Category: Financial Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, November 02, 2014
Gold Price, Dow Stock Market Index and VIX Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
Gold
Gold hit new lows in October so the bears are growling. Popular consensus seems to be they will continue to dominate the short term landscape. I suspect a bear trap has been set and they are about to be gored by the bulls.
Let's take a look beginning with the monthly chart.
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Friday, October 31, 2014
Gold Price Falls, Stocks Record Highs as Japan Goes ‘Weimar’ / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: GoldCore
Stocks globally surged, while gold fell sharply today despite renewed irrational exuberance on hopes that the Bank of Japan’s vastly increasing money printing will fill some of the gaps left by the apparent end of Federal Reserve bond buying.
Friday, October 31, 2014
Welcome to the World of Volatility / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Steve_H_Hanke
My last column “Regime Uncertainty Weighs on Growth” (October 2014) stressed that market participants do not know what the Big Players (Read: governments and central banks) will do next. This regime uncertainty is creating an economic undertow. No wonder there have been so many recovery false dawns.
In the past month, markets have become very volatile. Equity and oil markets are the most notable. Why? Well, regime uncertainty continues to be ramped up. Indeed, Berlin-bashing by Paris and Rome over fiscal austerity has become the latest political rage. On top of that, weak economic data from the Continent and a spat of surprisingly weak U.S. data moved the world’s stock markets. If that wasn’t enough, there were some so-called mixed economic signals emitted from China. We must not forget the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) World Economic Outlook report that was unveiled at the World Bank — IMF meetings in Washington, D.C. The report contained a major policy flip-flop, switching mantras from fiscal austerity to fiscal stimulus. The volatility mixer was stirred further when the Saudis clarified that they would not cut back on oil production to prop up crude prices. The Kingdom wants to retain, or increase, its market share. To top it off, Ebola has reared its ugly head. All of this confirms what I call the School Boy’s Theory of History: it’s just one damn thing after another.
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Thursday, October 23, 2014
Euro, USD, Gold and Stocks According to Chartology / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Rambus_Chartology
Lets start off the Wednesday Report by looking at several currencies that broke out today. As you know the Eruo has been one of the weakest currencies out there. Today's breakout of a bear flag confirms there is more downside to come. This first chart is a daily look which shows the Euro formed a H&S top in the first half of this year and broke down sharply in late July. The Euro has been chopping out the blue bear flag for most of October which broke down today with a breakout gap.
Friday, October 17, 2014
Stock Markets, Commodities and Indicators / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Gary_Tanashian
Allow me to share a simple sketch I drew that was part of an NFTRH interim update for subscribers last night. The black line is where we have been. The blue line is a projection of what a typical correction (whether a healthy interim one or a bear market kick off) might look like.
Friday, October 17, 2014
Stock Market Pullback Underway, Euro downside, Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE – The first round of QE began in March 2009 and after 5½ years, the Federal Reserve’s bond buying program is coming to an end. Since the QE program boosted confidence, combated deflationary forces and sparked an epic bull market on Wall Street; it is hardly surprising that its end has brought about some turbulence in the stock market.
There can be no denying the fact that over the past few years, the QE program significantly assisted the stock market by tackling the deflationary forces within the economy. You will recall that when QE1 and QE2 were ending, the stock market abruptly reversed course and the major indices started to face intense selling pressure. Thereafter, when the Federal Reserve unleashed its next bout of bond purchases, buyers returned in earnest and piled into common stocks.
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Thursday, October 16, 2014
Rising Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is down over 1% in the Premarket. Today is day 69 in the current Master Cycle. The nearest Pivot is 68.8, so it may have made the Pivot at yesterday’s close. That is why I was uncertain on how the Pivot would work.
There may be some attempt to rally SPX prior to the open, but there is no liquidity in the hedge funds’ favorite market, the E-mini.
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Sunday, October 12, 2014
New Zero Bound Only Game In Town / Interest-Rates / Financial Markets 2014
By: Richard_Mills
The Federal Reserve tried to fix the U.S. economy by Quantifornication - stimulus measures.
Investors reacted to the Fed's unconventional efforts. Since the U.S. dollar is the world's reserve currency and precious metals are priced in dollars they bought gold and silver to protect their wealth against currency devaluation and inflation.
Gold catapulted to a record in 2011 as investors wagered on higher inflation and a weakening dollar.
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Sunday, October 12, 2014
Is a Recession Imminent? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Christopher_Quigley
The stock market is at a facinating juncture at the moment. Currently there is a monumental battle going on between the bulls and the bears, as they both try to ascertain whether the American economy is going to go into a recession. This fear has been brought about by the official ending of the Bernanke policy of financial repression i.e. artifically induced low interest rates caused by the introduction of Quantitative Easing. To guage whether a recession is on the cards let us look at two of my favourite recession indicators: the Chauvet/Piger Recession Indicator and the NYSE Advance-Decline Line.
Thursday, October 09, 2014
Fear Driving the Markets Go Crazy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: writes: It’s no surprise to you that here at Wall Street Insights & Indictments I like indicting the crooks and con artists that slither around Wall Street.
But as much as I like the indictments part, Wall Street insights are increasingly important.
It’s fun to ferret out rodents on the Street, but making money there is even more fun.
