Category: Financial Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Sunday, April 27, 2014
Stock Market Bubble Phase: Gold Capitulation Follow Up / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
At the beginning of the month I theorized that stocks were about to enter a final bubble phase, and that during that process gold should deliver a capitulation phase to end the three year bear market. This is a follow up to see how things are playing out now that we have another months' worth of price action behind us.
For stocks it still remains to be seen whether or not they have one more surge higher into a final top. If one just looks at the NASDAQ it would appear that stocks have begun moving down into a bear market. However as I pointed out in my previous article it's not unusual to have one, and sometimes two very severe corrections before a final leg up in a ending bubble phase. As I pointed out in my previous article the NASDAQ had two back-to-back 10% corrections before a final 34% surge into that 2000 top.
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Friday, April 25, 2014
Gold, Crude Oil and S&P500 Elliott Wave Outlook / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
S&P500 has turned significantly to the upside in the last two weeks and recovered above the upper channel resistance line. Move from 1803 can be counted in five waves, thus it's part of a bigger move that should be made minimum in three legs. However, before uptrend resumes we need to be aware of a three wave corrective retracement that can already be underway now back to 1840-1856 region.
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Friday, April 25, 2014
Pathogenesis Of Systemic Failure - Change Agents For Crisis Climax / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Systemic failure and its pathogenesis have been over 50 years in progress, with countless events. The origin is found with the cabal murder Kennedy, but the climax finale will be found with the Saudi Petro-Dollar rejection and the arrival of Eastern gold-backed currencies. The pathogenesis is fierce, vicious, multi-faceted, coordinated, enforced, unstoppable, destructive, vile, with many unfortunate aspects and facades. The extreme vulnerability of the financial crime syndicate can finally be seen, the symptoms obvious. If somebody had asked Greenspan in 1995 whether the day would ever come when the US Federal Reserve would install Zero Interest Policy and keep the 0% rate in place indefinitely, then install Quantitative Easing and keep the bond monetization in place permanently, approximately 0% of the experts would say the day would arrive.
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Wednesday, April 23, 2014
What Will December 31, 2014 Financial Headlines Look Like? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
The financial forecasts around the end of 2013 brimmed with optimism. Here are just a few examples:
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Monday, April 14, 2014
Gold, Crude Oil and SP500 Elliott Wave Patterns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
S&P500 has turned nicely to the downside last week from 1865/1870 resistance area where wave 2/B completed a corrective rally. Market already reached a new swing low but based on downside fib. projections and strong bearish momentum price could be moving down in wave 3 towards 1765 zone. Only rally above the upper resistance line of a current downward channel would put market back in bullish mode.
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Tuesday, April 08, 2014
Final Bubble Phase for the Stock Market: Final Capitulation for Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
After two hard days down in the stock market I'm going to take a contrary position and say that this is just a normal profit taking event and that stocks are going to recover and head back up to new highs. I still think this market needs to have a final blow off bubble phase before the bull can die. The final bubble phase for stocks should usher in the final capitulation stage of gold's 2 1/2 year bear market. For those like SMT subscribers that are sitting in cash, this final capitulation is going to represent one of the greatest buying opportunities of this generation.
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Friday, April 04, 2014
Truth - The First Casualty of Economics, Banking and the Ukraine / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Dear Reader, I opened my eyes and stared at the hard packed dirt that substitutes for grass in Paris's famed Tuileries Garden . I struggled to raise my head and peer over the lip of the Grand Bassin Octagonal. My eyes were greeted with the majestic view of the Louvre, basking in the warm early morning glow of the unseasonably hot sunshine that had Parisians reaching for their sunscreen in the middle of March. I struggled to overcome the explosions occurring inside my head, the result of the three bottles of Andezon, Cotes-du-Rhone Syrah [an impertinent, cheeky and inexpensive red wine] I had consumed after last night's International Economic Symposium held at the uber-swank Hotel George V Paris.
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Thursday, April 03, 2014
Free Money Thursday – Chinese Stimulus To the Rescue! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
MORE FREE MONEY!!!
China gave the markets a big boost this morning by announcing an immediate $25Bn program for railway construction and another $50Bn a year for "more stuff." That sent the Nikkei flying to 15,150 but then Chinese Non-Manufacturing PMI fell to 54.5 for March and the Nikkei gave back 75 points while the Hang Seng closed just 0.2% over flat and the Shanghai fell 0.75%, back to 2,043, just 5% over the lows they've been testing all year at that critical 2,000 line.
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Wednesday, April 02, 2014
Foolish Investment Ideas / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
With April Fools' Day behind us, it's time to get serious about investing. Don't be fooled by this week's non-farm payroll report; nor by the assertion that the U.S. may have the cleanest of the dirty shirts. And certainly don't be fooled into thinking the market has your interests in mind...
Foolish to believe the job market drives the stock market?
