Category: Bitcoin
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, November 22, 2021
Why BITCOIN NEW ALL TIME HIGH Changes EVERYTHING! / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Crypto Portfolio Current State
So far the crypto markets have managed to dodge the black swan bullets and so I hold ZERO of the two largest market cap crypto's, Bitcoin and Ethereum. Instead what had fallen to deep discounts have been the Alt coins, though again not to the extent where I would have piled in head first hoovering up huge amounts of crypto's as the current state of my crypto portfolio illustrates where even the crypto I have been banging on about all year Ravencoin is just scratching the surface at about 12% of my target holding, the table lists crypto's in order of my target $ position size.
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Monday, October 25, 2021
Is Bitcoin a Better Inflation Hedge Than Gold? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: MoneyMetals
Gold and silver markets continue to gather upside momentum as inflation pressures spread throughout the economy.
Metals markets may be starting to reflect broader inflation trends that are manifesting in higher prices for almost everything. These price increases faced by businesses and consumers are showing no signs of letting up, despite the Federal Reserve line that they are “transitory.”
Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones weighed in on the inflation threat during an appearance on CNBC this week.
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Friday, October 22, 2021
Bitcoin $100K or Ethereum $10K—which happens first? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Stephen_McBride
What happens first… bitcoin to $100k or Ethereum to $10k?”That’s one of the many questions I get about crypto.
Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are far and away the two largest cryptos, worth roughly $1.4 trillion combined.
They’ve skyrocketed in value. If you had invested five hundred bucks into both cryptos five years ago, you’d be sitting on $180,000.
Today, bitcoin is roughly $55,000 per coin. Ethereum trades for around $3,500. My research shows both should continue to rise.
But which will hit their big milestone first?
Will bitcoin hit $100K—which is roughly double from here?
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Tuesday, October 12, 2021
Bitcoin Rockets In Preparation For Liftoff To $100,000 / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Submissions
By Jason Appel - In my September article updating expectations and possibilities for Bitcoin to reach $100k, three paths were discussed that detail various perspectives for the near-term in Bitcoin (BTC-USD) on its way to $100k.
In this article, we will review the various paths presented in the September article, and reconcile the present action to find which of the scenarios appears most likely.
From the September article:
Three potential regions to catch price on the coming drop:
Black Count: In this count, we consider the prospect that the lows are in. Pullbacks are buying opportunities. Based on the low and high of the rally structure in question, our first region to watch ranges from approximately $36k-$42k. Should price form a symmetrical 3 wave move from the September 6th high into the aforementioned region and strongly bounce, we will have some additional evidence that the decline is complete and price is on its way to $100k+. Confirmation of this count displayed in black notation will ultimately confirm by price maintaining above $36k and breaking out above the September 6th high. Alternatively, should the price make a sustained break below the $33,600 region, we have a strong signal that lower lows are incoming.
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Tuesday, October 05, 2021
Will China's Crackdown Send Bitcoin's Price Tumbling? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: EWI
July 2: "Bitcoin [is] at or near the end of [an Elliott wave] correction"
In early September, bitcoin hit a price level near $52,000 -- however, since then, the price has trended lower.
Indeed, on September 24 alone, the price of the cryptocurrency fell 5%.
The financial press pinpointed a supposed "cause":
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Wednesday, September 08, 2021
Bitcoin BTC Price Detailed Trend Forecast Into End 2021 / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Today is your lucky day for you gain FULL access to my original full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets that was first made available to Patrons who support my work, of what I expect to happen going into the end of 2021 in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets such as USDT stable coin. Furthermore in this video you are going to get an update of where the Bitcoin price stands in terms of my trend forecast and thus what is likely to happen next during September and for the remainder of this year.
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Saturday, September 04, 2021
Bitcoin Bear Market Trend Forecast 2021 and Model Crypto Portfolio Buying Levels / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Today is your lucky day for you gain FULL access to my original full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets that was first made available to Patrons who support my work, of what I expect to happen into the end of 2021 in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets such as USDT stable coin. Furthermore you get an update of where Bitcoin price stands in terms of my trend forecast and thus what is likely to happen next.
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Friday, September 03, 2021
Bitcoin BTC Elliott Wave, Price Patterns and Trend Analysis Forecasts / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is my latest video based on my extensive full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets, of what I expect to happen over the next 6 months in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets where Stable Coins such as USDT are what could be imminent catalysts for.
