Category: Gold & Silver 2020
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, January 08, 2020
Gold Price at Resistance / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Clive Maund discusses the effects of geopolitics on the price of gold. In this update I am not going to repeat the points made in the last fairly comprehensive update, instead we are going to focus on the importance of the resistance level just above where the price is now, and impact of the killing of the Iranian general and its potential implications for the gold price.
On the latest 10-year chart we can see that gold is making a second attack on the key major resistance level in the $1530-$1560 zone, which is hardly surprising considering what happened last week.
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Wednesday, January 08, 2020
Gold 2020 - Financial Analysts and Major Financial Institutions Outlook / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Santa Claus rally in Gold and Silver Crowns a very good year
It was a very good year for precious metals. Gold posted a nearly 19% gain and silver rose over 17%. As you can see in the chart below, the move higher began in early summer defying the annual summer doldrums, hit an impasse during autumn, then ended the year with a surprise Santa Claus rally that took it over the $1520 mark. Silver pushed briefly over the $18 mark in late December then settled at $17.78. Bloomberg Intelligence’s Mike McGlone offers a hopeful tone for our favorite precious metal as 2020 begins:
“It’s a new year and decade and gold is poised to follow the dollar and equities to new highs, in our view. When, should be the primary question, particularly when the stock market and greenback succumb to some normal mean reversion. Absent a new higher dollar and stock-price plateau, gold is set to join the all-time-highs club. Gold prices are on a sound footing for further advancement in the coming year and decade, in our view. Gold prices are on a sound footing for further advancement in the coming year and decade, in our view.”
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Monday, January 06, 2020
JPMorgan Silver Crime Charges to NY Fed REPO Loan Ramp / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Submissions
We often cover the ongoing JPMorgan silver bullion saga here. It seems we have a new twist in the ongoing story since JPMorgan's takeover of the bankrupt Bear Sterns short silver position in early 2008.
Late last year, in early November 2019, CBS’ 60 Minutes show did a puff Public Relations piece for the CEO of the world’s largest and Global Systematic Important Bank.
Here we see 60 Minutes interviewer Lesley Stahle as she interviews billionaire on paper, Jaime Dimon, the CEO of JP Morgan Chase.
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Sunday, January 05, 2020
Gold 2020 - Let’s Keep It Simple / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Avi_Gilburt
When I peruse the comments on our Elliottwavetrader site alone, I am seeing a myriad of “beliefs” as to what the metals are doing and will be doing. Most of such beliefs seem to be driven by feelings, and quite a number of them have been fighting this metals rally. Yet, some are even driven by various forms of analysis.
Of late, we are seeing so many become fearful of the metals market due to the COT report being so “bearish.” But, I have already dealt with this issue last week, yet I am going to repeat why that report is really of lesser consequence, especially when viewed relative to the structure of the market and support and resistance:
“If you look at the attached chart for the last 20 years, you will see that during the parabolic rally of 2010-2011 in gold, the commercial traders were heavily short gold. In fact, you can see that during that entire period of time, commercial shorts remained at 200,000 or greater. Yet, that was during a period of time where gold rallied $800. For those counting in percentage terms, that means gold rallied 70%+ during a time where commercial traders were heavily short of gold.
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Friday, January 03, 2020
Gold and Silver Prediction Targets 2020 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The Gold rally we predicted to happen in late 2018 took place, almost perfectly, based on our ADL predictive modeling systems results. This rally took place in May through September 2019 and pushed Gold up to levels near $1600. The rest of the year, Gold consolidated near $1500 as a strong US Stock Market rally took hold in Q4 of 2019. Our original prediction was that Gold would rally to levels near $1750 before the end of 2019 based on our Adaptive Dynamic Learning predictive modeling system (ADL). This did not happen in 2019 as out ADL modeling systems suggested, but it appears Gold is setting up for another massive upside rally in 2020.
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Thursday, January 02, 2020
Gold Market Update: Precious Metal Up, Dollar Down / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Clive_Maund
Technical expert Clive Maund charts the reasons the precious metals have entered a bull market.
Gold is now a major bull market, as evidenced by its strong breakout from a giant 6-year long base pattern in August. The larger trend is up. We had thought that it might react back closer to the breakout point before turning higher again, but it didn't, and started higher again in recent days over the Christmas period. This is a sign of greater strength.
There is a broad array of fundamental reasons for a bull market of unprecedented magnitude in gold, but by far the most important of them is the ongoing and accelerating destruction of currencies by central banks. They are responding to crushing debt burdens with money creation on a gargantuan scale, and we can expect them to maintain a low or negative interest rate environment and to pump money like crazy, since faced with a choice between a liquidity lockup and systemic implosion, and rampant money creation leading to hyperinflation, they are bound to follow the latter course. It is more gradual and buys them more time. While all central banks around the world are playing the same game, they will find it very hard to keep up with the Federal Reserve of the U.S., which is ramping up money creation at a frenetic pace, the effect of which will be to collapse the dollar, which is already starting to break down—hence last week's rally in gold and silver.
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Thursday, January 02, 2020
Gold Investors Wrongly Fear The “COT” / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Avi_Gilburt
As a student of market history, I always find it interesting, and even sometimes quite comical, how certain fallacies about markets are continually propagated by investors and analysts alike. Throughout my career in writing about metals, I have tried to bring many of these to light, and explain why so many of the fallacies should be ignored.
The latest in the string of fallacies relates to the Commitment of Traders report (COT). The common argument suggests that as long as the commercial traders are shorting gold heavily, then gold cannot rally. And, much has been made of late regarding the heavy commercial short positions pointing to a major drop in the gold market. Yet, history suggests otherwise.
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Tuesday, December 31, 2019
Precious Metals & Miners Prepare For An Early 2020 Liftoff / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the moderately quiet 2019 Christmas holiday season, while the US and global stock markets continue to push higher, precious metals and miners have begun to move dramatically higher as fear settles into the markets. Our researchers believe this upside move in metals and miners represents a measured increase in investor concern related to early 2020 and the global economy.
Our research team believes the current rally in the US stock market is an enthusiastic upside price move that does not have true fundamental support. We’ve authored a number of articles and research posts that highlight our belief and we suggest this upside move in Gold and miners is a sign of underlying fear that is growing in the global markets.
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