Category: Stock Markets 2013
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Saturday, April 06, 2013
The Real Stock Market SPX Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The US stock markets enjoyed an incredible first quarter, with the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) surging 10.0%. New cyclical-bull highs were achieved on an amazing 3/7ths of all Q1’s trading days! But the most interesting one was certainly the last. On Q1’s final trading day, the SPX edged up to a new all-time record high. Though celebrated with great fanfare, adjusted for inflation it was far from a record.
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Thursday, April 04, 2013
Stock Market Down For A Day.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market has needed a correction to begin for quite some time now. The market may have finally begun to sell some as today's action was fairly bearish overall. The market started out mostly flat, but started to sell as the day went along led by the commodity, bank and semiconductor stocks, the semiconductor and bank stocks losing their 50-day exponential moving averages today.
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Monday, April 01, 2013
Stock Market Poor ISM...Poor Advance Decline Line..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market, as usual, refused to fall overnight no matter what else was going around the world. Our futures are refusing to follow others down. Ours is the market that just won't fall. The market opened flat and started moving higher as always until it ran into a real road block. The ISM Manufacturing Report came out and the number was just terrible. 51.2. 50.0 is the line between growth and recession for our economy. Think about this folks. Mr. Bernanke has implemented incredible liquidity. There have been basically 3 QE programs. Interest rates are near zero and staying there. The liquidity machine will remain on as well. All because nothing is working to get this economy flying higher. Not even a Disneyland bull market can get this economy rocking.
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Monday, April 01, 2013
Stock Market Flying High on Borrowed Wings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
After selling off an astounding 56% between October of 2007 and March 2009, the S&P 500 has staged a rally for the ages, surging 120% and recovering all of its lost ground too. This stunning turnaround certainly qualifies as one of the more memorable, and unusual, stock market rallies in history. The problem is that the rally has been underwritten by the Federal Reserve's unconventional monetary policies But for some reason, this belief has not weakened the celebration.
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Monday, April 01, 2013
Stock Market Indicator Says Stocks Should Double / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Martin Hutchinson writes: With the markets breaking all-time highs last week, it begs the question of just how high they can go.
At 1,569 points the bears would say at this point the S&P 500 is completely overdone. With a sluggish economy and a growing federal deficit, you might be prone to believe them.
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Sunday, March 31, 2013
Jokers Squeeze New All Time High for SP500 at Quarter End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
These jokers really worked hard to squeeze out that new high, even on very light volume.
This is a monetary inflation rally.
I would not get ahead of it, but when this market does turn for a correction the momentum players are going to be piling on in a big way.
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Saturday, March 30, 2013
Stock Market Action Driven by Headlines; Investors Should Be Nervous / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The current market action continues to be headline-driven, according to my stock analysis. Stocks moved lower on the initial banking concerns in Cyprus, but rallied after the Federal Reserve reaffirmed its program of low interest rates and monthly bond buying. Stocks then bounced on the Cyprus resolution.
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Friday, March 29, 2013
This Is The Most Critical Time For The Stock Market Since 2007! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The economic recovery has stumbled in the spring and summer of each the last three years.
It’s not the market’s biggest problem, but it looks like it might happen again this year. Reports this week showed new home sales unexpectedly fell 4.6% in February, the biggest monthly decline in two years. Pending home sales declined 0.4%. Basic durable goods orders (ex-volatile aircraft orders) declined 2.7% in February. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell sharply in March, dropping from 68.0 in February to 59.7 in March. The Chicago PMI Index, which is often a bellwether for the national ISM Mfg Index, unexpectedly fell from 56.8 in February to 52.4 in March. New weekly unemployment claims jumped by 16,000 last week.
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Friday, March 29, 2013
End of the Road for the Stock Market Uptrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
This may be the end of the road for the rally in SPX. The irregular diagonal is the “best fit” for the last week of trading. Wave c of 5 may be finished, or nearly so. Crossing the lower trendline of the trading channel at 1566.31 appears to be the first warning that the uptrend is finished. Additional supports that indicate the end of the uptrend are 1553.07-1556.24 on the hourly chart.
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Thursday, March 28, 2013
Stock Market Gap Down...Bulls Fight Back...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Once again it looked like the evil pullback was under way. The futures were bad and worsening by the minute as European stock markets were diving. Flat futures became nearly one hundred down on the Dow and roughly twenty-five on the Nasdaq, Ten was the handle on the S&P 500. The market gapped down hard but refused to get worse than the opening print. It spun around in a very tight range the first hour or so and then slowly but surely started to improve. The Nasdaq was leading the way and this despite the fact that three major leading stocks in the land of technology were taking hard hits. Apple Inc. (AAPL), Google Inc. (GOOG), and Priceline Inc. (PCLN) were all down with the first two down particularly hard. They worsened yet the market was improving. That has been the powerful theme of this stock market.
