Category: Gold & Silver 2020
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, April 29, 2020
Gold and the Debasement of Currency Con / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Hubert_Moolman
It is reasonably well known that many Roman emperors debased their currency (coinage). This was a very bad practice, since it is really a reflection of the debasement of the value of the kingdom (empire or country); going from a honest and just society to a corrupt and unjust society.
One of the reasons (effects) of debasing the currency was the transfer of wealth from the citizens to the ruling class. When the gold or silver content of the coinage is reduced, then more of the official coinage can be made, with a similar amount of gold or silver; therefore, increasing the money supply without the input of more gold or silver.
The increase of the money supply leads to reduced purchasing power, and this is the mechanism whereby they are robbed, since it is the ruling class that essentially bags the difference in purchasing power.
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Tuesday, April 28, 2020
Precious Metals Market Premiums, the COMEX and the Macro Picture / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable speaks with Andy Schectman, president of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments, about the present situation with physical precious metals.
Maurice Jackson: Today, we're going to discuss precious metals premiums, the COMEX and the big picture. Joining us for a conversation is Andy Schectman, the president of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments.
Andy, investors in physical precious metals are upset with high premiums over spot for precious metals. Can you discuss the reasoning behind the high premiums, the supply chain, and just a number of the intangibles that really go into what's causing premiums to soar at records highs above and beyond the spot price?
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Monday, April 27, 2020
Gold Price on the Cusp of Reaching $2,100 - Video / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Chris Vermeulen, CEO & Founder of Technical Traders Ltd., joins Tom Bodrovics at Palisade Radio to discuss the markets and Chris says, “This is the time to really be paying attention to the markets… It could be a bloodbath.”
Chris is seeing uncertainty that could bring equities lower as money is flowing into safe havens. The charts are showing that markets are approaching a major inflection point, which could go either way. Both gold and silver should rise rapidly once they get past resistance.
Time Stamp References: 0:45 – Equities and safe havens. 2:00 – Market weakness – bear rally? 4:45 – Charts show a coming inflection point. 9:20 – Charts testing support on gold. 10:20 – Silvers chart is still ugly. 12:15 – What happened in oil? 20:00 – Equities may top and rollover.
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Monday, April 27, 2020
GOLD STRAITS OF HELL BREACHED TO UPSIDE / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Denali_Guide
Well boys and girls The Straits of HELL have just been breached, JUMPED with a GAP, which leaves us with one of the LARGEST Island Bottoms of all times, IF not the largest.
To me that signifies that whomever they are, Monetary or Governmental Authorities, Et Al, have lost control.and that Precious Metals will do as they need to, based on the leadtime of the GDX. Good Luck All, BREAK A LEG !!
Friday, April 24, 2020
Coronapocalypse Is Deeper than the Great Recession. Will Gold Shine Even More? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The recent economic reports show that the current coronavirus crisis will be bigger than the Great Recession. What does it imply for the gold market?
US Economic Data Paints a Gloomy Picture
This week was full of new reports about the US economy. And guess what, I don’t have good news… First of all, let’s start with the update about the weekly initial unemployment benefits. In normal times, the initial claims are not too keenly watched by investors. But in times of a pandemic, they are very informative. The spike in the initial claims may even become the symbol of this crisis. Anyway, the number of new claims for the unemployment benefits declined from 6.6 million in the previous week to 5.2 million in the week from April 4 to April 11, as the chart below shows.
Wednesday, April 22, 2020
Central Banks Fire Bazooka at Coronavirus. Will Gold Rally? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The new coronavirus has already infected the global economy. The global lockdown means that recession is inevitable. The central banks all over the world have stepped in, including the Fed, cutting interest rates and pumping liquidity into the system. We invite you thus to read our today’s article about the monetary policy in time of plague and find out what the fresh central banks’ bazookas imply for the global economy and the gold market.
The new coronavirus has already infected the global economy. The global lockdown means that recession is inevitable. The central banks all over the world have stepped in, cutting interest rates and pumping liquidity into the system.
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Tuesday, April 21, 2020
Silver Charts Say $5 Or Lower Is Coming / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Kelsey_Williams
Even the most casual silver investor must be discouraged with what has happened to silver prices recently. But what about those who were/are super bullish? How do they feel?
As I read various reports and articles, I sense some back peddling on the more extreme predictions which were so prevalent just shortly more than a month ago. On the other hand, I also sense a reluctance to let go; to just admit they were wrong and move on.
Experiencing the reality of silver’s price decline of more than one-third in barely three weeks has left its mark in ways that cannot be ignored. It is ignored, though. And when it isn’t ignored, it is excused; or explained in terms that are supposed to make you feel better, but somehow make you feel worse.
Rather than rehash all of the depressing details verbally, I thought it might be a good idea to look at some silver charts which give us pictures of the damage that has been inflicted on a technical basis.
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Tuesday, April 21, 2020
A Massive Gold Bull Market Building / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Richard_Mills
Imagine, if you will, there was no coronavirus. No haz-mat suits, medical masks & gloves, no make-shift morgues. No terminally ill patients hooked up to ventilators, no horrible deaths without love ones close, no lockdowns, no social distancing, no deserted streets, no bailouts, no emergency wage supplements, just a regular spring with birds chirping and flowers blooming.
