Category: Gold and Silver 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Saturday, December 19, 2015
Gold And Silver - Physical Precious Metals Are A 'Gift' At Current Levels / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
It really matters little what the charts are saying about the paper futures for gold and silver here, which we will get to shortly. The focus needs to be kept on a few facts that are inescapably true: fiat currencies throughout the history on this planet have always, always failed, without exception, 100% of the time. There are few situations for which such a statement of guaranteed [failed] performance can be made.
It is any different this time? Yes and no. No, because all fiats have failed, plain and simple. Yes, because the extent to which there is no reasonable reality in the relationship between paper and physical has never occurred to the current degree, ever.
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Friday, December 18, 2015
Do Inflation Indicators Drive the Prices of Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Alongside the GDP and labor market’s strength, inflation rate is the most important macroeconomic indicator – since the Fed promotes full employment and price stability. The price stability is measured as the inflation rate, so inflation reports are closely watched by the U.S. central bank and investors. In the August Market Overview, we showed that gold is not always an inflation hedge. At that time, we focused on the Consumer Price Index, which is not the only measure of inflation. The others are the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI).
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Friday, December 18, 2015
Data, Charts, History Show Rising Interest Rates Good For Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold fell to the lowest level in dollar terms since 2009 yesterday after the Fed’s “historic” 25 basis point interest rate rise on Wednesday. The rate hike has been heralded as the “end of cheap money.” This may or may not be the case but what is more important for precious metal buyers is the impact of potential rising rates on gold prices.
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Friday, December 18, 2015
Gold Price Bottom is Close - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Transcript excerpt :
gonna do a quick little video on goal this morning we are getting pretty close
to at least an intermediate cycle bottom and possibly maybe the final bear market
bottom near Market St in a yearly cycle o gold is in the process of leading a
yearly cycle low right now so couple things I want to look at everybody is
bearish on gold expecting no new lows here soon and I have to say that's
probably the most likely scenario but there is the potential that we could
have formed a double bottom yesterday gold is balancing this morning as I was
recording also we've got a table in Japan crash signal senior gold is closed
slightly below the lower Bollinger Band and bottoms will often form on these on
these moves below the close below the lower Bollinger Band here's one right
Thursday, December 17, 2015
Silly Myths About Gold During Rising Interest Rates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Fed Hikes; Silly Myths about Interest Rates & Gold Persist
The Fed finally acted this week – upping its benchmark Federal Funds rate by 0.25%. Now that the speculation over whether the Fed will hike has been put to rest, analysts are busily speculating about what the Fed's move means for the economy and markets.
Many of these speculations are unfounded. It's time to bust some silly myths.
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Thursday, December 17, 2015
Gold Thrives, Paper Dies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
(From “Bobby,” a reader – posted as a comment)
Both Gold and Silver it is said
Are jeered yet feared by the Fed
For if they rise it will but show
The dollar’s worth is very low
So if they rise in upward trend
The Fed then feels it must defend
The things they do we know aren’t right
But they don’t care, they have the might
Thursday, December 17, 2015
History Shows that Gold Has Been In Worse Situations Before, But Still Managed to Recover / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold has always been seen as one of the best when it comes to investments. Unlike other forms of investments, the price of gold does not rely on certain aspects that are guaranteed to change at some point in time like company management or competition.
This is what makes the yellow metal a haven for most investors during tough economic times. On the contrary, when economies are doing well, and particularly the US economy, gold does seem to struggle a bit due to its links with the US dollar.
Thursday, December 17, 2015
Gold Price Rises on Fed Interest Rate Hike, as Contrarians Predicted / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Predicting is a risky sport and predicting markets an extreme one. But understanding can be much more lucrative. After years of speculation about the negative impact a Federal Reserve rate increase could have on gold, a number of our experts took a contrarian view and based on an understanding that the hike was already priced into the gold price, they explained that it would actually benefit the gold price because it would remove the overhanging doubt. And that is exactly what happened. Within hours of the unanimous announcement on Wednesday that the Fed's benchmark short-term borrowing rate would go up a quarter point, gold was up $14/oz.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Silver: Until Paper Currencies Stop Losing Value / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Alasdair McLeod wrote an excellent article in which he said,
“So if anyone asks you when you might take your profits in gold and silver, smile sweetly and just say, ‘When paper money stops losing its value.’”
When will paper money stop losing its value? I submit that unbacked fiat paper money will, based on history, never stop losing value – as long as it is backed by dodgy sovereign debt issued by governments descending deeper into debt ever year. A viable alternative is currency backed by gold and silver, but even though precious metals have been used successfully as money for centuries, there is far more profit for TPTB when they use the paper stuff. Consequently paper and digital currencies will not disappear anytime soon.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Whither Silver Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
In a bit of a surprise today, crude oil somehow managed to pop high after falling below $35 at one point. It seems like it was more a case of running out of sellers rather than aggressive new buying.
