Ahead for Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
No pain, no gain. That is one comment regarding this seemingly terminal bottoming process in the precious metals complex. Multiple times as soon as conditions have strengthened enough for us to anticipate a breakout, the miners have put in a bearish reversal. At the same time, the metals and especially Gold have failed to gain any real traction. Throughout the past year we’ve been looking for that final low in Gold but it has eluded us multiple times. The recent reversal in the gold and silver miners coupled with a continued technical downtrend in Gold suggests that more pain is coming before sustained gain.
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Thursday, July 24, 2014
Three Reasons Why Gold Price and Gold Stocks Will Rise / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
It's hard to see the present until it's in the past. What does this mean for gold? Money managers Doug Loud and Jeff Mosseri of Greystone Asset Management say that a bull market may have already begun. All the signs are there: rising political tension, a shortage of new supply and a cull of the weakest stocks. In this interview with The Gold Report, Loud and Mosseri list a dozen gold, silver and copper companies that should ride the crest of the wave.
The Gold Report: Over two days, July 14 and 15, the price of gold fell over $40 per ounce ($40/oz), more than 3% of its value. To what do you attribute this drop?
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Wednesday, July 23, 2014
HUI Gold Bugs Fighting To Break Downtrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Cooooeee! That's the sound of the HUI Gold Bug bulls trying to find other bulls to push the price a little higher in order to break the downtrend. But the landscape appears desolate. The bulls don't seem to be stepping up when the going gets tough. Currently, price is tantalisingly short of the previous major swing high. Let's take a look at the daily chart to see what I'm talking about.
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Friday, July 18, 2014
Will Gold Price Drag Down the Mining Stocks? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
We know that the gold and silver stocks lead the metals at key turning points. The stocks started their bear market well ahead of Gold. This year the stocks have exhibited excellent relative strength. Gold and Silver are up less than 10% this year while GDX is up 27% and GDXJ is up 43%. In recent days GDX and GDXJ reached 10-month highs relative to Gold. SIL hit a 10-month high relative to Silver while SILJ, the silver juniors hit an 18-month high against Silver. The outlook for the miners remains positive but the miners are awaiting and need more strength from Gold.
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Thursday, July 17, 2014
Silver Price Up Trend an Mining Stock Investor's Friend / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
An upward trend is afoot in the silver space, says Sean Rakhimov, editor of SilversStrategies.com. Rakhimov believes that at $26/ounce the reversal of the downward trend in silver will be confirmed and silver investors should set their sights on the next resistance level—$32/ounce. And if that threshold is breached, silver will test $50/ounce and more. In this interview with The Gold Report, Rakhimov talks about a few silver miners that are well positioned to ride this trend perhaps several multiples higher.
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Thursday, July 10, 2014
Gold and Silver Stocks: It's Old Turkey Time! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Those familiar with Jesse Livermore and the book Reminiscences of a Stock Operator know who Old Turkey is. He was Mr. Partridge, an old trader who dispensed great wisdom in few words. Those at the office nicknamed him Turkey because of the way in which he strutted around with his chest puffed out. Livermore gleaned wisdom from Old Turkey which included the importance of never losing one's position and placing the utmost importance on the major trend. "It's a bull market," he often repeated. Precious metals shares are breaking out again after a brief consolidation. It's time to channel your inner Old Turkey, realize this is a bull market and act accordingly.
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Thursday, July 10, 2014
Gold and Silver Miners The Beginning of the End! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
I think today's price action marks a very important confirmation point in the precious metals stock indexes, at least for the intermediate to longer term outlook. Finally, after a year of chopping around in small up and down moves, we are starting to get some confirmation that this one year trading range is indeed a reversal pattern and not a consolidation pattern. When a big patterns like this ends is when you get the big impulse moves which is where you make the real money.
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Thursday, July 10, 2014
Keys to Successful Gold Stock Picking / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Chris Mancini, an analyst with the Gabelli Gold Fund, spends his days finding value in gold equities—and he thinks he's found a recipe for success. Take a long-term outlook, add excellent management, fold in a great project in a quality jurisdiction with low-cost minable ounces in the ground at a huge discount to the spot price—et voila! Mancini calls this "optionality" and in this interview with The Gold Report he says that equities with optionality will not only survive the downturn but also provide excellent leverage to an inevitable upward move in the gold price. Check out some rising names in the Gabelli Gold Fund.
The Gold Report: Cash has flown out of gold funds and into non-gold equities during this bear run in gold. What's the current Gabelli Gold Fund pitch to investors?
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Wednesday, July 09, 2014
Gold Metals and Miners Bull Market Point of Recognition / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
I think that the Metals and Miners Bull Market has just began and we are very close to the point of recognition of a new bull market which should give us an idea of what to expect going forward. As we have already seen in the past the first phase of a bull market is frustrating as many investors usually lose their positions too early and are therefore often left behind. This is how bull market works. Charts are telling me that Metals and Miners are on the verge of a massive breakout which could be the point of recognition of a new cyclical bull market.
