Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, May 18, 2011
The Invisible Stock Bubble; Crash and Bear Market Ahead to S&P 400 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Shedlock
As measured by current earnings, the stock market does not seem hugely overpriced. The question is will those earnings hold up?
SmartMoney associate editor Jack Hough addresses the question in The Invisible Stock Bubble
Sunday, May 15, 2011
Compelling Evidence Extended Stocks Bear Market Rally To End / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Garry_Abeshouse
On November 26th 2010 I posted “My view still is that the rally in equity markets since March 2009, with its persistence of upward wedges and broadening top formations across such a broad range of financial entities and time frames, is compelling evidence of an extended bear market rally that will soon end.”In my last posting on January 24th 2011, I wrote that equity markets were overextended, with upward wedge patterns and broadening formations still predominating in most of the leading US and world equity market indices.
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Friday, March 18, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
Announcement: Elliott Wave International has released a free issue of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist. It includes more of Robert Prechter's experience than you’ll ever read in a single issue -- all 30-plus years of it. What matters is that he uses his experience at a moment when it can do the most good, namely when investors are most vulnerable. This is a unique opportunity for you to see what Prechter’s subscribers see. Don't miss out! This free issue is only available through March 21. Learn more about Prechter’s 12-page issue – it’s yours for free.
Wednesday, March 16, 2011
Stock Market Rally Top, Collapse Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
Don't miss out! This free issue is only available through March 21. Learn more about Prechter’s 12-page issue – it’s yours for free.
Thursday, February 24, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Beginnings, There Goes the First Sector / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
Bear markets begin when something fundamental breaks. Usually the sector initially affected will roll over before the general market and tends to be a warning sign of what lies ahead.
The last bear market was triggered when the credit bubble created by Greenspan's foolish monetary policy burst. It was exacerbated by Bernanke's foolish attempt to debase the currency and reflate the bubble. All he succeeded in doing was to inflate oil to $147, which put the finishing touches on an already crumbling economy.
Tuesday, February 01, 2011
Historical Stock Market Analysis Suggests S&P 500 Top at 1400, then Drop to 400! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Lorimer_Wilson
Based on a unique comparison with the Nikkei 225 and prior mega-bears it seems evident that the S&P 500 should continue its rise to 1400 or so in the first half of 2011 before it collapses completely down to an unbelievably low of 400. Before you totally reject this possibility please read the entire article. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 27, 2011
Stock Market Train Crash 2011, Continued / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
Below are two charts showing the cyclical behaviour of the S&P 500 – over a +-9 month cycle and a +-4 year cycle. (source: DecisionPoint.com)Essentially, the way cycles are measured on a computer is that the computer looks for dips or valley bottoms and then looks to see whether there is any periodicity to those dips. 9 months and 48 months appear to be recurring periods of valleys. It is never “precisely” the same – but always +- a similar amount. That’s why the perpendicular dashed lines are not always equidistant.
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Monday, January 24, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Rally About to End Soon / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Profit_Confidential
Mitchell Clark writes: This is a bear market rally and the party is going to end soon. Sorry.
I’m not super bearish by any means, but rather realistic as to how far the stock market has come since the March 2009 low and even since last summer. In order for us to have a real bull market, we need a catalyst and I don’t see one as of yet. That catalyst has to be some major innovation or technological breakthrough (like doing business over the Internet) and it has to be sustainable.
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Tuesday, December 28, 2010
Second Global Financial Crisis Shoe 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
Summary: The probability of second down leg in the Global Financial Crisis is rising. Three charts tell the story on a world-wide basis
1. Standard and Poor Industrial Index – 85 Year Chart
2. Volatility Index Chart (of Standard and Poor)
3. Shanghai Index Chart
Sunday, December 26, 2010
The Stocks Bear Market Will Return In 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
It's almost impossible to find anyone who is long term bearish on the stock market or economy at this time. In the recent Barron’s poll every single analyst expected a rise in stock prices next year and continued economic expansion.
I think they are all going to be wrong, horribly wrong. I believe next year the stock market will begin the third leg down in the secular bear market. And the global economy will tip over into the next recession that will be much worse than the last one.
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Thursday, November 18, 2010
Gold, Stocks, Bonds and Economy, No One Loves a Pessimist / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
Generally speaking a congenital pessimist is regarded as being anti-social. The “every silver lining has a dark cloud” attitude to life is not appreciated by people who consider themselves to be mentally healthy.
