Category: Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Friday, August 15, 2014
Gold and Silver Price Consolidation Before Fateful September / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Why could September be fateful for the precious metals complex? First, consider its history within the current secular bull market. The years 2005, 2007, 2009 and 2010 have seen very important breakouts in either or both Gold and gold stocks in the month of September. Conversely, September marked important peaks in 2008 as well as in each of the past three years! Currently, Gold and more so the gold miners are consolidating their recent gains just below very important resistance. This consolidation figures to end before the end of September which means September will produce another important inflection point.
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Thursday, August 14, 2014
Gold and Silver Miners that Can Make Money Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
As much as we'd all like significantly higher silver and gold prices, Chris Thompson of Raymond James doesn't expect them. The good news, he argues, is that the relative stability now characterizing the market permits investors to make informed decisions about which companies can build value and demonstrate cash flows at today's prices. In this interview with The Gold Report, Thompson lists a handful of gold and silver miners prepared to do just that.
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Wednesday, August 13, 2014
When Gold Miners Have Already Rallied – Will Metals Follow? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Briefly: In our opinion no speculative positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are now justified from the risk/reward perspective.
When one looks at gold and silver prices and their moves yesterday, it might seem that nothing happened in the precious metals market. That’s far from the truth because the real action took place in mining stocks. Several weeks ago, it was miners’ strength that heralded the rally in the whole sector. Will we see one also this time? Let’s start with mining stocks (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Friday, August 08, 2014
Gold GLD ETF Holdings Set to Surge / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
The mighty GLD gold ETF’s bullion holdings have remained stable in 2014, an impressive feat. Last year they suffered an epic outlying record plummet as the Fed’s stock-market levitation sucked capital out of alternative investments. This year’s resiliency in the face of the ongoing stock-market melt-up almost certainly means the bottom is in. GLD’s holdings are set to surge as weaker stock markets entice traders back.
The SPDR Gold Shares gold ETF, GLD, is a juggernaut in the gold realm. Now approaching its tenth birthday, it has grown into the world’s flagship and massively-dominant gold ETF. GLD’s impact on the global gold price can be so supreme and overpowering at times that all precious-metals investors and speculators simply have to follow it. Last year was a key case in point, where GLD trading controlled gold.
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Friday, August 08, 2014
Gold Miners Stock Price Next Move: Breakout or Breakdown? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
We've been very bullish on the miners since January but became concerned recently with the poor technical action in the metals (specifically Gold). Last month the mining indices were very close to a major breakout yet couldn't punch through. This signaled that Gold could begin a deeper decline and the miners would be vulnerable. However, Gold failed to break below $1280 while the miners have continued to digest their early summer gains and hold support. In addition, Gold is showing increasing relative strength amid US$ strength and equity market weakness. If Gold continues to show this kind of relative strength in the weeks ahead then it raises the odds that the miners will break to the upside in September.
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Wednesday, August 06, 2014
Northern Metals Boom Will Give More Than 10 Times the Returns of S&P 500 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Peter Krauth writes: Junior miners can be among the most speculative, most volatile stocks on earth.
They boom, bust, and repeat. Only they do this with more extreme swings than most any other market.
The Nasdaq Composite for example, home to tech and biotech stocks alike, is up by nearly 120% over the past five years, while junior miners doubled... but then gave it all back.
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Tuesday, August 05, 2014
Buy Gold Like It's 1999 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
The overall markets are exuberant. Valuations rise regardless of value created. And gold is conspicuously not at the party. All of this sounds very familiar to John Hathaway and Doug Groh, portfolio managers of the Tocqueville Gold Fund. It is like 1999 all over again. In this interview with The Gold Report, the pair of fund managers shares their top 10 picks for a diversified portfolio that minimizes risk while maximizing the upside they see coming sooner rather than later.
The Gold Report: In a 4th of July investor letter, you wrote that the precious metals complex, both mining shares and bullion, appear to be in the process of completing a major bottom, and you're more comfortable with the proposition that the downside potential has been fully exhausted. What are the signs that it's really turning this time?
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Thursday, July 31, 2014
Don't Get Married to Your Gold Stocks—It's a Performance-Based Relationship / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Ralph Aldis, portfolio manager with U.S. Global Investors, is a well-respected mining analyst. His detailed knowledge of the companies in the U.S. Global Investors Gold and Precious Metals Fund and across the entire precious metals space has taken years of meticulous work and dedication to his craft. Aldis urges investors not to get married to their stocks, but in this interview with The Gold Report, he discusses lots of names that are good for a fling right now.
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Monday, July 28, 2014
GDM and GDXJ Gold Stocks In-depth Look / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
In this Report I would like to show you an in-depth look at two important precious metals stock indexes, the GDM and GDXJ. The reason I want to show you these two PM stock indexes is because they correspond with the 3 X leveraged etf's, GDM for NUGT and the GDXJ for JUNG that we are currently trading. Last week seemed like the end of the world to a lot of the gold bugs as the PM complex had a decent sell off causing much pain for those holding on the long side. If you've been in the markets for any length of time you know there usually no gain without some pain. It just goes with the territory. We'll look at the very short term to the long term charts, looking for clues that may shed some light on the future direction for the precious metals complex, at least for the short to intermediate term horizons. Lets start with the 2 hour look at GDM that is showing a some what unconventional consolidation pattern, a six point Diamond.
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Sunday, July 27, 2014
6 Tips for Picking Winning Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
There is no substitute for gold. But gold miners, if you choose them correctly, can not only leverage your exposure as they grow their businesses, but they can generate cash-flow and dividends that are correlated to the gold price.
This sounds great! Unfortunately it isn’t so easy to pick gold miners that provide these advantages.
