Category: Gold and Silver 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Friday, November 28, 2014
Gold and Silver Price Discovery - When the Wrong Men Use the Right Means / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
I’m not a real farmer. But I suffer the lessons and I do my best when I talk with friends, neighbors, and families about the unintended benefits of ‘growing your own’…
..There is universal agreement about the problem of not really knowing where ‘the food’ comes from.
That may be at the core but is the basis for another fiasco of ignorance. The basic need for fair value underlies civil society; it is part and parcel to understanding where the food comes from.
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Thursday, November 27, 2014
Gold Price Would Soar on Possible Swiss Yes Vote / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
There are just 3 days left until the“Save Our Swiss Gold” referendum this Sunday. On November 30, voters in Switzerland will head to the polls to decide whether the Swiss National Bank (SNB) should back the Swiss franc with gold by increasing its gold holdings to 20% - up from current levels of 7%.
The conservative Swiss People's party proposed the initiative, called "Save Our Swiss Gold", with the intention of boosting the security and financial and monetary independence of Switzerland in these times of financial uncertainty. They believe that a 20% gold holding will protect the Swiss people from currency debasement, currency devaluation and an international monetary crisis.
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Thursday, November 27, 2014
Silver Bear Still Looms Despte 10% Price Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Rallying 10% from recent lows silver is nearing resistance
Per our last update, the prospect for some sort of pivotal turn-date occurring near Thanksgiving appears to be setting up as a plausible short-term pivot high rather than a long-term secular low. As I suggested weeks ago, this rally came as no surprise.
Wednesday, November 26, 2014
China Secret Gold Buying ... How Could It Happen? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By Grant Williams
“How could it happen, Grandad?”
The old man’s eyes misted over as he looked down at his grandson, who sat at his feet, his young eyes alive with questions as he turned the heavy gold bar over in his hands.
”I’ve told you the story too many times to count,” said the man, half-pleading, but knowing full-well he’d soon be deep into the umpteenth retelling of a story he’d lived through once in reality and a thousand times more through the eager questioning of the young man now tugging at his trouser leg. “Why don’t I tell you the story of how I met your Grandma instead?”
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Wednesday, November 26, 2014
Gold and Silver Refreshing Resilience / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold and silver held their prices well today with silver actually gaining some ground. Not bad for the day after a Comex option expiration.
This Friday the December contract becomes active on first notice, so we might see some changes in open interest.
Not much to report in the delivery category, but the Comex warehouse show the continued drip, drip of bullion out of their domains.
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Wednesday, November 26, 2014
Gold Price Spikes to $1,467.50/oz on Computer Glitch? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold spiked higher in many price feeds overnight and was $270 higher or more than 22% higher to $1,467.50/oz at one stage in what appears to have been some form of computer glitch.
There was speculation that the price spike which came while the COMEX was closed for 30 minutes was due to a series of charting errors or misprints, a bad price feed or a computer glitch. Another example of how technology is a great enabler but can also be a great disabler.
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Tuesday, November 25, 2014
Swiss Gold Referendum A Golden Opportunity for Switzerland / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The referendum on the Swiss Gold Initiative will take place on November 30.1 The Initiative demands the following: (1) The Swiss National Bank (SNB) shall be prohibited from selling any of its gold reserves; (2) the SNB’s gold reserves must be stored in Switzerland; and (3) the SNB must keep at least 20 percent of its assets in gold (i.e., the “20-percent rule”).
The balance sheet of the SNB currently amounts to 522.3bn CHF (Swiss francs), with its gold holdings and claims from gold transactions amounting to 39.4bn CHF. The share of gold of the SNB’s assets is therefore about 7.5 percent — substantially lower than what the Initiative calls for.
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Tuesday, November 25, 2014
Silver: What COT Analysis Tells Us / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Each week the CFTC publishes a Commitments of Traders Report (COT) in which “non-commercial” and “commercial” long and short futures positions are reported. Many people have expressed doubts as to the validity, accuracy and consistency of the data. However, my experience is that the data is mostly relevant, accurate, and useful in the long term, but not necessarily important each week.
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Tuesday, November 25, 2014
The Swiss Referendum On Gold: What’s Missing From The Debate / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
This article is written by Eric Schreiber, independent asset manager, former head of commodities UBP, former head of precious metals Credit Suisse Zurich. All views expressed are his and may not reflect those of his former employers.
The Swiss will vote on a referendum on November 30th that would ban the Swiss National Bank (SNB) from selling current and future gold reserves, repatriate foreign stored gold holdings to Switzerland, and mandate that gold must comprise a minimum of 20% of central bank assets. The SNB does not usually comment on political referendums. However, in this case it has done so quite vocally.
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Monday, November 24, 2014
The Gold Clock is Ticking in Switzerland / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
For most of my career in international investing, I had always placed a great deal of faith in Switzerland's financial markets. In recent years, however, as the Swiss government has sought to hitch its wagon to the flailing euro currency and kowtow increasingly to U.S.-based financial requirements, this faith has been shaken. But this week (November 30th) a referendum in Switzerland on whether its central bank will be required to hold at least 20% of its reserves in gold, will offer ordinary Swiss citizens a rare opportunity to reclaim their country's strong economic heritage. It's a vote that few outside Switzerland are following, but the outcome could make an enormous impact on the global economy.