But the flip side of this is that whilst an “every cloud has a silver lining” attitude tends to raise ones profile in the popularity stakes, it is likely to be just as inaccurate in its conclusions.
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Wednesday, November 17, 2010
U.S. Dollar and Bonds Trend Reversals Point to Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Bryan_Rich
In last week’s Money and Markets column, I wrote about Bernanke’s quantitative easing policy. The goal of the policy is to create higher stock and housing prices by pushing the dollar and interest rates down.
So how is the Fed’s plan going? Let’s start with the …
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Monday, November 15, 2010
Financial Crisis Not Over, Stocks Bear Market Next Phase / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: The_Gold_Report
The Gold Report caught up with Deliberations on World Markets Writer Ian McAvity between sessions at the 36th New Orleans Investment Conference, held October 27–30. In fact, Ian was among the experts featured on the conference agenda, graphically updating his big-picture expectations for stocks, gold and the dollar. He continues here in that vein in this Gold Report exclusive.
The Gold Report: Over time, Ian, you have accurately predicted the bull market in the '80s, the housing bubble and the credit crisis. So the obvious question: what are your key predictions going forward?
Saturday, November 13, 2010
Stock Market Dow Theory Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
When it comes to Dow theory, there seems to be no shortage of opinion, but most often, that opinion is wrong. This is largely because of the fact that very few people have actually read and studied the original material by Charles H. Dow, William Peter Hamilton and Robert Rhea. Without that background, one cannot truly understand Dow theory.
Of late I have been asked whether or not the bettering of the April highs triggered a so-called “Dow theory buy signal.” Before I answer this question, it deserves a full explanation.
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Sunday, October 31, 2010
Dow Theory and the U.S. Mid-term Elections, QE II / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
The primary trend change associated with the rally out of the March 2009 Phase I low still remains intact in accordance with Dow theory. We do have other tools and the DNA Markers that have occurred at every top since 1896 that are also very important and are being closely monitored. However, in according to orthodox Dow theory, the counter-trend bear market advance separating Phase I from Phase II of the longer-term secular bear market still remains intact at this time. But, I still maintain that once the I’s are all dotted and the T’s are all crossed, in accordance with this setup, the rally separating Phase I of this long-term secular bear market from Phase II will be followed by the resumption of the bear market that began in 2007.
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Monday, October 11, 2010
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis, Wave 3 Down?, and Quantitative Easing / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: JD_Rosendahl
A Reader Asks All Word Questions at the Right Time
In the short time of running my own website I've received some great, interesting and well thought out questions, comments and data from readers. It's one of the things I truly enjoy, as it serves as a collective body of work from like minds with similar interests.
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Sunday, October 10, 2010
The Zero Sum – The Logical Imperative / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Charlie_Tarango
Courage of Convictions
Some things we read and hear over the course of Life we instinctively know at first blush are right – the hard part is figuring out “how”. Makes sense and sounds easy, but “how” ?
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Wednesday, October 06, 2010
Hussman Bearish on the Stock Market and Economy / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Shedlock
John Hussman is bearish on the economy and stocks. He backs up his beliefs with good commentary and a series of charts in Economic Measures Continue to Slow .
Please see the article for some excellent economic charts. Here are a few snips regarding equity returns.
Wednesday, October 06, 2010
Don’t Let September’s Stock Market Rally Trick You / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Claus_Vogt
You’ve probably heard the optimistic hype surrounding September’s stock market performance. The S&P 500 gained an impressive 8.8 percent during a month that has a bad reputation among stock market investors.
Measuring stock market performance on a calendar basis is indeed common. But that doesn’t necessarily mean it makes a lot of sense. In fact, it’s totally arbitrary to look only at monthly performance figures …
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Sunday, October 03, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Rally Explained / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
It has now been some 19 months since the March 2009 low. Because of the duration of this rally, many are beginning to wonder how I can continue to say that it’s a bear market rally and not a new bull market. The answer to this question lies with the historical bull/bear market relationships, Dow theory phasing and values.
So, let’s first look at bull and bear market relationships. But, before I even begin I want to clarify that cycles have absolutely nothing to do with Dow theory. Cycles and Dow theory are two completely different disciplines. However, they can be used to compliment each other if we understand both disciplines.
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