Analysis Topic: Election Oracle
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, October 16, 2016
SNL - US Presidential Debates, 1st, 2nd, VP - Like You've Never Seen them Before! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Videos
Saturday Night Life have excelled themselves in achieving the impossible, of achieving satire that beats the real life Hillary and Trump comedy show which has seen literally anything spout of out Donald Trumps uncontrollable mouth, and that's BEFORE P USSY GATE! So here is SNL's take on the 2nd Presidential Town Hall Debate and as Trump would say "Are you not entertained"
Sunday, October 16, 2016
The Prodigal Son or the Machiavellian Villain: The American Presidential Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Dr_R_M_Mathew
Though the American Presidential election is purely an internal affair of its citizens, it has a wider impacts on the Global Peace and Development, the fates of several nations, peoples, the very survival of the Muslim world, the spread of Islamic Terrorism and aggravating Refugee Crisis and above all the growing roles of Russia and China in global politics, especially in the Middle East. Consequently, everybody is interested in the American Presidential Election and concerned about the final outcome.
Saturday, October 15, 2016
Donald Trump on Life Support, May Abandon Election Campaign and War on Republican Party / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The relentless barrage of main stream media bad news stories on a daily basis is keeping the pressure on the Trump camp that according to the Book making odds remains trading near all time lows, and with just 3 weeks to go there is no sign of any recovery, especially as now senior republicans are abandoning Trump, as top GOP donors urge the Republican party to disavow Donald Trump to which Trump countering with statements of betrary, that they are all part of the same cabal, the global elite that enslaves America's working and middle classes that have seen their wealth evaporate whilst the elites wealth and power has soared.
Saturday, October 15, 2016
Pushing Politics to Extract Payments / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Walter_Brasch
My wife, Rosemary, a registered Republican, received a black and white poll in the mail. Plastered across the top of the sheet in bold black letters was the title: “MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN.” I wonder who that could be.
On to the questions. All she had to do was to check the appropriate box and return the ballot. The survey indicated name, survey number, and a processing code, all with a bar code for identification. She just had to check the appropriate box beneath a picture of Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, or “no opinion.” Seemed simple enough.
Saturday, October 15, 2016
Trump is Wrong on Trade / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Frank_Hollenbeck
Trumps claims (see here) that America has lost high paying manufacturing jobs to China because the communist country promotes its exports through subsidies, tax advantages and currency manipulations. The reality is that we should not care what China does. The more China subsidizes its industries, the more its trading partners gain in the abundance of cheap goods and services and, contrary to what Trump believes, in the creation of high-paying jobs. In an exchange economy, there is a natural antagonism between producers and consumers. Producers benefit from scarcity, consumers from abundance. A producer wants to be the only store on a block selling a limited number of products for a limited period of time. Consumers, on the other hand, want abundance with more producers and products available over a longer period of time. This conflict arises naturally in an exchange economy. Robinson Crusoe hunting for himself will clearly prefer abundance to scarcity.
Saturday, October 15, 2016
Black Votes Matter - Is the US on the Verge of Mass Race Riots? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: David_Galland
Dear Reader,
Thanks to a philosophy course my daughter is currently taking, I have recently become more intimately acquainted with the British philosopher John Locke (1632-1704).
While Locke is famous for many other truly important ideas, our recent reacquaintance began after I reviewed an essay on Locke’s theory on the primary versus secondary qualities of things, a bit of a brain teaser.
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Friday, October 14, 2016
US 2016 Presidential Election: Will US-China Relations Change / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Dan_Steinbock
After one of the most degrading races in postwar history, US presidential campaigns are getting still dirtier. But will US-China relations change?As Wikileaks has disclosed information about Hillary Clinton’s email and Benghazi scandals and deep ties with Wall Street, her campaign, with its cozy media relations, is promoting Donald Trump’s obscene tapes and comments on women.
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Friday, October 14, 2016
US Political and Social Gulf - How Much Wider Can the U.S. Continue to Split? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Harry_Dent
People don’t think I’m being serious when I say that this country could experience a split that makes Brexit look like a tempest in a teacup.
I’m talking about our country splitting in half (perhaps into even smaller segments) and I’m dead serious! While this isn’t a certainty, it’s clearly a possibility you should plan for.
There’s an ever-widening political/social gulf between the right and left. Any middle ground for compromise or agreement shrinks with every passing day. It’s like the Nothing in The Never Ending Story… dissent and social unrest this dark, ominous cloud devouring anything and everything in its path as it closes in on itself.
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Thursday, October 13, 2016
Syria - Obama Stepped Back From Brink, Will Hillary? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Mike_Whitney
The American people need to understand what’s going on in Syria. Unfortunately, the major media only publish Washington-friendly propaganda which makes it difficult to separate fact from fiction. The best way to cut through the lies and misinformation, is by using a simple analogy that will help readers to see that Syria is not in the throes of a confusing, sectarian civil war, but the victim of another regime change operation launched by Washington to topple the government of Bashar al Assad.
Wednesday, October 12, 2016
Can Trump Still Win Despite Opinion Polls, Bookmakers and Pundits all Saying Hillary has Won? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The message being broadcast across the mainstream media from the serious to the satirical, the likes of the Daily Show or Saturday Night Live is that Donald Trump now has virtually NO chance of winning the US presidential election as his campaign is hit by a barrage of bad news events on a near daily basis from leaked lewd audio tapes to $1 billion loss tax returns with the latest being betrayal from career Republican politicians.