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Friday, August 20, 2021
Crazy Crypto Exchanges - How to Buy Bitcoin for $42k, Sell for $59k when BTC trading at $47k! / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Crazy Crypto Wild Wild West Markets continue to offer unique trading apprentices, literally crazy opportunities such as being able to but Bitcoin for $41k and Sell for $59k whilst the price is trading at $47k! How? Find out in my latest crazy crypto wild wild west exchange trading video.
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Wednesday, August 18, 2021
Bitcoin (BTC) Buying Levels - My Crypto Market Investing Strategy / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
1. BTC & ETH - My primary focus will be on building positions in BTC and ETH that will target approx 80% of my crypto portfolio, the balance spread between a number of Alt Coins such as Cardano and Pokadot.
2. Hold BUSD and USDC - In advance of buying crypto's I am funding my accounts (mainly Binance) with approx 50% of my target position size to as to capitalise on a high GBP exchange rate, converting into BUSD and USD whilst also correcting my initial error of holding USDT.
3. Place limit orders on approx half of the funds on account across the target crypto's in relatively nearby levels compared to the more distant levels i.e. BTC $21,500 and ETH $1400. Whilst my initial limit orders are far distant from the actual crypto prices as I am anticipating a decline in prices. However over time my orders will gravitate towards being nearer to the actual spot price i.e. over the next 6 months and where I could even be buy crypto at spot rather than with limit orders depending on what transpires over the remainder of this year due to various dynamics such as the Ravencoin halving due in Jan 2022 etc in advance of which I want to have a significant holding of raven coins.
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Saturday, August 14, 2021
Bitcoin Price Trend Analysis / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
This is part 4 of 5 of my extensive full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets, of what I expect to happen over the next 6 months in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets where Stable Coins such as USDT are what could be imminent catalysts for.
Part 1 Investing in the Tulip Crypto Mania 2021,
Part 2 Bitcoin Halvings Price Forecast and Stock to Flow Analysis)
Part 3 Bitcoin, Crypto Market Black Swans from Google to Obsolescence
Bitcoin Bear Market Trend Forecast 2021 and Model Crypto Portfolio Buying Levels
Topics covered in this analysis:
- Investing in the Tulip Crypto Mania
- Bitcoin Price Trend Forecast Review
- Lessons Learned
- Cathy Crypto Wood's View on Bitcoin
- BITCOIN HALVINGS TREND TRAJECTORY
- Stock to Flow Infinity and Beyond!
- Bitcoin, Crypto's and the Inflation Mega-trend
- Black Swan 1 - Will Crypto's Get Banned?
- Black Swan 2 - GOOGLE
- Black Swan 3 - USDT Tether Un-Stable Coin Ponzi Schemes!
- BLACK SWAN 4 - Bitcoin 51% Network Attack by China?
- Black Swan 5 - Bitcoin is Already Obsolete
- US Trending Towards Hyperinflation
- BITCOIN TREND ANALYSIS
- Bitcoin Bear markets analysis - How low could she blow?
- Bitcoin Trend Forecast
- Bitcoin Long-term probable Next bull market price target
- Alternative Scenarios
- My Crypto Bear Market Investing Strategy
- Crypto 1 - Ethereum (ETH) $2600
- Crypto 2 - Bitcoin $40,375
- Crypto 3 - Ravencoin $0.078
- Crypto 4 - Cardano $1.59
- Crypto 5 - Pokadot $25
- Crypto 6 - ChainLink $26
- Crypto's 7 to 10
- Creating The Perfect Crypto
- How to Invest in Crypto Without Getting SCAMMED
- CHIA SCAM COIN
- Binance vs Coinbase
- Have ARK Invest Funds Bottomed?
Thursday, August 12, 2021
Bitcoin BTC Trend Analysis / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Bitcoins price action during the first half of 2021 was a classic distribution pattern that had the smart money (you and me) SELLING out of Bitcoin and other crypto positions.
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Sunday, August 01, 2021
Bitcoin, Crypto Market Black Swans from Google to Obsolescence / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
This is part 3 of my extensive full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets, of what I expect to happen over the next 6 months in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets where Stable Coins such as USDT are what could be imminent catalysts for. (Part 1 Investing in the Tulip Crypto Mania 2021, Part 2 Bitcoin Halvings Price Forecast and Stock to Flow Analysis)
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Sunday, July 25, 2021
Bitcoin Stock to Flow Model to Infinity and Beyond Price Forecasts / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Once you venture into the realm of bitcoins future prospects then you are pretty soon going to be presented with Stock to Flow model projections. Which is basically how many years will it take for new annual supply of bitcoins to cover total available supply of bitcoins and what it suggests for future pricing given that Bitcoins future supply is reducing with each halving.