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Thursday, October 09, 2014
Wars, Debt, Inflation - When Will They Ever Learn? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
In the 1960s Peter, Paul and Mary popularized a song written by Pete Seeger – “Where Have All the Flowers Gone?”
The short version is:
Where have all the flowers gone?
Young girls have picked them.
Where have all the young girls gone?
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Thursday, October 09, 2014
Financial Markets are Convincingly Irrational / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Axel_Merk
To make sense of the markets, it may be ever more important to dissect what we may call convincingly irrational behavior by policy makers. To make sense of stocks, bonds and currencies, you might need to dissect some of the madness that's unfolding in front of our eyes. We assume no responsibility if you turn mad yourself in reading this analysis.
Thursday, October 09, 2014
Fed Smacks U.S. Dollar; Europe and Japan Lose Hope / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: John_Rubino
Read full article... Read full article...FOMC's fear of a strong dollar drives greenback lower
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- The U.S. dollar turned lower against rivals Wednesday afternoon after the FOMC released minutes from its September meeting, revealing that members raised concerns that a one-two punch of a strong dollar and stagnant growth abroad could impede U.S. growth.The closely followed central bank minutes also showed that several Fed officials wanted to remove language indicating that short-term interest rates would likely remain low "for a considerable time," but held off in part because of concern that the market would misinterpret it as a policy shift.
Tuesday, October 07, 2014
War, Peace, and Financial Fireworks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Casey_Research
Politics has long been a driver of international markets and fickle financial systems alike. Everything is connected. Here are some voices from the just-concluded Casey Research Fall Summit talking about cause, effect, and war.
James Rickards, senior managing director with Tangent Capital Partners and an audience favorite at investment conferences, says the Middle East, Russia, and China are all working against the US dollar and for gold.
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Monday, October 06, 2014
Trading Cycles Trader Interview / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Submissions
Deric O. Cadora writes: Gary Savage is an expert cycle trader and publisher of a successful market newsletter. His writings strongly influenced my own shift toward cycle methodology many years ago, and although our approaches now differ to a degree, the core techniques of cycle methodology remain constant. And so as a fellow cycle trader and publisher, I find myself in a unique position to interview Gary from a cycle trader's perspective, and Gary has been gracious enough to agree.
Thursday, October 02, 2014
Stocks Interesting, Junk Bonds at Fair Value, Bill Gross Who Cares? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Bloomberg
David Tepper, co-founder of Appaloosa Management, spoke with Bloomberg TV's Stephanie Ruhle and Erik Schatzker on "Market Makers" today about a wide variety of subjects, including the bond market, the U.S. stock market, Bill Gross' departure from PIMCO and Roger Goodell. Appearing alongside Tepper for the interview was David Saltzman, executive director of the Robin Hood Foundation.
Tepper said that price-to-earnings ratios for U.S. stocks aren't high and that junk bonds are at the mid-point of fair value: "The U.S. economy is pretty good, stocks are not at high multiples right now." He also said: "I wish I didn't have any investment" in Fannie and Freddie.
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Tuesday, September 30, 2014
SP500 and GOLD Intraday Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Gregor_Horvat
US cash market will open in around 30mins when we may see a continuation to the upside following a reversal yesterday from 1955 seen on the S&P500. Based on the wave count we assume that price is now recovering in wave 2)/B) that could look for a resistance around 1990 later this week.
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Friday, September 26, 2014
Inflate or Die! When Leverage Fails and Market Hope Turns to Fear / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Ty_Andros
In today's TedBits we will be outlining a lot of smoke signals. They signal fires burning and about to break out. As everyone is aware, the Federal Reserve has been tightening monetary policy for almost a year now and has been joined by the Chinese central bank. The Federal Reserve has been reducing its balance sheet expansion from $85 billion a month (85,000 million) to zero in mid-November. While the fed does not characterize it as a tightening, it is one. Numerous studies have put the amount of interest rate reduction to -3 % when QE3 was at full bore. Now that the reduction is approaching zero negative interest rates are ending, they have raised rates by about 3% in real terms. We are Austrians at TedBits and believe in all of the core truths from Ludwig Von Mises:
Read full article... Read full article..."There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved." - Ludwig von Mises
Friday, September 26, 2014
Market Forecasts for Stocks, Gold, Silver, Commodities, Financials and Currencies / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: EWI
Dear reader,
We are thrilled to announce EWI's first-ever Investor Open House!
For one exciting week -- from noon Eastern time Thursday, Sept. 25, to noon Wednesday, Oct. 1 -- EWI has thrown open the doors to ALL of their investor services. And it's free.
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Thursday, September 25, 2014
It’s The U.S. Dollar, Stupid! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Raul_I_Meijer
There are substantial and profound changes developing in the global economy, and in my view we should all pay attention, because everyone will be greatly affected. Some more than others, but still.
‘Metal markets’, be they gold, silver, copper or iron, exhibit distress and uncertainty, prices are falling, or at least seem to be. Partly, that is because of the apparently still ongoing investigation in the Chinese port of Qingdao, through which a $10 billion ‘currency fraud’ is reported today, ostensibly related to the double/triple borrowing that has been exposed, in which the same iron ore and copper shipments were used as collateral multiple times.
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