The Great Depression 80 Years Later, Same Culprits, Same Rage
Economics / Economic Depression Oct 24, 2011 - 02:24 AM GMTBy: James_Quinn
 The young man stands on the edge of his porch
The young man stands on the edge of his porch
  The days were short and the father was gone
  There was no one in the town and no one in the field
  This dusty barren land had given all it could yield
  I've been kicked off my land at the age of sixteen
  And I have no idea where else my heart could have been
  I placed all my trust at the foot of this hill
  And now I am sure my heart can never be still
  So collect your courage and collect your horse
  And pray you never feel this same kind of remorse
  Dust Bowl Dance - Mumford & Sons  

The song from Mumford & Sons  called Dust Bowl Dance is as  pertinent to today as it was in describing the Great Depression.  I was taken by the lyrics and the rage in the  song. The setting for the song is the Dust Bowl of the 1930's in the U.S.  Midwest. Picture the Joads in Grapes of Wrath. As I listened to the song  again this morning I was struck by the similarities between the time period  described in the song and our present situation.
  The lyrics by Marcus Mumford tell  the story of a young man who's lost everything. His family is either dead  or forced off their land. My interpretation of the lyrics is that the bank has  foreclosed on his farm after their crops failed during the dust bowl. I picture  a Mr. Potter like character who held the mortgages on all the farms and houses  in a small community. The evil banker didn't care that families had  lived on this land for decades, raising their families along with the crops.  These hard working farmers had done nothing wrong. They were victims of  circumstances. But bankers didn’t care about ruining lives. The family farmers  didn't participate in the Roaring 20's, borrow on margin to invest in stocks,  or reap ungodly profits. The farmers were victims of land speculators and  bad weather. The only son in the song took the law into his own hand  and shot the evil banker. He was ready to do his time, because his act was  righteous payback.
  Eighty years ago the last Fourth  Turning was also in its infancy. They generally last 15 to 20 years. The  catalyst for the last Fourth Turning was the great stock market crash of  1929.   The 1920s "boom" enriched only a fraction of  the American people. Earnings for farmers and industrial workers stagnated or  fell. Farmers were barely getting by during the roaring 20s. Only the  Wall Street crowd was getting rich.  The economic growth of the 1920s  did not reach most Americans: 60% of American families earned less than the  amount necessary to support their basic needs ($2,500 was considered enough to  support a family’s basic needs). The agricultural sector was similarly  stagnant: farm prices dropped after World War I when Europe again began to feed  itself and new grain exports from South American further depressed prices. The  lack of purchasing power of rural people and farmers resulted in declines in  consumer purchasing in those areas, as well as increased defaults on debt.  Rural, urban, and suburban consumers began to increase their personal debts  through mortgages, car loans, and installment plans to buy consumer goods, such  as radios.
  The ever-growing price for stocks  was, in part, the result of greater wealth concentration within the investor  class. Eventually the Wall Street stock exchange began to take on a dangerous  aura of invincibility, leading investors to ignore less optimistic indicators  in the economy.  Over-investment and speculating (gambling) in stocks  further inflated their prices, contributing to the illusion of a robust  economy.
  The crucial point came in the 1920s  when banks began to loan money to stock-buyers since stocks were the hottest  commodity in the marketplace. Wall Street banks encouraged Wall Street  investors to use the stocks themselves as collateral. When stocks dropped in  value, and investors could not repay the banks, the banks were left holding  near-worthless collateral. Banks went broke, pulling productive businesses down  with them as they called in loans and foreclosed mortgages in a desperate  attempt to stay afloat. The Federal Reserve was responsible for regulating the  banks. They were responsible for the easy money policies during the 1920s. The  biggest financial institutions in the country  included: Citibank, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan  & Co., Chase National Bank, and Wells Fargo. Sound familiar? 
The Great Depression was caused by  the Federal Reserve and their owners, the biggest Wall Street banks, aiding and  abetting reckless speculation, greed and extreme risk taking with mountains of  debt. The rich got richer and the poor got poorer. The income inequality in the  U.S. reached an all-time peak in 1928. It stayed at a high level until World  War II. The glory years of the American Empire were from 1941 through  1979, when the middle class was growing, and the income distribution in the  country was fair and equitable, as our manufacturing based economy raised  all boats.

The income inequality in the country  reached the same extreme level in 2007, just prior to the Wall Street created financial  implosion. It has not improved in the last four years. In the early 1930s there  was the feeling of revolution in the air. With unemployment at 25% and people  in desperate straits, the government feared communists or fascists gaining  power. The New Deal was really a way to keep the citizens occupied so that a  revolution would not take hold. There was much anger towards the bankers and  aristocracy who caused the Great Depression. The anger is reflected in the  Mumford & Sons lyrics:
  Your oppression reeks of your greed and disgrace
  So one man has and another has not
  How can you love what it is you have got
  When you took it all from the weak hands of the poor?
  Liars and thieves you know not what is in store
  Dust Bowl Dance - Mumford & Sons
The 2008 financial crash was caused  by loose Federal Reserve monetary policies, lack of Federal Reserve regulation  over criminally reckless Wall Street banks, and incredible levels of bad debt  rampant throughout our economic system. The true unemployment rate  today is 23%. Another parallel between the early 1930s and today can be seen in  the chart below. Almost 11,000 banks, or 40% of all the banks in the U.S., went  out of business. Predictably, these were all small banks. None of the connected  Wall Street banks went out of business. They benefitted, as 40% of their  competition disappeared. Too Big to Fail existed 80 years ago. You may also  note that savers were punished, as interest paid on savings plunged from 5% to  below 1% and the earnings of middle class workers collapsed.
| 
 | 1929 | 1933 | 
| Banks in operation | 25,568 | 14,771 | 
| Prime interest rate | 5.03% | 0.63% | 
| Volume of stocks sold (NYSE) | 1.1 B | 0.65 B | 
| Privately earned income | $45.5B | $23.9B | 
| Personal and corporate savings | $15.3B | $2.3B | 
Historical  Statistics of the United States,  pp. 235, 263, 1001, and 1007. 
  During the early years of the  current depression more than 400 banks have gone insolvent and another 800  banks are on the FDIC endangered species list. Therefore, approximately 15% of  all the banks in the U.S. will no longer compete with the Wall Street banks  that caused the financial crisis. Since 2008, the top five biggest banks in the  U.S. have dramatically increased their market share and power. They are: Bank  of America, JP Morgan Chase, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs. Amazing  how the exact same banks that caused the 1929 and the 2008 market crashes came  out unscathed and more powerful after each crisis.
    