Of course there is no getting away from the covid-19 pandemic that has slammed into populations and economies like a “God of chaos” comet. It seems to have permeated civilization, threatening lives, livelihoods, and the way we conduct ourselves professionally and socially.
I’d just like to put it into perspective, by looking back at where we were, before all this madness began. Because in the wise words of philosopher George Santayana, “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”
It is tempting, while still in the thick of the pandemic, to don rose-colored glasses, but weeks before the onset of covid-19, we were writing how things were not going as well as they appeared, with the global economy.
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Tuesday, April 21, 2020
The Subtle Precious Metals Signals Keep Coming In / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The greenback exerts powerful influence on the precious metals – that has been the case yesterday, and it unsurprisingly continues to be so also today. So, what message is the USDX sending out right now?
USD Index in the Spotlight
We’ll open up with a quote from yesterday’s Alert (by the way, please remember that all charts are expandable/clickable):
Looking at the 4-hour candlestick chart, we see that the USD Index just formed a reversal and is now testing the previous lows. There were very few 4-hour reversals in the recent days, but when we saw them, big and fast rallies followed. The early-March bottom is particularly similar to the current situation as the USD Index is – just like back then – after a visible decline, and the 4h reversal was followed by a re-test of the intraday low.
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Sunday, April 19, 2020
Does Gold Really Care Whether Coronavirus Brings Us Deflation or Inflation? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
One of the many bothering issues about the coronavirus crisis, is whether it will turn out to be inflationary or deflationary. What do both of these scenarios mean for gold ahead?
US Inflation Rate Declines in March
Many people are afraid that the coronavirus crisis will spur inflation. After all, the increased demand for food and hygiene products raised the prices of these goods. Moreover, the supply-side disruptions can reduce the availability of many goods, contributing to their increasing prices.
Friday, April 17, 2020
AI Fibonacci Modeling Predicts Silver at $26 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system incorporates an intelligent “Inference Engine” into internal decision-making and future analysis. This type of “Adaptive Learning” is one of the core elements of Artificial Intelligence – the ability to read inputs, adapting to price structures and setups and infer expected outcomes/results based on a complex decision-making process. Today, we are alerting you that our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting $26 is the next target level for Silver (which is currently trading near $15.65).
Learning how to interpret the data presented by our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is simple – it does the internal analysis automatically and presents future target levels and trigger levels on the charts as lines and blocks. Trigger levels are set up as both GREEN and RED lines for current Bullish and Bearish Trends. Each of these trends also has target BLOCKS drawn out into the future representing where the Adaptive Fibonacci system believes the next price target will be located. These target levels are determined by the Adaptive Learning Inference Engine and represent the best outcome of the true Fibonacci price structure we can deliver.
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Wednesday, April 15, 2020
Gold Price Near March Highs and Ready to Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Submissions
Recent shifts in the markets suggest gold prices are about to breakout in the same manner as they did over the summer last year.
The price of gold is a small distance away from the March highs ahead of the North American open on Monday and a fresh seven-year high looks to be probable.
Many factors impact the price of gold but there are few specific things that I am looking at that lead me to believe gold prices are about to break out.
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Saturday, April 11, 2020
Global Shutdown and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Have you read Ayn Rand’s novel Atlas Shrugged? The main theme of the book is that – overwhelmed by growing statism – entrepreneurs at one point say finally “basta!” and announce a strike. The symbolic Atlas who carries the world, shrugs. As a result, the economy collapses, plunging the world into chaos. This what we are observing right now – the only difference is that Atlas has not shrugged but got infected. But the result is the same. The economy freezes. We invite you thus to read our today’s article and find out what does the global shutdown implies for the global economy and the gold market!
Have you read Ayn Rand’s novel Atlas Shrugged? The main theme of the book is that – overwhelmed by growing statism – entrepreneurs at one point say finally “basta!” and announce a strike. They disappear, leaving their businesses to their fate. The symbolic Atlas who carries the world, shrugs. As a result, the economy collapses, plunging the world into chaos.
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Friday, April 10, 2020
Gold and Understanding the Current Investment Reality / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Nick_Barisheff
Gold has been misunderstood and ignored by retail investors, financial advisors and pension managers as a critical portfolio asset during normal market conditions. However, during periods of market stress, such as we are experiencing now, gold becomes a safe haven asset that will mitigate losses in the portfolio. For a number of years, many experts have been warning about overinflated markets that were just waiting for a spark to ignite the entire system.
I warned investors that we were in a triple bubble in stocks, bonds and real estate that was created by central bank policies. Although I concluded that a market crash was inevitable, I didn’t foresee that the spark to ignite all three bubbles would be the Coronavirus. While the virus itself is life threatening and will result in large demographic changes across the globe, the economic implications may be worse than the disease. Major economies in Europe, Canada and the United States have been shut down. Every industry—airlines, hotels, manufacturing, entertainment, sports, schools and retail—is in lockdown. Most of the western world is ravaged by fear, isolation, loss of employment, loss of income and the psychological effect of this massive lockdown situation. Employees have either been terminated or laid off indefinitely. The scale of this unemployment crunch and financial crisis is beyond the reach of governments’ assistance. Many businesses will not be able to reopen once the health issues have been controlled.
