Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, December 17, 2007
UK House Prices Fall 3.2% in December - On Target for 2008 Crash / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Rightmove survey announced a 3.2% drop in UK House price asking prices in the month from Mid November to mid December. This was the sharpest decline since rightmove's records began in 2002. The sharpest drop of 6.8% was in London with average house prices falling by a whopping £28,000 in one month.
Rightmove sited the implementation of the home information packs (HIPs) for the sharp drop. The impact of the HIPs was inline with the Market Oracle warning of 23rd November 07 - UK Housing Market to be Hit by the Big HIPs Freeze During December.
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Wednesday, December 12, 2007
Global Financial Crisis Consequence of the Biggest Housing Bust in US History / Housing-Market / Global Financial System
By: Mike_Whitney
The wreckage in the housing market just keeps piling up. Sales of existing homes in October dipped 23.5% from last year. Prices on new homes dropped 13% year over year. Third quarter foreclosures skyrocketed to 635,000, a 94% increase over last October and an all-time high on the Misery-Meter. The real estate market is in free-fall and the real trouble hasn't even begun yet.
California, Nevada, Arizona and Florida are mired in a full-blown housing depression. Inventory is off-the-chart. Presently, there's a 10.8 month backlog and the numbers are steadily rising. If foreclosures continue at the current pace, by the end of 2008, there'll be a 14 month inventory. That means that every builder in the country could take off his tool-belt right now and stop working FOR MORE THAN A YEAR before the market would clear. Contractors would be filling out job-applications at Red Lobster or looking for an empty street-corner with a tin cup.
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Monday, December 10, 2007
Fed US Interest Rate Cut Tomorrow: Too Little, Too Late / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes:When Dad and I gave our last seminar together, the median price of a new home in the U.S. was under $140,000.
To buy one, you had to put 20% down.
No one had heard of option mortgages, no-doc mortgages or companies like Countrywide Financial that created them.
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Sunday, December 09, 2007
US Housing Subprime Mortgage Rescue Plan Specifications / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes: By now, you've probably heard of what I'm calling the "Paulson Plan" — a federal government proposal to ease the pain of the housing and mortgage market collapse. President Bush and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson held press conferences to highlight the key points yesterday.
I'll be discussing it on CNN's "Open House" show this weekend [Editor's note: 9:30 A.M. Saturday on CNN and 3:30 P.M. EST Saturday and Sunday on CNN Headline News]. But first, I wanted to share my thoughts with you.
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Friday, December 07, 2007
Subprime Mortgage Bailout is the Mother of all Bad Ideas / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Peter_Schiff
Without question, the Bush administration's mortgage rescue plan will exacerbate, not alleviate, the problems in the housing market. As the plan will sharply reduce the ability of new buyers to make purchases, it really amounts to a stay of execution and not a pardon. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 06, 2007
UK House Prices Slump 1.1% - Interest Rate Cut? / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The UK Housing Market fell sharply in November, registering a 1.1% price drop according to Britain's biggest mortgage lender, the Halifax. The British Pound fell sharply on the news and stocks soared in anticipation of deep cuts in UK interest rates as the Housing Market has its first consecutive decline for 3 months in a row since 1995. The credit freeze is now in its 5th month with the interbank rate soaring to 6.65% increasing the chance of an interest rate cut at today's Bank of England MPC Meeting.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 05, 2007
HOPE For the US Housing Subprime Mortgage Credit Crunch Victims / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Adrian_Ash
"...What a difference lies between .org and .com on a website address..."
HOPE NOW is a British-based charity, founded in 1985 to spread the good news of Jesus Christ, working primarily in the former Soviet state of Ukraine .
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Wednesday, December 05, 2007
Subprime Mortgage Bailout - Paulson Vs the Free Market / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks
By: Michael_Pento
Joining the Fed's effort to meddle with the free market is Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson and his plan to rescue the housing market. The essence of his plan is to convince the owners of sub- prime adjustable mortgage debt to freeze the interest rate resets for a period of about five years, a proposal which is supposedly only to be available to those who will become indigent once the higher rates become effective. Ostensibly, this will ameliorate the anticipated surge in mortgage foreclosures and prevent a further decline in home prices.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 05, 2007
UK Home Owners Unable to Refinance Mortgages As Fixed Rates Expire During 2008 / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Nearly 1.5 million homeowners fixed rate mortgages taken out during the past 3 years reset to much higher variable interest rates during 2008. Now Clive Briault of the FSA has waded in with a warning that borrowers will find it increasingly difficult to obtain further favorable refinancing due to the tightening in the credit markets as the now global bad debts credit crisis continues to unfold.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 05, 2007
Subprime Mortgages Continue to Vanish – Where will it end? / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: MoneyFacts
Latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk reveals two thirds of sub prime products have vanished in the last six months. The credit crunch has virtually destroyed the sub prime buy to let market and made a significant dent in the residential market too.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 04, 2007
FSA Warning to Mortgage Lenders To Protect Themselves Against Worsening Credit Crisis / Housing-Market / Credit Crunch
By: Sarah_Jones
The Financial Services Authority (FSA) today urged lenders to protect themselves against a possible worsening of liquidity and credit risks.
