Category: Stock Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, January 24, 2014
SPX Stock Market Sell Signal Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
My best reading on the decline so far is the Minute Wave [i] may be complete and Minute Wave [ii] of Minor Wave C] may now be underway. Wave (c) of Minute Wave [ii] has a potential target between 1829.00 and 1833.00. The Minute Wave [iii] target may be near 1775.00, with a minimum of 1800.00.
SPX may spend the rest of today bouncing to its 1833.00 target. Tomorrow we may see the larger Wave [iii] decline.
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Thursday, January 23, 2014
Stock Market Volatility Increases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
TNX may be taking another dip lower this morning. It is uncertain whether it will make a new low or simply a partial retracement.
Thursday, January 23, 2014
Stock Market Closing In On S&P500 1850... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
The S&P 500 has refused to give it up. It's in a trading range from 1812 support horizontally to 1850 resistance, which is also horizontal support. It's a 2% range, and within 2% can come a lot of emotion. However, it's been riding off the 20-day exponential moving average lately currently at 1833. This tells me the bulls are readying themselves for another move up, so the bears better get busy and fast. If we can clear 1850, and close above with a little force, it means the bears will have to take inventory of what they're holding. That also means they will likely want to lighten up, thus, some added fuel from short covering.
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Wednesday, January 22, 2014
Stock Market Overbought Consolidation Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - As a result of minor cycles due to bottom in late February, a short-term top appears to be in the making.
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Monday, January 20, 2014
Did We See Stock Market Cycle Top Last Week? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I have been reviewing my long-term charts and have been updating them. I was surprised when I discovered that today (January 18) is exactly 5.16 years from the November 21, 2008 low in the NDX. I have often been referring to the NDX Cycles, since they seem to be much more accurate than the Dow/SPX Cycles. The deviations from the measurements above are often within 3 days and no longer than 8 days, so this is a wonderful monitoring chart. I am constantly amazed at the relationships between the Cycles and the Waves.
Monday, January 20, 2014
What Worst Stock Market Start to the Year Since 2005 Means / sitenews / Stock Markets 2014
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: Out of the first seven trading days of 2014, the S&P 500 declined on five of those days, marking the worst start to the year for the stock market since 2005. This phenomenon has raised many questions. Looking at this, investors are asking how the returns on the S&P 500 will look this year. Why? Because in 2005, the S&P 500 only increased by 2.87%.
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Friday, January 17, 2014
Can the Fed Beat the Stock Market Expanding Wedge Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Marty_Chenard
If it wasn't for the Fed, this DJI chart would already in big trouble. While the yearly DJI chart does show its first 2014 tick as being inside the expanding wedge pattern, a lot of money is being pumped in to try and get the DJI back up higher.
The question will be: Will this turn out to be money well spent? I ask the question because expanding wedge patterns typically identify exhaustion levels where a pull back occurs like at labels 1 and 2.
Thursday, January 16, 2014
The Stocks Bull is Back! S&P 500 New All-Time Closing High by 0.001% / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 rose today on a relatively unremarkable Producer Price Index and a surprisingly strong Empire State Manufacturing report. The index opened at its intraday low with a 0.09% gain. It then rallied to its all-time intraday high, up 0.65%, shortly after 11 AM. It then traded in a narrow range for the rest of the day, closing with a trimmed gain of 0.52%. That was enough to set a new all-time closing high by the 0.02 points — up 0.001% from its previous closing high on December 31st.
Thursday, January 16, 2014
What Stock Sectors Outperform When the U.S. Dollar is Rising? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Donald_W_Dony
Starting in 2013, markets appear to be moving into a new stage. The U.S. dollar bottomed in 2008 and the S&P 500 emerged from over a decade of consolidation and deep declines. Though the future action of the U.S. index is too early to forecast, there are strong similarities to happened in 1980.
Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Stock Market Close to a Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: David_Banister
The SP 500 has been in Major wave Elliott Wave 3 up of Primary wave 3 from 1267 by our best projected counts. Our technical analysis of stock trends predicted back in early September a large rally up in the SP 500 to 1822-1829, which we managed to see hit just 3 months later from the mid 1600’s.Recently, the market had a bit of an extension higher than our original 1822-29 pivot projections, but we see possible trouble ahead. Our Elliott Wave Theory interpretation is based on Fibonacci sequencing, Investment Advisor sentiment surveys, traditional technical analysis patterns and more.
