Category: Financial Crash
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Sunday, October 26, 2014
Do Tumbling Buybacks Signal Another Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Since the end of the recession in 2009, investors have borrowed a record amount of money to finance their stock acquisitions. According to the Financial Times, margin debt on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) peaked in February, 2014 at $466 billion and has only recently dipped slightly lower. That’s $85 billion more than 2007 at the peak of the bubble. (Below: Margin debt tends to trace the trajectory of the markets fairly closely, although it’s a poor indicator of a market “top”.)
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Friday, October 03, 2014
Stock Market Dow Jones Today Shows Warning Signs / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The best analogy I’ve heard for bubbles and why they ultimately burst is the example of dropping grains of sand that build a mound. It gets steeper and steeper until one grain of sand causes an avalanche.
You can clearly see when the mound is getting steep, but no one knows when the final grain will set it all into motion. I’m seeing growing signs from several angles that an avalanche is about to occur.
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Friday, October 03, 2014
Could there be a MiniStock Market Crash Today? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
During my studies, I observed that there are seven waves between 1985.17 and 1926.03. After considering the alternatives, the chart pattern on the left appeared to be the best interpretation. However, if we are to see a Pivot low Friday, it appears that Wave (b) of [b] would have to make a new low, but whether it gets as far as 1901.00-1908.00 as speculated earlier (or further) is unknown. A Wave (b) decline at the open Friday (for whatever reason) could work the market into a speculative frenzy. A Minute Wave [c] could be even more devastating.
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Friday, September 26, 2014
What Cycles Reveal About Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
You can’t compare favorable geopolitical cycles (such as the 1983 to 2000) to unfavorable cycles (2001 to 2019). It’s like comparing apples to oranges.
A case in point is comparing demographic and generational boom periods, such as 1983 to 2007 to a down cycle like the one we’re in now which will come to an end in approximately 2020.
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Thursday, August 21, 2014
Stock Market Crash a Historical Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Every production phase or civilization or other human invention goes through a so called transformation process. Transitions are social transformation processes that cover at least one generation. In this article I will use one such transition to demonstrate the position of our present civilization and its possible effect on stock exchange rates.
When we consider the characteristics of the phases of a social transformation we may find ourselves at the end of what might be called the third industrial revolution. Transitions are social transformation processes that cover at least one generation (= 25 years). A transition has the following characteristics:
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Friday, August 08, 2014
The Dow Silent Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
"Silent Crash": Why the Real Value of the Dow Jones Industrials Matters
Priced in real value, the Dow has collapsed 84% since 1999
Stock market investors who glance at their screens see the dollar value of the Dow Industrials.
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Wednesday, August 06, 2014
The Most-Anticipated Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
US equities have been going up for so long that most investors — especially those who were only recently enticed into the casino by the apparently easy money on offer — have trouble remembering the last time it was possible to lose big in stocks.
Along the way, a whole slew of indices and indicators have drifted into their historical danger zones, prompting many in the financial media to address the subject, either by making explicit predictions (YouTube is now full of recent videos with pundits hammering the “get out while you can” theme) or considering the issue from unusual angles. Here’s a good example of the latter from MarketWatch’s L.A. Little:
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Wednesday, July 30, 2014
Stock Market Parabolic Collapse - Sowing the Seeds of the Next Depression / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
In their infinity wisdom the Fed thinks they have rescued the economy by inflating asset prices and creating a so called "wealth affect". In reality they have created the conditions for the next Great Depression.
Over the last two years the Fed has increasingly intervened in the market to prevent normal corrective moves. As you can see in the chart below this has allowed the stock market to transition from what could've been a normal bull market into a gigantic parabolic bubble.
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Monday, July 21, 2014
Stock Market Crash Nightmare! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
My yesterdays article painted a picture of a stock market that has failed to correct the consequences of which were for sowing the seeds for a more violent future correction that could even risk triggering an end to the 5.5 year stocks bull market that began in March 2009 -
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Tuesday, July 08, 2014
Airplanes, Automobiles and Stock Market Crashes / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Shah Gilani writes: By the time you’re reading this, I’ll be 30,000 feet in the air – if my plane’s not delayed further.
