Category: Economic Recovery
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, March 04, 2010
Is Anyone Else Sick of this Nascent Economic Recovery Talk? / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Mike_Shedlock
The buzzword of the day is "nascent". It means "beginning to exist or develop". The word is everywhere you look.
Moreover, talk of "nascency" seems like it has been going on forever. Perhaps because it has. Here are some prime examples.
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Friday, February 26, 2010
The Recession Is Most Certainly Over / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: "There are still no jobs here," my friend Lee tells me.
Lee used to work for a beachfront resort on Florida's east coast. Our town was built on tourism and real estate. Both are dead. The resort is on the brink of bankruptcy.
Wednesday, February 24, 2010
Leading Economic Indicators Keep Rising, but … / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Claus_Vogt
Last Thursday the Conference Board published its Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. In January this historically-reliable indicator increased 0.3 percent after shooting up 1.2 percent in December and 1.1 percent in November. This was the tenth consecutive rise!
Monday, February 22, 2010
Not So Fast for U.S. Economy, Inflation and therefore Fed Tightening / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
Not so fast for the economy, for inflation and, therefore, for Fed tightening. The Commerce Department's first guess at Q4:2009 real GDP growth of 5.7% is likely to be the fastest quarterly annualized growth we see for some time. Rather, sequential annualized growth rates over the first three quarters of this year are going to be on the order of less than one-half that of the last year's fourth quarter. Although one month does not a trend make, consumer inflation in January already shows signs of abating a bit.
Wednesday, February 17, 2010
How the Bailed out Banks Are Crushing U.S. Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: When U.S. President Barack Obama unveiled the $787 billion "stimulus" bill of extra spending and modest tax cuts last year, it became clear that the U.S. budget deficit was going to eclipse the 10% of gross domestic product (GDP) level for at least one year (and, as we now know, probably three years).
Friday, February 12, 2010
Global Business Cycle Bottoms But Economic Recovery Remains Mixed / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Donald_W_Dony
Global data continues to reinforce the idea that the world business cycle has bottomed and that growth is starting to advance. Economic numbers stress that after six quarters of steady contraction, a floor appears to have formed in mid-2009. Most global economies have felt expansion for the last six months. But this increase is not well divided. Domestic developed nations have emerged from the depths at a considerably slower pace than many Asian nations. The USA has been dwarfed by the new Asian economies of China and India. This trend, going into 2010 and 2011, will likely reshape the trading patterns of the world from west to east.
Wednesday, February 10, 2010
Ceridian - UCLA Pulse of Commerce Index / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Guy_Lerner
The Ceridian - UCLA Pulse of Commerce Index tracks fuel purchases at 7000 truck stops around the country, and the idea is that the index will mirror industrial production providing a timelier snapshot into the state of the economy. The index was developed by the UCLA Anderson Center in conjunction with credit card processor Ceridian.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2010
Beyond Economic Stimulus, Fiscal Policy After the Great Recession / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Global_Research
Andrew Jackson writes: As the communiqué from the Pittsburgh G20 summit put it, “it worked”. Unprecedented macro-economic stimulus in the form of ultra low interest rates and large government deficits has pulled the global economy back from the abyss, at least for now. But what comes next? Conventional economic wisdom is setting the stage for deep and damaging cuts to public expenditures if labour and the progressive left do not win the argument for public investment led growth and increased fiscal capacity.
Saturday, January 30, 2010
The Statistical Economic Recovery has Arrived / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: John_Mauldin
The Statistical Recovery has Arrived
This Time Is Different
A Crisis of Confidence
Greeks Bearing Gifts
Biotech, Conversations and Babies
"Our immersion in the details of crises that have arisen over the past eight centuries and in data on them has led us to conclude that the most commonly repeated and most expensive investment advice ever given in the boom just before a financial crisis stems from the perception that 'this time is different.' That advice, that the old rules of valuation no longer apply, is usually followed up with vigor.
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Friday, January 29, 2010
U.S. Economy Recovery, Is This as Good as It’s Going to Get? / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Sy_Harding
It’s a major question for investors. Is this as good as it’s going to get? Has the economy peaked in its recovery for now? Has the stock market begun a significant correction to factor in a slower economy, or even a dip back into recession later this year?
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Nouriel Roubini From Davos Says Western Economies Weak Economic Recovery 2010 / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Submissions
Weak economic recovery under way due to weak labour markets. First half of 2010 will be better than second half due to stimulus factors. Expects an eventual stock market correction (last October he was calling for a 10% to 20% drop that never transpired), and bearish on commodities.
