Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, February 22, 2014
U.S. Housing Market Mortgage Purchase Applications Running Out Of Time / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: For 2013, one of the main stories in housing was the cool down in existing home sales numbers over the second half of the year, in spite of the relative strength in GDP.
What was the main reason for this? Follow the data and the answer appears. When interest rates spiked we did not see the mythical sideline home buyer rush to the market place. Rather what we saw was a collapse of the mortgage purchase application index.
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Friday, February 21, 2014
Why Analysts Can’t Just Blame the Weather for Poor U.S. Housing Market Numbers / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: DailyGainsLetter
John Paul Whitefoot writes: No matter where you turn, bad earnings or economic indicators are being blamed on the cold weather. Weak January car sales figures were blamed on the weather; disappointing January housing data was blamed on the weather; Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE/WMT) revised its earnings guidance lower because of the weather; and even Panera Bread Company (NASDAQ/PNRA) says the cold weather negatively impacted its results.
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Monday, February 17, 2014
Banks Retake UK Mortgages 95% Fixed LTV Market / Housing-Market / Mortgages
By: MoneyFacts
Moneyfacts.co.uk research reveals that over the last six months there has been a significant rise in the number of fixed rate 95% LTV mortgages offered by banks, so much so the former market share enjoyed by building societies is being rapidly eroded.
Historically, building societies have held a greater share of the 95% LTV sector, largely due to the fact that banks have been reluctant to offer such high-risk products.
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Monday, February 17, 2014
U.S. Housing Market Foreclosure Filings Jump as Investors Eye Exits / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Mike_Whitney
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“Speculators may do no harm as bubbles on a steady stream of enterprise. But the position is serious when enterprise becomes the bubble on a whirlpool of speculation. When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done.” -John Maynard Keynes, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money
Tuesday, February 11, 2014
UK Housing Market and Climate Change, Floodplain's & River Flooding Risks / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The people of Britain during January and February 2014 have received a wake up call that climate change is real and will increasingly impact on their lives over the coming years, busting the myth that climate change consequences were decades away as home owners not only have to contend with rising sea levels impacting on low lying coastal regions but also with what were once deemed to be extreme weather storm events that are increasingly becoming a regular occurrence.
Monday, February 03, 2014
U.S. Housing Market Flipped, Warped Distorted and Manipulated / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: James_Quinn
The report from RealtyTrac last week proves beyond the shadow of a doubt the supposed housing market recovery is a complete and utter fraud. The corporate mainstream media did their usual spin job on the report by focusing on the fact foreclosure starts in 2013 were the lowest since 2007. Focusing on this meaningless fact (because the Too Big To Trust Wall Street Criminal Banks have delayed foreclosure starts as part of their conspiracy to keep prices rising) is supposed to convince the willfully ignorant masses the housing market is back to normal. It’s always the best time to buy!!!
Wednesday, January 29, 2014
The “Vanishing” First-Time Home Buyer; What It Means for the U.S. Housing Market / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: DailyGainsLetter
John Paul Whitefoot writes: Ah, the U.S. housing market, the so-called silver lining in the U.S. recovery—but not for long, as it may be rusting. The U.S. housing numbers are in, and they aren’t spectacular.
In the U.S. housing market, December existing-home sales rose one percent month-over-month at an annualized pace of 4.87 million units. Analysts were expecting December existing-home numbers to come in at 4.93 million. The one-percent increase also has to be taken with a grain of salt, as it was helped, in part, by a downward revision in November existing-home U.S. housing market sales to 4.82 million units. (Source: “December Existing-Home Sales Rise, 2013 Strongest in Seven Years,” National Association of Realtors web site, January 23, 2014.)
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Wednesday, January 29, 2014
Is the U.S. Housing Market Recovery Fake? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: The U.S. housing market is facing issues that must be addressed. The reality of the matter is that home buyers are still missing from the market—these are the people looking to buy a home and stay in it for a long time. If home buyers don’t come back to the housing market, hopes for the increase we saw in home prices in 2012 and 2013 will diminish very quickly.
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Friday, January 24, 2014
Dissecting the U.S. Housing Market Bubble - When Will the Next Bubble Burst? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Mike_Shedlock
Today I am going to ask three simple questions that have easy to understand answers.
- What Causes Economic Bubbles?
- When Do Bubbles Burst?
- Can the Fed Prevent Bubbles?
Tuesday, January 21, 2014
UK House Prices vs Earnings, Immigration, Public Spending, Unemployment and Housing Market Affordability / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Politicians have been busy in recent months making a series of speeches warning of the cost of living crisis as liberally reported on by the mainstream press, a crisis that manifests itself in earnings unable to keep pace with even the official rate of inflation that has been systematically revised over several decades to under report the real rate of inflation. The persistent lack of apparent housing market affordability has encouraged many academic economists and journalists to warn of falling earnings against rising house prices as a fundamental reason why house price rises are unsustainable as obviously people just do not have enough money to finance house purchase costs such as mortgage payments as prices rise, and thus deflation is always deemed to be just around the corner. We'll as I will illustrate in this article in my UK housing market series that they are once more WRONG!
Monday, January 20, 2014
How Housing Market Regulations Ruin Tenant-Landlord Relations / Housing-Market / Market Regulation
By: MISES
Predrag Rajsic writes: An Open Letter to My Landlord
Dear EIWO Canadian Executive,
Unfortunately, it has become necessary that I express my and my family’s displeasure with the way your company has been treating us as customers. Our recent interactions with the management indicated that your company puts negligible importance on the past six years of our business partnership. Although we have been paying rent every month for the past six years without any issues, your staff assumed that the best way to communicate a late payment for the previous month is an N4 eviction notice. The N4 notice states in large bold and underlined font that “this is a legal notice that could lead to you being evicted from your home.” This eviction notice was accompanied by a letter that “asks that in the future you (meaning my wife and I) make more of an effort to have your (our) rent paid on time.”
