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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stock Market Sentiment

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 20, 2009

Stock Market Dumb Money Indicator Says Investors are Extremely Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe holidays are approaching, and I am lucky enough to be traveling this year with my family. So there won't be any comments attached to this week's sentiment charts. I don't have the time, and I won't waste your time. That's o.k. because as you know nothing has really changed in this market for the last three months anyway. Prices have been range bound, and investors continue to be overly bullish, insiders continue to sell, and the smart money remains indifferent.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 17, 2009

Stock Market Timers, FOMC A One Day Event / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

For Wednesday's FOMC announcement, the Rydex market timers were betting heavy that Bernanke and company would deliver. The Fed didn't disappoint as they continue to keep their foot on the easy money pedal. Unfortunately, the market did its best to frustrate the most, and the early morning rally fizzled intraday. The Rydex market timers have moved back to the sidelines.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Rydex Stock Market Timers Indicator Signaling Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500 with the amount of assets in the Rydex bullish and leveraged funds versus the amount of assets in the leveraged and bearish funds. This data is hidden, but the ratio of bull to bear, which is depicted by the indicator in the lower panel, is 2 to 1. Since July, 2009, every time this ratio got above 2, it marked a short term top in the S&P500. These are noted by the maroon colored vertical bars.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Stock Market Investors Watching the Snow Fall / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Paul_J_Nolte

Investors seem to be mailing it in for the last couple of weeks of the year. Some buying interest on decent overall economic numbers, but very low volume indicates that many are sitting on their hands awaiting the flip of the calendar. Retail sales were better than expected, however auto sales and slightly higher gas prices did boost sales. The trade picture improved some, while jobless claim rose a bit – so at worst OK economic data.

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InvestorEducation

Friday, December 11, 2009

Robert Prechter Popular Culture and the Stock Market / InvestorEducation / Stock Market Sentiment

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWall Street legend and best-selling author Robert Prechter says "You can almost hear the Dow going up and down over the airwaves." Watch this 3-minute clip from his documentary History's Hidden Engine to see how social mood governs movements in the stock market and trends in popular culture. Then access his 50-page report "Popular Culture and the Stock Market" FREE.

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InvestorEducation

Friday, December 11, 2009

Robert Prechter, What Really Moves the Stock Market / InvestorEducation / Stock Market Sentiment

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe following article is adapted from a special report on "Popular Culture and the Stock Market" published by Robert Prechter, founder and CEO of the technical analysis and research firm Elliott Wave International. Although originally published in 1985, "Popular Culture and the Stock Market" is so timeless and relevant that USA Today covered its insights in a recent Nov. 2009 article. For the rest of this revealing 50-page report, download it for free here.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 06, 2009

Stock Market Cross Currents / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe trading range that has developed over the past several weeks is emblematic of the cross currents confronting this market. New highs seem to be made daily and then boom, the rug is pulled out from the market, and prices plunge for a couple of hours. Buyers appear and back to the highs we go and selling begins again. If you are looking for some support area where you might think it is "safe" to find a low risk entry, then this isn't the market for you. Sell offs are clearly unpredictable although they are occurring at the upper reaches of the trading zone that I had expected when I stated this over two months ago:

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 06, 2009

This Stock Market is on Less Footing than in 2007 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: J_Derek_Blain

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt seems that we have returned to the "olden days" of the bubble era.  In fact, the words bubble, gold, bull market, and stocks seem to be popping up on finance web sites all over the virtual stratosphere.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 15, 2009

Stock Market Smart Money Turning Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter 15 weeks of being neutral, the "smart money" indicator has turned towards a more bearish reading. The "dumb money" indicator remains in the extreme bullish zone. While not there yet, the indicators are heading in the direction that one would expect to see at a market top.

For now, I will continue to state what I have been stating for 5 weeks as it has served us well in defining the price action seen in the major market indices:

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Do NOT go Against This Stock Market Iindicator ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Marty_Chenard

We think it is important enough to post everyday on our paid website ... what is it?

It is a chart of how much selling Institutional Investors do everyday, and what the short term trend of that selling is.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 08, 2009

Stock Market Investment Sentiment, Changes Within The Indicators / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEvery week that I put together these comments, I pay great attention to the words that I write. Last week's key points were: 1) the range continues; 2) seasonal tendencies and being at the bottom of a well defined trend channel argue for a bounce; 3) we need to see the excesses of bullish sentiment unwound before we have meaningfully higher prices; 4) the risk of a market down draft remains great. This week investor sentiment has become very convoluted suggesting even greater care in the words I choose. So let's get to it.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Stock Market Rydex Market Timers No Material Change / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500 with the amount of assets in the Rydex Money Market Fund in the lower panel.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Rydex Stock Market Timers Buying The Dip / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Rydex market timer, as a representative sample of investors, was buying yesterday's sell off.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 25, 2009

Stock Market Rydex Market Timers: All In (Again!) / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

The last time I used those words was on September 25, which marked a short term high in the S&P500. About a week later, a reasonable short term (trading) opportunity developed.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 24, 2009

Stock Market Investor Sentiment Consistency And Credibility / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week's comments are about why I continue to present the same data on investor sentiment week after week. Some readers have suggested that this data has been of little value during this historic bull run, and so why keep showing it. I believe the data has been relevant, but for those who see otherwise, let's just agree to disagree for now.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 22, 2009

Watch What Institutional Stock Market Investors are Doing / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Marty_Chenard

As an analytical firm, we pay for a lot of special data that the public can't get. Sometimes, the data is of major importance relative to what is going on in the stock market.

One such piece of data has to do with what Institutional Investors are doing. We all know that they are responsible for over 50% of any given day's volume ... which is why following this investment group is so important.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 18, 2009

Stock Market Investor Sentiment, I Am Still Singing That Song / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week I was changing my tune. This week's tune is the same old song: "Equities are for renting not owning at this juncture. I am not calling for a market top, but prices should trade more in a range, and if you intend to play on the long side, it will be important to maintain your discipline (for risk reasons) and buy at the lows of that trading range and sell at the highs to extract any profits from this market. The upward bias still remains as long as investor sentiment is still extremely bullish, but there is probably greater risk of a market down draft now than in past weeks."

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Stock Market Rally Technically Irrelevant / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Kevin_George

If any further evidence was needed of the “all markets versus the dollar” ponzi trade, it’s the new highs for 2009 that we’re now seeing across the financial markets.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Are Institutional Investors Selling or Buying Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Marty_Chenard

Are Institutional Investors taking profits?

Today's study shows the "net" daily amount of daily Buying and Selling for Institutional Investors. The green bars show the daily net calculation by subtracting the amount of Selling from the amount of Buying.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

Where and Who Are the Stock Market Bulls? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBull markets are said to climb a wall of worry. And during the past week this valued adage came to my mind again and again.

You see, I’ve been travelling quite a bit in Europe … giving speeches and presentations. This gave me the opportunity to talk to many institutional and private investors, and entrepreneurs. And was I ever surprised about how much things have changed!

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