Category: Gold and Silver 2012
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, May 23, 2012
Gold Bubble? Demand Data Continues To Show No Bubble / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,555.00, EUR 1,229.44, and GBP 989.56 per ounce. Yesterday's AM fix this morning was USD 1,575.75, EUR 1,233.95, and GBP 998.76 per ounce.
Gold fell $26.20 or 1.64% in New York yesterday and closed at $1,566.80/oz. Gold fell in Asia and those falls continued in Europe where gold has been trading in a $16 range.
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Wednesday, May 23, 2012
Comparing Gold's Current Price Crash to the One in 2008 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
The chart below tells the story. I think gold is simply repeating what happened in 2008.
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Wednesday, May 23, 2012
Hedge Funds Re-evaluate Gold’s Potential / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Gold’s biggest problem since February has been one of relative weakness. This weakness in turn has kept the market-moving hedge fund players away from gold. But as we’ll see in the latest commentary, that may be about to change.In late February when the gold price rallied sharply to its highest level of the year at $1,793 it looked, on the surface, like gold was finally about to break out of its holding pattern since last September when the metal took a sharp dive. The February rally proved to be a “head fake” however. The yellow metal took another plunge within days of making its late February high at $1,793 and fell to a low of $1,538 on May 16.
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Wednesday, May 23, 2012
Gold and Silver Long-Term Trading Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Long time readers know that I have been and remain bullish on gold and gold stocks in the longer-term. However, the reasons why I believe gold and silver will perform well in the longer-term are a bit different than what many economists and pundits are expecting.
I am a contrarian by nature. I generally try to do the opposite of the crowd in every situation I find myself regardless of whether I am in a movie theater or trading options. Before getting into the gold and gold miners analysis, I thought I would explain my position publicly to readers. I do not consider myself an expert economist, but I try to read those who many consider to be experts looking for similarities in their viewpoints and expectations.
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Tuesday, May 22, 2012
Has Gold Finally Bottomed ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
"Has gold finally bottomed?" That is the big question we are going to attempt to answer in this update. Last week it bounced sharply after it arrived at the strong support at its September and December lows. This was a development that was easy to predict and it was predicted on the site hours before the bounce started.
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Tuesday, May 22, 2012
Silver Presenting Excellent Risk Reward Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
The patterns forming in gold and silver are remarkably similar, and much of what has been written in the parallel Gold Market update applies equally to silver, so it will not be repeated here. The big question is "has silver finally bottomed?" - that is the question that we are going to attempt to answer in this update.
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Tuesday, May 22, 2012
Gold Physical Demand Rises as Consumer Adjust / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
WHOLESALE PRICES to buy gold fell further from $1600 an ounce in London on Tuesday morning, finding a floor at $1575 as European stock markets rose for the second day running after falling for two weeks in succession.
Commodity prices were mixed, but silver bullion also reversed an earlier fall, bouncing off $28.05 per ounce.
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Tuesday, May 22, 2012
Swiss Parliament Examines ‘Gold Franc’ Currency Today / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,575.75, EUR 1,233.95, and GBP 998.76 per ounce. Yesterday's AM fix this morning was USD 1,590.25, EUR 1,245.20, and GBP 1,005.34 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $28.18/oz, €22.18/oz and £17.94/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,462.00/oz, palladium at $607.10/oz and rhodium at $1,275/oz.
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Tuesday, May 22, 2012
Real Gold Price Holds the Cards for Gold Bullion and Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
We often write about the real price of gold (RPG) as it is a leading macro indicator and leading indicator for gold stock fundamentals. The RPG is simply a measurement of Gold in terms of various markets such as commodities, stocks or currencies. If the RPG is broadly outperforming then it could be signaling credit stress and even an economic contraction. If equities and commodities are outperforming Gold then it signals an improving economic environment and an improving credit environment. We also note that a strengthening RPG in itself is a catalyst for improving margins for gold miners. Furthermore, since a rising RPG is a contractionary signal, it can also be a catalyst for Fed action. The RPG appears to have bottomed and looks likely to trend higher in the coming months.
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Tuesday, May 22, 2012
How Strong is Global Gold Demand? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
According to the latest Gold Demand Trends report by the World Gold Council, the world continues to have a strong appetite for the precious metal, despite higher prices in the first-quarter of 2012 when compared to a year earlier.
First-quarter global gold demand totaled 1,097.6 tonnes ($59.7 billion), which represents a 5 percent decrease from 1,150.7 tonnes ($51.3 billion) in the same period last year. Although the demand in tonnes decreased, the decline was not too worrisome considering the average price for an ounce of gold was 22 percent higher this year. Furthermore, the dollar amount of gold invested in the first-quarter was 16 percent higher than last year and only 11 percent below its record of $67.1 billion set in the third-quarter of 2011. In dollar value terms, almost all gold demand posted year-over-year increases.
