Analysis Topic: Companies Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, December 30, 2021
Google (Alphabet) AI Tech Stocks Analysis / Companies / Google
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Google $2980, PE 28.7, EC 30.
Earnings 2nd best to Microsoft. Though it is higher risk due to despite all the AI noise remains a one trick pony at heart i.e. an advertising company. So in light of earnings I am raising the buying level a little to $2675 with no firm plans to buy ay more right now.
Google Insiders - Buy / Sell ratio 48%. Buying at $0 cost and then going on to sell at above $2800.
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Wednesday, December 29, 2021
Cathy Wood ARK Garbage Funds Could CRASH By Another 50% During 2022 / Companies / Exchange Traded Funds
By: Nadeem_Walayat
A warning to all the hodlers of such growth tech stocks and funds such as Cathy Woods's ARKK, the price drops may not even be half way done!
You know how much garbage is out there when analysts stop following the fundamentals and pluck metrics out of think air. For instance Price to Earnings is THE primary metric but for many stocks that populate the likes of Cathy Wood garbage funds that doe snot work, so what do they use? Price to Sales? Price to Users, Price to cotton buds in the CEO's bottom drawer!
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Tuesday, December 28, 2021
ROBLOX - High Risk Metaverse Stock Analysis for Investing 2022 and Beyond / Companies / Metaverse
By: Nadeem_Walayat
As you know after dumping 80% of my AI stocks portfolio during the summer months I went on a high risk stocks buying spree, where ROBLOX was at the top of that list along with Western Digital and Corsair given the importance of GAMING, of which the 'metaverse. is a subdivision of. For if it is not already clear, the metaverse's are basically online gaming environments. UNFORTUNATELY, to date I have bought NO ROBLOX, for the reason that I deem the stock to be a lot higher risk than either Corsair or WDC given that it is along way from making any profits. The stock has soared to $125 on the back of Facebook's metaverse announcement and improving financials, though still makes a loss. The stock is trading on an eye watering Market cap of $64bn! That's on annual sales of $1.6 billion.
However the key metric to focus on is the number of monthly users where I am not seeing much growth during the past 3 quarters, though it looks like Roblox tends to get a spike in new users in the final quarter of the year, so Q4 should see a jump in paying users.
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Friday, December 24, 2021
Investing in the Best METAVERSE Tech Stocks for 2022 and Beyond / Companies / Metaverse
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Facebook hit the nail on the head by bringing forth realisation to the masses of the emerging metaverse's with their corporate name change to META, though most will soon forget what all the fuss was about and carry on their merry way until they next big metaverse story, so this aspect of the Quantum AI mega-trend will continue to trundle along in the background. However savvy investors will already be aware of the "meta-verse" and what it heralds in terms of virtual products and services as the headsets technology plays catchup so as to allow the masses to escape from an increasingly dismal economic future given the rise of machine intelligence automation that seeks to replace human labour as we have seen play out in countless movies such as Ready Player One.
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Thursday, December 23, 2021
APPLE AR Headset Coming 2022 - Metaverse Tech Stocks Analysis / Companies / Apple
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Apple has been working on an augmented reality goggles headset for several years and there are rumours that this will make it to market during late 2022 as Apple attempts to play catchup to the success of Facebook's Oculus headsets likely built around Apples M1 processors rather than be tethered to either an Apple Mac or Iphone so is likely to be expensive when compared to the Quest headsets, probably priced at at least £999, near triple the usable Quest that costs £399 and it could be priced a lot higher than that, maybe as high as £2000!
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Wednesday, December 22, 2021
TSMC and Microsoft AI Tech Stocks Analysis / Companies / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
TSMC $117
PE 29.9, has been stuck in a tight trading range for virtually the whole of 2021 at between $125 and $108. Therefore I am raising the buying level to an achievable $109.5.
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Tuesday, December 21, 2021
AI Tech Stocks Portfolio Updated Buying Levels and Zones as Financial Crisis 2.0 Continues Brewing / Companies / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
China's property market is collapsing but the only data we have at present is anecdotal from the property developer canaries in the coal mine which have been under extreme distress for several months, with now dozens defaulting on their debts triggering fire sales of housing stock to raise revenues as they desperately fight to stay alive in the face of impending debt and interest payments, playing their part in the brewing Financial Crisis 2.0.
Financial Crisis 2.0 Checklist
- China housing market in distress - CHECK
- China's economy slowing - CHECK
- US Economy slowing - CHECK
- Brewing STAGFLATION - Slowing economy coupled with rising prices - CHECK
- Black Swan Event - Crisis at the ports - CHECK
- Economic Models busted - Workers refusing to return to work not factored into Economic models - CHECK
- REVERSE REPO MARKET - Banks desperate to swap deposit liabilities for T-bills collateral so as to lower capital requirements which has drained the capital markets of over $1 trillion - CHECK
- STOCK MARKET BUBBLE - Valuations have lost touch with reality - CHECK
- FED TAPERING into a Weakening Economy - Huge Risk of a valuation reset - CHECK
- IMPEMDING DOOM! - The relentless march of the Climate Change Mega-trend where all that the worlds leaders did at COP26 was Blah Blah Blah - CHECK!