While that doesn’t matter to you, it does to me… if we crash.
What’s relevant about my flying today is that this morning on my way to the airport, in the back of a cab in dead slow traffic, I started thinking about airplanes and stock-market crashes.
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Tuesday, June 17, 2014
A Crash Is the Economic System Fixing Itself / Economics / Financial Crash
Just a bunch of numbers Reuters published today. Read and weep. While remembering that this spring, after that horrible winter that threw the recovery so terribly off course, would see pent-up demand go crazy. That after the Q1 GDP growth, which has by now been revised to -2% after initially having been predicted to be in the 3%+ range, Q2 would certainly, according to pundits, economists and government agencies, top 3%, if not more. We already know for a fact that’s not going to happen. Unless the US grows faster in June than China did in its heyday.
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Monday, April 28, 2014
Why A Stock Market Collapse Would Be A Good Thing / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
I’m not going to argue here that a market collapse would be a positive thing no matter what, because the implications of a true collapse would be so deep and widespread that they’re too hard for anyone to oversee. But having said that, truth finding and price discovery are crucial for a functioning economy, and there is not a shred of truth left in the markets nor is it possible to discover anything about any price as a free market would have set it. And that means there’s no trust or confidence left in markets, there’s only a shaky trust in authorities propping them up. Neither of which can last forever.
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Wednesday, April 16, 2014
Stock Market Flash Crash Alert! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
I have been attempting to find the reason for the triple bottom at 1814, 1815 and 1816. The best I can figure is that SPX is finding support at the 120-day moving average and Wave [ii] is expanding for another challenge of the trendline. It appears to be a desperate situation. The powers that be managed to re-cross the trendline in February, so there may be an attempt to duplicate that event.
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Sunday, April 13, 2014
Are We Heading For Another 1987-Style Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The big story developing in the US markets regards the sudden crackdown by regulators, most notably the SEC and Justice Department, on High Frequency Trading or HFT.For well over five years now, certain trading firms have been using high-speed computers to front-run orders from other investors. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 21, 2014
Stock Market Crash Fractal - Deja Vu 2000 All Over Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The Crash Fractal is still alive and well in the Dow. Its peak was December 31.
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Tuesday, March 11, 2014
Stock Market Crash Five-Year Anniversary Has Investors Worried / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Tara Clarke writes: The stock market crash this week that occurred five years ago this Sunday marks a solemn anniversary for U.S. stock markets.
Subprime financial crisis-related events would ultimately become responsible for five out of the top ten biggest single-day Dow Jones Industrial Average stock market crashes, including the top two spots.
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Thursday, March 06, 2014
Stock Market Bombs Away, 2011 Crash All Over Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Over the past few weeks I have been watching the DOW and Transportation index closely because it looks and feels like the Dow Theory may play out this year and the stock market could take a 15% haircut.
But what if you skipped on the haircut and opted for a 40% refund? What? Keep reading to find out how.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2014
Prepare for the Biggest Financial Catastrophe Since Founding of the U.S. Republic / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The stock market's current big picture price pattern has never before been seen in 300 years of stock market history. Learn why you need to prepare to batten down the hatches.
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Wednesday, February 12, 2014
Is the Stock Market Repeating the 1929 Run Up to the Great Depression Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Is History Repeating … Or Throwing a Head-Fake?
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Saturday, February 08, 2014
As Sochi Starts, 1929 Stock Market Crash Warnings Accelerate / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
"Good evening. This is an extraordinary period for America's economy. Over the past few weeks, many Americans have felt anxiety about their finances and their future. I understand their worry and their frustration. We've seen triple-digit swings in the stock market. Major financial institutions have teetered on the edge of collapse, and some have failed. As uncertainty has grown, many banks have restricted lending. Credit markets have frozen. And families and businesses have found it harder to borrow money.
We're in the midst of a serious financial crisis, and the federal government is responding with decisive action....
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