Category: Stock Markets 2013
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Saturday, March 09, 2013
No Stock Sellers...Jobs Report Strong..... Market Overbought....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Once again, the market could find no sellers. The masses were thinking to sell the Jobs Report if it were good. Who can blame them since the market is so overbought. They were right. It sold. However, once it sold off some from the early morning highs, it was bought up once again. Not to the levels of the early day highs, but no real selling one would think likely after a strong early day pullback and still at overbought.
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Saturday, March 09, 2013
Be Ready the Next Time Institutional Stock Market Investors Do This... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Institutional Investor Accumulation/Distribution Levels
Below are the Institutional Investor levels and trending for Accumulation/Distribution since last November.
The chart show's short term good news and medium term bad news. How so?
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Thursday, March 07, 2013
Stocks At New All Time Highs… But We’re All Poorer For It! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Stocks hit a new high in the Dow yesterday. CNBC cheered and Fed economists everywhere patted each other on the back.
The unfortunate reality for this “success” is that it only works in nominal terms. A DOW at 14,296 vs. a DOW at 13,000 only means something if the rise in price occurs against low inflation. If inflation was 10% during the time period that this rise occurred, then you’ve not generated any actual wealth. At best you’ve maintained your purchasing power.
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Thursday, March 07, 2013
What Does Dow New Record High Say About U.S. Economy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Jeff Uscher writes: Equity market cheerleaders got very excited about the Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting a new record high yesterday (Tuesday).
The Dow closed at 14,253.77, topping its previous record close of 14,164.53 on Oct. 9, 2007.
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Thursday, March 07, 2013
Stock Market Inching Higher on Dull Volume / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short. Today was another day with little economic news other than the 8:30 AM ADP private jobs report that surprised to the upside with an estimate of 198K new jobs. The S&P 500 rallied at the open and hit its intraday high less than 30 minutes later, up 0.35%. It reversed directions in a fairly narrow channel to its intraday low, off 0.11%, shortly after 12:00. An afternoon rally lost steam at a level just below the morning high. In the final hour of trading the index essentially bounced off its opening price 15 minutes before the close, rising to a 0.11% gain for the day … fractional, but still a new interim high.
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Wednesday, March 06, 2013
Stock Market Final Stages of Rally Wave Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Over at our TheMarketTrendForecast.com service we have been projecting a potential rally pivot at 1552-1576 for many weeks now. The recent drop to 1485 although harrowing, was a normal fibonacci re-tracement of the last major rally leg to 1531 pivot highs. We believe that this 5 wave advance 1343 pivot lows is nearing an end based on mathematics and relationships to prior waves 1-3.
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Tuesday, March 05, 2013
This "Rocket Fuel" Will Send Stocks Higher Than Anyone Believes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: As of this year, we've been handed the playbook...
We know the plays. We know what the other team is going to do. And we know how they're going to do it – almost exactly.
As I showed you yesterday, when interest rates are low, stocks tend to increase in value. Based on history, with interest rates this low, stocks have room to climb nearly 100% from today's levels.
Tuesday, March 05, 2013
Striking Similarity to the 2000 Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
I thought I would share what my Cycle Clock is revealing. Essentially it is telling me that the fractal in the SPX is very similar to that of the SPX/NDX in early 2000. While there are many differences, I am referring to the striking similarities in the highs and lows of these two separate fractals.
The high on February 19 matches up precisely with the high on March 24, 2000 in the SPX. Likewise, today’s high also matches up with the April 10 high, just before the 4-day decline into the April 17 low.
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Tuesday, March 05, 2013
Stock Market Consolidation Nearing End, Selling to Resume With Enthusiasm / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Sideways consolidations are no fun, but they tend to break hard once they are over. It appears that the SPX is in the final throes of consolidation, so don’t get caught unprepared. It may go a bit higher, but the level to watch is today’s low at 1512.29. Once below that, the selling should resume with more enthusiasm. The VIX is finding support at its 50-day moving average, so even though its is at its daily low, it appears that the turn is also near.
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Monday, March 04, 2013
Stocks Stealth Bull Market Trend Forecast 2013 and Beyond / News_Letter / Stock Markets 2013
The Market Oracle NewsletterFebruary 10th , 2013 Issue # 4 Vol. 7
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Monday, March 04, 2013
Going Beyond the Proton Gradient - Stocks Stealth Bull Market Analysis 2013 Part1 / News_Letter / Stock Markets 2013
The Market Oracle NewsletterJanuary 30th , 2013 Issue # 3 Vol. 7
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Monday, March 04, 2013
Stock Market Ending, Major Top Approaching / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The individual stocks of the equities market are no longer keeping pace with the broad averages. A vast number of these stocks have faltered because the trend itself has become ever more selective. What initially started as a robust, broad based rally is now narrow; and can only be supported by a handful of stocks.