So yes, Financial Crisis 2.0 continues to brew in the background and will likely come knocking on many investor portfolio door's during 2022 so don't be so eager to FOMO into stocks today to later wish one had missed out on the preceding 6-8 months of price action by Mid 2022. Where whatever one buys and holds today needs to factor in a potential for lower lows than what we saw in October and for some a lot lower lows than that! If one is happy with that then continue to FOMO all the way to new all time highs, for the time being.
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Tuesday, December 21, 2021
How Is the Financial Services Industry Changing? / Companies / Banking Stocks
By: Submissions
The financial services industry operates in a rapidly changing world, but one it can help shape. Banking, insurance, capital markets, commercial real estate, investment management – 2022 represents a pivotal opportunity for all these businesses to create their own future.
There needs to be a lot of focus on digital transformation and ESG initiatives across the industry, as well as investments in talent and in finding new ways to work together and boost efficiency. The time has come to rethink traditional bottom-line metrics and develop strategies that address both corporate and societal demands by placing purpose and trust at the forefront.
Saturday, December 18, 2021
AMD Stock $136 on Route to Eventually Hit $200 / Companies / AMD
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Positive response to its earnings report but it is over priced on a PE of 56.7, and an EC of 16. The big problem with AMD is they are a serial share printer i.e. existing investors are being diluted by 5-10% per annum. Hence why whilst I want to buy more AMD, I don't want to pay anywhere near 57X earnings for a corp that prints shares! However, in light of their earnings report I am raising the buying level from $92 to $101.8, which is where I will aim to buy more AMD stock for the long-run.
Whilst I caution all those considering selling AMD, as I tend to get asked in the comments from time to time as this stock could easily trade to over $200 as I stated my expectations of several months ago.
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Saturday, December 18, 2021
META (Facebook) Dominating VR / Companies / Metaverse
By: Nadeem_Walayat
I won't regurgitate that which has already been blasted across the airwaves during the past few weeks since Zuckerberg's announcement so I will dive straight into the stock chart.
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Thursday, December 16, 2021
Google Glass Metaverse Big Fat FAIL! / Companies / Google
By: Nadeem_Walayat
I am really disappointed with Google given that they were ahead of the curve some 8 years ago with Google Glass, but then effectively put it it all onto the back burner with nothing much heard of since 2019. So it looks like Google could have blown it as they were really on the cusps of producing something that could have been huge but after 5 years of trying to make it work it appears the technology was just not good enough at the time and it looks like they gave up, maybe they are still quietly working on Google Glass in the depths of Google Labs to one day make a big reveal?
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Sunday, December 12, 2021
BUY APPLE Stock at DIscount / Companies / Apple
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Apple's earnings report was okay, it's basically a giant corp that is experiencing slowing growth which will reflected in a gradual lowering of it's price earnings multiple over time from the present P/E of 26.9. The 4% discount from $152 to $146 was not enough to encourage me to even consider buying any Apple stock despite plans to do so.
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Saturday, December 11, 2021
BUY Amazon Stock at a 5% DIscount / Companies / Amazon
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Amazon - 5% Discount
Traded down from $3450 to a low of $3270 on a bad earnings report, it should have fallen a lot more, but investors seem content to buy a company trading on a PE of 68. There is a market disconnect here. so I am lowering my buying level for Amazon from $3020 to $2600, and even that is probably still too high for what it is..
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Friday, December 10, 2021
BUY IBM Stock at a 20% DIscount / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: Nadeem_Walayat
IBM - 20% Discount
IBM traded down form $142 to $118.3, complicated due to the split off of 20% of their business which was distributed on 3rd of November. Nevertheless those who bought IBM on the drop grabbed a bargain for they get 1 Kyndryl share for every 5 IBM shares held by close of 26th October. Kyndryl currently trades at $25, which equates to $5 per IBM share. So current price of IBM stock price is $123.6 plus $5 to arrive at $128.6 per IBM share. I had originally planned to sell Kyndryl, but given that the stock is trading down 50% form $50 I don't see much point of doing so right now so will hold for the time being.
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Friday, December 10, 2021
3 Stocks To Watch As The Lithium Boom Kicks Into High Gear / Companies / Lithium
By: OilPrice_Com
A boom in electric vehicles is expected to drive a phenomenal amount of demand for lithium, but that’s just the beginning.We’ve set out to solve global climate change, and that means electrifying absolutely everything.
It means a potential boom in electric vehicles, with BloombergNEF expecting global sales of sales to hit 5.6 million units by the end of this year.
It means a boom in energy storage solutions.
But we may not have enough metal to build it all. As a result, the hunt for battery metals has reached fever pitch, and lithium could be a big beneficiary.
We think a strong portfolio to play lithium should cover this segment from several angles, including rallying the biggest EV players, disruptive mining technology in the lithium space, and the world’s largest lithium miner.