Tuesday, October 11, 2016
Hillary Deceit, Debt, Delusions / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: James_Quinn
“While every group has certain economic interests identical with those of all groups, every group has also, as we shall see, interests antagonistic to those of all other groups. While certain public policies would in the long run benefit everybody, other policies would benefit one group only at the expense of all other groups. The group that would benefit by such policies, having such a direct interest in them, will argue for them plausibly and persistently. It will hire the best buyable minds to devote their whole time to presenting its case. And it will finally either convince the general public that its case is sound, or so befuddle it that clear thinking on the subject becomes next to impossible.”
― Henry Hazlitt, Economics in One Lesson
Tuesday, October 11, 2016
An American Tragedy: Trump Won Big / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Raul_I_Meijer
If the US presidential debate last night showed anything, it must be that just about everyone has dug themselves into their trenches and had no desire whatsoever to ever came out.
This seemed especially clear on the Hillary side, which appeared to include -to an extent- ‘moderators’ Anderson Cooper and Martha Raddatz, judging from their interruptions. But, granted, they were the only biased side in the discussion, so we don’t really know what trenches the Republicans have dug.
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Monday, October 10, 2016
Trump Wins 2nd Presidential Debate, Betfair Betting Markets Odds Bounce / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The leaked lewd audio tape from a decade ago has been having a devastating impact on what was an already a badly damaged Trump campaign that has been on a downward trend trajectory after Trump lost the 1st debate, where virtually each day has tended to bring forward more bad news as the mainstream press digs deeper into Trumps past.
Sunday, October 09, 2016
Trump Campaign in Free Fall Going into 2nd Debate, Expect All Guns Blazing With Nothing to Lose / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The leaked lewd audio tape from a decade ago is having a devastating impact on what was an already crippled Trump campaign that has been on a downward trend trajectory since losing the 1st debate, where virtually each day tends to bring forward more bad news as the mainstream press digs deeper into Trumps past.
Saturday, October 08, 2016
Trump Election Campaign Blows Up Following Leaked Lewd Groping Women Tape / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The deeper one digs into Trumps past the worse things tend to get for his election chances. So it's no wonder Trump is failing to release his tax returns which would likely show that he is a FAKE billionaire i.e. probably has zero net worth or worse. Anyway the latest that the anti-Trump media establishment has been able to dig up is a lewd audio tape from a decade ago, and it really is shocking to hear! Especially so for the republican bible belt!
Thursday, October 06, 2016
Path to the White House is Paved by Billions of Dollars / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Walter_Brasch
With a month left before the November general election, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are trash-talking each other in a financial race to the White House.
According to the latest filing with the Federal Election Commission, Clinton has raised about $516.8 million for her campaign. Total spending by outside groups and SuperPacs supporting her was an additional $31.7 million; the total spent opposing her was about $40.2 million.
Wednesday, October 05, 2016
Mike Pence Beats Tim Kaine to Win VP Debate Triggering Trump Bounce / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Donald Trump has been having a disastrous time following loss of the 1st Presidential debate to Hillary Clinton and then leak of his 1995 tax return as illustrated by the betting market. However, now there is sliver of hope for Trump's campaign as his running mate, Mike Pence beat Tim Kaine in the Vice Presidents debate as the post debate odds have marginally shifted in Trumps favour.
Trump could learn a lesson or two from Pence on how to win debates, which apparently is NOT by going on the defensive as Trump repeatedly did to salvos from Hillary but by just completely ignoring the attacks and instead go on the attack or try to win the audience by telling them what they wanted to hear. Though of course "Mr Know it All" Trump listens to NO ONE!
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Tuesday, October 04, 2016
Donald Trump Presidency Reality Show, Path to US Election Win / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst today the battle rages for the US Presidency, ultimately through shear stubbornness the character of Donald Trump appears destined to be victorious which would herald in 4 years of the Trump Presidency reality show, one of a series of sophisticated CGI victories as America takes back control, builds the 'Trump Wall' and of course defeats ISIS whilst slaying the Democratic horde.
Sunday, October 02, 2016
Donald Trump's HUGE $916m Tax Loss Equivalent to $300,000 Trillion! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Donald Trump often bangs on about how much debt the US has accrued to date and how is going to fix it. Yes, the government debt truly has mushroomed from $1 trillion in 1980 to nearly $20 trillion today. However, the New York times has given everyone a glimpse into Donald Trumps own personal financial affairs as the NYT has managed to get hold of Trumps 1995 tax return which shows a loss of $916 million for a single year! The NYT concludes that this effectively converts into Donald Trump not having paid any tax for 18 years. And this is just for one year, we can only imagine what any one of the Donald's other tax returns would show up in terms of paying zero tax.
Saturday, October 01, 2016
How Trump Can Win the U.S. Presidential Election After 1st Debate Meltdown / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
So Trump lost the 1st debate, it was not even close and Trump's statements following the debate have not helped trigger any recovery as going on the offensive against for instance with his 'fat' remarks against a former Miss Universe that even had Trump backers grimacing or claiming winning in fictitious opinion polls has just resulted in a greater erosion of Trumps chances of winning as illustrated by the betting markets that have continued to trend in Clinton's direction all week.