Analysis Topic: Investor & Trader Education
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, May 20, 2007
Business Cycles Lecture 2 - Business Fluctuations and Cyclicality / InvestorEducation / Business Cycles
The following video is second in a series on the Business Boom Bust Cycles by Dr. Krassimir Petrov of The American University in Bulgaria.
This is an introductory 65 min lecture describing the nature of business cycles. Explains business fluctuations, phases, periodicity, comovement, persistence, amplitude, cyclicality, and introduces major business cycle theories
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Tuesday, May 15, 2007
An Optimistic Route to a Poor Stock Market Outlook / InvestorEducation / Stock Market Valuations
Value is a big and well-known strategy within the investment world. Many analysts and investors alike rely heavily on the P/E ratio as a metric to determine the value of a stock, indices or other form of security. But just as with any other investment metric, the data can be skewed if not viewed within the proper context.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 14, 2007
Trading Doctor - Fifty Prescriptions for Profits: Ten Doses at a Time / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
Over the next few weeks, I will give you my top 50 secrets to profitable trading. Although directed to futures traders, they contain valuable lessons for all trader s. These are Doctor Janice's Prescriptions For Profits which I am prescribing to you in doses of ten at a time.
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Sunday, May 13, 2007
Business Cycles Lecture 1 - Macroeconomics Interest and Capital / InvestorEducation / Business Cycles
The following video is first in a series on the Boom Bust Cycles by Dr. Krassimir Petrov of The American University in Bulgaria.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 10, 2007
Trading Leverage – the Good, the Bad & the Ugly / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
In a perfect world all investors would make correct decisions and all leverage would be good leverage. Yea right, none of us are perfect and frequently our investments and the timing thereof maybe off the mark. Therefore, it is necessary for us to evaluate the different choices of leverage to be used (if any) in our investments.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 07, 2007
Nolte Notes - Developing Street Sense / InvestorEducation / US Stock Markets
Street Sense, what everyone aspires to, even after many years of paid education – an understanding of the way the world works, not the way it does inside of a textbook. Street Sense also was the first Breeders Cup juvenile to win the Kentucky Derby. Street sense is also what many investors believe they have when it comes to Wall Street, however bull markets tend to make everyone look smart.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 28, 2007
Stock Market Demand Power and Supply Pressure Buy and Sell Entry and Exit Signals - Part 2 / InvestorEducation / US Stock Markets
Last week we presented charts and theory on how the Demand Power and Supply Pressure measurements for the S&P 500 generate highly correlative entry and exit signals for traders and market-timing investors who want to go long and short, catching the waves and realizing profits far greater than buy and hold strategies offer.
This weekend we present our proprietary Demand Power and Supply Pressure charts for the NASDAQ 100 , with equally spectacular results. Aside from the astonishing correlation, the most exciting aspect about this system is the guidance it provides on exiting an established position.
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Tuesday, April 24, 2007
Why Investors Lose Money / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest
Investors have a number of weaknesses which often result in investment failure. Identifying these weaknesses is the first step to reducing them. Our Investment Scoring and Timing System is designed to help minimize these weaknesses in order to give us a potential advantage over the market. The following are some key reasons why we believe investors lose money.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 23, 2007
Investment Analysis - Simple, Simple, Simple... but powerful? / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest
The objective of this article is to illustrate a powerful investment analysis technique by first examining a simplified hypothetical scenario. We will then explore this concept on the markets of today. To do this we will:
1) Outline some basic investing rules to be used as guidelines.
2) Present a hypothetical scenario for analysis.
3) Guided by our rules, form a conclusion for the purpose of understanding the markets.
4) Explain how we think this analysis applies to the markets of today.
Monday, April 23, 2007
Navigating the HUI (Gold Bugs Index) Using Elliott Wave Theory / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory
Providing a consistently accurate road map for traders and investors is both a rewarding and challenging responsibility that we passionately embrace. We approach our calling as though legally bound by the highest of fiduciary standards.
Although it is clearly impossible for one to know with any level of certainty how and when prices will move within a given series, this article will provide testament that it is indeed plausible to attain a distinct advantage, and actionable level of foreknowledge relative to dynamic price evolution in both time and amplitude.
Success in the two separate endeavors of trading and analysis is by no means failsafe or a sure thing. To the contrary, trading losses, and failed forecasting signals generously populate the real life experience of the most successful traders and analysts. In this business, no individual, method, or system can get things right all of the time. Within the chart archives below, we will provide such examples of real-world challenges and triumphs.
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Sunday, April 22, 2007
The Trading Doctor - Why Can't You Execute The Trade? / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
The mail I am receiving indicates that many of you are having real challenges with execution of trades. In the next week or so, I will go over some critical elements of trade execution, particularly the setting of stops.
However, today is about just taking the trade and why you can't do it.
We live in a culture of instant gratification. We thrive on everything from microwave ovens, fast foods, instant replay, mastery in a minute, one-night stands, a pill to "fix" what ails you, and just about everything else that you see around you which just "lights up" the brain dopamine systems. It's a "faster and faster forward" world in which we all live. Naturally, there is carryover into our trading. Why wouldn't there be?
Thursday, April 19, 2007
Trading Wisdom - Trading is a game of Probabilities and not one of Certainties / InvestorEducation / Trader Psychology
One of the great evils of trading is false exactness...Trading is a fuzzy process and I mean fuzzy in the best sense of the word. That is, as in fuzzy logic, as in the willingness to accept the idea that things aren't exactly quantifiable and to forge ahead anyway....John Bollinger ( creator of the Bollinger Bands)
Trading is not about perfection. It is about probability and progress. All charts, analyses (fundamental and technical) and trading plans are built on probabilities.