  The mainstream media tries to  convince the American public that the stock market going up means the economy  is improving and they are doing better. The chart below shows that the stock  market bottomed in 1932 and proceeded to go up almost 500% by 1937. It’s too  bad only the bankers and richest people in society could afford to own stocks.  While the stock market soared, the average person struggled to survive. Only  the privileged stock owners prospered. The common man suffered.

The unemployment rate remained at elevated levels until World War II. The New Deal policies of Franklin Roosevelt did not end the Great Depression. The common man had trouble putting bread on their table during the entire decade of the 1930's. The storyline about FDR’s Keynesian spending ending the Depression is false.

The 1930s were filled with seething resentment.  The Liberty League and Father Charles Coughlin, the Rush Limbaugh of his time,  used anti-communist and socialist rhetoric to convince millions of Americans  that the model used in Nazi Germany was better than FDR's New Deal policies.  This pushed Roosevelt further to the left against big business and toward more  socialist programs to insure getting the votes of the poor. These  were bleak days in our country's history. General Smedley Butler revealed  a plot to overthrow the Roosevelt administration and replace it with  a fascist dictatorship. The country roiled with furious rage.
  In 1932, approximately 80 years ago,  43,000 marchers (17,000 veterans) descended upon Washington D.C.  The  Bonus Expeditionary Force, also known as the "Bonus Army", marched on  Washington to advocate the passage of the "soldier's bonus" for  service during World War I.  They set up a camp with tents to bring  attention to their cause. After Congress adjourned, bonus marchers remained in  the city and became unruly. On July 28, 1932, two bonus marchers were shot by  police, causing the entire mob to become hostile and riotous. The government  turned the U.S. military upon its citizens. Army cavalry units led by General  Douglas MacArthur dispersed the Bonus Army by riding through it and using gas.  Fifty five veterans were injured and 135 were arrested. Critics of the marchers  described them as communists, troublemakers, and criminals.
  Fast forward 80 years and we have  protestors setting up camp in a public square, not far from where the same exact  banks that caused the Great Depression have created the Greater Depression. The  biggest Wall Street banks have gotten bigger. The Federal Reserve, in collusion  with the Wall Street banks, has engineered a two year stock market rally, while  the average American has seen their wages decline, food and energy prices soar,  home prices fall, and banks paying them .1% on their savings. Anger and  disillusionment continue to build in this country like a volcano preparing to  blow. Some people are angry at Washington politicians. Some are angry at Wall  Street. Others aren’t sure who to be angry at. The evil oligarchy of bankers,  corporate titans, and bought off Washington politicians that control the agenda  and mainstream media, continue to scorn, ridicule and denigrate the middle  class of America. Their financial engineering is failing. They've gone too far.  The debt accumulation is unsustainable. The mood of the country has darkened  and talk of revolution and the shadow of impending violence is growing.
  The Great Depression was not an  event, it was an era. It was an era of discontent, pain, suffering, and  ultimately war and death. The people who lived through this era have mostly  died off. We have entered a new similar era. The average citizen sees the  American Dream of a better life slipping away due to the corruption, greed, and  immorality of our political and financial systems. The Federal Reserve's  current chosen mandate is to make the stock market go up, while impoverishing  the middle class. The 1% better hope the police and military continue to  obey their orders, because the 99% are angry and heavily armed. This Fourth  Turning has ten to fifteen years to go. Every previous Fourth Turning has  included violence, war and death on an epic scale. Winter has arrived and  it will be a long arduous journey until we reach Spring. The choices we make in  the next few years will decide the fate of our country. I hope we choose  wisely.  

“Thus did a  handful of rapacious citizens come to control all that was worth controlling in  America. Thus was the savage and stupid and entirely inappropriate and  unnecessary and humorless American class system created. Honest, industrious,  peaceful citizens were classed as bloodsuckers, if they asked to be paid a  living wage. And they saw that praise was reserved henceforth for those who  devised means of getting paid enormously for committing crimes against which no  laws had been passed. Thus the American dream turned belly up, turned green,  bobbed to the scummy surface of cupidity unlimited, filled with gas, went bang  in the noonday sun.”
― Kurt Vonnegut, God Bless  You, Mr. Rosewater
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By James Quinn
James Quinn is a senior director of strategic planning for a major university. James has held financial positions with a retailer, homebuilder and university in his 22-year career. Those positions included treasurer, controller, and head of strategic planning. He is married with three boys and is writing these articles because he cares about their future. He earned a BS in accounting from Drexel University and an MBA from Villanova University. He is a certified public accountant and a certified cash manager.
These articles reflect the personal views of James Quinn. They do not necessarily represent the views of his employer, and are not sponsored or endorsed by his employer.
© 2011 Copyright James Quinn - All Rights Reserved 
  Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors. 
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