Analysis Topic: Market Oracle Newsletter
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, February 26, 2009
Financial Markets Analysis: Stocks Bear Market and Government Intervention / News_Letter / Stocks Bear Market
By: NewsLetter
February 15th , 2009 Issue #12 Vol. 3The weeks stock market trend was in one word WEAK, the preceding weeks strong close FAILED to have any follow through, the stock market FAILED to break above 8,400 let alone make it to resistance at 8,600, stocks turned lower to target the lower end of the trading range of between 8,400 and 7,800, including a BEARISH break below support, which triggered the Plunge Protection Team (PPT) into action to support the stock market and bring the selling to a halt, for the time being at least.
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Thursday, February 26, 2009
Economic Deflation Special: 10 Things You Should or Should Not Do / News_Letter / Deflation
By: NewsLetter
February 10th , 2009 Issue #10 Vol. 3Whilst today's headlines have been grabbed by Barack Obama's U.S. Economic Stimulus package of $800 billion, which is part of a global collective total of approximate $2 trillion of stimulus spending that has been committed for during the next 1 to 2 years. However the fact of the matter is that this does not even come close to countering the REAL Deflationary impact of the $30 trillion across the board loss of value of assets from real estate, to stocks to commodities.
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Thursday, February 26, 2009
Financial Markets Analysis: Stocks Bounce, Where Next? / News_Letter / Stocks Bear Market
By: NewsLetter
February 8th , 2009 Issue #9 Vol. 3Stock Markets continued their strong rally on Friday from early week lows that had threatened to break below the recent tight trading range and target fresh bear market lows.
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Saturday, February 07, 2009
Panic UK Interest Rate Cuts: Inflation to Follow Deflation? / News_Letter / UK Interest Rates
By: NewsLetter
February 5th , 2009 Issue #8 Vol. 3The Bank of England fired the fifth shot in its series of panic interest rate cuts that have taken the base interest down from 5% in October 2008 to 1% today. This follows the crash in UK GDP for the fourth quarter of 2008 which contracted by -1.5% and is inline with earlier analysis that projects towards an additional 3% GDP contraction for 2009.
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Saturday, February 07, 2009
The Deflation Survival Guide / News_Letter / Deflation
By: NewsLetter
February 3rd , 2009 Issue #7 Vol. 3Our friends at Elliott Wave International have just put together an expansive NEW Deflation Survival Guide . The free 60-page eBook is packed with Robert Prechter's most important teachings and warnings about deflation. This is one of the most valuable resources EWI has ever offered at no cost. Learn more below or download it now – for free .
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Saturday, February 07, 2009
Financial Markets Analysis: Surviving Deflation / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2009
By: NewsLetter
February 2nd , 2009 Issue #6 Vol. 3The stocks bear market reasserted itself by the end of last week in response to across the board bad earnings reports and economic data accompanied by revised IMF forecasts of marked slow down in global economic growth. The stock market trends are in line with the forecast for 2009 that targets new stocks bear market lows for the Dow of 6,600 and FTSE 3,400 as per my earlier newsletter and associated syndicated article of 22nd January.
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Sunday, February 01, 2009
How to Trade Stock Indices and Commodities Using ETF's / News_Letter / Exchange Traded Funds
By: NewsLetter
January 26th , 2009 Issue #5 Vol. 3This weeks special newsletter has been written by Chris Vermeulen of TheGoldAndOilGuy, a site which is geared towards trading gold, silver and crude oil Exchange Traded Funds (ETF's). Chris's service is designed for long term investors and active traders who insist on a conservative approach to investing. Utilising several ETF's such as GLD, GDX, SLV, USO, DIG, DUG and many more which allows for accurate signals when used along with an unbiased technical trading approach. Over the years Chris has found that his strategy delivers extremely impressive yields.