Why then, do so many traders strive for perfection? Why do so many traders miss trades, waiting for exactly the right entry and then beat up on themselves when it doesn't come and the position runs away while they sit there scratching their heads and condemning themselves?
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Wednesday, April 18, 2007
Values Plus Growth Investing Strategy (Part 1) / InvestorEducation / Investing
Many investors seek to beat the market buy using value or growth strategies. Does an investor have to chose one approach, or can they be blended together to get the best of both? To help people to learn to invest his is the first of several articles on value and growth investing.
As defined by Investopedia , “value investing is the strategy of selecting stocks that trade for less than their intrinsic value. Value investors actively seek stocks of companies that they believe the market has undervalued. They believe the markets overreact to good and bad news, causing stock price movements that do not correspond with the company's long-term fundamentals. The result is an opportunity for value investors to profit by buying when the price is deflated.”
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Sunday, April 15, 2007
Overview of Cycles Analysis and a Brief Application to Crude Oil / InvestorEducation / Cycles Analysis
From a cyclical perspective, the trend is defined by the direction of the cycle of the next larger degree. This means that from a cyclical perspective we work in many different dimensions. The key is to isolate and study each cycle of each dimension so that the direction and expectation of these cycles can be known. The identification of these cycle lows is definitely outside of the scope of this brief overview, as it would take volumes of material to do this subject justice.
I use a number of indicators to aid in identifying cycle tops and bottoms, but the best indicator I have found for this is my Cycle Turn Indicator. Anyway, all I want to do here is simply present the concept of using cycle highs and lows of various degrees to show you the concept of how we can work in the various dimensions to identify important turn points.
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Monday, April 02, 2007
The Trading Doctor - A Broken Heart - Learn to Trade with Discipline / InvestorEducation / Trader Psychology
And in the end, it's not the years in your life that count. It's the life in your years... Abraham Lincoln
Today, I had to admit a 25-year-old trader to the hospital. He complained of crushing substernal chest pain and collapsed at his trading desk.He will survive this, most likely. However, it is pretty clear that he will never be the same. No one gets out of this type of situation unscathed. The trauma will pass, and the immediate stress will dissipate. The anxiety and the post-traumatic stress will be with him for years to come.
Sunday, April 01, 2007
Learn to Trade - RULES OF ENGAGEMENT (for the long haul) / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory
In this, our last article in the public series, we will focus our attention on long-term broad market strategies for self-directed index investors. The Traders' Series is in development, and will be available on our website soon.
In addition to inviting index investors' to realize the power and convenience of Elliott Wave Technology's Interim Monthly Forecast , this article will present:
- The premise and composition for three types of long-term investment strategies
- Simple guidelines to which one must adhere in effectively deploying each Pitfalls and risks if strategy disciplines are not implemented
- Long-Term Charts of the Japanese Nikkei and the NASDAQ Composite Index from 1982 through present
- An opening graphical summary of charts illustrating the results of Elliott Wave Technology's Pro-Active Long-Term Investment Strategy for the NASDAQ 100 from 1994 to present
- The easiest and most effective way for self-directed index investors to monitor, and automatically track EWT's ongoing Pro-Active investment strategies
Tuesday, March 27, 2007
Learning to Trade Financial Markets - Are you unbiased in your analysis of market direction ? / InvestorEducation / Trader Psychology
A simple test to see if you look at the market in a non-biased way ...
One of the things that complicates are ability to read the market right is "non-objectivity".
Non objectivity is when we "have an opinion" of what the market will do and we subconsciously let that opinion tell us a different story of what the chart is telling us.
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Sunday, March 25, 2007
Learning to Trade - The Grand Strategy / InvestorEducation / Technical Analysis
As follow up to our previous article, Learn to Trade Like a Spartan Warrior , we thought it wise to dig a little deeper, and provide additional clarity relative to aligning ones' specific objectives with fitting strategies.
It is not difficult to draw the analogy of war into the financial sphere. Long wars comprise a series of minor and major battles. More often than not, one war leads to another.
One glance at a long-term price chart and one quickly realizes that the peaks, troughs, and the sharp jagged edges defining it, exemplify a “war without end.”
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Saturday, March 24, 2007
The 12 Rules of How to Avoid Losing and Start Making Money from the Stock Market / InvestorEducation / Investing
By Dr. Steven Lee (Ph.D)
RULE 1: WHY DO YOU INVEST?
Make more money, this is the answer to most people.
If your reason is to make more money, then ask yourself these three questions:
1.Is your strategy making money?
2.Is your strategy safe?
3.How to increase the profit and minimize the risk?
Thursday, March 22, 2007
Is your portfolio properly diversified ? / InvestorEducation / Investing
If you have ever watch Jim Cramer and his segment “Are you diversified?” then you probably have some idea what lack of diversification means. The idea is to Beat the Market investors should maintain a diversified portfolio. The problem is that many investors think they are diversified and therefore protected from the market's risks (at least somewhat). Well, this might not be accurate.
Gary Marks a successful money manager has written a book that is causing some problems with some brokerage firms. The book Rocking Wall Street: Four Powerful Strategies That will Shake Up the Way You Invest, Build Your Wealth And Give You Your Life Back received a highly complimentary statement from a senior portfolio manager at a major brokerage firm that lead the firm's compliance department to issue a written warning to Mr. Marks not to use his quote to promote the book.
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