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Wednesday, April 02, 2014
Outlook For GOLD, Crude OIL and S&P500 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
S&P500 4h Elliott Wave Analysis
S&P500 broke above 1876 and is now approaching all time highs, so we adjusted the wave count and now looking for a five wave rally in progress from 1833 swing low. At the moment leg still cannot be counted in three waves, so looks like price will stay bullish for the next few sessions and possibly hit 1890/1900 area.
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Tuesday, April 01, 2014
World Financial InStability - Stock Market Wealthbuilder Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
I came across the inverted pyramid below last year which outlines the “asset backing configuration” between gold, cash and all other financial instruments.
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Sunday, March 30, 2014
GOLD, Crude OIL and S&P500 Elliott Wave Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
GOLD have turned bearish last week from 1380-1400 Fibonacci resistance zone and extended losses in this week beneath 1300 psychological level where market could look for some support if we consider five sub-waves down from 1391. We are talking above red wave i)/a) that could be near completion, so traders should be aware of three wave rally back to 1327-1342 region. The RSI is also showing some signs of a divergence. Keep an eye on upper trendline of a current downward channel; a break above it will suggest that three wave rally has began.
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Wednesday, March 26, 2014
The Financial Forecast Nuggets Report - Gain Advantage over 99% of U.S. Investors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Greetings,
Our friends at Elliott Wave International have just posted a concise new report that will give you an advantage over the herd.
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Tuesday, March 25, 2014
S&P500, GOLD And Crude OIL Outlook / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
S&P500 Daily: wave five reversing from resistance zone
S&P500 has been in bullish mode since February but it looks like that the direction of a trend could be changing now after a rally up to 1880/1920 Fibonacci and channel resistance area, where we see zone for a completed fifth wave in wave 5) of (3). So far, market is reversing nicely down with a weekly close price at 1839 so we suspect that market will continue to the downside now for a three wave pullback down in blue wave (4). We are also looking at the RSI that is reversing from 60/70 area that can be signaling for a bearish pullback, similar like in the past few months.
Monday, March 10, 2014
Intense Wall Street Battle About To Give Main Street Investor’s A Rude Awakening / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Shah Gilani writes: So far today U.S. stocks aren’t celebrating the 5-year anniversary of the bull market, which technically-speaking began on March 9, 2009.
Will they rally by the end of the day, in a formal salute to moving onward and upwards?
If not today, then how about tomorrow, or the next day, or the next day?
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Sunday, March 09, 2014
Gold, Commodities and Stock Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Trying to predict short term direction is notoriously difficult, especially in the volatile metals market, but I'm going to take a stab at it today.
First off let me start with the big picture: For almost a year now I've been saying that the inflation that's been stored in the stock market for the last three years is eventually going to start leaking into the commodity markets. You can see in the next chart that process has begun as smart money investors begin to move capital out of an overvalued and overextended stock market that is destined to top some time during the first half of this year, and into undervalued commodity markets where they are getting a better return on their investment.
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Friday, March 07, 2014
Non-Farm Friday – America is Still Not Working, Stock Market BS Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Sorry but this "rally" is just too much BS for me.
As you can see from Dave Fry's SPY chart, we're running up on ZERO volume in the Futures and then we sell off all day on very low volume (because there are no buyers and the Funds are exiting slowly) and then we have dip at the finish as the ETFs that HAVE to buy at MOC (Market on Close) pricing get shares jammed down their throats by the pumpers.
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Thursday, March 06, 2014
Full-Spectrum War, Peak Complexity, and Real Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Not so long ago — say when the Soviet Union was crushing rebellions in Czechoslovakia and Hungary in the 1960s or the US was invading half the Middle East in the 2000s — a big country picking on a small one was mostly a physical activity. Tanks would roll in, buildings and people would be blown up, and that would be that. The aggressor might face the occasional trade sanction from otherwise-impotent “powers,” but this was relatively painless in a world that was not yet financially or technologically integrated.
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Wednesday, March 05, 2014
Putin's Move Into Ukraine 'Out Of Weakness / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Roger Altman, Chairman of Evercore Partners, spoke with Bloomberg TV's Betty Liu today to discuss a number of topics including the situation in Ukraine, mergers and acquisitions in 2014, and the Moelis IPO.
On Moelis, Atlman said, "I don't see any reason why this won't be successful and why the public markets won't be hospitable to Moelis...[the] timing is reasonably good."
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Wednesday, March 05, 2014
All Market Eyes Are on Ukraine…and the Thermometer / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Kent Moors writes: The weather is taking a decidedly better turn here in London this morning.
It’s a good thing, because all of the talk today in British circles is about the deteriorating situation in Ukraine.
These concerns involve the all too obvious geopolitical impacts of a Russian takeover of Crimea and perhaps a broader swath of Eastern Ukraine.
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