Part of the reason for the move higher was that same pestilential macro trade that seemingly surfaces every single time the Dollar moves lower, namely the macro boyz start buying commodities in general.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Fed, ECB “Monetary Insanity” Is “Frightening” – GoldCore on Keiser Report / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Max Keiser interviewed GoldCore Research Director, Mark O’Byrne last week and the video was released on Saturday.
Key points and topics covered:
– “Monetary insanity” of ECB and Fed is “frightening”
– “Absolutely nothing has been learned” since financial crisis
– “Financial hypocrisy on a grand scale”
– Ireland was vassal of Bank of England and now ECB
Saturday, December 12, 2015
Gold And Silver– Problem, Reaction, Solution Does Not Apply To Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The Rothschild-now-globalist template for gaining control over all money, and now the world, has been create a Problem, let an adverse Reaction develop, then present the desired Solution. On a grander scale, there was the US Civil War to divide the country, then the manufactured Roaring ’20s and the stock market bubble, burst when the money changers purposefully tightened the money supply creating massive margin calls and the Crash of 1929.
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Saturday, December 12, 2015
The Effect of a Fed Rate Hike on Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The markets have for the most part already priced in a Fed rate hike which is expected next week. Yesterday fed funds futures indicated an 80% chance of a rate hike. It would be the first hike in roughly 9 years. The Fed last began a new hiking cycle in 2004. We consult history to decipher the potential impact (of a rate hike) on the embattled precious metals sector.
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Saturday, December 12, 2015
The Gold Market - Mario Draghi is a Hype Machine / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The Gold Market is pretty interesting here as investors realized on Thursday that much that comes out of Mario Draghi`s mouth is complete hyperbole, because things aren`t nearly as dire in Europe as some bankers try to persuade for additional stimulus out of the ECB, and Germany isn`t going to sign off on the extreme bazooka stimulus measures because Germans by nature are conservative, and there is a commensurate symmetry between ratcheting up extreme monetary measures and stoking the fire of unintended consequences.
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Saturday, December 12, 2015
Gold Sector Inputs That Actually Matter and Stock Market Refugees / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The word play in the title is in reference to the ridiculous fuss over COMEX gold inventory and other promotions masquerading as fundamentals put out by cartoons masquerading as analysis.
30 year divided by, and 30 year minus 5 year are neutral at best. Yield spreads would be rising in a gold-positive environment. As a side note, this spread also tends to bring trouble for the stock market during its initial stages of rising.
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Friday, December 11, 2015
Gold Thrives in Fed Interest Rate Hike Cycles / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold’s deep new secular lows of recent weeks were fueled by American futures speculators’ overpowering fear of Fed rate hikes. They believe zero-yielding gold is doomed in a higher-rate world, so they dumped gold futures at astounding record rates. The problem is history proves just the opposite, that gold tends to thrive during Fed-rate-hike cycles. This revelation is a super-bullish near-term omen for gold.
Some brief context is essential to frame gold’s apparently dire predicament today. Late July saw gold crushed to new secular lows by a record extreme gold-futures shorting attack brazenly executed to blast through long-side stops and foment panic selling. But this burst selling soon fizzled, leading to a major gold bottom in early August. Over the subsequent few months, gold carved an impressive new uptrend.
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Friday, December 11, 2015
Gold and Silver Exceptional Hypocrisy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold and silver finished largely unchanged in a lightly traded session.
There were no deliveries worth noting at The Bucket Shop yesterday. Nothing in gold, and a few bars of silver.
The gold warehouses were completely quiet, sitting tight with warranted (registered) bullion sitting at decades long lows, and with little historical precedent for their ratio to open interest.
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Thursday, December 10, 2015
Screaming Fundamentals For Owning Gold Bullion / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
We’re at a moment of historic opportunity.
By Chris Martenson
Every year or two we update this report which lays out the investment thesis for gold. Here is this year’s version.
Silver is touched upon only as necessary; as a separate report of equal scope is required for that precious metal.
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Wednesday, December 09, 2015
Dishonest Money Will Die - I Hope / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Honest money – gold and silver – are not supported by governments and central bankers for obvious reasons. The Fed can “print” $85 Billion per month to buy dodgy paper to support the banking system, but the Fed can’t produce 75 million ounces of gold each month. Consequently we use dishonest money.
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Tuesday, December 08, 2015
Gold Buying Surges At U.S. Mint In November – China Buys 21 Tonnes In November Alone / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Despite gold at near 6 year lows, global demand for physical bullion remains very high. This is clearly seen in the recent demand data from the U.S. Mint and other mints. It is also seen in demand data from GFMS and the World Gold Council which shows very robust demand from Germany, India and of course, China.
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