Category: Recession 2008 - 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, February 27, 2009
A Crisis of Confidence / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Andy_Sutton
A scan of the financial and economic landscape of any society during solid, genuinely prosperous times will always reveal a populace brimming with confidence. Confidence in their ability to make a living, confidence in the ability of their leaders, confidence in the workings of their financial markets to whatever extent they exist, and ultimately confidence in the strength of their money. These factors are all interlocking directorates - take any one of them away and you'll witness an economy that is no longer efficient and begins to stumble. Take them all away and you'll witness unbridled economic chaos. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 26, 2009
Economic Sickness the Long-term Cure for U.S. Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Browne
Everyone has been guilty, at one time or another, of ignoring a cold. Though you knew you were sick, you may have kept working hard, playing hard, and staying out late. Not until you were bed-ridden did you start drinking orange juice and taking your health seriously. The U.S. economy appears to be following a similar trajectory. We have consistently ignored serious symptoms to the point where our economy is nearly a terminal case.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
Five Signs the Economy is Recovering / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Q1_Publishing
What a relief. The markets are up. We're all saved. It's time to spend again. Borrow away. The panic's over. A recovery is coming in 2010. We're home free, right?
If you listened to Fed Chairman Bernanke today that's what we would be led to believe. He said “there is a reasonable prospect” the recession will end this year.
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Tuesday, February 24, 2009
Dispatches from the Front Lines of the Economic Crisis / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Stephen_Lendman
The more they do, the worse it gets, and world headlines confirm it. Recent ones include: -- The New York Times, February 17: "After Manhattan's Office Boom, a Hard Fall;"
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Monday, February 23, 2009
Economic Freefall a Blessing in Disguise / Politics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Submissions
Jon Ronnquist writes: One thing we should not overlook when taking in the impact of the current economic situation is that it is both inevitable and invaluable in equal measure. That there was no escaping the consequences we are now facing has been a well known fact among those in the know for many years. If anything, it is amazing that we have staved it off for so long. For this we have the hard working men and women of the real world to thank, who toiled on in the name of pride, dignity and responsibility until the burden of debt simply became to great to bear.
Sunday, February 22, 2009
World Economies Face Perfect Storm of Deepening Recession and Banking Crisis / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
A perfect storm of a deepening global recession and banking woes last week battered equities and supported the safe havens of the US dollar, government bonds and gold bullion.
A dismal corporate earnings outlook, fears about bank nationalizations, especially Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C), and a warning by Moody's Investors Service of possible downgrades of European banks exposed to the slumping economies of Central and Eastern Europe, stoked investors' fears.
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Saturday, February 21, 2009
UK Unemployment Time Bomb to Explode July 2009 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Official UK unemployment data for November 08 stands at 1.97million, with unemployment as of the end of January estimated at 2.1 million as a consequences of the rise in claimant count for December 08 and January 09 of 226,000. However whilst the pace of unemployment increases is bad as it is, which is approaching 100,000 a month, unfortunately there also exists the unemployment time bomb of the estimated 600,000 graduates that are expected to join the labour market in July 2009, which could result in a surge of unemployment of as many as 250,000 in a single, with also extra high unemployed numbers for subsequent months.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 19, 2009
Employers Using Recession to Hit Employees Hard / Politics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Submissions
Dave Lindorff writes: Whatever the truth is about where this economy is heading, one thing is clear: employers are taking every opportunity to slash employment and, if they are unionized, to hammer unions for pay cuts, even when there is no justification for these actions. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 18, 2009
European Banks $25 Trillion Financial Black Hole Hitting Euro-zone Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Oxbury_Research
Happy that Oxbury now allows for immediate online feedback on its revamped website; I rather enjoy the opportunity to deal with the lesser lights among my readers. With respect to those who offered suggestions and reasonable criticisms, I'll suffice here with a nod of thanks. It's more to the fools that I address the following.
There's a lot of confusion about markets and their relationship to the economy. It's a confusion that arises directly from one's sense of self. What do I mean by that? Let me explain.
