Category: Recession 2008 - 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Saturday, May 23, 2009
Economic Recovery, I Give Up Soothsaying... / Politics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Well, I am dead wrong and so are most people who contribute to Market Oracle. The people are correct: The economy is "turning around", you can feel the change, people are spending again, the market is up, Obama and the Congress are rescuing us!
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Friday, May 22, 2009
Arnold Schwarzenegger Terminates California's Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Iconic bodybuilder, actor and politician Arnold Schwarzenegger is having really bad times now. The population of California rejected his package to balance the budget in the economically stricken state. A huge ‘black hole’ - $15 billion - appeared in the budget of California. The Californian electorate is seriously concerned about their governor.
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
Fed's Economic Forecast Worsens; Still Ridiculously Optimistic / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
The peak in initial claims might be in but the peak in unemployment is nowhere close. Continuing claims hit 6.66 million, setting a record for the 16th straight week.
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
U.S. The Toll Booth Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Michael Hudson writes: It looks like bookstores are about to be swamped this summer and fall by advisories which publishers commissioned a year ago, as the economy was going off the rails. The preferred marketing strategy is to offer advice by celebrity insiders on how to restore the happy 1981-2007 era of debt-leveraged price gains for real estate, stocks and bonds. But the Bubble Economy was so debt-leveraged that it cannot reasonably be restored.
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
Financial Implosion and Economic Stagnation, Back To The Real Economy- Part2 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
A Political Economy - Economics in its classical stage, which encompassed the work of both possessive-individualists, like Adam Smith, David Ricardo, Thomas Malthus, and John Stuart Mill, and socialist thinkers such as Karl Marx, was called political economy. The name was significant because it pointed to the class basis of the economy and the role of the state. 39 To be sure, Adam Smith introduced the notion of the “invisible hand” of the market in replacing the former visible hand of the monarch. But, the political-class context of economics was nevertheless omnipresent for Smith and all the other classical economists. In the 1820s, as Marx observed, there were “splendid tournaments” between political economists representing different classes (and class fractions) of society.
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
Financial Implosion and Economic Stagnation, Back To The Real Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
John Bellamy Foster and Fred Magdoff write: But, you may ask, won’t the powers that be step into the breach again and abort the crisis before it gets a chance to run its course? Yes, certainly. That, by now, is standard operating procedure, and it cannot be excluded that it will succeed in the same ambiguous sense that it did after the 1987 stock market crash. If so, we will have the whole process to go through again on a more elevated and more precarious level. But sooner or later, next time or further down the road, it will not succeed… We will then be in a new situation as unprecedented as the conditions from which it will have emerged. —Harry Magdoff and Paul Sweezy (1988) 1
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Wednesday, May 20, 2009
One Thought Could Change Your Life / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
One thought could change your life, your wealth, your trading day, your happiness. Mostly they come and go, but few stay. This is something that you can find usefull, it’s not only about trading, but it could change your feeling of the market and make you become more resistant to “green shoots”, government stupidity, manipulation and many other things. There is no need to comply with these thoughts, the purpose is to start thinking.
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Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Economic Recovery or Economy Resetting At Lower Activity Levels? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
The financial channels are abuzz with talk of a recovery, but we're not out of the woods yet. In fact, the deceleration in the rate of economic decline is not a sign of recovery at all, but proof that the economy is resetting at a lower level of activity. That means the recession will drag on for some time no matter what the Fed does. The problem is the breakdown in the securitzation markets which has cut off the flow of easy credit to consumers and businesses. The credit-freeze has caused a sharp drop in retail, auto sales, furniture, electronics, travel, global trade etc.
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Monday, May 18, 2009
The Economy’s Search for a "New Normal" / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Shamus Cooke writes: When the reality of the economic crisis first made itself known, many who realized what was happening dubbed it “the greatest crisis since the Great Depression.” This description was more than bombast; it was a sober analysis of the immensity of the economic problems in the country — problems that had been building up for years.
