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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stock Markets 2014

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Monday, November 24, 2014

Stock Market Exhaustion Gap? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - While everything technical points to an overbought condition which should require an adjustment, the exact timing of that correction is for the market itself to decide and reveal.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 23, 2014

Crude Oil and Stock Market Setting The Stage For The Next Recession / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Toby_Connor

After two years of insane money printing designed to rescue its failing economy, Japan has now been rewarded with… another recession.

So what went wrong you ask? The same thing that always goes wrong when a central bank resorts to money printing to rescue an economy instead of allowing a cleansing period and a return to real productive growth. All they accomplished with their massive QE program was to spike inflation.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 23, 2014

The World Has Entered the Terminal Phase of Central Banking / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

Michael E. Lewitt writes: Stocks traded to new record highs last week on the back of new central bank initiatives to prop up struggling economies around the world. The People's Bank of China announced an unexpected cut in its benchmark lending and deposit rates for the first time since 2012.  Hours later, ECB President Mario Draghi made another promise that his central bank would take new steps to bolster European growth and the ECB announced that it had begun buying back asset-backed securities.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 23, 2014

Manipulated Stock Market Short Squeezes to Another All Time High - The China Syndrome / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market spent virtually the whole week giving the impression of levitating in thin air that increasingly convinced many with each passing day that the market would resolve to the downside. Instead the market surprised virtually all by doing what market trends tend to do most often which is to resolve in the direction of the primary trend, which for a bull market is UP.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 22, 2014

Stock Market Medium Term Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another good week for the market as new all time highs keep this uptrend rising. The market started the week at SPX 2040, rose to 2056 by Tuesday, pulled back to 2040 by Thursday, then rallied to 2071 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.10%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.55%, and the DJ World gained 0.90%. On the economic front it was a positive week. On the uptick: NY/Philly FED, the PPI, NAHB, building permits, existing home sales, leading indicators and the WLEI. On the downtick: industrial production, capacity utilization, housing starts, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week, a holiday shortened one, we get Q3 GDP, the Chicago PMI and reports on Housing.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 22, 2014

China Cuts Interest Rates, Black Candles, Stock Market Top Longer Term? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

Futures were quiet early on in the evening last night. Out-of-the-blue the futures suddenly began a sharp, straight-up move. The culprit was more central bank stuff we're all used to by now. China decided to suddenly, and without warning, to cut interest rates by 40 bps. Europe saw their futures explode, and naturally, since we follow Germany overnight, we began to blast up. The futures rising steadily right in to the close. We gapped up and ran a bit higher. At the top today, we had daily RSI's on the key-index charts in the upper 70's. This is pretty much unsustainable. Add in all the froth prior to this explosion higher, and it seemed likely that the market would fade as the day moved along. That's exactly what happened. In this type of environment there is nothing more dangerous than chasing strength. Taking some exposure off isn't a bad idea at all.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 21, 2014

Stock Market Investor Sentiment in The Balance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Clif_Droke

As several market technicians have pointed out recently, price oscillators and sentiment indicators for the U.S. stock market point to an excessively "overbought" condition, both technically and psychologically. To take just one instance of how overstretched the market has become, take a look at the following chart which shows the SPX in relation to its 200-day moving average. The 200-day MA is widely followed by small investors and big money managers alike.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 21, 2014

Stock Market Probable Pop-n-drop Brewing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The Premarket has the SPX at the hourly Cycle Top resistance at 2071.62 this morning. If today’s Pivot is effective, we should see the SPX decline soon after the open. The Wave relationships suggest that SPX may top out at 2075.00, should Cycle Top resistance give way for a brief time.

Last night’s analysis of the VIX remains current. I just hadn’t enough information on the SPX to make the analysis until this morning.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 21, 2014

Australia Stock Market and AUD Dollar Analysis (ASX200 and AUDUSD) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Austin_Galt

The Australian stock index, the ASX200, bounced nicely off its October lows while the last couple of weeks has given up some of those gains. So is this the start of a downtrend or just a correction before price heads up to new rally highs? I favour the latter.