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Thursday, December 09, 2021
BUY FACEBOOK Stock at a 10% DIscount / Companies / Metaverse
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Facebook or rather META traded down from $340 to a low $308. Facebook is the second most important stock on my list to accumulate into for the long-run AI mega-trend after Google, so it is a stock that I would personally not want to be totally disinvested from and remain eager to expand my holdings from about 3% upto a similar size to that of Google's current 6%.
METAVERSE is nothing new! It is the inevitable track Facebook has been on since it bought Oculus in 2014 and started to release the Quest VR headsets and thus is one of the primary reasons why I own Facebook stock as it currently dominates the VR market at about 1/3rd of the market share with it's VR headsets up from about 15% 3 years ago, headsets which I personally use so I well understand the technology and why the metaverse is slowly becoming manifest with each generation of headset and associated gear.
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Thursday, December 09, 2021
New Mining Tech Could Be A Gamechanger For Lithium / Companies / Lithium
By: OilPrice_Com
Thanks to a potentially disruptive new technology, a revolution could be on the horizon in the lithium industry.
This revolution – which could see lithium production that is faster, cheaper and more environmentally friendly – would be happening at a time when demand for lithium is extraordinarily high.
With its proprietary lithium extraction technology, this company could unlock a significant amount of potential dollar value...possibly starting with their lithium exploration properties in Thunder Bay, Ontario and James Bay, Quebec.
This company – Vancouver-based Medaro Mining (CSE:MEDA; OTC:MEDAF) – is currently flying beneath Wall Street’s radar...but the exciting potential of its lithium extraction technology means that it may not be the case for much longer.
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Wednesday, December 08, 2021
Investing in the METAVERSE Stocks Universe / Companies / Metaverse
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
Facebook hit the nail on the head by bringing forth realisation to the masses of the emerging metaverse's with their corporate name change to META, though most will soon forget what all the fuss was about and carry on their merry way until they next big metaverse story, so this aspect of the Quantum AI mega-trend will continue to trundle along in the background. However savvy investors will already be aware of the "meta-verse" and what it heralds in terms of virtual products and services as the headsets technology plays catchup so as to allow the masses to escape from an increasingly dismal economic future given the rise of machine intelligence automation that seeks to replace human labour as we have seen play out in countless movies such as Ready Player One.
Whilst those who are skeptical of the 'metaverse' or what I would call virtual worlds and see it as a flash in the pan that will soon forgotten for the next 'big thing' need to understand that we all already inhabit a virtual world in our day to day city lives, none of which is 'natural' but virtual space carved out by humans to inhabit to earn points (currency) to buy goods and services which is why so many people are easily able to escape into video games, and their virtual spaces which the metaverse virtual worlds take to the next level. i.e. metaverse's are basically GAMING ENVIRONMENTS that are being MONETIZED by means of crypto tokens such as the buying of virtual LAND,
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Wednesday, December 08, 2021
The Lithium Breakthrough That Could Transform The Mining Industry / Companies / Lithium
By: OilPrice_Com
The lithium-technology space is in a desperate race to build a better battery in time to keep pace with an energy transition that is mainstreaming electric vehicles.
Certain companies in this space working on battery breakthroughs are soaring.
Quantumscape has gained nearly 60% in October thanks to the development progress in its solid-state lithium battery for EVs.
It’s all about coming up with a better battery that’s cheaper and holds its charge longer, and the rush to the finish line here has created no less than a “Battery Arms Race”.
But we think betting on which one of these companies will reach the solid-state commercial finish line first means nothing without serious breakthroughs in the exploration and extraction of one of the key metals that underpin the entire EV and energy storage equation: Lithium.
A lithium shortage could stall the EV push and halt the battery arms race in its tracks. As it stands, it is questionable at best whether lithium supplies can keep up with the forecast of a huge increase in demand.
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Tuesday, December 07, 2021
INTEL Bargain Teck Stocks Trading at 15.5% Discount Sale / Companies / INTEL
By: Nadeem_Walayat
INTEL Bargain - 15.5% Discount Sale
The story for Integrated Electronics should have been for it's stock price to soar on CAPEX and Alder Lake processor success (of sorts). Instead the literal FOOLS took what was GOOD news to explain the 15% drop in Intel's stock price.
Fool.com - "The sudden price drop was triggered by the company's significant infrastructure investments"
Yeah, very aptly named fool. com. There are times what the market does something really stooopid by moving in the WRONG direction, this can either be to the upside (Nvidia) or the downside, and where Intel is concerned the markets just got this stock very badly wrong which gave us all 15.5% discount to where the stock was trading pre earnings as it fell from $56 to a low of $47.8, delivering a whopping 15.5% discount, breaching my long standing buying level of $48 and hugging the level for well over a week. And as I indicated earlier I started buying Intel as soon as it dipped below $50, at $49.9 and then again $48.3, tripling my Intel position to 4.5%.and since have continued to buy supplemental bits with likes of eTORRO at sub $50. Intel trades on an EC of 15 (super cheap), PE of 8.9, pays a 2.5% dividend AND buys back stock over time (12% over the past 3 years).
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