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Saturday, July 24, 2021
Bitcoin Black Swan - GOOGLE! / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock to flow model to is too easy and that Bitcoin halving can do what it does to pump the price ever higher, but what happens if next time that does NOT HAPPEN where instead bitcoin pricing rising it FALLS! If the biggest bullish case for Bitcoin turns out to be FALSE then that crypto is heading towards $1 rather than the stock to flow models $1 million plus coins.
So yes, it worked last time, and could work next time. However, on it's own it has to be coin flip, and eventually those coins are going to flip TAILS - GAME OVER!
Which means don' get sucked into such hype and make sure not to over commit to the crypto casino i.e. Even at maximum exposure I am not going to spend MORE than 1% of my total fiat on crypto's. One has to be prepared for assets that have no intrinsic value to reflect that lack of intrinsic value so keep exposure small.
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Thursday, July 22, 2021
Bitcoin Price Enters Stage #4 Excess Phase Peak Breakdown – Where To Next? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past few months, I’ve been interviewed in podcasts and on Kitco where I’ve discussed the US and global market setups and trends based on my unique understanding of Technical Analysis and price patterns. Even though I’ve heard/read some comments from viewers sharing their own opinions which may not always agree with my interpretation of the market setups, I like to let the market trends do their thing and ultimately someone will be proven correct at the end of the day. Today, we’ll revisit some research I completed back in November 2020 and see how that research played out to today with Bitcoin.
Attempting to predict any future trend in any market is a difficult task, to say the least. The markets do what they do and part of my experience is to understand technical analysis setups and the underlying psychological aspect to the market cycles. I’m never 100% accurate in my predictions or expectations either – no one is 100% accurate in predicting any future event. All we can do is try our best at identifying these setups and take trades when the opportunity strikes for profits.
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Wednesday, July 21, 2021
Bitcoin Price CRASH, How to SELL BTC at $40k! Real Analysis vs Shill Coin Pumper's and Clueless Newbs / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
For the duration of this crypto bear market the so called crypto experts that populate Youtube, vested interest in their HODL psychosis have seen every dip to buy more and that the bottom was in, and so was the response to the latest dive lower to below BTC $30k, with the moronic response across the broad spectrum of crypto youtube channels proclaiming it to be another buying opportunity just as has been the case for the past 30,000 points drop to date! The reality is that whilst they are good at producing youtube videos, gathering millions of views but in reality they don't have a clue of how to actually analyse markets hence the example of the WYCOFF pattern endlessly regurgitated that in reality has no more value in forecasting trends than a COIN FLIP!. And then you have the crypto shills, selling their garbage scam coins such as Tech Lead's ,Million token alt scam coin videos pumping for liquidity to an extreme, with every video now with a click bait title "My wife left me for Bitcoin, Please Buy My Scam Coin" etc. Just focused on pumping their Alt garbage coins.
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Sunday, July 18, 2021
Bitcoin Halvings Price Forecast and Stock to Flow Analysis / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is part 2 (part 1 Investing in the Tulip Crypto Mania 2021) of my extensive full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets, of what I expect to happen over the next 6 months in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets where Stable Coins such as USDT are what could be imminent catalysts for.
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Sunday, July 18, 2021
Bitcoin Halving's Price Projection Forecasts Trend Trajectory / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The supply of bitcoin is capped at 21 million coins. Imagine what would happen to the price of Gold if no more Gold could be mined, that's the trend trajectory that Bitcoin appears to be on i.e. there will come a time when NO MORE bitcoin can be mined!
So the simplest thing to do would be to to buy bitcoin when cheap and forget about it for a decade or so and then likely see a return of X10 that which one paid for it.
Total bitcoins mined to date number 18,700,000, 210,000 blocks will be mined from May 2020 to roughly March 2024, totaling 1.3 million bitcoins, which implies a total of 20 million bitcoins by the time of the next halving of rewards for miners to 3.125 bitcoin rewards per block mined (block rewards to miners is how the block chain works).
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Wednesday, July 14, 2021
Bitcoin Stock to Flow Model Forecasts Infinity and Beyond! / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Once you venture into the realm of bitcoins future prospects then you are pretty soon going to be presented with Stock to Flow model projections. Which is basically how many years will it take for new annual supply of bitcoins to cover total available supply of bitcoins and what it suggests for future pricing given that Bitcoins future supply is reducing with each halving.
Read full article... Read full article...