Category: Gold & Silver 2020
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, February 07, 2020
The Case for Buying Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable speaks with Andy Schectman, president of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments, about the rationale for buying precious metals and the best values at this time.
Maurice Jackson: Joining us for a conversation is Andy Schectman, the president of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments. Recently we discussed the prudence of implementing ratios as an effective strategy for readers in identifying buy and sale signals for their precious metals portfolio. Today we're going to expand the narrative further on buy signals and discuss the best values right now, what to buy should we experience a broken-down system, and a very important topic protecting your financial legacy. Before we begin, Mr. Schectman, for first time readers, who is Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments?
Andy Schectman: This month Miles Franklin is celebrating our 30th year in business in Minneapolis. We're a family owned company. We have eclipsed $6 billion in transactions without ever having a customer complaint, ever. We maintain an A+ rating with the Better Business Bureau. We're one of fewer than 25 companies ever approved by the United States Mint as an authorized reseller of their product and in a federally non-regulated industry and we're very proud of that reputation. We really are an association with people like yourself and Rick Rule and other icons in the industry. We're very proud of all of our accolades and of our reputation, but the state of Minnesota where we're located could care less about our reputation.
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Thursday, February 06, 2020
Gold Resists Soaring USD – The Show’s Not Over Yet / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The precious metals market didn’t do much yesterday, but – what may seem surprising - that’s quite bullish. It’s bullish, because the USD Index rallied to new yearly highs and this “should have” caused the PMs and miners to decline. It didn’t, which suggests that the decline is not yet ripe for continuation.
In this case, the most likely scenario is that we’ll see another rebound in gold, silver, and mining stocks as soon as the USD Index corrects. Then, PMs could form their final top, and the big decline could begin.
Alternatively, this cycle of back and forth movement could continue a bit longer. Gold could spike, but only if the coronavirus scare gets much worse, as we outlined yesterday. If that happens, silver and miners are not likely to be affected to the same extent as gold – just like what happened in 2014 during the ebola scare.
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Thursday, February 06, 2020
Downside Risk in Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Last week we noted that the risks in precious metals were primarily technical.
Sentiment and technicals urge caution over the short-term.
The net speculative position in Gold has remained high for months while the 21-day daily sentiment index (DSI) hit 81%. Since the sector peak five months ago, Silver and the gold stocks have corrected in price while Gold has made a new high.
That non-confirmation has persisted and even recently as odds for rate cuts have increased. Last Friday, the market was showing an 89% chance of at least one cut and 61% chance of at least two cuts.
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Sunday, February 02, 2020
Gold Stocks HUI Daily, Weekly & Monthly Charts - A “Translation Service” / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Gary_Tanashian
The following is a TA post. It tries not to focus on fundamentals or the negative potential sentiment setup that could develop when Coronavirus relief finally spreads across the land. It’s the short and long-term TA of it, as it stands now.
I found this comment response to the Goldseek version of my article on the long-term gold Commitments of Traders situation to be amusing and also on point, since I know a lot of what I write can be confusing to the untrained eye amid a sea of readily digestible analysis out there. Good one, sir…
Read full article... Read full article...“Do you think if I pay an extra $15 a month to the $35 subscription fee you can provide a translation service in [English] to what you’re trying to talk about ?”
Saturday, February 01, 2020
The Coronavirus Doesn’t Matter Either… We Have the Federal Reserve! / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: MoneyMetals
As the coronavirus continues to spread, global financial markets are showing the symptoms of investor unease.
Chinese and emerging markets stocks have taken a big hit over the past several days, as have commodities. Crude oil prices have dropped 13% over the past two weeks while copper has seen a 12% drop on concerns about the impact of the China virus on global demand.
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Saturday, February 01, 2020
Gold Bulls Are Impatient: Will They See a Recession in 2020? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Recession, recession - will we see one in 2020? And will it bring about a rally in gold then?. True or false? In today’s article, we’ll test the ‘recession in 2020’ narrative and we’ll then show you what it all means for the gold market.
