Category: Stock Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, December 02, 2014
Stock Market Gap Down And Hold....Not Run, But At Least Hold.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
So at least the bears can say they made some progress today. Not exactly what they would love to see but at least they have something more positive to hold on to. They were able to get a strong gap down and they definitely held that gap down all day as the bulls tried several times to move things back up but the determined bears held that gap wide open. That's a huge start for the dark side players as they have been unable to that for a very long time. Large gap down and hold seems like something from the dark ages. Today they did it, but they did fail to do the whole package, which would have included a gap down and run lower all day with a close at or on the lows. But that's fine with them as they'll take whatever they can. They're so used to being disappointed they had mostly given up. Today at least they didn't give up.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 01, 2014
Stock Market Technical Indicators Worsening / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - While everything technical points to an overbought condition which should require an adjustment, the exact timing of that correction is for the market itself to decide and reveal.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 30, 2014
Is the Fed Thwarting U.S. Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Investment_U
Rachel Gearhart writes: The Federal Reserve may be looking to make its first round of interest rate increases since 2006 in mid-2015, but that doesn't mean you should panic.
According to Loomis, Sayles & Co. Senior Equity Strategist Richard Skaggs, "A rate hike would not present a material obstacle" to stock gains in the next year to year and a half.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 30, 2014
Stock Market Investors That Do Not Understand The Power Of Seven Will Lose Money in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Investors and traders around the world continually search to find or increase their edge in the financial markets to boost profits. The next few months are going to be critical for investors because the number seven is now in play for the stock market.
What does this mean?
In magical lore seven is a magical number., While all numbers are ascribed certain properties and energies, seven is a number of power, a lucky number, a number of psychic and mystical powers, of secrecy and the search for truth.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 30, 2014
Dow Stocks Index Big Fake Out & VIX Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
Dow
The Dow’s parabolic move higher has continued with gusto throughout November. So what’s next? Well, I think Santa is coming to the party with a Christmas rally that will be the last hurrah for this bull market that began in 2009.
Let’s begin the analysis with the weekly chart.
Saturday, November 29, 2014
Stock Market Long Term Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
The holiday shortened week started off at SPX 2068 on Monday. After a rise to SPX 2074 by Tuesday the market dipped to 2065. Then after rise to new highs at SPX 2076 on Friday, this was followed by another dip to 2065. The total range for the week was an incredibly small 0.5%. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.15%, the NDX/NAZ gained 1.85%, and the DJ World index gained 0.10%. Despite the small rise, this was the sixth weekly gain in a row. On the economic front reports came in biased to the negative side. On the uptick: Q3 GDP, personal income/spending, the PCE, and durable goods orders. On the downtick: consumer confidence/sentiment, Case-Shiller, the Chicago PMI, pending/new home sales, the WLEI, and weekly jobless claims increased. Next week we get the FED’s beige book, the monthly Payrolls report, the ISMs, and plenty more.
Saturday, November 29, 2014
The Stock Market Has Peaked / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Thomas_Clayton
SPXA50R measures the stocks above the 50 day Moving Average which gives perfect timing of Market Tops and Bottoms.
The Macd line cross is the Alert, Followed by %B below 0.5 and Slow Sto below 80 has proven to be Sell Signals
Behind the pink Histogram primary chart, you can see the SPX down and the Vix at the bottom right turning Up.
Saturday, November 29, 2014
U.S. Treasury Bonds Outperforming S&P 500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
It was a sure thing. With the Fed cutting back its massive QE bond-buying program this year bonds would plunge. Instead, they began rallying sharply in January, precisely when the Fed began tapering back QE.
It seems that economists expecting bonds to plunge failed to anticipate that foreign demand for U.S. treasury bonds would make up for the slowing of Fed bond buying.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 28, 2014
VIX is Reversing, Other Stock Market Indicators are Faltering / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The NYSE Hi-Lo index is acting strangely today. It appears that it may fail at exceeding its prior high of 420.00 from the previous week. That would complete a “failed” point 5 of its Orthodox Broadening Top that I also pointed out last week. A bearish portent for the Hi-Lo.
