Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Stock Markets and the History Chart of the End of the World (With Presidential Cycles) - 28th Aug 20
2.Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook... AI Tech Stocks Buying Levels and Valuations Q3 2020 - 31st Aug 20
3.The Inflation Mega-trend is Going Hyper! - 11th Sep 20
4.Is this the End of Capitalism? - 13th Sep 20
5.What's Driving Gold, Silver and What's Next? - 3rd Sep 20
6.QE4EVER! - 9th Sep 20
7.Gold Price Trend Forecast Analysis - Part1 - 7th Sep 20
8.The Fed May “Cause” The Next Stock Market Crash - 3rd Sep 20
9.Bitcoin Price Crash - You Will be Suprised What Happens Next - 7th Sep 20
10.NVIDIA Stock Price Soars on RTX 3000 Cornering the GPU Market for next 2 years! - 3rd Sep 20
Last 7 days
How to Invest in HIGH RISK Tech Stocks for 2021 and Beyond - Part 2 of 2 - 18th May 21
Are Apple, Tesla, and Bitcoin Entering Market Technical Excess Top Phase? - 18th May 21
Gold Watch Out as Price May Be Staging New Momentum Base In Preparation For A Big Move Upwards - 18th May 21
Why the Demand for US Real Estate Licenses May Soon Fall into a Sinkhole - 18th May 21
Semiconductor Equipment Maker ASML Is at the Center of the Global Chip Shortage - 18th May 21
Could This Be The Hottest Investment Sector For 2021? - 18th May 21
TESLA Tech Stock Bubble BURSTS! Stock Price Heading for CRASH to below $400 - 18th May 21
The Most Exciting Biotech Stock Of The Year? - 17th May 21
Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 17th May 21
Junior Gold Miners Should be Rallying – What’s Holding Them Back? - 17th May 21
Stock Market - Should You Be In Cash Right Now? - 17th May 21
Learning the Financial Markets - 17th May 21
Is Stock Market Selling Madness About Over? - 16th May 21
Crypto Bubble Bursts! Nicehash Suspends Coinbase Withdrawals, Bitcoin, Ethereum Bear Market Begins - 16th May 21
Budgies Birds of Paradise Indoor Grape Vine Singing, Chirping and Flying Parakeets Fun 3D VR180 UK - 16th May 21
Wall Street Roiled by Hot Inflation Data: Is This REALLY “Transitory”? - 16th May 21
Inflation Going Stag - 16th May 21
CHIA Coins After 1st Week of Plotting 140 Plot 14tb Farm. Crunching the Numbers How to Win - 15th May 21
Tips to Create the Best Cross-Functional Teams - 15th May 21
Gold: Lose a Battle to Win the War - 14th May 21
Are You Invested in America’s “Two-Hour Boom” Fast Shipping Stocks? - 14th May 21
Gold to Benefit from Mounting US Debt Pile - 14th May 21
6 Solid Signs You Should Have Your Smart Device Repaired Right Away - 14th May 21
Ways to Finance Your Business Growth - 14th May 21
Cathy Wood Ark Invest Funds Bubble BURSTS! ARKK, ARKG, Tesla Entering Severe Bear Market - 13th May 21
How Much CHIA Coins Profit from 100 Plot 10tb Farm? Hard Drive Space Mining - 13th May 21
Stock Market Bulls Getting Caught in the Whirlwind - 13th May 21
Legoland Windsor Mini land and Sky Train Virtual Tour in VR 360 - UK London Holidays 2021 - 13th May 21
Peak Growth and Inflation - 13th May 21
Where’s The Fed? Watch Precious Metals For Signs Of Inflation Panic - 13th May 21
Coronavius Covid-19 in Italy in August 2019! - 13th May 21
India Covid Apocalypse Heralds Catastrophe for Pakistan and Bangladesh - 13th May 21
TESLA! Cathy Wood ARK Funds Bubble BURSTS! - 12th May 21
Gold Price During Hyperinflation - 12th May 21
Stock Market Extending Phase Two? - 12th May 21
Crypto 101 for new traders – ETH or BTC? - 12th May 21
Stock Market Enters Early Summer Correction Trend Forecast Time Window - 11th May 21
GOLD GDX, HUI Stocks - Will Paradise Turn into a Dystopia? - 11th May 21
Cathy Wood Bubble Bursts as ARK Funds CRASH! Enter into a Severe Bear Market - 11th May 21
Apply This Technique to Stop Rushing into Trades - 10th May 21
Stock Market Entering Early Summer Correction Trend Forecast - 10th May 21
CHIA Getting Started SSD Crypto Mining by Plotting and Farming on Your Hard Drives Guide - 9th May 21
Yaheetech Mesh Best Cheap Computer /. Gaming Chairs on Amazon Review - 9th May 21
Breaking US Trade Embargo with Cuba - Build 7 Computers in 14 Hours Before Ship Sales Challenge - 9th May 21
Dripcoin Applies New Technology That Provides Faster Order Execution - 9th May 21
Capital Gains Tax Hike News: Was It REALLY to Blame for Sell-off? - 7th May 21
Stock Market Transportation Index Continues To Grind Higher - 7th May 21
SPX Stock Market Correction Arriving or Not? - 7th May 21
How to Invest in an Online Casino? - 7th May 21
Gold & Silver Begin New Advancing Cycle Phase - 6th May 21
Vaccine Economic Boom and Bust - 6th May 21
USDX, Gold Miners: The Lion and the Jackals - 6th May 21
What If You Turn Off Your PC During Windows Update? Stuck on Automatic Repair Nightmare! - 6th May 21
4 Insurance Policies You Should Consider Buying - 6th May 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Gap Down And Hold....Not Run, But At Least Hold....

