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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Politics & Social Trends

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Politics

Tuesday, March 31, 2020

Coronavirus - No, You Do Not Hear the Fat Lady Warming Up / Politics / Pandemic

By: The_Energy_Report

Bob Moriarty of 321gold comments on where he believes the economy is heading.

Those who never predicted a financial collapse in the first place are now edging closer to the swamp to dip their toes into the water. Now they are suggesting, perhaps we could have a recession."

Forget that. You cannot have every supply chain in the world chopped in two and have a recession. A depression was baked into the cake before the Corona popped out of the six-pack. The US government dumping a $6 trillion dollar bailout for their buddies that has more pork in it than the butt of a two-ton pig is the proverbial pissing up a rope. We are in a depression. The entire financial system, education system, medical system, political system, hell, the entire artifice needs a total reset.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Politics

Tuesday, March 31, 2020

Life, Religions, Business, Globalization & Information Technology In The Post-Corona Pandemics Age / Politics / Religion

By: Dr_R_M_Mathew

The outbreak of corona pandemics , spreading from China to Europe, Iran, GCC Countries, Africa, India and several other countries has brought a standstill in the Global Economy, affecting all economies of the world. Stock markets have practically collapsed, followed by similar collapses in trade, travel, tourism, education, religious practices, normal public governance, Information Technology, industrial and the service sectors.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Politics

Monday, March 30, 2020

US and UK Coronavirus Trend Trajectories vs Bear Market and AI Stocks Sector / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The world is increasingly going into LOCK DOWN, with the latest being India (a lock down mostly in all but name). Still Europe is in lock down, large swaths of the US are increasingly going into lock down that saw a fumbling in the dark President Trump first suggest a quarantine for the entire state of New York and neighbouring states, only to back track a few hours later when the adults in the White House had a quiet word with him thus saving the US from another 10% down trading day Monday!

What's just as worrying as the Coronavirus are the Gestapoesk powers being handed to the Police, it won't be long before the powers start going to their heads and abuse of power starts takes place. At least in the UK usually the worst ordinary citizens are going to face is being tasered, expect far worse in the US a case of shoot first test later policy!

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Politics

Sunday, March 29, 2020

Some Positives in a Virus Wracked World / Politics / Social Issues

By: John_Mauldin

It should be pretty obvious that we need to rethink how our supply chains are constructed. The U.S. is running out of something as simple as mouth-testing swabs. It seems the entire world supply is made by two companies.

When asked where I thought those were, I replied “China.” It is worse. They are both in Milan, Italy.

Milan is currently under siege in total lockdown, and the swabs are stranded on the docks in their own kind of quarantine.  The link in that supply chain has snapped.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Politics

Sunday, March 29, 2020

An Investment in Life / Politics / Pandemic

By: Patrick_Watson

If you’re following the coronavirus news from home, thank you for helping society through this hard time. Home is where we should all be, except for medical, food, public safety and other such essential workers. Please be careful if you do have to run out for necessities.

None of us have seen anything like this. Even in wartime, there are rear areas and safe zones where people can breathe easily. In this situation, we’re all vulnerable everywhere.

Virus mitigation measures, while necessary, are severely straining the economy. Places like mainland China, Taiwan, South Korea and Singapore show that early, aggressive measures can work. But they come at tremendous cost.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Politics

Sunday, March 29, 2020

Sheffield Coronavirus Pandemic Infections and Deaths Forecast / Politics / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

So how bad are things about to get in the city of Sheffield which like London and Birmingham is coronavirus hotspot, so it's likely we'll be getting our own temporary Nightingale Hospital probably at the English Institute of Sport or Arena. The starting point for that is likely to happen next is my trend forecast of 22nd March, but first.

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Politics

Saturday, March 28, 2020

UK Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Projections Trend Forecast - Video / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The UK government started the ball rolling in announcing a number of measures in attempts at slowing the parabolic curve that the pandemic was on, first of which was to close all schools as of Friday 20th March, which in my opinion was about 2 weeks later than they should have closed the schools. Still in terms of pandemic time line it is about 5 days ahead of when Italy closed all of their schools, so 'should' help resolve towards a better outcome.