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
UK Unemployment Drop Confirms Election Stealth Economic Boom Forecast 2010 / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK Unemployment fell for October data by 33,000 to 2.458 million leaving the UK jobless rate at 7.7% which is significantly below that of the U.S. at 10%. The news surprised journalists and academic economists that went scurrying to further revise forecasts that barely a few months ago were calling for UK unemployment to hit between 3 and 3.4 million by the time of the next general election. Journo-economists and academic economists have shown great consistently these past 12 months by being wrong on virtually all aspects of financial and economic activity right from the birth of the stocks stealth bull market of March 2009, straight into the election boom of 2010 and not forgetting yesterdays inflation spike.
Sunday, January 17, 2010
The American Economy, Weak Economic Recovery 2010 / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: G_Abraham
A Introspect and Mull - In my continuing series of analyzing country data and macro balances, I present the American economy and the long term patterns. My previous post was on India: Why am I so Bullish on India?
Friday, January 15, 2010
China and India Push Hard Down On the Petro Keynesian Gas Pedal / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Andrew_McKillop
WARNINGS - Warnings of fast and massive overheating of the Chinese economic miracle, with similar warnings starting to be heard for the Indian economy, underline the basic common driver: Petro Keynesian growth in 2010. Unlike the more massive and more ineffective 'tax-and-spend' programs employed in the US, in Europe and Japan since late 2008, the classic Keynesian solution of spend now but tax later, or inflate and devalue later, the Chinese and Indian anti-recession programs have spent strategic.
Thursday, January 14, 2010
The Tepee Shaped Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Michael_Pento
The shape of this economic recovery will not be in a “V”, as many pundits have promulgated, but instead may be the inversion of that letter…which will unfortunately look much more like a tepee. The upcoming downfall will surprise most investors who have been tricked into believing that a government can print and spend their way into prosperity.
Monday, January 11, 2010
U.S. Unemployment Numbers Illustrate Retarded Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Gerard_Jackson
When the official unemployment figure dropped by 0.2 per cent to 10 per cent the so-called media were quick to claim it as evidence that the economy was now moving in the right direction. But how could this be if firms were not hiring? To any reasonable observer of the economic scene it was obvious that the number of discouraged workers must be rising. The jury is now in, making this conclusion official: The Labor Department has reported that 929,000 "discouraged workers" ceased looking for work.
Saturday, January 09, 2010
Is The US At An Extreme Risk Of A Double Dip Recession? / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Submissions
Safari Investment Research write: One of the major concerns at the end of 2008 and beginning of 2009 was how much the average U.S. consumer has to de-lever in order to reach a sustainable debt level that could be supported in a declining asset price environment. As we all know, the environment changed quickly in the 2nd quarter of 2009 when all asset prices began to rise in value and the national savings rate continued to climb (See Exhibit 1).
Saturday, January 09, 2010
Economy Forecast 2010 the Uncertain Statistical Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: John_Mauldin
2010: A Year of Uncertainty
"Rocking Even Me"
Prisoners of Our Preconceptions
The Statistical Recovery
The Great Experiment
Whither the Fed?
"Lying here, during all this time after my own small fall, it has become my conviction that things mean pretty much what we want them to mean. We'll pluck significance from the least consequential happenstance if it suits us and happily ignore the most flagrantly obvious symmetry between separate aspects of our lives if it threatens some cherished prejudice or cosily comforting belief; we are blindest to precisely whatever might be most illuminating." - from Transition, by Iain M. Banks
Thursday, January 07, 2010
How Long Will the Economic Recovery Continue? / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Mike_Whitney
There's no denying that the economy is getting better, but will it last? Many economists don't think so, including experts at opposite ends of the ideological spectrum, like Paul Krugman and Martin Feldstein. They think the economy will begin to fizzle sometime in the latter part of 2010 when Obama's $787 billion fiscal stimulus runs out and consumers are forced to pick up the slack in demand. That's a safe bet, too, considering that unemployment will still be somewhere in the neighborhood of 9 percent and households will still be digging out from the $13 trillion they lost during the crisis. And the fact that the Fed is planning to end its quantitative easing (QE) program in early April, doesn't help either.
Friday, January 01, 2010
Stock Market the Best Indicator for Economic Recovery 2010 / Stock-Markets / Economic Recovery
By: Clif_Droke
With the commencement of a New Year comes the usual barrage of analyst predictions for what the year ahead will look like. This is the time when economists present their year-ahead forecasts and when investors anxiously contemplate what the next 12 months will hold in store for them.