Friday, November 28, 2014
Stocks Fluctuating - Will Uptrend Extend Even Further? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,085 and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, November 27, 2014
The Dow Jones Stocks Index - Beautiful Tree in the Desert / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Wim_Grommen
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index is the only stock market index that covers both the second and the third industrial revolution. Calculating share indexes such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average and showing this index in a historical graph is a useful way to show which phase the industrial revolution is in. Changes in the DJIA shares basket, changes in the formula and stock splits during the take-off phase and acceleration phase of industrial revolutions are perfect transition-indicators. The similarities of these indicators during the last two revolutions are fascinating, but also a reason for concern. In fact the graph of the DJIA is a classic example of fictional truth, a fata morgana.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 26, 2014
Still an Stock Market Up Trend On New Lows? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Marty_Chenard
New Market Highs with New Lows Up Trending at the Same Time?
Today's chart show's the updated NYSE New Lows. The good news is that the VIX broke a support yesterday (a market positive), while the NYA New Lows did not break its thick red support line (a market negative).
See the NYA New Lows chart below for what is going on.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 26, 2014
Why Stock Investors Should Be Especially Thankful / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: In my last column, I wrote about how life today is getting objectively better yet polls show we fail to recognize it.
Two-thirds of Americans believe the country is on the wrong track, a number that has hardly shifted in the last three years.
But take a closer look. We enjoy economic, political and religious freedoms denied to millions down through history and around the world today. Life expectancy is increasing. Standards of living are rising. Technology and medicine are easing and extending our lives. U.S. household wealth is at an all-time record high.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 26, 2014
No Clear Stock Market Short-Term Direction As Stocks Fluctuate Along Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,085 and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Wednesday, November 26, 2014
Is There A New Global Consensus About Cheating Investors To Reboot Employment? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Dan_Amerman
If a new collaborative document had recently been released in which some of the world's most influential economists were urging the nations of the world to force negative returns on savers as a long-term matter of policy – might this be of importance to you?
What if many of the world's leading economists believed that the path for the economic future could be one that directly contradicts the assumptions upon which traditional stock and bond investing is based? Might that be an important development to consider as you decide how to invest your retirement assets?
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 26, 2014
Stock Market SPX Probable Reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to have quit rallying and has broken down beneath the upper trendline of its trading channel. This is not yet a sell signal, just an alert that SPX is in a probable reversal mode. An aggressive sell signal may come beneath the upper trendline of the Orthodox Broadening Top or the lower trendline of the trading channel, both in the vicinity of 2058.00-2060.00.
Today is day 41 of the Cycle emerging from the October 15 low. The peak registers at 202.6 hours from the low. 202.6 is divisible by both 4.3 and 3.1416, which is often the combination for corrective moves, which this is.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 26, 2014
Stock Market Flux Capacitor Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ed_Carlson
It feels as if we've been here before. The previous forecast for a high to the right shoulder on 9/19/14 looked good but was obviously incorrect (on the other hand, it was followed by a drop of 1,163 points in the Dow). The evidence pointing to that high was like a Ford Edsel compared to the Lamborghini-like evidence pointing to a top now; a Lamborghini powered by a flux capacitor!
The Sept 9 breakdown from a flattened top counts 37 days to the low on Oct 15. 37 days later is Saturday, Nov 22.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 25, 2014
Stock Market Big, Bold and Ugly / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Since July of 2014 the big cap stocks have continued to make new highs as investors dump more and more money into the stock market. Overall bullishness on the stock market is now at extremely high levels which typically happen before a major stock market correction and sometimes start a full blown bear market.
While the average investor continues to become more and more bullish, the market breadth/health has been rapidly deteriorating. Unless you are market savvy you would not know how weak the market actually is and this always leads to strong losses and drawdowns for the uninformed investor.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 25, 2014
Stock Market Reminiscent of Pompeii / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Bob_Loukas
We're at the point in the equity bull market Cycle that every piece of news is construed as positive for the equity markets. In many cases, the news even appears to accentuate positive possibilities. The speculative nature of the current advance has by now captured the vast majority of market participants; the media and the pundits are no exception.
For example, the markets were pushed higher last week by several news events, even though the headlines hit the same themes that have been recycled for the past 3 years, and that are almost certainly, by now, fully discounted in prices. The news events included Japan calling off next year's planned sales tax increase, China surprising with an interest rate decrease, and the ECB announcing that they will be buying assets. These are all related to the tired narrative that central banks and related authorities can alter the natural long term pricing/valuation trajectory of the markets. The world's equity markets soared on the announcements, and in the process completely ignored the weak fundamentals that gave rise to them. The S&P and Dow even reached new all-time highs, in general very bullish developments. But in this case, the gains were built upon the shifting sand of sound bites rather than economic fundamentals.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 24, 2014
Stock Market Indexes New Highs - Will Uptrend Extend Even Further? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,085 and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish