Category: Stock Markets 2016
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, August 10, 2016
Stock Market Retrograde Uranus / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The chart below shows an alternative wave count to the one I proposed earlier this week. At this juncture (8/9/16), we have made a new high at 2187. The daily Stochastics is not confirming this new high, and the top looks irregular along with a tight Bollinger Band. In the past, the market may have pulled back nearly 10% from one of these tops and taken several weeks to do so. But, we have Uranus Retrograde and we may expect the unexpected, especially since the moon conjuncts Saturn and Mars over the next few days in the exaggerated sign of Sagittarius as we get closer to Saturn "Stationary Direct" (lows are often made while the moon is in Sagittarius).
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Wednesday, August 10, 2016
Wake Up and Smell the Stocks Bull Trap! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We are currently experiencing a “Kondratiev Winter” stage in this stock market which is at its’ “tipping” point. This is where nominal to incremental highs on the SPX can be exceeded by 2%, but, by no more than 4%. I am observing a “MARKET FAILURE” right here and now. This is a BULL TRAP!
Last Fridays’, August 5th, 2016 rally in the SPX big price move, on low volume, resulted in no trend change to the larger BEARISH patterns. It does not change the Bearish pattern, but it probably does mean that the current rally will last for at least a few more days. There are multiple times in which rallies are reversed during the early part of the following week after a strong jobs report.
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Wednesday, August 10, 2016
Stock Market August 5-8 High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
The July 25 Market Update shared an interesting 60-day cycle which was due on July 22. That cycle scored a direct hit even if the pullback was not as dramatic as in past episodes. On Monday, another, shorter cycle was due. It has averaged about 42 days but has stretched to as long as 47. Either way, this cycle points to a high this week matching our Hybrid Lindsay forecast. The Hybrid forecast is detailed below.
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Tuesday, August 09, 2016
Why Won’t this Damn Stocks Bull Market Crash & Burn? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
A man makes inferiors his superiors by heat; self-control is the rule. - Ralph Waldo Emerson
Central bankers are declaring war on cash for one reason only; they want to punish savers and reward speculators and in the process destroy the middle class. The only way to maintain the illusion that all is well is to get the average Joe to embrace this illusory economic recovery and what better way to achieve this then by forcing them to speculate in the markets. The best way to force savers to speculate is to punish them for saving, and that is exactly what central bankers have been doing, and the outlook will only worsen as central banks worldwide embrace negative rates. Those calling for higher interest rates or hoping for them are living on another planet; higher rates are history. The new trend is negative rates and investors need to adapt or die; there is no middle ground here.
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Tuesday, August 09, 2016
SPX at the Edge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is only a point higher after a failed ramp attempt. A decline beneath yesterday’s low at 2177.85 breaks the first support line. The second is also at Short-term support at 2168.39. Both VIX and the Hi-Lo are far enough away from their triggers that it is likely that the second break may also correspond with their trigger levels.
Yesterday’s trading had the lowest volume of the year.
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Tuesday, August 09, 2016
Stock Market Low VIX...Low Volume....Disconnect Widens...Negative Divergences On Daily Charts... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market is getting more and more boring as volatility gets lower and lower. This is due to complacency setting, which is causing the VIX to drop while volatility falls off the earth. This can play on the emotions of traders as things barely move, and they get bored, which causes over playing and more poor choices for their trading portfolio. The market grinds higher as a bull market gets more mature due to the bears leaving the game for the most part. All that is left are the bulls. But let's face it, most are in the game. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise. With the bulls in and the bears gone, there's not much to move the averages one way or the other, so the market trades in very thin ranges for most of the day and most of the time as well.
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Tuesday, August 09, 2016
Stock Market Narrowly Mixed Consolidation Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a down day today, but they did come back in the last half hour. The day started out down, they went down sharply, then bounced off support, retested in the afternoon, held, and then came on strong, but did not manage to get back in the plus column.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 14.24 at 18,529.29, 27 points off the low. The S&P 500 was down 1.98 at 2180.89, 3 points off its low. The Nasdaq 100 was down 6.47 at 4784.74, 14 points off its low.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Today is a Stock Market Pi Date / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is marginally higher, along with the global equities markets.
ZeroHedge reports, “The meltup continues with the S&P500 set to open at new all time highs as futures rise 0.2% overnight, with European, Asian stocks higher, as job data pushed MSCI Asia Pacific Index towards highest close since Aug. 2015. Germany, U.K. economic data seen positive, with dollar, oil rising, and gold declining.”
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Beware the False Stock Market Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
Beware of a false breakout early week. This is how big money gets out of a position. They create a breakout and then sell to the clueless retail traders that buy the breakout. Buying breakouts rarely works in modern markets.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
Stock Market Headed for 10% Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
All the cycles that I follow are topping for the stock market. In fact, ideally, the SPX should top on Monday 8/8 near 2189. I believe we see 1972 by September 1.
The week ahead should see weakness after initial strength. A rally on Thursday should be the “b” wave of an a-b-c type drop into Friday. The expected large drop on Friday could be a monetary issue as Venus squares Saturn on the 13th as Saturn turns stationary/direct. Venus rules money. Saturn also conjuncts the moon Friday (the moon in Sagittarius is often times the low of the cycle); is also an 8 TD low from the 5 week low last week on August 2.
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Monday, August 08, 2016
New Stock Market Top Forming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, August 07, 2016
Stocks will have a Waterfall Decline and Silver Price will Skyrocket in August! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
In their latest announcement, the FED attempted to prop up the stock market. They attempted to sound hawkish, however, the market paid not any heed to it. The FED annulment was reflected in a manner that lead the way to the dollar tanking and precious metals rising. Silver has industrial uses as well as monetary ones, which will come to the forefront as the gold bull market progresses.
Sunday, August 07, 2016
SPX Interesting Stock Market Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started at SPX 2174. After making an all time high on Monday at SPX 2178 the market pulled back to 2148 on Tuesday. After that the market worked its way higher to make another new all time high on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.50%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.2%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, factory orders, consumer debt, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit rose. On the uptick: personal income/spending, PCE prices, the ADP, monthly Payrolls, and Q3 GDP estimates. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Retail sales, Business inventories and Export/Import prices. Best to your weekend and week!
Saturday, August 06, 2016
Donald Trump Warns of ‘Very Scary Scenarios’ for Stocks Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
I’m not sure Trump is aware of this Jubilee year, but he certainly understands that the stock market is at a highly dangerous level.
“Interest rates are artificially low,” Trump told Fox in an interview, HERE. “The only reason the stock market is where it is is because you get free money.”
That is absolutely true and unheard of to be acknowledged by a front-running Presidential candidate.
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Saturday, August 06, 2016
Jobs Report, Stock Market Impetus To The Breakout....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
In the very recent past we experienced a poor Durable Goods Report along with a poor ISM Manufacturing Report. This put a lot of doubt in today's Jobs Report and probably explains to some degree why the market was meandering the past few days. The meandering did some good in that it allowed the oscillators to unwind quite decently on the daily index charts.
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Friday, August 05, 2016
Why Most Unloved Stock Market Bull Will Continue to trend higher whether you like it or not / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
Do not anticipate trouble, or worry about what may never happen. Keep in the sunlight.- Benjamin FranklinThe masses do not believe this market can trend higher; sentiment is decidedly negative, and this has been confirmed time and time again. For months on end investors in the neutral or bearish camp have ranked higher than those in the bullish camp. What is surprising is that the higher this market trends, the more anxious the masses become. In a nutshell, that is precisely why this market will continue to run higher and higher.
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Friday, August 05, 2016
Stock Market Narrowly Mixed Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had an interesting day on Thursday. The day started out with a firm opening, they had a hard hit that held support, and then rallied into midday. At that point, they meandered back and forth, and actually drifted lower on the S&P 500, tried to rally late in the day, got back up to the highs on the Nasdaq 100, but the S&P 500 fell short and they pulled back. They finished nearly flat, closing mixed on the day.
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Thursday, August 04, 2016
SPX Challenges the Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX spent the overnight session challenging the upper trendline of its Orthodox Broadening Top at 2165.00. It currently appears to have fallen back beneath it.
ZeroHedge wrote at 6:55 am., “In a mostly quiet session, European and Asian stocks rose, pushed higher by financial stocks and the USDJPY which initially dipped on some hawkish comments by BOJ deputy governor Iwata, only to rebound later in the session, lifting the Nikkei 1.1%, while the Stoxx 600 rose 0.4% led higher by the banking sector. S&P futures are unchanged after yesterday's last hour ramp. The key event is the BOE decision due in half an hour, which saw the pound dip initially only for cable to regain all losses in recent trading, despite a 100% price in expectation that Mark Carny will deliver the first interest rate cut in seven years.”
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Thursday, August 04, 2016
Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Investors Await Economic Data Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, August 04, 2016
Bank of England Rates Decision Thursday Morning... Stock Market Remains Lateral... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steinman
There is a potential market mover pre-market tomorrow morning when Europe's Bank of England decides whether they will once again cut rates. Yes, I said cut, not raise. The endless world of low rates, and sometimes even negative rates continues. The expectation is for an actual .25 rate cut. Hard to believe, but that's the world we are living in now. How low can rates go? It seems there is no end to it all. We don't have to understand or agree with it, but that's the real world. It's true insanity. I'm not sure how they can get away with this garbage, but I think their market would collapse if they didn't do another rate cut in the world of endlessly low rates. I can't wrap my mind logically around it, but they seem to have no problem doing so. It shows the truth of how bad things are economically.
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