If you take a look at some of the largest gold mining companies in the world, you’ll find that they have done a lousy job of generating leverage to the gold price. In fact some have even lost value! Just consider the performances of the following gold miners over the past 10 years and keep in mind that the gold price has more than tripled during this time frame.
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Friday, July 25, 2014
More Weakness Ahead for Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
No pain, no gain. That is one comment regarding this seemingly terminal bottoming process in the precious metals complex. Multiple times as soon as conditions have strengthened enough for us to anticipate a breakout, the miners have put in a bearish reversal. At the same time, the metals and especially Gold have failed to gain any real traction. Throughout the past year we’ve been looking for that final low in Gold but it has eluded us multiple times. The recent reversal in the gold and silver miners coupled with a continued technical downtrend in Gold suggests that more pain is coming before sustained gain.
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Thursday, July 24, 2014
Three Reasons Why Gold Price and Gold Stocks Will Rise / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
It's hard to see the present until it's in the past. What does this mean for gold? Money managers Doug Loud and Jeff Mosseri of Greystone Asset Management say that a bull market may have already begun. All the signs are there: rising political tension, a shortage of new supply and a cull of the weakest stocks. In this interview with The Gold Report, Loud and Mosseri list a dozen gold, silver and copper companies that should ride the crest of the wave.
The Gold Report: Over two days, July 14 and 15, the price of gold fell over $40 per ounce ($40/oz), more than 3% of its value. To what do you attribute this drop?
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Wednesday, July 23, 2014
HUI Gold Bugs Fighting To Break Downtrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Cooooeee! That's the sound of the HUI Gold Bug bulls trying to find other bulls to push the price a little higher in order to break the downtrend. But the landscape appears desolate. The bulls don't seem to be stepping up when the going gets tough. Currently, price is tantalisingly short of the previous major swing high. Let's take a look at the daily chart to see what I'm talking about.
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Friday, July 18, 2014
Will Gold Price Drag Down the Mining Stocks? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
We know that the gold and silver stocks lead the metals at key turning points. The stocks started their bear market well ahead of Gold. This year the stocks have exhibited excellent relative strength. Gold and Silver are up less than 10% this year while GDX is up 27% and GDXJ is up 43%. In recent days GDX and GDXJ reached 10-month highs relative to Gold. SIL hit a 10-month high relative to Silver while SILJ, the silver juniors hit an 18-month high against Silver. The outlook for the miners remains positive but the miners are awaiting and need more strength from Gold.
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Thursday, July 17, 2014
Silver Price Up Trend an Mining Stock Investor's Friend / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
An upward trend is afoot in the silver space, says Sean Rakhimov, editor of SilversStrategies.com. Rakhimov believes that at $26/ounce the reversal of the downward trend in silver will be confirmed and silver investors should set their sights on the next resistance level—$32/ounce. And if that threshold is breached, silver will test $50/ounce and more. In this interview with The Gold Report, Rakhimov talks about a few silver miners that are well positioned to ride this trend perhaps several multiples higher.
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Thursday, July 10, 2014
Gold and Silver Stocks: It's Old Turkey Time! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Those familiar with Jesse Livermore and the book Reminiscences of a Stock Operator know who Old Turkey is. He was Mr. Partridge, an old trader who dispensed great wisdom in few words. Those at the office nicknamed him Turkey because of the way in which he strutted around with his chest puffed out. Livermore gleaned wisdom from Old Turkey which included the importance of never losing one's position and placing the utmost importance on the major trend. "It's a bull market," he often repeated. Precious metals shares are breaking out again after a brief consolidation. It's time to channel your inner Old Turkey, realize this is a bull market and act accordingly.
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Thursday, July 10, 2014
Gold and Silver Miners The Beginning of the End! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
I think today's price action marks a very important confirmation point in the precious metals stock indexes, at least for the intermediate to longer term outlook. Finally, after a year of chopping around in small up and down moves, we are starting to get some confirmation that this one year trading range is indeed a reversal pattern and not a consolidation pattern. When a big patterns like this ends is when you get the big impulse moves which is where you make the real money.
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Thursday, July 10, 2014
Keys to Successful Gold Stock Picking / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Chris Mancini, an analyst with the Gabelli Gold Fund, spends his days finding value in gold equities—and he thinks he's found a recipe for success. Take a long-term outlook, add excellent management, fold in a great project in a quality jurisdiction with low-cost minable ounces in the ground at a huge discount to the spot price—et voila! Mancini calls this "optionality" and in this interview with The Gold Report he says that equities with optionality will not only survive the downturn but also provide excellent leverage to an inevitable upward move in the gold price. Check out some rising names in the Gabelli Gold Fund.
The Gold Report: Cash has flown out of gold funds and into non-gold equities during this bear run in gold. What's the current Gabelli Gold Fund pitch to investors?
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Wednesday, July 09, 2014
Gold Metals and Miners Bull Market Point of Recognition / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
I think that the Metals and Miners Bull Market has just began and we are very close to the point of recognition of a new bull market which should give us an idea of what to expect going forward. As we have already seen in the past the first phase of a bull market is frustrating as many investors usually lose their positions too early and are therefore often left behind. This is how bull market works. Charts are telling me that Metals and Miners are on the verge of a massive breakout which could be the point of recognition of a new cyclical bull market.
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Thursday, July 03, 2014
Top Junior Gold Producer / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
The Timmins gold district is by far the most productive within Canada’s prolific Abitibi greenstone belt. It has produced in the neighborhood of 70m ounces of gold, and operations are still going strong. Namesake mining company Timmins Gold is forecasting 2014 output of 120k ounces, making it one of North America’s top junior gold producers. But provocatively not one of Timmins’ ounces is coming from within the Timmins district.
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