One year ago, we wrote that “we do not expect recession next year or even in 2020”. We were right: the U.S. economy did not slide into a recession in 2019. But will it happen this year? After all, the current economic expansion lasts 127 months. We know that expansions do not die of old age, but we also know that the next economic crisis will one day arrive, sooner or later. Twelve months ago, we were skeptical about a downturn in 2020, as “the lack of clear typical warning signs that preceded the past recessions put the ‘recession in 2020’ narrative into question”.
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Saturday, February 01, 2020
Gold Miners Message for the Precious Metals Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The Fed kept rates unchanged and while it was not immediately preceded by major price moves in the PMs, the no-change decision was followed by bullish price action in the following hours. This action extends into today’s pre-market trading.
Most interestingly, however, the USD Index repeated its daily reversal confirming that lower values are to be expected. This confirms our yesterday’s analysis.
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Saturday, February 01, 2020
The Dow Points To Higher Silver Prices For Years To Come / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Hubert_Moolman
The Dow is at, or very close to a 90-year resistance line:
Could a top be in, or is it extremely close? What I do know, from my own research, is that major Dow peaks are extremely important when it comes to Silver rallies.
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Friday, January 31, 2020
Silver Prepares For Next Leg Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Following up on some of our recent metals research, we wanted to alert our friends and followers to the incredible opportunity that still exists in Silver. We’ve highlighted two of our more recent articles for reference and review, below. Silver continues to be one of the most incredible opportunities for 2020 and Silver Miners (SIL) could explode to the upside as the price of Silver rallies to close the gap between the Gold to Silver ratio.
Our researchers believe Silver is currently undervalued, compared to Gold, by at least 240%. Historically, the Gold to Silver ratio averages a 10+ year rotational range of between 63 to 67. This means that through both peaks and troughs, ranging from the high 80s to mid-90s to the low 30s to mid-40s, on average the middle price range level for this ratio is near 65. Currently, this Gold to Silver ratio is 88.4.
Gold is currently trading at $1590 – just below the recent peak near $1613. We believe that Gold will continue to rally higher, breaking the $1613 level, and continue higher targeting the $1750 level over the next few months. Eventually, within 2020, we believe Gold will continue to rally higher breaking the $2100 price level.
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Thursday, January 30, 2020
Gold Price Seasonal Trend Analysis 2020 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The gold bull market ended 2019 with a strong gain of 19%. The first half the year was marked with uncertainty as the price after an early year surge to $1350 gave up all of it's gains to drift lower to trade down on the year by early May. However, this was the calm before the bull market storm and that set the stage for a powerful bull run starting early June that saw the Gold price rocket higher to a early September peak of $1566, up over 25% on the year! Igniting Gold bug fever and encouraging prominent gold bugs to get carried away with headlines of Gold heading for $5000 and beyond.
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Thursday, January 30, 2020
Gold Long-Term CoT Perspective / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Gary_Tanashian
Because it’s so important to see this correctly and not pretend we (well, I) know more than we (I) actually do I find it important to look at pictorial representations of history and think about them when I get some quiet time (ha ha ha, like not on Twitter, not reading financial/gold websites and most certainly not watching TeeVee finance and news).
So I am thinking about the Commitments of Traders alignment with respect to the gold price once again. That would be the same CoT that has doggedly hung a poor risk vs. reward sign out over the sector from a sentiment standpoint since the summer.
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Thursday, January 30, 2020
There’s No Fever Like Gold Fever… / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: MoneyMetals
In late December 2019, a bill from the German finance ministry – which had passed the lower legislative house – proposed lowering the "anonymous purchase limit" for precious metals from €10,000 to €2,000 (about $2,200), a reduction of 80%.
At the current price, one could buy less than one and one-half troy ounces of gold without activating customer ID paperwork, and for businesses – a criminal background check!
This is an additional decline from the €15,000 mandated just two years ago. Set to become law in early 2020, the effect was immediate, as long lines outside a coin shop in Cologne show.
Some of the world's largest banks – including several in Germany – have long made a habit of laundering literally billions of dollars, euros, and assorted financial instruments from questionable customers.
Wednesday, January 29, 2020
Silver Price Trend Forecast / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
We can all dream about Silver outpacing Gold. However the truth about Silver is that it tends to under perform during precious metals bull markets, and only really coming alive in the bull markets final stages when it tends to spike. So Silver for 2019 did what Silver tends to do which is to under perform against Gold. Though in reality maybe investors tend to set their hopes too high, as a gain of 15% for the year is still pretty good going against Gold up 19%.