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Politics

Saturday, March 28, 2020

UK Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Projections Trend Forecast Into End April 2020 / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This analysis concludes in detailed trend forecasts for UK and US Coronavirus Infections and deaths into the end of April 2020. The importance of which being to act as indicators for the primary driver for stock market trend since Mid February. Where as was the case with my preceding forecasts into the end of March, deviations against the Coronavirus trend warned of worse prospects for stock prices as the UK and US FAILED to follow the South Korean model of containing the pandemic, instead either proved completely incompetent in doing nothing despite having had well over a months advance warning of what to expect. Or perhaps by design so as to allow the virus to infect the general population as it was deemed to be impossible to prevent in the long-run given the movement of people, goods and services and so a quick sharp deadly shock was deemed to be the most cost effective solution.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Politics

Friday, March 27, 2020

US and UK Case Fatality Rate Forecast for End April 2020 / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The US AND France are on a similar trend trajectory of under testing, thus as I have been warning for a month now that the US has probably a huge pool of infected, circulating and doubling every 3 or 4 days. That I estimated 2 weeks ago to be about ten times the official number to total at least 4000. Where US current tally of 23,000 suggests that the actual number of infected could easily exceed 250,000, more than ten fold the recorded infected number due to the fact the US IS STILL NOT TESTING ENOUGH!

110,000 tests to date is a mere pinprick, the US should be testing that number EVERY DAY!

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Politics

Friday, March 27, 2020

The Government's Pandemic Strategy Is a Reckless One / Politics / Pandemic

By: Frank_Hollenbeck

The current coronavirus strategy of most governments is a recipe for a worldwide economic disaster. In many countries, the strategy of confinement and forcing shops to close is a surefire path to large-scale business failures. The cascade of economic and financial repercussions to come is likely to lead to another Great Depression. Italy, for example, already had a 135 percent debt-to-GDP ratio before the crisis. It is hard to imagine how it will be able to borrow more without mutualizing its debt with the rest of the EU—something the northern European countries are still strongly opposed to. The European Central Bank is already printing money like crazy, and if Italy becomes another Greece, the ECB will make it ramp up the printing presses even more.

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Politics

Friday, March 27, 2020

Planned-Demic 2020: War on Cash Goes Into Overdrive, New US Digital Currency in Coronavirus Bill / Politics / Pandemic

By: Jeff_Berwick

Another day, another coronavirus story.

The latest and biggest country after China to do a complete shutdown now is India.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Politics

Friday, March 27, 2020

CoronaVirus Herd Immunity, Flattening the Curve and Case Fatality Rate Analysis / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The most probable reason why Britain and the US did nothing during February was due to both nations apparently following the "Herd Immunity" Protocol, which requires approx 60% of the population to become infected so that the virus is no longer able to spread to the remaining population as confirmed by the Chief Scientific Advisor to Boris Johnson's Government who publically stated this objective but refused to discuss the implied death toll.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Politics

Friday, March 27, 2020

NHS Hospitals Before Coronavirus Tsunami Hits (Sheffield), STAY INDOORS FINAL WARNING! / Politics / Pandemic

By: N_Walayat

The Coronavirus Tsunami that is already starting to hit London will reach the city of Sheffield in about 5 days time, ahead of most other UK cities because Sheffield is already a Coronavirus hot spot!

The latest statistics show Sheffield has 240 Coronavirus cases, and if your not already aware that the NHS for some weeks has only been testing patients who turn up ill to hospital. Which translates into a likely pool of over 7000 infected people in Sheffield already. So how much capacity does Sheffield NHS hospitals have to deal with critically ill Coronavirus patients, requiring ventilators to keep them alive?

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Politics

Thursday, March 26, 2020

Italy Coronavirus Case Fataility Rate and Infections Trend Analysis / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Italy is in full blown Coronavirus crisis mode that just posted a record 793 deaths! Higher than the worst that China reported (fake numbers). However, where Italy is concerned it's not all bad news, as momentum in the rate of new infections has been slowing for some time, which suggests that by early April Italy's rate of infections should have started to flatten out at about 130,000 infected. So whilst there is a lot more pain to come i.e. Italy's infections numbers are likely set to double once more, nevertheless there is light at the end of Italy's dark tunnel.