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Tuesday, May 22, 2012
Gold: The World's Friend for 5,000 Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Facebook's highly anticipated initial public offering today helped the company raise $16 billion, a record for tech IPOs. It's refreshing to see investor excitement rally around the stock, as the U.S. needs innovative businesses to thrive and attract capital. However, as behavioral finance warns, be cautious of a herd mentality.
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Monday, May 21, 2012
QE3 "Not Off the Table" as Euro Crisis Gives Gold Significant Upside / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
WHOLESALE MARKET spot gold prices hit a 7-session high just below $1600 per ounce in London trade early Monday, before dropping back through last week's finish at $1593 as European stock markets rose for the first time in two weeks.
Spanish and Portuguese bond prices both fell, as did "safe haven" German and US debt.
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Monday, May 21, 2012
John Embry and James Turk on why the Gold Bull Market isn't Over / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Paul Buitink writes: This conversation between James Turk and John Embry was recorded on Friday 18 May.
They discuss recent volatility and panic in the gold and silver markets. According to John Embry markets are now highly oversold. He mentions the “leap day slaughter” and the counterintuitive situation in which gold and silver prices went down on the backdrop of negative economic news and money printing. Natural selling followed forced selling.
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Sunday, May 20, 2012
Small Cap Gold Resources Investing, An Extraordinary Time to Be in the Driver's Seat / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Aaron Kennon, co-founder and CEO of Clear Harbor Asset Management, shares some of his company's trade secrets in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report. Educating yourself is critical before investing, and Kennon suggests questions to ask, what specialized knowledge your adviser should know and why small-cap and junior resource equities are offering surprisingly thrilling returns.
The Gold Report: Clear Harbor Asset Management actively invests in resource equities, and it's doing so during one of the most bearish periods ever for resource equities, particularly for small-cap resource equities. Some institutions are leaving the space altogether while others are reducing their exposure. What are your plans?
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Sunday, May 20, 2012
Throwing BRICS Into the Fire of Gold and Silver Investment Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Despite ongoing pressure from the United States for China to join its sanctions against Iran due to concerns over the Islamic country’s nuclear program, an Iranian diplomat recently revealed that new energy trades between Iran and China will be settled in China’s official currency the yuan.
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Saturday, May 19, 2012
Gold Bottom is In, But is it September 2008 or October 2008? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
We began the week by making a ballsy prediction about the precious metals complex. We believed a major bottom could happen this week. In the wake of the European debt crisis and potential "credit events," the precious metals became extremely oversold based on a number of metrics. Technically, we saw that Gold and Silver were nearing the December lows which produced a good rally. The gold stocks were nearing the 50% retracement of their 2008-2011 bull move. The combination of an extreme oversold condition and technical support usually produces bottoms. It wasn't a difficult call but putting it on paper was. With the low in, the question now becomes, is this an interim bottom or will it be the major low we initially expected?
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Friday, May 18, 2012
This is the Gold Price Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
In an interview with Louis James, John Hathaway discusses the US's economic outlook and why he's delighted by the current bearish sentiment toward gold.
Louis James: Ladies and gentleman, thanks for tuning in. We're at the Casey Research Recovery Reality Check Summit. We're talking with John Hathaway, one of the more successful fund investors – institutional investors – in our precious metals field near and dear to my heart. John, can you give us a quick version of what you talked about here, for those who didn't make it to the conference?
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Friday, May 18, 2012
Whales in the Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Last April gold investment analysts where excited to see a new institutional player enter the gold market. The University of Texas Investment Management Co. took delivery of nearly $1bn of gold bullion into a New York vault. The reason gold analysts were so interested was because large institutional players had been largely absent from their market and their huge purchasing power had therefore not had its potentially significant positive effect on the gold price.
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Friday, May 18, 2012
Gold Bulls Counterattack Sets Up Gold for Weekly Gain / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
WHOLESALE MARKET gold prices climbed as high as $1594 an ounce during Monday morning's London trading, jumping 1.5% in the first two hours, while Eurozone stocks looked to have stemmed four days of losses despite Greece and Spain seeing negative ratings decisions.
A day earlier, Dollar prices to buy gold jumped 2% in two hours during Thursday's US trading.
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Friday, May 18, 2012
Bloomberg Interview GoldCore on Chinese and Global Gold Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,588.00, EUR 1,251.08, and GBP 1,005.13 per ounce. Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,547.00, EUR 1,217.44and GBP 974.00 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $28.53/oz, €22.55/oz and £18.12/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,465.00/oz, palladium at $603.80/oz and rhodium at $1,300/oz.
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