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Saturday, January 25, 2020
Experts See Opportunity in Ratios of Gold to Silver and Platinum / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Andy Schectman of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments and Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable discuss investment strategies centered on precious metals ratios.
Maurice Jackson: Joining us for a conversation is Andy Schectman, the president of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments.
Always a pleasure to have you on the program to discuss the value proposition before us in precious metals. Today we will identify three exciting value propositions for your precious metals portfolio that are currently selling at a deep, deep discount.
Mr. Schectman, you have a proven pedigree of success in the precious metals space. I want to discuss a methodology that has made you and the clients of Miles Franklin very handsome returns over the years, and that is your use of ratios. Sir, please explain why it is paramount for precious metals investors to have a thorough understanding on precious metals ratios.
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Saturday, January 25, 2020
Gold/Silver Ratio, SPX, Yield Curve and a Story to Tell / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Gary_Tanashian
I most often use linear scale charts for stocks, markets and indicators for their more absolute views. But in the case below we conjure up a long-term log scale chart showing the Gold/Silver Ratio (GSR) and the S&P 500 (SPX), as it works better in providing a percentage-based relationship between an indicator of market liquidity and inflation when declining and lack of liquidity, deflation or… it has to be said, Goldilocks, when rising.
Now, when viewing the most recent Goldilocks phase, where SPX has gone in positive correlation with the GSR we will have to suspend disbelief that this is anything normal or natural. It was created by will of man as first the Bernanke Fed conjured a balls out inflation out of 2008’s deflationary destruction and then as a crowning achievement, concocted Operation Twist in order to manipulate the bond market into flashing this signal… ‘Nope, no inflation here!’
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Saturday, January 25, 2020
Three Upside and One Downside Risk for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Our base scenario for 2020 is that it might be a worse year for gold than 2019 was. However, there are three major upside (and one downside) risks for the gold market, which could materialize in 2020. Today’s article will introduce you to these potential catalysts that could send gold prices higher (or significantly lower) in 2020.
We stated earlier that unless something bad happens, 2020 may be worse for the yellow metal than 2019, as gold fundamentals seem to have deteriorated since the last year. Of course, bad things are happening all the time, but do not result in any possible negative developments. Rather, we have in mind three downside risks to our macroeconomic outlook, or three upside risks for gold. What are they?
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Friday, January 24, 2020
A Lesson About Gold – How Bullish Can It Be? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Kelsey_Williams
Apparently, there is no limit. This seems especially true right now with all of the “obvious” signs and indicators staring you in the face. It is almost blasphemous to speak cautiously. Better to let your imagination run wild and join in the revelry.
I can’t do that. I don’t choose to be dumped into the same cauldron of boiling fantasy with other analysts and advisors, who tout and promote based on the latest headlines. There has to be more to it. I think there is.
Some of this has to do with marketing. “Let’s make hay while the sun shines!” I get that. But I don’t like being in a large crowd when emotions grow unchecked and fundamentals are ignored.
If you are interested in attending a pep rally for much higher gold prices, move on. You won’t find it here.
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Friday, January 24, 2020
Gold Report from the Two Besieged Cities / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Two cities are besieged. One by officials, activists and business leaders, while the second by bloodthirsty politicians. Will anyone escape? No one knows, but the gold coin has always helped bribe the guards to look the other way…
Just take a look at how it held value recently:
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Thursday, January 23, 2020
The Next Catalyst for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The precious metals sector remains in a correction, and as long as the 200-day moving averages hold, a bullish consolidation that began last September.
Sure, Gold made a new high and is still holding around the previous high, but the rest of the sector has not confirmed that strength. When Gold is outperforming Silver and the gold stocks, it is not a bullish signal for the short-term.
With that in mind, we can look ahead to anticipate potential catalysts that could push the sector into breakout mode and to new highs.
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Thursday, January 23, 2020
Silver Could Be Close To An Important Resolution / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Hubert_Moolman
Silver is still in consolidation mode since early September, but could be close to a resolution.
Below, is chart of silver:
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