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Politics

Thursday, March 26, 2020

Dark Pools of Capital Profiting from Coronavirus Stock Markets CRASH! / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This analysis seeks to conclude in detailed trend forecasts for US and UK Coronavirus Infections and deaths into the end of April 2020. The importance of which being to act as indicators for the primary driver for stock market trend since Mid February. Where as was the case with my preceding forecasts into the end of March, deviations against the Coronavirus trend warned of worse prospects for stock prices as the UK and US FAILED to follow the South Korean model of containing the pandemic, instead either proved completely incompetent in doing nothing despite having had well over a months advance warning of what to expect. Or perhaps by design so as to allow the virus to infect the general population as it was deemed to be impossible to prevent in the long-run given the movement of people, goods and services and so a quick sharp deadly shock was deemed to be the most cost effective solution.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Politics

Wednesday, March 25, 2020

CoronaVirus Herd Immunity and Flattening the Curve / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The most probable reason why Britain and the US did nothing during February was due to both nations apparently following the "Herd Immunity" Protocol, which requires approx 60% of the population to become infected so that the virus is no longer able to spread to the remaining population as confirmed by the Chief Scientific Advisor to Boris Johnson's Government who publically stated this objective but refused to discuss the implied death toll.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Politics

Wednesday, March 25, 2020

US National Debt is About to Surge Like Never Before! / Politics / US Debt

By: Michael_Pento

The U.S. National Debt is about to surge like never before, along with the rest of the entire planet’s gigantic pile of sovereign IOUs. America started with a $23.5 trillion debt before the Wuhan virus outbreak, with annual deficits running over a $1 trillion; and projected to be at least that amount for the next dozen years. But then, the stock market and economy crashed due to the catalyst of the COVID-19 pandemic, which pricked the massive bubble in junk bonds and equities that I have been warning about for years.

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Politics

Wednesday, March 25, 2020

UK Coronavirus Hotspots - Cities with Highest Risks of Getting Infected / Politics / Pandemic

By: N_Walayat

The UK government finally woke up last week to smell the coffee, that their insane policy of aiming for herd immunity was about to result in a catastrophic death toll and so made a series of PANIC announcements to shutdown the whole of the UK in attempts at curbing the exponential curve that the UK had entered. However the rates of infection are not uniform across Britain, so this analysis of several major UK cities reveal there are hotspots and safe zones. Though, bare in mind that the risk of getting infected is always increasing. Nevertheless here is an analysis of the risks of getting infected where the peoples of Sheffield and London should pay special attention to!

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Politics

Tuesday, March 24, 2020

WARNING US Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Going Ballistic! / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The penny finally appears to have dropped in the US! Where even uber skeptic President Trump has finally had someone read the writing on the wall to him, with the US appearing to start to swing firmly in the right direction, though as the following graph illustrates the damage is likely already done, so the US WILL pay a heavy price for Presidential & Congressional Governmental and CDC NEGLIGENCE that borders on CRIMINAL. Where the US wasted THE WHOLE OF FEBRUARY! The US could have nipped this in the bud as I repeatedly suggested was possible during February, but instead supreme arrogance in monitoring and capability reigned supreme until the stock market started discounting the trend trajectories that were starting to unfold. Remember that the stock market DISCOUNTS the future, it's not going to wait for 100,000 deaths before it nose dives as we have witness take place these past 2 weeks.

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Politics

Tuesday, March 24, 2020

Coronavirus Crisis - Weeks Where Decades Happen / Politics / Pandemic

By: James_Quinn

“There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen.”Vladimir Ilyich Lenin

“A Crisis mood does not guarantee that the new governing policies will be well designed or will work as intended.

To the contrary: Crisis eras are studded with faulty leadership and inept management—from President Lincoln’s poor record of choosing generals to President Roosevelt’s colossal blunders with such alphabet soup agencies as the AAA, NRA, and WPA.

What makes a Crisis special is the public’s willingness to let leaders lead even when they falter and to let authorities be authoritative even when they make mistakes.

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