Let's investigate beginning with the weekly chart.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 20, 2014

Stock Market Indexes Are at a Possible Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is challenging the upper trendline of a probable Minute Wave [ii]. If correct, it may turn back down after the noon hour today.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 20, 2014

Stock Market and the Jaws of Life or Death? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

There seems to be a lot of confusion out there as to whether the stock markets are bullish or bearish. Is the Dow Jones in a topping pattern as so many analysis are suggesting? I’ve seen some charts that are calling the big trading range , on the Dow Jones going all the way back to the 2000 bull market top, THE JAWS OF DEATH. Man it doesn’t get anymore dire than that. As usual I have a different take on the JAWS OF DEATH, which I would like to share with you tonight .

Before we look at the first chart for the Dow Jones I need you to clear your mind of everything related to the stock markets in any shape or form. That means no Elliot Wave counts, Time Cycles, Gann Lines , volume studies, no indicators of any kind. Clear your mind of every article you’ve ever read on the stock markets, bullish or bearish. And last of all, NO CHARTOLOGY. I want you to look at just the pure price action without any bias whatsoever. From that point we can then start to see what is really happening to the Dow Jones and related markets .

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 20, 2014

Stock Market Fed Minutes Quiet..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

The market was anticipating something negative in those Fed minutes since a few of the Feds, who, by the way, are on their way out in 2015, were asking for rates to be raised sooner than later. Over the past month, or so, we've seen a few of them try to put pressure on Fed Yellen by stating their beliefs on what they think she should do, but she hasn't blinked. They stated their intentions in the minutes, but, once again, we didn't get any indication from Yellen that she's going to raise rates sooner than later, especially since in those minutes she talked about the slow improvement in housing, which is a key-economic indicator for her. She wasn't happy on that front, thus, on that alone we should expect her to keep rates low for a very, very long time.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Stock Market Waiting for the Trendline Break / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has made a 5-wave impulse from the top and may be correcting up to 2048.00 as I write. The Orthodox Broadening Top trendline is at that level or a bit higher. An aggressive sell signal may be generated as SPX crosses beneath the trading channel trendline at 2040.00.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Government Bailed Out Banks and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: EWI

The following article was adapted with permission from the November 2014 issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a publication from Elliott Wave International, the world's largest market forecasting firm. Follow this link for the complete article.

Here's a key principle concerning the role of government in bull and bear markets, as outlined in The Elliott Wave Theorist in 1991:

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Stock Valuations Outrunning Profits Growth - And the Band Played On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jesse

"We are still amazed by the chart [below], but it summarises the problem for those seeking to short stocks with fundamental weaknesses. In the last three years, the MSCI World Index has risen by 38% (11% per annum) whilst reported profits have risen by just 3% (that’s just 1% per annum!). As the events of last month attest, central bank actions–not profits–are driving equities forward." - Andrew Lapthorne, Societe General

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Lindsay's Stock Market Right Shoulder / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Ed_Carlson

With the October rally exceeding the September high we find ourselves once again searching for the right shoulder high which will mark the end of the bull market.

The rally from the end of the Sideways Movement on 11/25/11 terminated at the July high earlier this year when, after 964 calendar days, the Dow had come to the end of the longest of Lindsay's standard time spans and dropped 770 points. We know from the preserved, written work of George Lindsay that a right shoulder always follows a long basic advance. While a right shoulder is usually lower than the high of the basic advance, Lindsay left open the possibility that a higher right shoulder is possible and history shows that it is not without precedent.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 17, 2014

How to Play the Stock Market 2014 Year-End Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: With the Dow Jones Industrials and the S&P 500 indices repeatedly making new highs, chances are better-than-good that markets will rally through year-end.

There are lots of reasons why stocks are headed higher, but one in particular is telling.

It's really a simple one, yet too many people have overlooked it; indeed, most wouldn't even give it enough thought.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 17, 2014

Stock Market Indexes Fluctuate Along Record Levels - Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,085 and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 17, 2014

Stock Market Trend Deceleration Tends To Precede Corrections / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - Intermediate structure unclear

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 16, 2014

A Studied Look Toward Stock Market Year-End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Money_Morning

Michael E. Lewitt writes: Markets traded quietly this week as oil prices continued to move lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 61 points or 0.35% to 17,634.17 and the S&P 500 added 8 points or 0.4% to 2,039.82. The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 56 points to finish at 4688.54. The small cap Russell 2000 ended the week unchanged at 1,173.81. Bonds ended a quiet week with the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury closing at 2.32%, up from 2.31% the week before. The main focus was falling crude and its possible effects on consumers.

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