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Monday, November 24, 2014
Why Gold Price is Headed Much Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
What really drives the price of gold? Some say it's a fear gauge. Others prefer to look at the demand coming from the Indian wedding season. But the silliest of all conclusions to reach is that the dollar price of gold should be determined solely by its value vis-à-vis another fiat currency.
The truth is the primary driver of gold is the intrinsic value of the dollar itself, not its value on the Dollar Index (DXY). The intrinsic value of the dollar can be determined by the level of real interest rates. Real interest rates are calculated by subtracting the rate of inflation from a country's "risk free" sovereign yield. Right now the level of real interest rates in the U.S. is a negative 1.55%.
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Monday, November 24, 2014
122 Tonnes of Gold Secretly Repatriated to Netherlands / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The Dutch central bank said Friday it is repatriating some of its gold reserves from the U.S., making it the latest central bank in Europe to address public concerns about the safety of its gold in the wake of the eurozone debt crisis.
As the debate regarding whether or not Switzerland should keep the bulk of its gold reserves at home on Swiss soil reaches it's climax - the referendum takes place on Sunday - it is telling that the Dutch announced on Friday that they have just secretly repatriated 122 tonnes of their sovereign gold reserves from New York back to Amsterdam.
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Monday, November 24, 2014
Gold, Silver, and Blue Dollars / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
“Whether the single medium is gold, silver, seashells, cattle, or tobacco is optional, depending on the context and development of a given economy. In fact, all have been employed, at various times, as media of exchange. Even in the present century, two major commodities, gold and silver, have been used as international media of exchange, with gold becoming the predominant one. Gold, having both artistic and functional uses and being relatively scarce, has significant advantages over all other media of exchange.
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Monday, November 24, 2014
Gold Golden Gains Come After The Pain / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
HUI/Gold Ratio, National Inflation Association
When the HGR is rising, gold stocks are outperforming gold. Conversely when the HGR is falling, gold is outperforming gold stocks.
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Sunday, November 23, 2014
The Swiss Gold Referendum - Cat Among The Pigeons / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
November 30, 2014
On November 30, Swiss voters head to the polls on three separate questions: abolishing a flat tax on resident foreigners who do not work or presently pay income tax, a numbers-based cap on immigration, and a proposal to radically increase Swiss gold reserves and forbid the sale of reserves. Gold loans which would bring down the reserve total below th new target for reserves, sometime in 2019 would also be forbidden, but this is only implicid in the referendum question.
Saturday, November 22, 2014
Is the Gold And Silver Golden Rule Broken? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
He who owns the gold rules.
That has been the clichéd "wisdom" for some time. However it appears Russia has become the Rodney Dangerfield of the Golden Rule, for it certainly is not getting any respect. To the contrary, the Golden Rule has become subservient to Military Rule, the last remaining leg upon which the US rests in its ongoing inability to retain respect internationally.
As formidable as US military might is, it is not always effective in execution, and to date, it has only been [in]effective against those nations that have no military might, Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan. Syria is still a work in process, but the only reason why Syria has not been destroyed, like the other countries, is because Russia, Putin, stepped in to expose the Obomb-em administration and false flag "insurgent" gassing of citizens.
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Saturday, November 22, 2014
Investors Hated Gold at Precisely the Wrong Time: What About Now? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Sentiment extremes often foretell major turns in financial markets
Editor's note: You'll find the text version of the story below the video.
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Saturday, November 22, 2014
Gold and GLD ETF Selloff / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold has suffered a rough couple of months, getting pounded below major support. One driver was stock-market capital flowing out of gold again, as evidenced by renewed differential selling pressure seen in gold-ETF shares. But this was minor compared to last year’s, despite extreme bearish sentiment plaguing gold. Gold-ETF selling exhaustion has effectively been hit, paving the way for big rebound buying.
The dominant gold ETF remains the American SPDR Gold Shares, which trades as GLD. This vehicle revolutionized gold trading for stock investors, creating a quick and efficient conduit for the vast pools of stock capital to migrate into and out of gold. And since GLD just celebrated its 10th birthday this week, it’s a great time to take another look at it. Starting from humble beginnings, GLD has matured into a gold juggernaut.
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Friday, November 21, 2014
Better Tone for Volatile Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold has had a volatile week, but rose from $1147 last Friday afternoon to a high of $1205 on Tuesday. On Wednesday the price moved between down $25 on the latest opinion poll on the Swiss referendum, then recovered to $23 before falling again on the release of the Fed's FOMC minutes. However, despite these unsettling swings gold rose on the week by about $30 overall, making it two weeks in a row as shown in our first chart.
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Friday, November 21, 2014
Swiss Gold Poll Likely Tighter Than Polls Suggest / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By Ronan Manly: There is just over one week to go before the Swiss gold initiative referendum on Sunday 30 November. The release of the latest opinion poll earlier this week shows a strengthening of opposition to the initiative at the expense of the yes camp, with the level of undecided voters still a significant component of the equation. Taking the ‘maybes’ into account, there are still, according to the latest poll, 37% of voters who are not definitely yes or definitely no at this stage.
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