Category: Business Cycles
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, October 17, 2014
Why The Business Cycle is Failing / Economics / Business Cycles
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Since WW2 economic theorists have posited that demand in the economy could be stimulated by a combination of deficit spending by the government and by suppressing interest rates. The separation of demand from production was promoted by Keynes and interest rate management of the economy by monetarists, though there is considerable overlap between the two. Yet no progress in economic management has been achieved: instead we appear to be on the brink of a major economic dislocation.
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Wednesday, March 23, 2011
Economic Boom Bust Cycles are Planned / Politics / Business Cycles
By: Bob_Chapman
Cycles and booms and busts just don’t happen. They are planned that way. In the late 1990s Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan commented on irrational exuberance and said he hoped the market would cool down. The amount of money and credit he had introduced into the system had a great deal to do with a forming of a bubble. He indicated that on the short-term there was little he could do about it, when all he had to do was raise margin requirements from 50% to 60% temporarily. We wrote about the solution as a coupe of other writers did, but no one really wanted to take away the dotcom punchbowl. In late March of 2000 the market began its collapse. We removed our subscribers out of the market in the first week of April, as did Joe Granville, a friend and one of the best market timers ever.
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Monday, June 28, 2010
Can Gold Cause the Boom-Bust Cycle? / Economics / Business Cycles
By: Robert_Murphy
At the Mises Academy we are just wrapping up the inaugural class, on the Austrian theory of the business cycle. During the class, one issue that came up repeatedly was whether the Mises/Hayek story of the trade cycle could occur on a completely free market, using gold as money and a banking system that operated on 100 percent reserves.
As any good (and annoying) teacher would, I avoided giving a definitive answer one way or the other. Instead, I tried to give the best possible case for each answer, to prod the students to think it through for themselves. In this article, I summarize how even a Rothbardian could plausibly answer this question either in the affirmative or the negative.
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Wednesday, November 12, 2008
The Great Global Deleveraging Cycle Continues / Economics / Business Cycles
By: Mark_OByrne
The great global deleveraging continues. In a world that has become addicted to debt fuelled growth, the idea that readily available credit may no longer be available, has scared many into facing the truth; credit is not free and should never have been priced as such. Over the past few weeks markets have continue to sell off, outlook for production and consumption are all bearish and thus oil continues its volatile ride losing $2 overnight to its current level of $58 a barrel. (Month to date it is down over 40% in USD terms and more than 62% in euro terms). Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 24, 2007
Business Cycle Points to Stage 6 Stocks and Commodities Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Business Cycles
By: Damian_Campbell
The Normal Business Cycle
As refined by Martin Pring in his book The All-Season Investor , economic and stock
cycles can be broken down into stages. The complete normal business cycle usually
lasts approximately 42 - 54 months, but this typical length can be altered by monetary
policy. Business activity goes from the despair of the depths of recession to the
euphoria of the peaks of business expansion and back again.
Tuesday, August 14, 2007
Stock Market, Interest Rates and the Business Cycle / Stock-Markets / Business Cycles
By: Gerard_Jackson
The turbulence in America's subprime market is being blamed for the current international financial crises, proving once again that our economic commentators are largely clueless on such matters. This is made particularly clear by their approach to rising interest rates that are going to cause a lot of pain. (For example, the ANZ bank has raised its standard variable home loan rate to 8.32 per cent).
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Monday, May 28, 2007
Business Cycles Lecture 3 - Business Cycle Indicators / InvestorEducation / Business Cycles
By: Dr_Krassimir_Petrov
This video lecture explains the behavior of 18 different procyclical leading or lagging macroeconomic variables/indicators throughout the business cycle.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 20, 2007
Business Cycles Lecture 2 - Business Fluctuations and Cyclicality / InvestorEducation / Business Cycles
By: Dr_Krassimir_Petrov
The following video is second in a series on the Business Boom Bust Cycles by Dr. Krassimir Petrov of The American University in Bulgaria.
This is an introductory 65 min lecture describing the nature of business cycles. Explains business fluctuations, phases, periodicity, comovement, persistence, amplitude, cyclicality, and introduces major business cycle theories
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Sunday, May 13, 2007
Business Cycles Lecture 1 - Macroeconomics Interest and Capital / InvestorEducation / Business Cycles
By: Dr_Krassimir_Petrov
The following video is first in a series on the Boom Bust Cycles by Dr. Krassimir Petrov of The American University in Bulgaria.Read full article... Read full article...