Category: Gold and Silver 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, March 10, 2014
Gold Price Seasonal: When Is the Best Month to Buy? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Many investors, especially those new to precious metals, don't know that gold is seasonal. For a variety of reasons, notably including the wedding season in India, the price of gold fluctuates in fairly consistent ways over the course of the year.
This pattern is borne out by decades of data, and hence has obvious implications for gold investors.
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Monday, March 10, 2014
Micro to Macro Charts In Support of Silver Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
In this report I want to take a good hard look at silver which has been the laggard in the precious metals complex to see if there is something technically wrong. If you been following the precious metals complex for any length of time you'll know that silver can be contrarian at times. It likes to start out slow and then once gold begins to pickup the pace then silver will play catchup. Once silver gets ready to move it can rally hard and fast catching up to gold and surpassing in on a percentage basis. So far since the December low silver is playing its game of Opossum by looking weak and not confirming the move in gold or the precious metals stocks. I think this is a deceptive look on silver right now. Lets see what the charts are telling us about silver and look for some clues that might help shed some light on what is really taking place right now.
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Monday, March 10, 2014
U.S. Said to Have Grabbed Ukraines Gold Reserves / Politics / Gold and Silver 2014
This is a story based on a report out of the Ukraine. Obviously I do not know yet if it is accurate. The information coming out of the Ukraine and Crimea should be sifted carefully, no matter what the source.
I find this one hard to believe. I am informed by high reliable people that no one cares about gold anymore. And very important analysts claim that transporting many tonnes of gold (Ukraine is said to have about 33 tonnes) is very difficult, and so unwieldy and fraught with peril that it must be a multiyear project.
Sunday, March 09, 2014
Gold And Silver Market Activity Will Always Trump News/Events/Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
There is something going on in the gold and silver market, and it is difficult to ascertain exactly what it is. Perhaps it can best be described as a change in market behavior that may be defining a potential change in trend. For many, the presumption has been, "Gold and silver are going to go to the moon, for the following reason[s]...." What followed was then a litany of the same facts that have been widely known for well over a year, and the same types of graphs depicting various aspects, [depleted gold stocks, cost of production v current price, etc], very often nicely colored and reproduced, but to no practical effect, at least in terms of the direction of price for gold and silver which continued lower until the end of 2013.
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Friday, March 07, 2014
Gold and Silver and the Paradox of Over-Optimization / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Disaster, by over-optimization, is another important way to frame the much-heralded "just in time" inventory practices which are used broadly by industry and grafted to monetary assets like precious metals.
The overgrowth of the financial system and serial bailouts are akin to allowing fuels to build up in the forest, preventing the natural burn off needed to replenish the soil and pave the way for new growth. Superficially, intentions are certainly good. But many suffer despite the well-intended. No one wants to see suffering or be held responsible for it for even a microsecond.
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Friday, March 07, 2014
Gold Price Challenges $1350 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
From last Friday's close at $1322, gold opened strongly on Monday trading, as high as $1355 before losing two thirds of the rise on Tuesday. On Thursday afternoon (GMT) gold rallied back to challenge the $1350 level. This morning (Friday) it is in the balance as to whether or not gold will need more consolidation before moving on towards $1400, with everyone watching out for US employment numbers.
The change in sentiment over the last eight weeks has encouraged small traders to go long on gold. Normally, market-makers would be able to mark prices down aggressively to shake out these short-term speculators, but it has not recently happened. This suggests that the underlying market is robust.
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Thursday, March 06, 2014
Renewed Indian Demand Driving Gold Prices Higher? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Current Situation
Since last August, the Indian government placed a stranglehold on gold imports into the country by requiring that 20% of all gold imported be exported as jewellery. This forced the amount of gold imported to drop to 30% of former levels until October of last year. Then the amount imported rose to 38 tonnes a month and has been at that level since then. The amount of gold that was expected to be imported for the year was north of 1,200 tonnes. It only achieved an imported total of 825 tonnes, around 400 tonnes less than expected.
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Thursday, March 06, 2014
What I Learned About Gold at the World’s Biggest Mining & Exploration Convention / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: This week, I went to one of the world’s biggest mining and exploration conventions, which was hosted by the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) and was held in Toronto. There were hundreds of gold mining and exploration companies showcasing their projects and making their case for how they could be the next big investment.
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Thursday, March 06, 2014
Gold Price Fails to Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Briefly: In our opinion short speculative positions (half) in silver and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective. We are closing half of the long-term investment position in gold.
As you know, we had been expecting the tensions in Ukraine to cause a significant rally in gold (not necessarily in the rest of the precious metals sector). Not only wasn't that the case on Monday - the rally indeed took place, but it was rather average, but gold managed to decline on Tuesday while there was no visible improvement in the situation in Ukraine and on the Crimea peninsula.