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Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Stock Market Emotions Vs Reasonable Bearish Argument / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I am certain that you have already read some blog (or two) calling for the market to go higher. So be it. Here is the bearish argument.
Not very many analysts look for a Triangle Wave (b). There was some recognition last week as a possible Sub-Minute Wave (iv), but it was discarded on Monday with the oversized decline. Today it seems to be forgotten. On the other hand, it makes perfect sense, considering its position within an Orthodox Broadening Top.
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Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Stock Market SELL! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
That's Japanese for the incredible feeling of heart pounding excitement-- as you push that pedal to the metal on a really hot new Toyota.
For a bearish sort it might be the feel of the air rushing over your body as you fall off a cliff, perhaps.
So the bears got a brief thrill today as stocks 'finally' peeled off a second layer of the year end paintjob from just a few weeks ago, and slipped a bit off their Fed blown asset bubble.
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Wall Street Welcomes Back Goldilocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Michael_Pento
Goldilocks is the term used by Wall Street to describe a nearly perfect environment for stock values to rise. The term is being used again today, just as it was mistakenly uttered in the middle of the housing bubble, to express the belief held by most investors that we have once again reached equity-market nirvana--a point in time where virtually every economic condition is just right.
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Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Investors Selling the Start of the Q4 Corporate Earnings Season / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: With Q4 earnings season ready to shift into high gear, the US indexes shifted into retreat. The S&P 500 opened fractionally lower, rose to its 0.06% intraday high an hour later. It then began a selloff that gradually accelerated to a -1.46% intraday low late in the day. Some buying the dip (or short covering) trimmed the closing loss to 1.26%, the worst daily close since the -1.32% decline on November 7th.
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Stock Market SPX Makes Weekly Key Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has made a weekly Key Reversal today, declining beneath last Monday’s low. There may be a probability of a bounce to retest its hourly mid-Cycle resistance at 1825.60, but so far it has not shown any inclination to do so.
This is the break that we have been looking for. If it chooses to continue its relentless decline, we may see the first bounce from its Cycle Bottom low at 1785.92…or possibly lower.
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Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Stocks Off to the Worst Start for the Year Since 2005 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes: The stock market has just put in its worst first-seven-days-of-the-year trading action since 2005, as concern over where key stock indices will head this year rises. Can the stellar year the stock market had in 2013 continue?
Among those who try to predict where key stock indices will go, Wall Street industry analysts believe that the S&P 500 will rise 4.8% this year, while market strategists believe the S&P 500 will see a decline of 2.3% this year. (Source: FactSet, January 6, 2013.) This tells me that even the professionals can’t figure out which way the market is headed.
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Monday, January 13, 2014
Why You Should Believe in This Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: It's natural to look back. We live in the past.
For most people, the future isn't an unknown full of unlimited opportunity. It's about hoping the bad stuff in our past isn't a prelude to the future.
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Monday, January 13, 2014
How to Play Stock Market Seasonal Anomalies for Profit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DailyGainsLetter
John Paul Whitefoot writes: As all investors know, no two equities march to the same drum. This would then mean that, technically, it should be impossible to predict future returns based on readily available information. However, this might not be entirely true, as it turns out there may be something to be said for some seasonal investing patterns after all.
Monday, January 13, 2014
Stock Market Looking for Direction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Last week was a mixed bag for the eight world indexes in my international focus group. The first-of-year selling last week continued for three of the four Asia-Pacific contingent, with the Japan’s Nikkei and China’s Shanghai posting sharp losses. That’s a reversal for the Nikkei, but more of the same for the chronically slumping Shanghai. The US and European indexes, along with Hong Kong, posted small gains. All it took was a modest 0.60% for the S&P 500 to be the top performer.
Monday, January 13, 2014
Warnings of Impending Stock Market Top Suggest Decline into end February / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - As a result of minor cycles due to bottom in late February, a short-term top appears to be in the making.
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