Clive Briault, FSA Retail Managing Director, told the Council of Mortgage Lenders Annual Conference: "There is a very real prospect that conditions will worsen further into next year, in terms of both liquidity and credit risks. Firms should therefore be assessing their funding and liquidity positions; undertaking robust stress testing to reflect current and prospective market conditions; reviewing and assessing their medium and longer term strategies and the options open to them; and considering contingency plans against the worst outcomes.
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Monday, December 03, 2007
US Housing Slump 2008... DEEPER, DARKER, SCARIER! / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Dr_William_R_Swagell
The (spreading sub-prime) mortgage hole is worse than anyone saw. It is deeper, darker, scarier… (banks) are now looking at new reserves …my sense…is they don't have a clear picture of how this will play out …confidence is low.” ( Tony James, Blackstone Group.)Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 02, 2007
UK Housing Slump Gains Momentum as Properties Fail to Sell at Auction / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Home owners failing to sell properties through the traditional estate agency route are increasingly opting for the chance of a quick sale offered by Auction houses up and down Britain.
However the number of sales being achieved at auctions has plummeted, even after worried sellers rush to accept offers prior to the auction. The resulting supply overhang will result in further sharp falls in the housing market that will accumulate over the coming year as home owners price expectations are behind the housing curve and are forced to repeatedly cut prices.
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Sunday, December 02, 2007
Mortgage Arrangement Fees Double / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: MoneyFacts
Latest Moneyfacts.co.uk research reveals the average mortgage arrangement fee has almost doubled during the last 2 years. Figures from November 2005 showed an average flat arrangement fee at £441. Today it stands at £827, with a massive 9% of prime deals now charging a percentage fee.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 30, 2007
US Housing Market Crash Can't Find A Floor! / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes: Every month, I get asked if there's any evidence whatsoever of a turnaround in the housing industry. So far — every month — I've had to emphatically say "NO."
And I'm going to give it to you straight about the numbers that were just released: They are some of the worst I've ever seen.
Here's what happened for the month of October ...
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Friday, November 30, 2007
UK House Prices Fall by 0.8% In November / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nationwide
- House prices fell by 0.8% in November, bringing the annual rate of increase down to 6.9%
- Sentiment in the market has weakened, but can be volatile
- Uncertainties remain, but underlying fundamentals continue to be supportive
- Introduction of final phase of HIPs may reduce available housing supply in the short term
Friday, November 30, 2007
UK House Prices Plunge 0.8% In November on Target for Forecast 15% Drop / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Nationwide, one of Britain's biggest mortgage Lenders announced a sharp 0.8% Drop in House Prices for November, the biggest fall for 12 years, bringing the annualised rate down sharply to 6.9%. Whilst at the same time the Bank of England reported a slump in new home buyer mortgage approvals to a 3 year low. The fall house prices is inline with the Market Oracle forecast for a 15% drop in UK House prices as of 22nd August 07. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 28, 2007
Sharp Drop in London House Prices / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Land Registry reported a 0.1% rise in UK house prices during October, down from the average of 0.7% during the past 12 months and thus bringing the annualised rate down to 8.1%
However, house prices in London fell sharply by 0.6%. The fall was much greater than any other region and represented the first fall since mid 2005.
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Friday, November 23, 2007
UK Housing Market to be Hit by the Big HIPs Freeze During December / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The British Government's decision to expand the requirement for ALL UK Home Sellers to provide a Home Information Pack as of 14th December 07, will likely result in a big freeze on transactions hitting the UK housing market from 14th December 07. As fewer properties are put onto the market and thereby less transactions take place. Whilst this could be construed as being short-term supportive of house prices, it will hit the housing sector hard, which includes mortgage lenders and estate agents that could see as much as a 25% drop in business over a short space of time, and therefore the expectations are for further shocks in the housing and financial sector, this time focused on estate agencies.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 18, 2007
Buyers Disappear From US Housing Market Fearing Further Falls in House Prices / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Tim_Iacono
Yesterday, DataQuick released the Southern California real estate sales data for the month of October. For the first time since probably the mid-1990s all six counties show year-over-year declines in the median price led by Riverside County at -15 percent. Read full article... Read full article...