Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, January 16, 2009
U.S. Housing Market Panic of 2009, Buying Opportunity of a Lifetime? / Housing-Market / US Housing
“Sir, there are no seats left. You're going to have to stand in the back.”
I was only 10 minutes late, but the conference hall was packed. Every seat was taken. The walls were lined with people.
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Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Latest Housing Market Crime and the Investment Opportunity it Offers / Housing-Market / Investing 2009
For those who follow the financial news, these days of bankruptcies, suicides, foreclosures and Ponzi schemes may have inured you to an item appearing Friday that may bear further scrutiny.
How's this for the makings of an intrigue: a convicted con-man become Christian Minister accuses homebuilding giant, Lennar Corp., of fraud – something he has a modicum of experience in, having served seven years of a 25 year sentence for the same before being paroled.
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Thursday, January 08, 2009
Nouriel Roubini 2009 U.S. GDP Forecasting 40% Home Mortgage Failures? / Housing-Market / US Housing
IF Nouriel Roubini's 2009 GDP forecast for USA is right, THEN could 40% of home mortgages fail? It's been a long time since I saw two guys so eager to lose their jobs, Hank Paulson and George Bush could hardly be held back, they were positively skipping out of the door; I wonder why?Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 06, 2009
UK Housing Market Will Not Bottom Before 2012 / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Unless "Farrell's" Cycle is broken - Yesterdays News was predicting when the housing bubble would go pop; the game today is predicting the bottom.
In August it was hard to understand how the bursting bubble would affect (or infect), the economy, because thanks to the clever bean counters, information on the number and size of the naked bets was well hidden from outsiders, just as it was from as shareholders, government, and even, by the cloak of denial, from the gamblers themselves.
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Sunday, January 04, 2009
UK Housing Market Crash and Depression Forecast 2007 to 2012 / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Recent house price data as released by the Halifax showed that UK house prices have plunged by more than 20% from the peak of August 2007, which has fulfilled much of the original forecast made in August 2007 for a minimum fall of 15% for the UK housing market and 25% for London, therefore this analysis seeks to project the forecast trend for UK house prices for the next 3 years into 2012.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 31, 2008
How to get "hundreds of dollars" of Extra Cash per Month, for 30 Years / Housing-Market / Mortgages
NOTE: The markets are closed tomorrow. A very Happy New Year to all of you from Cindy and I. Many pit traders will be out on Friday. Schwab gave us indications that they would be on limited staff Friday and would reroute all Friday (Jan. 2nd.) orders through the Canadian exchanges. With that said, we may either take Friday off or do an abbreviated update.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 28, 2008
Expensive Fixed Rate Mortgages Only Option Available for Many Borrowers / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Fixed rate mortgages now account for 69% of the market, compared to 51% this time last year.Despite a 2.61 percentage point drop in the two year swap rate between 1 October and today, the average two year fixed rate mortgage has only dropped by 0.71 percentage points.
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Friday, December 26, 2008
U.S. Housing Market Forecast 2009 / Housing-Market / US Housing
Mark Larson writes: I don't know about you, but I had a great time watching my little girls open their presents on Christmas morning. You should have seen the smiles on their faces! I sincerely hope that you and your family are relaxing and enjoying this holiday season as much as I am.
But soon, thoughts are going to turn from relaxation to reality. Investors are going to focus once again on the wounded real estate market. And millions of homeowners and commercial property owners are going to ask that all-important question: Will 2009 be “it” — the year when things finally start turning around?
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Sunday, December 14, 2008
Abbey Squeezes Mortgage Payers Whilst Losing Billions to Wallstreet Fraud / Housing-Market / UK Housing
After the British government literally handed over a blank cheque to Britain's biggest banks on the basis of promises to provide liquidity to British home owners and business, more evidence emerged that this is not happening as the Abbey's practice of sending out letters that calls on ultra small print that seeks to financially crucify home owners that during Britain's house price crash of 2007 to 2008 have increasingly fallen into negative equity.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 09, 2008
The High Cost of Washington's Housing Market Price Manipulation Policy / Housing-Market / US Housing
Want to eliminate the glut of homes? Don't give the government more power--open the borders to immigration.
For decades Washington has been manipulating prices to encourage homeownership and "steer" the economy. To "incentivize" you to buy a house, it made mortgage payments tax deductible, largely exempted homes from capital gains taxes, and created Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. After the stock market tumbled in 2001 and 2002, Washington established a policy of artificially low interest rates that created the illusion of cheap credit; leery of the stock market, and looking for someplace else to put all this easy money, Americans began buying homes in droves.