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Friday, April 10, 2020
A Rare Bottoming Pattern on the HUI Gold Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Rambus_Chartology
Back at the 2008 crash low in the HUI there was a reversal pattern, that is pretty rare, which helped confirm that very important low. If you ever wondered what the 2007 – 2008 top looked like and the decline that followed to the 2008 crash low this daily chart for the HUI paints the Chartology I posted at the tent, in real time, as the impulse move to the downside took place.
The 2007 – 2008 H&S top was actually a double H&S top which ended the first 8 years of the bull market that began in 2000. Even though that is a beautiful H&S top no one wanted to believe it could be possible when I first began to post the possibility of what the implications were. At the time I viewed the H&S top as a normal H&S reversal pattern but I had no idea it would lead to the crash it did. Even during the crash of that magnitude the Chartology was about as good as it can get.
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Friday, April 10, 2020
Expectations For Higher Gold Prices – Fly In The Ointment / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Kelsey_Williams
From Wikipedia: “In English, the phrase fly in the ointment is an idiomatic expression for a drawback, especially one that was not at first apparent, e.g.
We had a cookstove, beans, and plates; the fly in the ointment was the lack of a can opener.”
For four centuries, ‘a fly in the ointment’ has meant a small defect that spoils something valuable or is a source of annoyance. The modern version thus suggests that something unpleasant may come or has come to light in a proposition or condition that is almost too pleasing; that there is something wrong hidden, unexpected somewhere.”
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Thursday, April 09, 2020
Gold Price Closely Tracks Debt-to-GDP Ratio / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Richard_Mills
The debt-to-GDP ratio is an important metric economists use for comparing a country’s total debt to its gross domestic product (GDP).
The percentage arrived at by dividing the country’s total GDP by its total debt indicates the country’s ability to pay back its loans. The higher the percentage, the higher the risk of a country being unable to pay the interest on its debt, and therefore defaulting on its debt. (countries with high debt-to-GDP ratios typically have trouble paying off debts. Because they are a higher risk to paying loans back, creditors demand higher interest rates. If a country’s debt-to-GDP ratio becomes too extravagant, creditors may stop lending to it altogether)
While debt defaults are rare, they can and do happen. In 2010 the European Union faced a crisis when Greece threatened to default, potentially causing a domino effect, of highly leveraged nations like Spain and Italy doing the same, which likely would have destroyed the European Union.
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Thursday, April 09, 2020
Gold, Silver and Rigged Market Socialism / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
With his portfolio "solidly anchored" in silver and gold, sector expert Michael Ballanger opines on how bankers and politicians can manipulate markets.
As a child, I used to get quite excited at the prospect of having my English "Gran" read me the Hans Christian Andersen book "The Emperor's New Clothes." I found the tale fiendishly amusing, as the charlatan tailor uses lethal doses of flattery and mystery to beguile the poor sovereign into really believing that he is wearing the finest robes ever woven. There is even greater irony in the crowds he passes during a parade as they "Oooh" and "Awww" at his comic preening, knowing full well that he is making a fool of himself but too fearful to do anything but play along. The ending is sublime, with the ultimate moment of reckoning coming "from the mouths of babes," in the form of a young lad who finally blows the whistle with the innocent but true acknowledgement that, indeed, the emperor was parading pitifully through the town square clad only in his knickers.
I think that I admired and, in fact, envied the scallywag tailor in a manner not dissimilar to the way I am awed by this recent bevy of bankers and politicians. They stand in front of the cameras with their carnival barker bravado and serpentine smiles as they lift trillions of dollars from the future wallets of the taxpaying public and distribute it shamelessly among their capitalist cronies.
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Wednesday, April 08, 2020
All Is Not Well in the Gold Paper Markets / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: MoneyMetals
London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) officials have loudly proclaimed there are plenty of gold bars in LBMA and COMEX vaults to meet surging demand from buyers.
Unfortunately for them, confidence is particularly fragile these days and cracks are starting to appear.
Which is why anxious officials there issued not one, but two memos last week in an attempt to reassure traders.
It’s interesting the LBMA, along with the COMEX, felt a need to put out back to back statements. If inventories are plentiful, both exchanges should be busy delivering gold, on time and without delay. The best way to build confidence is simply to meet buyers’ expectations.
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Wednesday, April 08, 2020
USD Index Sheds Light on the Upcoming Gold Move / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The yellow metal and its fiat nemesis. Gold and the dollar certainly move not in a random relation to each other. The strength and direction of one taking the cue from the other changes over time, but what does it tell us about the present moment?
The key point with regard to the US currency is that it appears to have already ended its pullback and is now ready to soar well above its previous 2020 high.
How do we know that the pullback is most likely over?
Because the USD Index already rallied for (actually more than) two consecutive trading days.
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