Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, August 14, 2009
U.S. Dollar Bull Market Trend Forecast 2009 Update / Currencies / US Dollar
This analysis seeks to update the existing U.S. dollar analysis of January 2009 by evaluating whether or not the U.S. Dollar bull market remains intact and to project a trend for the USD into year end. The sideways trend of the USD for the past 6 months in the wake of the "Quantitative Easing" headlines that has repeatedly brought the Dollar collapse proponents back out of hibernation on each down leg has shown little deviation from the road map of 20th Jan 09 as illustrated by the below original price chart.
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Thursday, August 13, 2009
U.S. Dollar Pressure (Countdown) Toward Breakdown / Currencies / US Dollar
The Paradigm Shift continues to displace the power centers and introduce new ones. Those bright souls who ignore the shift will be well prepared for systems that soon do not stand. The Americans are the last to know, oblivious to the global shift in progress. They continue to seek a return to normalcy, when old conditions are as gone as a baby’s innocence during teen years. The crux of the matter is that the United States is no longer in control of its fate. Meetings with creditor nation leaders result in new orders given, and new policy directives enacted.
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Thursday, August 13, 2009
Euro Dollar Short-term Widening Range / Currencies / Forex Trading
The pair is in a short term widening range, with bias currently to the upside. A push above 1.4250 would confirm, with a target of 1.4310. 1.4340 and 1.4380 are resistance levels beyond.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Euro Dollar Short-term Range Breakout / Currencies / Forex Trading
A rather tight range yesterday. A break above the 1.4190 indicates a short term break of the range and a target of 1.4220. The target beyond is 1.4320 if the pair continues to push higher.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
The U.S. Dollar Comes to the Rescue of Consumers / Currencies / US Dollar
The almighty dollar has come to the rescue and just in the nick of time, as our hero – the consumer – was nearly out of cash and unable to spend to keep the giant economy moving. So the government waved their magic wand and poof a few billion dollars were created and tossed to those wanting to be ecology minded, who then traded in their big ugly vehicle for a nice new, more efficient one. Voila, not only do we have economic growth, but too the specter of employment to create these cars and all the other items the consumer will want now that the can spend again.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
EUR/USD - Continued EUR Weakness? / Currencies / Forex Trading
The EUR lost more ground yesterday dropping below support at 1.4160. That level has now become upside resistance.
A drop below the recent swing lows just above 1.4100 indicates another swing lower and a target of 1.4040. Further support is at 1.4000.
A push above 1.4170 will try to test recent swing highs at 1.4220. Target beyond this on a further rise is 1.4320.
Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Back to the Future for the US Dollar, Addendum- The Japanese Yen / Currencies / US Dollar
This is an addendum to the recent BullBear Market Report:U.S. Dollar May Soon Confirm a Secular Bear Trap Trend Reversal
Yen Carry Trade
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Monday, August 10, 2009
U.S. Dollar Index the Key to Financial Market Dynamics / Currencies / US Dollar
Over the next couple of weeks, I will attempt to put together an asset class road map that should help navigate the weeks and months ahead. In a nutshell, I would have to state that I like commodities over long term Treasury yields and equities, and the key driver will be the falling US Dollar Index.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
EUR/ USD Set to Continue Fridays Fall / Currencies / Forex Trading
Charts are setting up for a continuation of Friday's fall. A drop below 1.4145 will confirm. First target is 1.4100 (also support). Further support is lower at 1.4180-1.4160, and a target beyond at 1.4000.
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Sunday, August 09, 2009
U.S. Dollar May Soon Confirm a Secular Bear Trap Trend Reversal / Currencies / US Dollar
In the last BBMR we focused on the US Dollar and concluded that a major break of very long term support was imminent and that a substantial devaluation of the greenback vis-à-vis its major currency pairs and commodities was likely. It’s always healthy to revisit one’s conclusions in light of developments in the market. Recent action has caused me to reevaluate and question the bearish view on the USD and commodities as well. I think that there is a valid bullish case to be made for the Dollar as well as a bearish case for gold, silver, oil and other commodities. I will explore these views in this report.
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Friday, August 07, 2009
US Dollar Index, Third and Final Bear Market Downleg? / Currencies / US Dollar
An earlier failed attempt to embark on a recovery phase, thwarted by a 23.6% resistance area, has seen the Dollar Index slipping lower. However, it could be that this is a final downleg…
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Friday, August 07, 2009
U.S. Dollar Crash in September/ October 2009 Rumours / Currencies / US Dollar
There have been disturbing stories/rumors going around that the USD is poised for a crash episode in the Fall. The stories are basically anecdotal. One suggests that US embassies have been told to gather a year’s local currency in their host country. That is one example.
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Thursday, August 06, 2009
U.S. Dollar Stage #1 Breakdown, Lost Control & Economic Mythology / Currencies / US Dollar
A great question to ask is: what was the first important chapter written in nonsensical Economic Mythology? It gave powerful intellectual protection and coverage by economists, and resulted in widespread acceptance. The answer is clearly the break in the Bretton Woods Accord, when in 1971 Nixon broke the gold standard and permitted the USDollar to float on a cloud of arrogance and on a wave of liquidity that is best described as debt mixed with counterfeit. Little known then, but better known now, is the role of the USMilitary in propping up the value and acceptance of the USDollar.
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Thursday, August 06, 2009
U.S. Dollar Crash Has Started as Pressure Mounts / Currencies / US Dollar
The US Dollar has shown further weakness during the last days. The support at about 78 in the US Dollar index has been breached to the downside. Technically, this means that the downside target of about 67 has been activated, and that downside momentum should be building up during the next days.
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Thursday, August 06, 2009
Currency Range Trading Continues / Currencies / Forex Trading
EUR/USD
The pair continues to range after strong moves a few days ago.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2009
Fall Of U.S. Dollar And Recovery Of U.S. Economy / Currencies / Economic Recovery
On August 4, 2009 Rectangular pattern breakout happened in the EUR vs. USD at 1.43 levels and this is the critical breakout for US dollar which will lead to long term depreciation against Euro. Last week US GDP was published, the data shows that the GDP contracted by 1% for Q2 2009; indicating the recession is over and Q3 will be stabilization coupled with marginal recovery of US economy.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2009
The Decline of the US Dollar in the Forex Markets / Currencies / Forex Trading
It has been a negative period for the US dollar in the Forex Markets. When we are trend following we really do not look at the fundamental back drop ,but it seems evident. Look at it this way… with all the debt taken on and more spending by Govt, it doesn’t make sense? If we personally ran our households this way, we would not be living in our households.
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Monday, August 03, 2009
US Dollar to Remain Dominant International Reserve Currency For Many Years / Currencies / US Dollar
Prof. Rodrigue Tremblay writes: "The empire of the dollar is crashing." Hugo Chavez, Venezuelan President
"The U.S. dollar is a worthless piece of paper." Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Iranian President
[The U.S. dollar is] "losing its status as the world currency." Xu Jian, vice director, People's Bank of China,
Monday, August 03, 2009
EUR/USD Signals Another Swing Higher / Currencies / Forex Trading
After testing the 1.4000 level the pair made a surge to test the highs of the former range at 1.4300. A break above 1.4320 signals another swing higher. Initial resistance is at 1.4340 with targets beyond of 1.4400, 1.4450 and ultimately 1.4600 (not necessarily today).
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Sunday, August 02, 2009
EUR/USD Short Term Top- Selling Opportunity at Market Open? / Currencies / Forex Trading
EUR/USD could retrace to 1.4190 based on the following factors:
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