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Sunday, March 03, 2013
U.S. Stock Market Uptrend May be Ending / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Another volatile week, as volatility has picked up since the SPX closed at 1531 a week ago tuesday. Since that close the SPX traded to 1497 last thursday, 1526 on monday, 1485 on tuesday, 1525 on thursday, and 1501 on friday. Two percent swings in a matter of days, when during most of February we were barely seeing 1.5% swings in a week. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.40%, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.35%. Asian markets were +0.9%, European markets were -0.4%, and the DJ World index was flat. On the economic front positive reports outnumbered negative reports 12 to 5. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, FHFA housing index, new/pending home sales, consumer confidence/sentiment, Q4 GDP, Chicago PMI, personal spending, PCE prices, ISM manufacturing and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: durable goods orders, personal income, construction spending, new home prices and the WLEI. New week we get reports on ISM services, the FED’s Beige book, and monthly Payrolls. Best to your week.
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Saturday, March 02, 2013
The Stock Market Pullback / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The pullback was on. The market was falling very hard a few minutes after a small gap down had occurred. This was a follow-through, something we hadn't seen in a long time, from yesterday's late selling once the negative divergences kicked in. The Dow fell one-hundred points very late in the day yesterday, and, thus, one would have had to expect a follow-through today. So once it came on this morning, the question was how deep was this going to go. The Dow down over one-hundred points and then the much anticipated ISM Manufacturing Report came out thirty minutes into the trading session. The number was a shock and it was spectacular!Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 01, 2013
Stock Market Dow Theory Shines Through / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
What a market. Even the most experienced traders that I know are having a difficult time getting a handle on what is happening. Wednesday’s market action caught a lot of folk napping.
Monday’s 216 point drop in the Dow Industrials convinced many that finally the much anticipated market “correction” had arrived.
The slight “uptick” on Tuesday was a classic VIX buy signal but it turned out to be a trap. Those traders who shorted the market on the 26th were pulverized by the bullish 175 Dow point move on the 27th.
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Thursday, February 28, 2013
How to Trade Stock Market POMO Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
This week I talked about how the uptrend is to be the focus of trading positions until a down trend is actually confirmed via price and volume action. The SP500 was very close to reversing down this week but with the POMO’s (permanent open market operations) scheduled largest injection of money for February of over $5 billion dollars sent stocks soaring jamming stocks back up into its uptrend.
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Thursday, February 28, 2013
Stock Market Rally is Over, Time to be Short / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The rally is over. It took the form of an ending diagonal, which implies a complete breakdown from the rally. Time to be short.
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Wednesday, February 27, 2013
Good News Only Goes So Far, Stock Market Should Reverse Hard / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Here are two different takes on the Durable Goods Report:
(Bloomberg) Orders for U.S. durable goods excluding transportation equipment climbed in January by the most in a year, indicating business investment is holding up.
(ZeroHedge) As expected, the January Durable Goods was a big miss to expectations, printing at -5.2% on an anticipated plunge in aircraft orders, worse than the expected -4.8%, and a plunge from the downward revised 4.3% in December. However, where there was a glimmer of hope, was the ex-transportation number, which rose modestly from 1.0% to 1.9%, on expectations of a 0.2% flat print.
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Wednesday, February 27, 2013
Don’t Be Fooled by Multi-Year Stock Market Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
George Leong writes: The equities market continues to hover near its multi-year highs. There are still many Wall Street analysts who suggest that the bulls are in full control and will drive stocks higher.
Investor sentiment had been extremely bullish in each session since the start of the year, but a neutral rating was reported on February 21–22, as shown in the chart below.
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Wednesday, February 27, 2013
Gold, Copper, and Crude Oil Forecast Recent Stock Market Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
For the past several weeks, everywhere I looked all I could find was bullish articles. After the fiscal cliff was patched at the last second, prices surged into the 2013 and have since climbed higher all the way into late February.
I warned members of my service that this runaway move to the upside which was characterized by a slow grinding move higher on excessively low volume and low volatility would eventually end violently. I do not have a crystal ball, this is just based on my experience as a trader over the years.
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