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Monday, January 26, 2009
Financial Markets Forecasts 2009 Special / News_Letter / Investing 2009
By: NewsLetter
January 23rd , 2009 Issue #4 Vol. 32008 was the year that collatorised debt obligations wiped out the capital bases of the west's biggest banks, which played itself out during September 2008 following the china syndrome chain reaction that followed the Lehman's bust that led to the unprecedented actions of capital injections and nationalisation of too big to fail banks that looks set to continue for the whole of 2009 and beyond. The crisis had been festering and growing since the August 2007 interbank market freeze due to flawed and some could say fraudulent mark to market valuation of worthless over leveraged mortgage backed CDO's.
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Friday, January 23, 2009
US Dollar Bull Market 2009 Update - 4 / News_Letter / US Dollar
By: NewsLetter
January 21st , 2009 Issue #3 Vol. 3Prevailing bearishness continues against the U.S. Dollar amidst a near infinite reasons of why the Dollar is doomed. But as an active experienced trader, one thing you soon painfully learn is that the fundamentals don't count when it comes trend reversals, as by the time the reasons have become apparent the market has already moved by as much as 50% and even then there exists the continuing dilemma of the trend versus the fundamental views based on hard data. However as I have discussed several times with would be traders in that your trading the price not the indicator or data. The bottom line is that what the price says is that which only 'should' count.
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Friday, January 23, 2009
Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of the Week / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2009
By: NewsLetter
The Market Oracle Newsletter January 10th , 2009 Issue #2 Vol. 3 Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 08, 2009
UK Housing Market Forecast to 2012 / News_Letter / UK Housing
By: NewsLetter
January 5th , 2009 Issue #1 Vol. 3Recent house price data as released by the Halifax showed that UK house prices have plunged by more than 20% from the peak of August 2007, which has fulfilled much of the original forecast made in August 2007 for a minimum fall of 15% for the UK housing market and 25% for London, therefore this analysis seeks to project the forecast trend for UK house prices for the next 3 years into 2012.
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Thursday, January 08, 2009
UK Inflation Forecast 2009 / News_Letter / Inflation
By: NewsLetter
December 30th , 2008 Issue #43 Vol. 2UK inflation for November as measured by the CPI continued its sharp decline, falling by 0.4% to 4.1% from the peak of 5.2% for Septembers data. The Bank of England would have been aware of the sharp fall in Octobers inflation at the earlier November MPC meeting that saw an near unprecedented panic interest rate cut of 1.5%, followed by a further 1% cut in December that has taken UK interest rates sharply lower from a peak of 5% in early October to stand at just 2% today. The interest rate cuts have been accompanied by BOE statements that UK economy is expected to contract by 2% GDP during 2009, that puts the UK on target to experience a worse recession than that of the early 1990's. However as my earlier analysis suggested that the UK could experience a decline of as much as 3% for 2009 which would make this recession just as bad if not worse than that of the early 1980's which wiped out much of Britain's manufacturing base.
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Thursday, December 11, 2008
Crude Oil Forecast 2009- Time to Buy? / News_Letter / Crude Oil
By: NewsLetter
December 8th , 2008 Issue #42 Vol. 2No one could have imagined a little over 4 months ago with crude oil trading at $147, that crude oil would have crashed by 70% and be threatening to break below $40 so soon. Therefore this analysis seeks to to evaluate the prospects for crude oils future trend over the next 12months in determining whether crude oil today is a good buy or not.
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Thursday, December 11, 2008
UK Interest Rate Forecast 2009 / News_Letter / UK Interest Rates
By: NewsLetter
December 4th , 2008 Issue #41 Vol. 2Gordon Browns government having abandoned all of the fiscal rules that it once prided itself on religiously following, is now hell bent on kick starting the UK economy in advance of the looming May 2010 general election deadline. The steady as she goes economic policy has been replaced by the panicking 'unprecedented action's' economic policy and in that having rested away control of UK interest setting from the Bank of England in all but name, UK interest rates are now set to be the latest to take a crash course towards an unprecedented level of just 1%.