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Monday, May 18, 2009
2009 The Most Challenging Year for World Economies Since WWII / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
With overall global economic growth slowing to a near standstill this year, 2009 will be the most challenging year for economies since World War II, according to an International Monetary Fund report.
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Monday, May 18, 2009
Obama is Disastrous for the U.S. Economy, Recession Worst is Yet to Come / Politics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Howard Davidowitz, chairman of Davidowitz & Associates has an interesting take on the economy that I happen to agree with.
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Sunday, May 17, 2009
Europes' Economy Crashes by 2.5% in 1st Quarter GDP / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Europe’s economy contracted at the fastest pace in at least 13 years in the first quarter as companies cut output and jobs to survive the worst global slump in more than six decades.
Gross domestic product in the 16-member euro region dropped 2.5 percent from the fourth quarter, when it fell 1.6 percent, the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg said today.
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Saturday, May 16, 2009
The Impact of Economic Data Revisions at Stock Market Junctures / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
Can I Have Some More of that Data, Please?
The Fault, Dear Brutus, is Not in Our Stars
Faith-Based Economics
Is Unemployment a Lagging or a Leading Indicator?
An Unsustainable Trend in Debt
Some Thoughts on the Health Care Problem
Why does government data need to be revised so often? Is it conspiracy, as some claim, or is it methodology? And if it is methodology that leads to faulty data, then why not change the methodology? Is unemployment a lagging indicator, as conventional wisdom suggests? We look again at the underlying assumptions to suggest that things are not always the same. And finally, we look at unsustainable trends, fiscal deficits, and health care -- there is a connection.
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Saturday, May 16, 2009
Reflation and Stagnation Are Next for the Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Mr. Market has begun to show clear signs of split personality disorder in recent weeks. Now that investors have exhaled in relief that a deflationary apocalypse has been avoided, the new reality of reflation and stagnation is sinking in…
“Mr. Market” is starting to show clear signs of split personality disorder.
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Thursday, May 14, 2009
Imaginary Green Shoots of Economic Recovery Based on Manipulated Statistics / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
The so-called ‘Green Shoots’ have been trampled by people walking to their Unemployment Insurance Offices to collect jobless claims in order to pay their bills. The so-called ‘Green Shoots’ have been trampled been people walking (or running) away from their homes as they are being foreclosed. The so-called ‘Green Shoots’ will continue to suffer from most water and nutrients heading to the Elite Gardens, diverted from those on Main Street. The so-called ‘Green Shoots’ have been killed off by a stubborn frost from the US Economy. A prevailing sentiment and motivation has sadly and perversely entered into the public and financial sectors, with clear deceptive intention.
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Thursday, May 14, 2009
U.S. Initial Unemployment Claims Jump; Continuing Claims Hit 6.5 Million / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
The peak in initial claims might be in but the peak in unemployment is nowhere close. Continuing claims hit 6.56 million, setting a record for the 15th straight week.
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Thursday, May 14, 2009
What's Dr. Copper think about the Economy? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Copper prices have now fallen for five days straight, the longest losing streak since the tumultuous period in mid-December when it appeared the whole world was about to come to an end and surging demand for Treasuries pushed the ten-year yield to what can only be described as the "freakishly low" level of 2.0 percent.
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Thursday, May 14, 2009
GM and U.S. Going Broke Together / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Bill Bonner writes: As GM goes…so goes America…
Uh oh…
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Thursday, May 14, 2009
Can China Accelerate the U.S. Economic Recovery? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Institutional investors have talked a lot about the so-called “yen carry trade” over the past couple of years. But that’s really just been a warm-up act for a much bigger story.
I’m talking about the “yuan carry trade.”
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Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Retail Sales "Green Shoots" of Economic Recovery Wither On The Vine / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Whatever momentum consumers had (real or imaginary) is already in question as Retail Sales Unexpectedly Fall for Second Month.Retail sales in the U.S. unexpectedly dropped in April for a second month, indicating that rising unemployment is prompting consumers to conserve cash.
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