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Monday, March 03, 2014
London Gold Price Fix Is Manipulated Although Evidence Exists For Many Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
It was only a week ago when we wrote that the Financial Times removed the article “Gold Price Rigging Fears Put Investors On Alert” from their website, a couple of hours after being published. We were able to dig up the original article in Google’s caching memory and took screenshots of the removed article.
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Monday, March 03, 2014
GOLD Price Bearish Reversal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold has turned down from 1345 resistance area where we see a completed five wave rise from 1251 level, which was the end point of a triangle. There are chances that market accomplished wave (c) that is a part of a huge zigzag from 1181 low. Notice that price also moved beneath 1251-1307 trendline that suggests further weakness in the short-term, probably back to 1307 area of a former wave iv).
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Saturday, March 01, 2014
Gold And Silver - From Now On All that Matters Is That You Own Both / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Circumstances are at such a point that one no longer needs a justifiable reason for being long physical gold and/or silver. Does it matter that the 50 day moving average is going to cross the 200 day moving average, now being bandied about as though there were a degree of magic associated with the event? Does it matter any more that China remains a record buyer of physical gold for over a year? Did it ever matter that coin sales to the public have been setting records for well over a year?
Friday, February 28, 2014
New Silver Major Is Born / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Just last month Tahoe Resources announced the achievement of commercial production at its Escobal mine. And sounding the trumpets on such an exploit most certainly deserves investors’ attention. When 2014 comes to a close, Tahoe will be flexing its muscles as a global top-10 silver producer!
At an annual clip of approximately 20m ounces, Escobal will be the world’s third-largest primary silver mine behind only BHP Billiton’s Cannington mine (Australia) and Fresnillo PLC’s namesake Fresnillo mine (Mexico). This mine makes Tahoe the world’s third-largest primary silver producer, behind only Fresnillo and Pan American Silver. And it even vaults host country Guatemala into the global top 10.
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Friday, February 28, 2014
Silver Profit Taking After Eight Consecutive Weeks of Rising Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The rise in the gold price ran into profit-taking on Wednesday. Having risen $160 to $1345 some short-term profit taking is only to be expected, and silver followed suit.
The action in silver revolved round the March contract on Comex, with some players choosing to close their positions rather than roll it into a later month. This action can be clearly seen in the chart below.
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Friday, February 28, 2014
Gold in 2013 the Foundation for 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The chronological events of 2013 set the background for gold in 2014. It was a momentous year which should ensure a rise in the gold price in 2014.
Before 2013 demand for physical ETFs was high. At the same time Asian demand, from China, India, Turkey and elsewhere, was accelerating leaving Western bullion markets increasingly short of physical liquidity. Hong Kong and China between them in 2012 had absorbed on official figures 1,458 tonnes, and India a further 988 tonnes, ensuring 2013 kicked off with more global demand than available supply from mines and scrap.
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Friday, February 28, 2014
Silver Position Limits, Commodity Perceptions and Monetary Ignorance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The dividing line between silver performing as a monetary asset versus an industrial commodity is tethered to a broken price discovery system, where unlimited position limits are held by the most influential of traders.
This fault line, at the heart of price manipulation, paints a dangerous and false perception that permeates the trading landscape - as well as the mainstream perception of money.
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Friday, February 28, 2014
The Heart of Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
"The desire of gold is not for gold. It is for the means of freedom and benefit...For what avail the plough or sail, or land or life, if freedom fail?" Ralph Waldo EmersonRead full article... Read full article...
"Over the long run, the price of gold approximates the total amount of money in circulation divided by the size of the gold stock. If the market price of gold moves a long way from this level, it may indicate a buying or selling opportunity." Ray Dalio
Thursday, February 27, 2014
GOLD Price Elliott Wave Analysis: Resistance Nearby / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
On gold we have adjusted the wave count after recent acceleration and daily close above 1300 level. We are now tracking an incomplete triangle in wave 4) but bias remains the same; we see move up from 1181 as temporary and corrective retracement that may stop and send prices down in second part of this month. We see resistance for a potential turning pint at 1330, 1362, followed by 1376.
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Thursday, February 27, 2014
U.S. Dollar Rallies, Gold Declines / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
In short: In our opinion short positions (half): gold, silver, and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
The entire precious metals sector declined yesterday, even gold. Has the situation changed enough to double the short position? Let’s take a closer look (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Thursday, February 27, 2014
Gold, QE, The Federal Reserve and Janet Yellen / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The Federal Reserve
The formulation of any investment strategy requires the investor to be well aware of the big picture which includes an understanding of the wider economic and political environment. One of the major elements to be considered is the various actions being implemented by our politicians and the central banks. One such central bank is The Federal Reserve who controls the money supply in the United States.