Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, January 08, 2010
Ignore the Crowd … It’s Time to Invest in Commercial Real Estate 2010 / Housing-Market / US Housing
Jon D. Markman writes: Of all the independent institutional research that I receive, some of my favorite comes from Justin Mamis, a veteran of all the financial wars we've seen over the past five decades.
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Friday, January 08, 2010
The Big Picture for U.S. Housing Market 2010 / Housing-Market / US Housing
The typical essay I write on these pages is 700-1,500 words or so. Today’s essay will be setting an all time record for Gains, Pains, & Capital because my first 1,000 words are the following:
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Thursday, January 07, 2010
US Home Sales Plummet, Personal Bankruptcies Soar / Housing-Market / US Housing
Tom Eley writes: An important measure of future home sales fell far more sharply in November than economists had expected. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) index on pending home sales—contracts agreed upon but not finalized—dropped by 16 percent in November, more than three times what economists interviewed by the Dow Jones Newswires had anticipated.
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Thursday, January 07, 2010
Bernanke Says "Easy Money did not Cause the Housing Bubble" / Housing-Market / US Housing
In an effort to defend himself against his critics, Fed chairman Ben Bernanke spent over 2 hours at the Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association in Atlanta trying to prove that low interest rates were not the main cause of the housing bubble. Here's an excerpt from Bernanke's speech:
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Wednesday, January 06, 2010
UK Mortgage SVR Interest Rate Increases Gather Pace / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Since April 2009 the Bank of England has kept base rate on hold at 0.50%, but since that time eight mortgage providers have increased their standard variable rate (SVR).
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Wednesday, January 06, 2010
Why Adding Bureaucracy Won't Halt the Housing Market Blues / Housing-Market / US Housing
Martin Hutchinson writes: U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's latest thesis is that the home mortgage bubble had little to do with record low interest rates, and was actually much more a problem of regulation.
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Sunday, January 03, 2010
China Property Bubble May Lead to US Style Real Estate Crash / Housing-Market / China Economy
First, let me say that the term "bubble" could be the most overused term of 2009. We now are calling anything excessive a bubble; it's become stale. Of course some things are developing bubbles, but not every asset class as some would have you believe. Second, much of what I am reading about China today reminds me of the things I was reading in the US in 2005-2006. With the caveat that knowing what information to believe out of China, and how accurate it all is - is many times harder.
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Saturday, January 02, 2010
Telegraph Forecasts 10% Drop for UK House Prices 2010, Wrong Again? / Housing-Market / UK Housing
The Telegraph is forecasting or rather regurgitating Capital Economics House price forecast that prices could fall by 10% in 2010.
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Thursday, December 31, 2009
Is the U.S. Housing Market Recovery for Real? / Housing-Market / US Housing
Martin Hutchinson writes: Existing home sales surprised the markets by rising 7.4% to an annual rate of 6.54 million units in November, the highest since February 2007, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). That's only 10% below the all-time peak in 2005.
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Saturday, December 26, 2009
UK House Prices Continue 2010 Debt Fuelled Election Bounce / Housing-Market / UK Housing
This UK house price trend analysis represents the next in a series of analysis as part of my unfolding inflationary mega-trend scenario towards the formulation of 2010 forecasts for inflation, interest rates and economy. I aim to complete the whole scenario and implications of before the end of December which will be published as an ebook that I will make available for FREE. Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter to get the latest analysis in your email box and check my most recent analysis on the probable inflation mega-trend at http://www.walayatstreet.com
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Friday, December 18, 2009
What Motivates U.S. Home Owners in High Mortgage Negative Equity Properties to Stay Put? / Housing-Market / US Housing
The question of what motivates underwater homeowners to either stay put and continue to make their mortgage payments (if they can) or "walk away" from their home (and their financial obligations) has been receiving an increasing amount of attention in recent weeks.
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Wednesday, December 16, 2009
U.S. Housing Market Will Continue to Suffer in 2010 / Housing-Market / US Housing
Housing prices aren’t going anywhere. Not for a long, long time.
This is not information that I am excited to be admitting to, as I am a homeowner and am currently in the process of buying another. Unfortunately, I have had way too many cold buckets of reality dumped on me over the years to ignore such a simple truth.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2009
Buying a House – A Risky Proposition? / Housing-Market / US Housing
After renting four homes in the San Francisco Bay Area this decade, I bought a house last month. I had been a long-time advocate of renting rather than buying, so what drove me to buy a house now? Has the time come to buy a house as an inflation hedge? Buying a house should be a matter of risk, not price.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2009
U.S. Housing Underwater, Securitized, and Screwed by the "Pass the Trash" Strategy / Housing-Market / US Housing
Calculated Risk had an interesting post last Saturday about Refinancing with Negative Equity.
His post refers to an article written by David Streitfeld from the NY Times Interest Rates Are Low, but Banks Balk at Refinancing citing among other things the plights of Mark Belvedere who owes $235,000 on a condo that would sell for barely half that today, and Andrew Knapp who has tried twice to refinance and failed. From the Times...
Sunday, December 13, 2009
U.S. Housing Market, All Bubbles Pop, No Matter What Color They Are / Housing-Market / US Housing
I frequently agree with ideas expressed on New Geography but certainly not Ian Abley's article There is no "Free Market" Housing Solution
Read full article... Read full article...The common line used by advocates of housing affordability has been that the solution lies in “free markets”. Yet this "free market" solution does not address the fundamental problem which is really a political one.
Saturday, December 12, 2009
Dubai Debt Default, Jones La Salle and RICS Property Valuation Track Record / Housing-Market / Global Debt Crisis
According to the Bloomberg the collateral for the $3.5 billion bond issued by the developer Nakheel in Dubai that is widely thought to be about to default, was a lien on a piece of mainly reclaimed land called the “Waterfront” project.
The land had been valued by Jones Lang LaSalle (“strictly” in accordance with the procedures laid down in the “Red Book” issued by the British Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS)) at $4.2 billion.
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Thursday, December 10, 2009
U.S. Housing Market Equity Cushions and Impact of Negative Equity / Housing-Market / US Housing
A report last month indicating that almost 25 percent of all borrowers now owe more on their mortgage than their homes are worth punctuated one of the more dramatic turn of events in the ongoing credit crisis and housing bubble aftermath. Twenty five percent!
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Saturday, December 05, 2009
U.S. Housing Market Improves as Rents Finally Cover Mortgage Payments Again / Housing-Market / US Housing
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Nobody has noticed... but an incredible thing has happened: Rents are finally covering mortgage payments again in residential real estate.
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Saturday, December 05, 2009
U.S. Housing Market, Worst Behind Us Or Another Downleg? / Housing-Market / US Housing
This past spring and summer there was a surge in real estate activities. The consensus amongst the realtors and builders that I talk to are of the opinion that the worst is behind us. However, the charts say we are now seeing another housing slow down.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2009
Eight Ways to Profit as the U.S. Housing Market Recovery / Housing-Market / US Housing
Larry D. Spears writes: If you were interested in homes for anything other than personal shelter, November was a pretty discouraging month, with continuing gloom the most prominent feature of virtually every report issued on the housing sector.
Whether it was the disappointing quarterly earnings numbers for America’s top two home-improvement companies, the dismal listing of October housing starts and new building permits or the downbeat readings for the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Sentiment Index, you had to dig pretty deep to find any hint of a near-term rebound in the housing sector.
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