Category: Financial Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, January 28, 2014
Global Market Forecasts 2014 for Stocks, Bonds, Currencies and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Dear investor,
Consider yourself warned.
The global market outlook is far less rosy than the so-called experts would have you believe.
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Monday, January 27, 2014
Gold Improving Bullish Sentiment, Could Witness Stock Market Bloodbath / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Gold's technical picture has improved since the last bullish update just over a month ago, but it has still not broken out the intermediate downtrend that started back last August, which we can see drawn on the 8-month chart shown below.
On Friday the gold price arrived at a short-term target at the upper boundary of the downtrend, which is a good point for it to turn down again, especially as its moving averages are still in bearish alignment, and world markets have started to tank, which was predicted on the 2nd January on the site in the article, more about which later. If it does turn down again shortly bulls will want to see continued basing action above its lows of last June and July, and December leading to an upside breakout from this downtrend.
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Saturday, January 25, 2014
Goldman Sachs on Argentina Crisis Contagion and Wall Street Still in Public's 'Penalty Box' / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein spoke with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle from the World Economic Forum in Davos today about the outlook for financial markets, the firm's hiring practices and the banking industry.
On the reputation of the banking industry, Blankfein said, "A lot of work has been done, a lot of work still to do, and we will be in the penalty box of the American public. And why not? It was a very big trauma, there were a lot of causes, but one of them has to be poor risk judgments made by certain banks and to the extent that banks were getting a lot of benefits from their good risk management and it turned out to be flawed, you know, it is fair that you pay some price of reputation when it does not go well."
Friday, January 24, 2014
What Could go Wrong for Stocks and Right for Gold in 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Are investors too bullish on the stock market’s prospects for 2014 and too bearish for gold’s? It would certainly seem that way based on the near unanimity of analyst consensus. Most institutional analysts have published bullish forecasts for equities in 2014 and a bearish, or at least cautionary, outlook for gold. The favorable forecast for stocks and bearish gold outlook is based on the assumption that deflation remains at bay for the coming year.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 24, 2014
Gold and S&P500 Inverse Relationship - Elliott Wave Forecast / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Gold has bounced as a double bottom and it is likely that we should see further upside. The downside for the metals and especially Silver has been bearish, but the declined for the metals was relentlessly while the equity markets have gone parabolic. This is a very substantial inverse relationship and suggests reversals for both. Parabolic advances always end poorly and further upside for the metals is expected after the recent over sold conditions.
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Thursday, January 23, 2014
Davos Philanthropy, Income Inequality and Private Equity / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
David Rubenstein, CEO of Carlyle Group, joined Bloomberg Television's Stephanie Ruhle and Erik Schatzker today live from Davos to discuss philanthropy, income inequality and the state of private equity.
Rubenstein told Bloomberg TV he sees plenty of opportunity for private equity, having only "touched the surface in the emerging markets."
Wednesday, January 22, 2014
Debt, Economy and Markets - 14 Questions for 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Those who cannot remember the past, are condemned to repeat it." - George Santayana.
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Monday, January 20, 2014
Shocking Stocks, Bonds and Dollar Market Predictions for 2014… And the Evidence to Prove Them / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Robert Hsu writes: Each January, we hear a chorus of pundits making predictions about where the markets will go in the 12 months ahead. The number and volume level of the "predictions" is matched only by the utter lack of evidence to back them up.
These talking heads will be the first to shout "I told you so!" But when they get it wrong, well... the silence is deafening. Their predictions are of little use to us.
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Saturday, January 18, 2014
Stocks and Bonds Tops, Gold and Silver Bottom Climacterics Now / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
“We view prospective near-term and multi-year returns as strongly unfavorable, and prospective market risk as unusually elevated.”John Hussman, January 2014
Choppy, decidedly Unbullish Equities Market Action thus far in 2014 is one Major Clue the Climacterics we earlier forecast have arrived in Key Markets. They may take a few days to a few weeks to fully develop, but they have arrived.
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Thursday, January 16, 2014
Bitcoins Goes Mainstream - How Washington is Ruining the Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Columnists and newsletter writers are tripping over themselves to describe what they collectively believe will be a bullish year for stocks and the economy in 2014. They point to the Fed’s artificially low interest rates and continued commitment toward a lower unemployment rate as key reasons why the party will continue in the coming year. They also believe that government intervention both at home and abroad will produce a sixth year of recovery.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Best Elliott Wave 2013 Trade Setups to Repeat in 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
We have hand-picked for you seven of the best trade set-ups of 2013 that are bound to be repeated in 2014. Here is one of seven
The best thing about Elliott wave patterns? Easy: They repeat.
They repeat on all timeframes, across dozens of markets, all over the world. Once you know what to look for, you see the familiar 5s and 3s repeat in every chart.