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014 Dec 02, 2014 - 10:26 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman


So at least the bears can say they made some progress today. Not exactly what they would love to see but at least they have something more positive to hold on to. They were able to get a strong gap down and they definitely held that gap down all day as the bulls tried several times to move things back up but the determined bears held that gap wide open. That's a huge start for the dark side players as they have been unable to that for a very long time. Large gap down and hold seems like something from the dark ages. Today they did it, but they did fail to do the whole package, which would have included a gap down and run lower all day with a close at or on the lows. But that's fine with them as they'll take whatever they can. They're so used to being disappointed they had mostly given up. Today at least they didn't give up.

When the bulls tried the bears tried a bit harder. A change of trend but one day does not make a full-trend change. That needs to be a process where it becomes consistent day after day. If the bears can repeat the process of selling attempted rallies then they are in charge. For now, we just don't know, but you have to start somewhere. Now let's see if the bears can move forward with part two, which is to have yet another gap down of decent size that doesn't come back. Two open, nasty gap downs would be the medicine that gets the bears far more aggressive. One gap gets them excited. Two open gap downs allows them to get aggressive, and that's when the bulls will feel real pain. So again, the bears have begun the process of taking things over a bit, but they have a long way to go before they can say they're truly in control and that the bulls better start running for shelter.

It was very interesting to see black Friday acting so poorly for the bulls. Maybe this was the first sign that things were about to reverse. Normally a very bullish retail half day of trading became a day of severe carnage in certain areas of the market. The commodity world along with rails and industrials were taken out back and put down. The follow through today also comes as a bit of a surprise as the first of the month is often used for buying by the big boys to show what they're doing with the dollars of those they represent. Showing folks they know what they're supposedly doing. Two days back to back that show abnormal behavior can be the prelude to further nastiness for the long side players. Don't lose your sense of what's potentially affecting the market.

We know we have very overbought daily-index charts. We know we have very overbought monthly-index charts. We know we have very overbought weekly-index charts along with weekly-index charts flashing major negative divergences. We have froth off the charts at a reading of 42.7% bulls to bears. Awful number. When a market chooses to sell it usually wants to do so in a way that no one is expecting, thus, the selling on black Friday and the first day of the month of December. Fool the masses and trap them. The market loves to play the bad guy. It's more fun. It loves to capture folks with their guard down. It's no fun otherwise. So yes, the market did what it did when it normally doesn't do it, thus, it did what it should do if you can grasp that. It doesn't want you to know when it will nail you. You can never let your guard down in this game.

First real support comes on the S&P 500 at the 20-day exponential moving average or 2040. The bears have basically been unable to capture even the simplest of support levels, so let's see if the bulls can defend, or whether the bears can finally make progress. If they take out the 20's they can then dream of taking the 50-day exponential moving average currently at 2007, and if they get there they will have accomplished a four percent correction. It's a start. One day at a time here with cash a very strong position.



Jack Steiman is author of ( ). Former columnist for, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 15-Day Trial to!

© 2014

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.

© 2005-2019 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in