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Tuesday, February 17, 2009
Sales Tax Time Bomb Explodes as Consumption in Freefall / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds are reading Holiday Blues: Weakness Unmatched In 35 Years
Consumption: From Excess to Freefall
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Tuesday, February 17, 2009
U.S. Economic Weakness Unmatched in 35 Years / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Mauldin
One of the best gauges of an economy is tax collections. No one pays taxes unless they have to, so collections are a real-world, real-time analysis of the US economy. And the best source I know of for tracking taxes is The Liscio Report, by Philippa Dunne & Doug Henwood.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 17, 2009
UK Recession Watch- Britain's Great Depression? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The purpose of this analysis is to map out to the trend of the UK recession for 2009 and 2010 in terms of depth, the bottom and the potential recovery. The most recently released GDP data shows that the UK economy actually did fall off of the edge of a cliff during the fourth quarter of 2008 by contracting by a shocking 1.5% GDP. This compares against the governments recent forecast for 2% GDP contraction for the whole of 2009 which paints a picture of gross under estimation of the actual extent of the degree of economic contraction that is taking place at this time, and hence the adoption of the easy going terminology of "Quantative Easing" to hide the truth of money printing on a scale that could bankrupt Britain, the evidence of which has been played out in the currency markets with sterling's fall to a 23 year low against the dollar, a fall of over 30% in barely 6 months. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 16, 2009
Eastern European Economies About to Explode in a Chain Reaction of Debt Defaults / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Whitney
Eastern Europe is about to blow. If it does, it could take much of the EU with it. It's an emergency situation but there are no easy solutions. The IMF doesn't have the resources for a bailout of this size and the recession is spreading faster than relief efforts can be organized. Finance ministers and central bankers are running in circles trying to put out one fire after another. Its only a matter of time before they are overtaken by events. If one country is allowed to default, the dominoes could begin to tumble through the whole region. This could trigger dramatic changes in the political landscape. The rise of fascism is no longer out of the question. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 15, 2009
What if the World Stops Spending for Good / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Kevin_Geary
All the politicians and policy makers around the world are trying to do what actually may be impossible.
They are trying to get banks to lend again and they are trying to get "Joe Public" (consumers) to spend again. Nothing they are doing is working so far, and nothing they are likely to do will get banks to ease credit again, nor people around the world to spend again like there's no tomorrow, or in other words, like they did before yesterday.
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Sunday, February 15, 2009
Global Recession, United States Economy in Least Worst Shape / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_and_Markets
Jack Crooks Writes: Americans are beginning to realize the gravity of the current U.S. economic situation. After the new Treasury Secretary spoke earlier this week he left us with a very uncomfortable feeling: This problem is huge, and no one seems to have a real answer.
Still, the government feels it must produce an answer and prove that it is the ONLY entity that can fix this mess — via hundreds of billions (perhaps trillions) of U.S. dollars.
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Sunday, February 15, 2009
Anatomy of the Global Economic Downturn / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: William_R_Thomson
Business Times Singapore 13 February 2009 -FAR from being at, or even near, the trough of the economic and financial system crisis, are we still staring into the abyss? And if things have to get worse before they get better, how much worse, and for how long? Is a 'relief rally' likely in equity markets before long? The Business Times invited a group of experts (who correctly predicted that the crisis would be far worse than most people expected) to tell us where things are likely to go from here - and what kind of investment portfolio to build against an uncertain future. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 15, 2009
UK Official Unemployment Now Above 2.1 million Real 7.9million / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK unemployment shot up by 48,000 for November 08 data to 1.97 million, and remains on target to bust above 2 million on release of data for December 2008. The unemployment claimant count soared by 11% for January to 1.28 million, up a shocking 129,000 on the month and confirming that the pace of unemployment is accelerating as the economy fell over the cliff during the fourth quarter.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 14, 2009
The Road To Economic Recovery Has Potholes / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Oxbury_Research
Let's take care of some old business first.
When I suggested a closer look at long positions in GE and BAC last week, I did not expect each of them to spike violently in two days. That was part luck.
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Thursday, February 12, 2009
Germanys Economic Collapse as Stocks Trend Lower With Team Obama / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Oxbury_Research
As of this writing, the short term trend of the market is decidedly down. Whether this lasts a day or two, or extends to a week or more is not knowable.
The reason? Timothy Geithner, President Barack Hussein Obama's choice for Treasury Secretary, was inadequate to the task given him. He said nothing concrete about the government's new proposals vis-à-vis the banking system, and the markets reacted (as markets do) when faced with ever more uncertainty: they collapsed.
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Thursday, February 12, 2009
America's Difficult but Not Impossible Economic Transition / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Chris_Galakoutis
There can be no denying the long history of greatness for America. Whether it be the election to its highest office of a leader who not only flung a long-shut door wide open, but ripped it off its hinges, or an American jetliner crew who safely crash lands a plane onto a frigid New York river, we are reminded of America's greatness every day. Read full article... Read full article...