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Thursday, March 28, 2013
Marc Faber Sees 'Considerable Downside Risk' For US Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, appeared on "Bloomberg Surveillance" with Tom Keene and Alix Steel today, saying that he sees "considerable downside risk" for U.S. stocks
Faber went on to say, "We are creating bubbles and bubbles and bubbles. This bubble will come to an end. My concern is that we are going to have a systemic crisis where it is going to be very difficult to hide."
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Monday, March 25, 2013
Another Stock Market Record High in Reach, Here's What to Do Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Shah Gilani writes: It's time for some insight.
I'm constantly asked where I think the stock market is going next. Since the Dow recently reached new highs and the S&P 500 is pushing its old October 2007 highs, it's no wonder that's the question on everyone's mind and lips.
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Monday, March 25, 2013
Imminent Stock Market Rally Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - The uptrend from 1343 may have a little farther to go before topping.
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Saturday, March 23, 2013
Stock Market Uptrend Trying to Extend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Quite a choppy week in the US markets after four gaps openings. We had to go back to the end of June 2012 to find a similar week of indecision. That one ended with the indices eventually moving higher. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ were mixed. Asian markets lost 1.6%, European markets lost 1.9%, and the DJ World index lost 1.0%. On the economic front, reports continue to come in positive. On the uptick: housing starts, building permits, the FHFA index, existing home sales, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the WLEI, and the monetary base. On the downtick: the NAHB index and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get the final revision to Q4 GDP, the Chicago PMI and PCE prices.
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Saturday, March 23, 2013
Stock Market Bends....Doesn't Break..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market looked to finally start a sell-off on Thursday as there was a strong gap down after Mr. Bernanke spoke on Wednesday. The gap was the real deal as many leading stocks broke down below their 50-day exponential moving averages and did so on confirming volume. Finally, said the bears. Something we can dig our teeth into. The bears were feeling as if they finally had the bulls on their knees. A sustainable pullback was imminent. Or so they thought. It doesn't mean it won't happen, but today we saw a decent gap up that extended throughout the day with the market basically closing on its highs. The bulls are doing what they've been doing for a long time and that's to buy every single dip because they feel things can't go bad for them. And who can blame them.
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Saturday, March 23, 2013
The Return of Stock Market Dow 36,000 Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Some of you may remember the unforgettable title of the 1999 financial best-seller, Dow 36,000. It made a lot of waves back during the heyday of the internet stocks and day trading, but unfortunately for the authors, the timing of the book's release was less than ideal. The market topped out in late '99 and the infamous "tech wreck" followed in 2000. To this day, Dow 36,000 is considered as the ultimately example of a contrarian indicator - that is, when a book cover announces an extremely bullish forecast, the end is usually near for the bull.
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Friday, March 22, 2013
Don't Ignore Meredith Whitney's Bullish Stock Market Call / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Ben Gersten writes: Meredith Whitney, the prominent banking analyst known for making aggressive bearish calls, just made a strikingly bullish call on U.S. stocks.
She says the United States is the best place for investment and that it offers the highest returns, particularly after the mess in Cyprus has refueled fears of a Eurozone breakup.
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Thursday, March 21, 2013
Stock Market Bubble is Based on Unsustainable Earnings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The most pervasive question on Wall Street these days is if the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which is at a record level in nominal terms, reflects strong corporate profits and an improving economy; or simply has been achieved by the manipulations of the Federal Reserve. For me, this is sophomoric question to ask because, in reality, there can be no separating what the Fed has been able to achieve for the economy through its artificial measures and the effect it has had on corporate earnings.
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Thursday, March 21, 2013
Fed Keeps It Going..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market was waiting on Mr. Bernanke today to make sure that the status quo was with us for a long time to come. The market was not in the mood to hear anything related to van imminent rate-hike cycle or the removal of the liquidity machine he has had on for what seems like forever. He did not disappoint as he kept things the same and said he would be holding things as they are for a very long time to come as the unemployment rate is still far too high at 7.7%. The real rate as we know is far higher than that as those who can no longer apply for weekly aid are not counted. The estimated number is well up in the teens.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 21, 2013
Is This the Mila Kunis Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: In case you haven’t noticed, the market has been on a tear. Since mid-November, the S&P 500 is up 16%. It has gone practically straight up since February 26. It’s gone up 10 of the last 13 trading sessions.
So it’s no surprise that bears and skeptics are looking for reasons for the market to turn south.
And last week they got a good one. Actress Mila Kunis told CNBC she’s started investing in stocks.
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