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Saturday, January 18, 2014
U.S. Housing Market Is Soaring... But There's Still Plenty of Upside / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: I had never bought real estate as an investment BEFORE the housing bust...
In short, I want INCREDIBLE value for my investment dollars... and I had never seen that before in U.S. real estate... until the Great Bust.
Then in 2008, near the bottom of the housing crisis, I wrote "The Housing Bust Is Over."
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Thursday, January 16, 2014
U.S. Housing Market Now Providing a Tailwind to Economic Growth / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: While residential investment represents a small portion of gross domestic product (GDP), housing is perhaps one of the most cyclical sectors of the economy and tends to lead economic swings by months to years. As such, keeping a close eye on housing provides a valuable insight into future economic trends. While housing represented a major headwind to the economy after the housing bubble burst, as I show below, it is now providing a major tailwind instead.
Thursday, January 16, 2014
Get Ready for Subprime Mortgage Crisis 2.0, Collapse in U.S. Housing Market Coming... / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Videos
Forget what you are hearing about stiffer mortgage lending requirements. It’s not true. Real estate expert Fabian Calvo says, “If you can fog up a mirror or you have a pulse, they will give you a home loan. That’s what they have done with the car loans, and that’s what they are doing with housing loans.” The so-called new rules do not have any down payment credit score requirement. Zero percent down loans are going to make a very big comeback. According to Calvo, “After the mid-term election, you’re going to see no-money-down loans just really roar back. It’s all part of the pump and dump I’ve been telling you about for well over a year.”
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
Five U.S. Housing Market Headwinds / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Mike_Shedlock
Black Knight Financial Services, formerly LPS, released its latest Mortgage Monitor Forecast.
Key Highlights
- Mortgage originations are at the lowest levels in almost four years
- Prepayment/refi activity indicates another drop coming
- Higher interest rates slow refinance activity
- Quality of loans originated in 2013 have made it the best performing vintage on on record.
- Home equity originations are up significantly since a year ago: total HE lending is up 70%, while volume on 2nd mortgages has more than doubled
- Population of “refinancible” loans continues to shrink - Only 5.9M loans meet broadly defined criteria for refinancing, down 4M since December 2012.
- Delinquencies continue to rise among HELOCs that began amortizing
- High risk of “payment shock” in the coming three years
Friday, January 10, 2014
Immigration Drives Down UK House Prices Says Clueless Financial Times / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Having scoured the mainstream press for their views on immigration and house prices for a comparison against my recent series of UK housing market articles led me to the venerable FT that not so long ago ran with an academic study that goes against decade long facts of upward pressure on house prices due to immigrant demand, which instead concludes that mass immigration tends to drive down house prices in a study by Dr Nils Braakmann from Newcastle University.
Thursday, January 09, 2014
U.K. House Prices vs Supply, Immigration, Population Growth and Demographics Crisis / Housing-Market / Demographics
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The long-term battle being played in the UK housing market is that of limited new build supply always trying to play catchup with ever increasing demands as a consequence of the UK's growing population and changing demographics which is set against many other developed countries that are either experiencing falling populations such as Germany and Japan or have ample space to build far beyond that demanded as a consequence of population growth such as the United States and of course not forgetting eastern europe as a consequence of emigration. Therefore this analysis as part of a series on the UK housing market seeks to gauge the likely impact of population growth and the ageing demographics crisis on UK house prices over the next 20 years.
Tuesday, January 07, 2014
Trouble Ahead for the U.S. Housing Market in 2014? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes: Will the gains that the U.S. housing market made in 2012 and 2013 continue into 2014? As you’ll read below, the biggest threat to the housing market is moving in the opposite direction—against housing.
Sure, the Case-Shiller S&P Home Price Index, which tracks prices in the U.S. housing market, shows an overall increase of 13.6% in home prices in the first 10 months of 2013 (see the chart below).
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Tuesday, January 07, 2014
UK Housing Boom Prompts Landlords to Evict British Benefit Claiming Tenants in Favour of Eastern European Workers / Housing-Market / Immigration
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Rising house prices meets housing benefits cuts benefits culture cap resulting in private Landlords increasingly making the financially commonsense decision to evict not just benefit claimants heavily in arrears but virtually all of their benefit claiming tenants in favour of far more reliable hard working eastern european workers.
This is the natural consequences of rising house prices as rental yields tend to track house price rises where the average annualised rise of 8.5% translates into average rents being raised by 8.5% which pushes benefits claimants increasingly into arrears and thus prompting Landlords to seek more reliable rent paying tenants as the Coalition government has desperately been attempting to cut what had become out control housing benefits payments to 4.5 million households under the Labour government that at its extreme had manifested itself in rental payments of over £100,000 per annum each to over 100 families that are now subject to the benefits cap.
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Sunday, January 05, 2014
U.S. House Prices Forecast 2014, 2013 Bull Market to Yield U.S. Economic Boom / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
U.S. central bank rampant money printing has succeeded in inflating the US housing market far beyond anything that anyone could have imagined at the start of 2013, in fact a year ago the consensus view was that for U.S. house prices to end DOWN on the year, and such prevailing bearishness persisted in the mainstream press well into the middle of the year, instead as of writing the latest house prices data of 180.27 (SPCS10) published on 31st Dec 2013 for October 2013 puts U.S. housing market momentum at a high of 13.5% per annum as illustrated by the graph below: