Category: China Economy
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, July 15, 2009
China Ignites Huge Credit Boom, Will it End in Tears? / Economics / China Economy
Claus Vogt writes: China’s economic successes during the past ten years have been very impressive.
It has remodeled its economy along the guidelines of free market principles.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 02, 2009
Will China Lead the World Out of Recession? / Economics / China Economy
Claus Vogt writes: The Baltic Dry Index, which measures the freight rates for dry cargo traveling by ship, hit an all time high of 11,793 on May 5, 2008. Then it plunged to 663 on December 5, a decline of 94.4 percent. It was as if trade was coming to a standstill. However, freight rates soon started to recover …
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 12, 2009
China's New Commodity Hoard / Commodities / China Economy
In April, China announced that it purchased 454 metric tons of gold over the past six years. However, gold isn’t the only metal the Chinese have been buying. According to Michael Gaylard of Freight Investor Services, “They are building up some stockpiles right across the commodity spectrum, from base metals to coal.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 11, 2009
Goldman Forecasts China Economy in the Ascendency / Economics / China Economy
Goldman Sachs now forecasts that the China economy will overtake the US as the world’s largest economy by 2027. Several emerging market countries are predicted by Goldman to overtake key developed market countries in the not too distant future.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 04, 2009
China Moves a Step Closer to Economic Superpower Status / Economics / China Economy
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: When a Beijing court recently ordered three China automakers to pay more than $3 million in aggregate damages for allegedly selling a knockoff of an upscale German tour bus, it underscored that China is getting serious about intellectual property theft - one of the next major steps the Red Dragon needs to make as it evolves into a true global economic superpower.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 15, 2009
How the New China ‘Yuan Carry Trade’ Could Accelerate the U.S. Recovery / Economics / China Economy
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: [Editor's Note: Money Morning Investment Director Keith Fitz-Gerald is the editor of the new Geiger Index trading service. As the whipsaw trading patterns investors have endured this year have shown, the ongoing global financial crisis has changed the investment game forever.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 07, 2009
China Succeeds in Fighitng Recession, Driving Gold, Stock and Commodities Higher / Economics / China Economy
This week, based on indicators of improving Chinese manufacturing activity, commodity and stock markets surged in the Pacific Rim. It appears that China's recession-fighting policies are being judged successful. The 41 percent rally in Chinese stocks in 2009 from the 2008 lows dwarfs the single digit rallies in the U.S. and Europe. With Western economies still sluggish, eyes are turning eastward for solutions to the global economic riddle. As such, recent hints at the direction of Chinese monetary policy should be closely regarded.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Credit Crisis Investment Risks in China Outweighed by Growth Prospects / Stock-Markets / China Economy
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: MAOPING, People’s Republic of China - I’m often asked if there are investment risks in China.
My answer: Absolutely… there are investment risks everywhere.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 01, 2009
China Profits From the Global Financial Crisis / Economics / China Economy
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: BEIJING, The People’s Republic of China – For the debt-ridden West, the global financial crisis has been an unmitigated disaster, forcing the so-called developed economies to take on financial commitments that will serve as burdens for years, if not for generations.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 28, 2009
China and Russia Sign Oil Deal as America Watches From the Sidelines / Politics / China Economy
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: BEIJING, The People's Republic of China - It's Day Two of my three-week trip here, and already I feel myself getting quickly reacquainted with this capital city. If you've never been here, it's hard to do this city justice with simple prose - and without sounding a bit cliché. Beijing - like much of emerging China - is special. And it deserves to be seen that way.
Tuesday, April 21, 2009
Positve Signs for China Stock Market Investors, FXI / Economics / China Economy
Tony Sagami writes: Have you become more optimistic about the stock market? If you listen to the experts on CNBC, you might think that a great bull market is right around the corner.
The most commonly cited reason to be optimistic: Some variation of “business isn’t sucking as bad as it used to.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
World Bank Calls China an Economic Bright Spot / Economics / China Economy
The Dow has been on a mini-roll. Therefore, most investors are thrilled to see battered stock portfolios recover even a smidgen of their massive losses. The problem is that these investors aren’t paying attention to what’s happening elsewhere around the globe. And they may be missing out on the opportunity of the decade!Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 05, 2009
China's Economy Recovers as Stock Markets Turn Bullish / Economics / China Economy
China's manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) strengthened for a third consecutive month in February, climbing to 49.0% from 45.3% the previous month. Li & Fung Research Centre reports that there were some encouraging signs: all sub-indices were higher than their respective levels in the previous month though many were still lower than the critical level of 50% (i.e. still contracting).Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 27, 2009
Old fashioned Leverage as China takes out its Wallet / Economics / China Economy
One of our earliest editorials (in what was then a monthly only publication) was entitled “ China Beckons”. This was after David's first trip to China in 1995, at which time the stirrings of the country's boom economy was evident in major city core areas, but highway travel still often involved a slow progression around ox-cart and foot traffic. During that trip the central government's mining ministries made it plain they were expected to make their own way while government funds were directed elsewhere. A more appropriate title these days would be “China Buys”.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
China's Commercial Property Market Crash / Housing-Market / China Economy
Inquiring minds are reading Beijing's Olympic building boom becomes a bust.
Reporting from Beijing -- "Empty," says Jack Rodman, an expert in distressed real estate, as he points from the window of his 40th-floor office toward a silver-skinned prism rising out of the Beijing skyline.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
China's Internal Divisions, Economic Crisis and the Stimulus Plan / Economics / China Economy
Due in large part to fears of dire consequences if nothing were done to tackle the economic crisis, China rushed through a 4 trillion yuan (US$586 billion) economic stimulus package in November 2008. The plan cobbled together existing and new initiatives focused on massive infrastructure development projects (designed, among other things, to soak up surplus steel, cement and labor capacity), tax cuts, green energy programs, and rural development.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 16, 2009
Meat, Milk and Motors: The New China Syndrome / Economics / China Economy
August 21, theatres around the nation screened the documentary I.O.U.S.A. and a live discussion with America's most notable financial leaders and policy experts, including Warren Buffett; William Niskanen, chairman of the Cato Institute; Pete Peterson, senior chairman of The Blackstone Group and former U.S. Comptroller General, Dave Walker.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 23, 2009
The Great Fall of China / Economics / China Economy
Earlier today, China announced its economy grew at a 6.8% in Q4. This is not very good news at all. China's GDP growth is inching perilously close to 6% economic growth. Which is viewed as the minimum to keep the lights on. It's a critical level the world is watching closely.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 30, 2008
China Imports Crash by 17.9% in November / Economics / China Economy
I realized today that if demand for goods from developed nations like US is truly falling faster than demand for goods from emerging markets, then the best place to verify this trend would be to look at what's happening with China's imports. With this in mind, I looked up this Herald Tribune report about an unexpected drop in China's imports and exports .Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 14, 2008
China to Print Money, Devalue Currency to Combat Deep Slowdown / Economics / China Economy
Deflation talk is surfacing in China as Chairman Liu Mingkang says China December Producer Price Index to Drop .
China's producer price index is expected to drop "sharply" in December, China Banking Regulatory Commission Chairman Liu Mingkang said. The world's fourth-biggest economy is shifting toward deflation, Liu told a financial forum in Beijing today. Capital inflows may shift to outflows, with gross domestic product projected around 8 percent next year, he said.
Read full article... Read full article...