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Thursday, December 11, 2008
Britain Trending Towards Bankruptcy and Hyper-inflation? / News_Letter / UK Economy
By: NewsLetter
November 28th , 2008 Issue #40 Vol. 2The mainstream media is increasingly full of stories of either Britain going bankrupt or the coming deflation associated with the recession. Whilst both are now obvious given the economic data and government actions however what is missing from the headlines is that under the weight of the exploding public sector debt mountain, deflation will fast turn towards hyper-inflation as the government literally prints money in ever more panic measures aimed at turning the economy around. Many of the readers of my articles over the last year at Market Oracle will have seen this trend unfold as sustainable amounts of borrowing exploded into unsustainable liabilities due to the collapse of the bankrupt banks. Therefore this article seeks to analyse how Britain has come to towards an increased risk of bankruptcy and what action can be taken to avoid a currency collapse that is the consequences of state bankruptcy.
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Thursday, December 11, 2008
Bankrupting Britain to Win the Next Election? / News_Letter / UK Economy
By: NewsLetter
November 24th , 2008 Issue #39 Vol. 2Alistair Darling's emergency tax cutting budget revealed the true extent of anticipated government borrowing that looks set to take official public sector next debt smashing through £1 trillion, this despite the fact that the official data ignores the £500 billion bailout of the banks. The government also announced fantasy growth forecasts that stated that UK GDP growth would return to trend growth of 2.5% per annum by 2011, this leaves more probable forecast growth rates of 0.6% for 2010 far behind and opens up a potential black hole in Britain's finances that implies that actual official government borrowing will be some 50% higher than today's electioneering budget's forecasts. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 22, 2008
British Pound Crashes to New Lows as Economy Heads for Deep Recession / News_Letter / UK Economy
By: NewsLetter
November 13th , 2008 Issue #37 Vol. 2The foreign exchange markets are witnessing heavy and sustained selling of sterling which continues following the Bank of England's inflation report and statement on the economy. The British Pound has fallen below £/$1.50 to currently stand at 149.12, and to a new low against the Euro of 119. The fast developing sterling crisis illustrates the systemic failure of the Bank of England and Labour Government to manage both the economy and the credit crisis and marks another marker following last weeks panic interest rate cut of 1.5%, as the government took control of monetary policy back from the Bank of England and effectively ordered the Bank to cut interest rates by 1.5% despite inflation hitting 5.2%.
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Monday, November 03, 2008
Financial Markets Analysis and Forecasts / News_Letter / UK Stock Market
By: NewsLetter
November 2nd , 2008 Issue #36 Vol. 2As per several requests for a stock market analysis update, here is my current summary outlook for the FTSE 100 Stock Market Index. The FTSE 100 index has continued to build a base following the Great Crash of 2008 that took the index to a low of 3665, having since recovered to 4383, up 718 points / 19.5% in just 5 days. Whilst the day to day volatility has presented short-term traders with great opportunities however it has left long-term investors shell shocked.
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Monday, October 27, 2008
U.S. Dollar Bull Market Update / News_Letter / US Dollar
By: NewsLetter
October 26th , 2008 Issue #35 Vol. 2The role of the U.S. Dollar as the worlds reserve currency kicked into gear this past week which accelerated the up trend of the US Dollar towards its initial forecast target of USD 90 as per the analysis of mid August 08 which was made against the overwhelming consensuses at the time that basically viewed an imminent collapse of n the US Dollar. Which despite the exceptionally strong rally to date that consensus more or less remains in tact today, where still the vast majority of views remain that the Dollar's rally as temporary in advance of a much greater and near imminent collapse.
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Thursday, October 23, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Long-term Investing Strategy / News_Letter / Stocks Bear Market
By: NewsLetter
October 20th , 2008 Issue #34 Vol. 2Financial crashes and panics tend to breed great investment opportunities!
This article seeks to formulate a bear market accumulation investment strategy following the recent stock market falls that have taken stock prices down far beyond 30% off of their highs set a year ago, even the ongoing bounce still leaves the major western stock indices more than 30% off their highs.
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