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Friday, January 10, 2014
Huge Miss on U.S. Non Farm Payrolls / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Good Morning!
The December Department of Labor Monthly Payroll report showed a huge miss with only 74,000 new hires in the month of December. Perversely, the unemployment rate declined from 7.0% to 6.7% due to the cessation of extended benefits for 1.6 million people.
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Friday, January 10, 2014
Surprising Hedge Fund Plays of 2014 - Bitcoins and China / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
A number of hedge fund managers have already begun to make waves at the start of the New Year. In this commentary we’ll look at a couple of areas where hedge funds have taken big stakes and which could have major repercussions in the year ahead.The first surprising hedge fund play of 2014 has emerged not in an established stock or commodity, but in the emerging digital payment platform known as Bitcoin. While purists insist it is neither a currency nor a commodity, there’s no denying the growing popularity of Bitcoin. The digital unit of stored value is attracting more and more interest from a wide array of individuals seeking an alternative to fiat currencies. Now it seems that even major financial institutions are set to enter the fray.
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Wednesday, January 08, 2014
Stocks, Bonds and Gold - The Best Way to Compound Your 2013 Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Robert Hsu writes: With the exceptional, unpredictable year that was 2013, we have a one-time opportunity to "mine" its insights... and make even more money in 2014.
The trick, as you'll see, is to block out the noise, stay invested, and focus on three key numbers...
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Saturday, January 04, 2014
Financial and Commodity Market Movers for 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Maturing and Nascent Trends and New Developments should increase Social and Economic Turmoil and Greatly Increase Volatility in the Markets in 2014. Result: Mega Moves in Key Markets, the Most Salient of which we outline here.
These Mega Moves will create Great Opportunities for Profit for the Nimble and well-informed, and Great Losses for the Purblind or those in Denial of Economic and Financial Realities.
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Thursday, January 02, 2014
8 Economic and Market Forecasts for 2014 Gold, Bitcoin, 3D Printing... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Economic predictions are a crap shoot at anytime, but especially during times when central bank intervention is running at all-time highs. The markets are more managed and manipulated now than at any point in history. The Federal Reserve is literally propping up the entire system via nearly $1 Trillion in bond purchases per year, artificially low interest rates, an active plunge-protection team, gold market intervention, economic data manipulation and clandestine operations we have yet to understand.
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Wednesday, January 01, 2014
Forex, Oil and Gold Market Forecasts for 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
David Parker writes:
EUR/USD
The EURUSD started 2013 just above its major resistance at 1.3000 and managed to climb up to 1.3790 by the end of January 2013, as the Fed decided to increase its monthly asset purchases from $40 billion to $85 billion. At the end of the first quarter, the banking crisis expanded across the European countries and the single currency tumbled down to 1.2740, which was the yearly low for the pair. For a few months, the pair swung between gains and losses and at the beginning of July hit a double bottom at 1.2740, as Ben Bernanke announced a trim to the asset purchases during September.
Saturday, December 28, 2013
The Target Test and the Financial System 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Despite the headlines and the perception that financial markets and the economy are returning to some semblance of normal and growth, this is far from the underlying reality. Beneath the headlines and the newest bubble trifecta in housing, bonds, and equity, the flip side paints a much grimmer picture where record debt, unemployment, as well as government intervention and transfer payments exist. In fact, the sheer enormity of intervention has created a tinder box of risk waiting for a spark. We may have just witnessed the original of one potential spark.
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Friday, December 27, 2013
Money vs Legal Tender - Deceptions, Dupes & Dots / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Let us take a break from the hustle & bustle loaded to the gills with nastiness and mayhem. Consider some information cookies during the Christmas holiday down time, not without a few lumps of coal. The deceptions are deep; the ranks of dupes are legion; connecting the dots is not so easy. Despite the constant stream of deception and the steady interference by the well-meaning but all too often simpletons in the madding crowd mixed with sheep, the story can be rather extensively told. It takes the new skill of connecting the dots, along with a mental stubbornness mixed with a certain measure of insight. The phrase connecting dots was not heard by the Jackass until a few years ago, from my unusual smart buddy UD in Nevada. His many messages over the years often contain the three words CONNECT THE DOTS. With his help and the guiding hand of numerous suspicious astute colleagues, we have made sense of widely scattered information from the battlefield during the global monetary war. After tying stories together, the main themes make for a fascinating spy novel that touches every corner of the world and reaches all our lives. A close examination reveals how the major nations and their leaders have been busy with popular betrayal on a grand scale, during a grand Paradigm Shift. The world will turn on more of an eastern axis in the future.
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Thursday, December 26, 2013
Stock and Commodity Market Forecasts for 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Dear Reader,
I may not be Santa Claus, but I have an early present for you this year. It’s actually 15 presents in the form of 15 charts of financial markets with analysis by Bob Prechter, the president of Elliott Wave International.
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