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Thursday, July 03, 2014
Top Junior Gold Producer / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
The Timmins gold district is by far the most productive within Canada’s prolific Abitibi greenstone belt. It has produced in the neighborhood of 70m ounces of gold, and operations are still going strong. Namesake mining company Timmins Gold is forecasting 2014 output of 120k ounces, making it one of North America’s top junior gold producers. But provocatively not one of Timmins’ ounces is coming from within the Timmins district.
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Friday, June 27, 2014
Record Gold Stocks Summer? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Gold stocks have defied the odds to blast higher in the early summer doldrums. Investors have flocked back in recent weeks, their heavy buying driving record June-to-date gains. If this newfound momentum continues, gold stocks have the potential to achieve a record summer. With their exceptionally-bullish technicals this is certainly possible, but remains a tall order unless gold’s rare summer rally resumes.
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Friday, June 27, 2014
Gold Miners Nearing Strong Monthly and Quarterly Close / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
The gold and silver miners have cooled off in recent days after a red-hot start to the summer. Could this cool off be the start of another move lower or a pause before another leg higher?
We continue to be bullish and a new reason is the sudden strength in the monthly and even quarterly charts. For larger or developing trends, monthly charts supersede weekly charts, which supersede daily charts. With only two days left, the gold and silver miners are poised to end the month and quarter with their strength intact.
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Thursday, June 26, 2014
A Cold Hard Look at The Big Cap Precious Metals Stock Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
In today’s report I would like to take a good hard unbiased look at some of the big cap precious metals stocks that have been in rally mode since the first of June. This rally has been pretty impressive so far but is it the real thing? Last night I showed you some charts on the GDM going from the 60 minute short term look to a year and a half look that showed the two big patterns we have in place right now, the falling flag and the inverse H&S bottom. Tonight I would like to follow up with some big cap PM stocks, on the 60 minute chart and the bigger long term chart charts, that have their own respective year long trading ranges.
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Monday, June 23, 2014
Gold Stocks HUI..What If ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
What a difference two weeks can make in the precious metals markets. Going from a confirmed downtrend to an uptrend, at least on the short term basis, was rather swift and didn’t leave much time for one to reverse direction to get back in sync with the new uptrend. At this time the rally is still in its infancy as there is more work to do but there are some positive things taking place, over the last two weeks, that could show us a major turning point maybe taking place in the precious metals sector. As always it’s one step at a time with each step confirming or not confirming the price action. In this Weekend Report I would like to look at the HUI to see how things have changed over the last two weeks. With that being said the first thing we need to see is a higher low to even consider an uptrend is taking place.
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Saturday, June 21, 2014
Cheap Gold Stocks Breaking Out / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Gold stocks have surged dramatically in recent weeks, defying the odds to catch a serious bid. Extreme bearishness still plagues this sector, which is certainly the most despised in all the stock markets. So why are investors returning? The universally-hated gold stocks are absurdly cheap, easily the greatest bargains anywhere. And after a long year of basing, they are finally breaking out relative to the gold price.
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Saturday, June 21, 2014
Gold Stocks 2014 Winning Surprise! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Half of 2014 is nearly behind us, and little is turning out as popularly expected. That is unless one was watching development of the past year with an unbiased view. As can be observed in the following chart, the GDX, a Gold stock ETF, has been a stellar performer thus far this year. The return on that ETF has far exceeded that widely available in most of the equity markets, and certainly far more than the NASDAQ, a market filled with Techno/Junk. Part of the reason for that stellar performance is that $Gold, Agri-Food Prices, and oil have all staged nice rallies based on strong demand, which was certainly not anticipated by most of the investment community.
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Thursday, June 19, 2014
Gold Stocks CDNX Wild and Whacky History / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
The first chart I would like to show you is the BPGDM that shows you what percent of the big cap PM stocks are on a buy signal using the point & figure chart. After trading sideways for most of June the BPGDM finally gave a buy signal yesterday after being whipsawed several times lately. To get a buy signal you need to have the BPGDM trading higher than the 5 dma and the 5 dma trading higher than the 8 dma. We now have that.
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Wednesday, June 18, 2014
Gold Summer Heat (?) / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
From the HRA Journal: Issue 215:
Read full article... Read full article...Ok, it could be another head fake (there have been plenty) but the latest move in the gold stocks looks strong enough to be the real thing, even though its just begun.
If it is it will represent a very different outcome for the sector though the summer than most are expecting. Of course that is the thing about markets. They have a disconcerting habit of doing precisely what most traders don't expect.
Friday, June 13, 2014
Gold and Silver Stocks Begin Next Leg Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Yes you read that correctly. The miners have begun another leg higher because the evidence strongly supports the view that they have formed a higher low. Only time will tell for sure but the evidence is quite strong. It seems that every analyst was calling for a July low. I felt strongly that the miners would make their next low after Gold broke below $1200. I was far more confident in the bullish case at the June 2013 and December 2013 bottoms. I was even skeptical after Tuesday’s upside explosion. However, the weight of the evidence today argues that the miners have made a higher low and are starting their next leg higher.
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Thursday, June 12, 2014
Gold Junior Miners Breaking Through Resistance to The Upside / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
The gold (GLD) and silver (SLV) price may be reversing over the next couple of weeks. The junior miner gold ETF (GDXJ) is reversing above the 50 day moving average and breaking above its recent three month downtrend.Read full article... Read full article...