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Sunday, December 07, 2008
U.S. House Prices Case Shiller CPI Analysis / Housing-Market / US Housing
This post is an update on the Case-Shiller-CPI (CS-CPI).The chart is courtesy of my friend "TC" and a brief explanation is that the Case-Chiller housing index is substituted for Owners' Equivalent Rent in the CPI. The results are compared to the BLS Government Published CPI (CPI-U called OER-CPI in the following chart).
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Friday, December 05, 2008
U.S. Housing Market Crash- How Far To The Bottom? / Housing-Market / US Housing
Inquiring minds have been asking for another housing update. My previous update was was on February 15,2008 in Housing Bottom Nowhere in Sight . I did not remember Bernanke's comments at the time but looking back now they sure seem funny.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 01, 2008
Collapse in UK Mortgage Lending / Housing-Market / UK Housing
The Bank of England announced that UK mortgage lending collapsed in October, falling to the second lowest figure since records began at just £459mln, down 70% on the month and only 6% of the October 2007 levels which followed the collapse of Northern Rock Bank in Sept 07. The data continues to suggest that bank lending continues to tighten despite the £500 billion bank bailout of early October.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 27, 2008
Nationwide UK House Price Forecasts Track Record / Housing-Market / UK Housing
The latest housing market commentary from the Nationwide Chief Economist Fionnuala Earley states - "In spite of the moderation in house price falls recorded in November, with the economy in recession, conditions do not appear very favourable for a swift recovery in the housing market. The labour market is weakening, which will inevitably hinder market demand, particularly when property remains expensive relative to earnings. With prices falling at their current rate there is also little incentive for new borrowers to hurry into the market. However, there are a number of measures which should provide some support to the market in general and help existing and potential homeowners in these difficult times."Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 27, 2008
UK House Price Falls Moderate in November to -0.4% / Housing-Market / UK Housing
• Prices fall by 0.4% in November• Annual rate of fall moderates to 13.9%
• Deep interest rate cuts will provide support for borrowers
• Fiscal measures may help housing market indirectly, but policies to support funding markets may be more likely to speed recovery
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Thursday, November 27, 2008
Home Owner Credit and Mortage $800 Billion Stimulus Package / Housing-Market / Credit Crisis Bailouts
Mike Caggeso writes: U.S. Federal Reserve and Treasury Department announced yesterday (Tuesday) $800 billion worth of stimulus measures to rev up three primary engines of the U.S. economy – homebuyers, consumers and small businesses.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 23, 2008
Housing Market Heads South and S&P 500 Crashes Through Bear Market Low! / Housing-Market / Financial Crash
Mike Larson writes: Last Thursday was a historic day for the market. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index plunged by 6.7% to 752.44. The bear market low of October 2002 was 768.63 — and we sliced through it like a hot knife through butter.
Stated another way, every last penny of profit an investor earned — even if he bought at the absolute low six years ago has been wiped off the map. And if you bought the S&P just over a year ago? You've lost more than HALF your money.
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Sunday, November 23, 2008
U.S. Housing Market Forecast 2009, More Pain No Gain / Housing-Market / US Housing
Don Miller writes: The U.S. housing market is already being pounded by the “perfect storm.” And the outlook for the New Year is for the stormy weather to continue – and probably to get worse.
As if a locked-up credit market and tidal waves of foreclosures weren't already enough, we're now watching unemployment climb and consumer confidence plunge.
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Thursday, November 20, 2008
Kirstie and Phil's Location, Location, Location Returns as UK House Prices Crash / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Kirstie and Phil self professed property experts make a return to the UK's TV screens with a more muted version of their long standing delusionally bullish UK property candy floss show titled location, location, location that helped feed the get on the property ladder frenzy of the last few years.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 14, 2008
New Precedent for America : Financial Irresponsibility Pays / Housing-Market / US Housing
As a desperate attempt to stop the bleeding, banks are stepping up with further efforts to protect delinquent homeowners. To date, this represents the most radical effort to stop the avalanche of foreclosures. It's thought these ridiculous bailouts will help restore the housing market which will provide more stability to the economy. The problem is that these plans are still insufficient to make any impact. And there is nothing to absorb the massive inventory of housing.Read full article... Read full article...